Your feedback ensures we stay focused on the facts that matter to you most—take our survey.
Christopher Gowett
Christopher Gowett (independent) ran for election to the U.S. House to represent New York's 22nd Congressional District. He did not appear on the ballot for the general election on November 5, 2024.
2024 battleground election
Ballotpedia identified the November 5, 2024, general election as a battleground race. The summary below is from our coverage of this election, found here. John Mannion (D) defeated incumbent Rep. Brandon Williams (R) in the general election for New York's 22nd Congressional District on November 5, 2024. Click here for detailed results. Williams was one of 15 incumbents who lost their re-election campaigns to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2024. Additionally, this was one of 19 seats that changed partisan control due to the 2024 U.S. House of Representatives elections.
Before the election, Politico said, "The Cook Political Report has identified the district as the only Republican-held seat in the country that 'leans Democrat,' and Sabato’s Crystal Ball makes that one of only two GOP seats with the 'lean Democratic' label."[1]
Voters first elected Williams to the district in 2022, when he won with 50.5% of the vote. Heading into the 2024 election, Roll Call ranked Williams the most vulnerable House incumbent.[2]
Following the adoption of new congressional maps in February 2024, the district included all of Onondaga and Madison counties, and parts of Cayuga, Cortland, and Oneida counties. Syracuse University professor of political science Grant Reeher said parts of Oneida County — where Williams did well in 2022 — were switched with more Democratic portions of Cayuga County.[3] He added, "The most recent round of the tweaking of the districts makes this district look even more friendly to [D]emocrats, but it looked friendly to Democrats two years ago and a conservative Republican won."[3] Click here to see what the district looked like before and after redistricting.
Mannion, a state senator first elected in 2020, won election to a competitive district. Mahoney noted, "In 2018, [Mannion] launched the most serious campaign in generations by a Democrat in a long-time Republican stronghold, managed to flip the seat in 2020, and held on by 10 votes out of 123,000 cast in 2022."[1]
Mannion represented New York State Senate District 50 since 2020. Mannion said he would "bring down costs for working families, care for our veterans, improve public safety, provide world class education for our kids and guarantee a woman’s right to choose."[4]
Williams represented New York's 22nd Congressional District since 2023. Williams described himself as a political outsider and said his priorities included lower energy costs, a secure border, public safety, good-paying jobs, and robust infrastructure projects.[5][6]
Before the election, four major election forecasters differed in their ratings for the general election, with three rating it Lean Democratic and one rating it a Toss-up.
New York's 22nd Congressional District was one of 34 congressional districts with a Republican incumbent or an open seat that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) targeted in 2024. To read about DCCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of DCCC targeted districts, click here.
Based on fourth-quarter reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Williams raised $4.2 million and spent $4.2 million, and Mannion raised $4.2 million and spent $4.0 million. To review all the campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.
Elections
2024
See also: New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2024
New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 25 Democratic primary)
New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 25 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House New York District 22
John Mannion defeated incumbent Brandon Williams in the general election for U.S. House New York District 22 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | John Mannion (Working Families Party / D) | 54.5 | 194,450 |
 | Brandon Williams (R / Conservative Party / L) | 45.4 | 161,939 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 403 | ||
| Total votes: 356,792 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Christopher Gowett (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 22
John Mannion defeated Sarah Klee Hood in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 22 on June 25, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | John Mannion | 61.5 | 16,624 |
 | Sarah Klee Hood | 38.4 | 10,373 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 47 | ||
| Total votes: 27,044 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Katelyn Kriesel (D)
- Clemmie Harris (D)
- Jacob Addington (D)
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Brandon Williams advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 22.
Conservative Party primary election
The Conservative Party primary election was canceled. Incumbent Brandon Williams advanced from the Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 22.
Working Families Party primary election
The Working Families Party primary election was canceled. John Mannion advanced from the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 22.
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[7] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[8] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.
Election campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williams | Republican Party, Conservative Party, Libertarian Party | $4,190,243 | $4,208,336 | $6,071 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Sarah Klee Hood | Democratic Party | $1,517,853 | $1,516,964 | $1,480 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| John Mannion | Working Families Party, Democratic Party | $4,161,857 | $4,033,616 | $128,241 | As of December 31, 2024 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[9][10][11]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[12]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[13][14][15]
| Race ratings: New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Tilt Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Endorsements
Ballotpedia did not identify endorsements for Gowett in this election.
Campaign themes
2024
Ballotpedia survey responses
See also: Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection
Christopher Gowett did not complete Ballotpedia's 2024 Candidate Connection survey.
See also
2024 Elections
External links
|
Personal |
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Politico, "Inside the upstate NY House primary where Dems stand best chance of defeating GOP in November," June 21, 2024
- ↑ Roll Call, "No shortage of House members who are vulnerable this year," May 8, 2024
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Spectrum News 1, "With general election matchup set between Williams and Mannion, NY-22 race shapes up," June 26, 2024
- ↑ John Mannion 2024 campaign website, "Home," accessed July 29, 2024
- ↑ Facebook, "Brandon Williams for Congress - NY 22nd District," February 28, 2024
- ↑ Brandon Williams 2024 campaign website, "Home," accessed July 29, 2024
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
