Minnesota's 8th Congressional District elections, 2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
48.5% | 129,090 | |
Republican | Stewart Mills | 47.1% | 125,358 | |
Green | Skip Sandman | 4.3% | 11,450 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 185 | |
Total Votes | 266,083 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
2016 →
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November 4, 2014 |
August 12, 2014 |
Rick Nolan ![]() |
Rick Nolan ![]() |
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1] FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Toss Up[2] |
The 8th Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Rick Nolan (D) defeated challengers Stewart Mills (R) and Ray "Skip" Sandman (G) in the general election.[4] None of the candidates faced challenges in the primary election on August 12, 2014.
Rep. Nolan defeated Mills by less than 4,000 votes. Leading up to the election, The Cook Political Report, FairVote's Monopoly Politics and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rated the race as a toss-up.[5][6][7] Ballotpedia named Minnesota's 8th as a U.S. House battleground district in 2014.
On October 1, 2014, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) released an internal poll showing Nolan ahead by 11 points, leading 48-37.[8] Later in October, a KSTP/SurveyUSA poll showed Mills leading Nolan 47-39.[9]
According to OpenSecrets, Minnesota's 8th District ranked second highest in satellite spending out of all 2014 U.S. House races. Groups spent a total of $12,563,539 on the election, second to the $13,489,481 spent in California's 7th District.[10] The two largest contributors were the DCCC, which spent $4,350,664 opposing Mills, and the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), which spent $3,249,026 opposing Nolan.[11]
According to the Federal Election Commission (FEC), Nolan raised a total of $1,853,675.02, and Mills raised $1,897,641.62.
Mills emphasized his stance on gun rights and criticized Nolan for wanting to limit magazine capacity and ban semi-automatic weapons.[12] Nolan criticized Mills for inheriting millions of dollars.[13]
Minnesota's 8th was historically a Democratic-leaning district, although Republican Chip Cravaack held the seat from 2011-2013. Nolan won the seat back for the Democrats in 2012, with an 8.9 percent margin of victory over Cravaack. That same year, President Barack Obama (D) won in the district by 5.5 percent.
Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
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Primary: A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Minnesota utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[14][15][16]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters needed to register on election day, or pre-register by July 22, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 14, 2014 (21 days days prior to the election).[17]
- See also: Minnesota elections, 2014
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Rick Nolan (D), who was first elected in 2012.
The 8th District covers the northeastern part of Minnesota. The district includes the counties of Aitkin, Carlton, Cass, Chisago, Cook, Crow Wing, Hubbard, Isanti, Itasca, Kanabec, Koochiching, Lake, Mille Lacs, Morrison, Pine, St. Louis, and Wadena. A section of Beltrami County is also included in the district.[18]
Candidates
General election candidates
Rick Nolan - Incumbent
Stewart Mills
Ray "Skip" Sandman
August 12, 2014, primary results
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Failed to file
Race background
In the 2012 election in Minnesota's 8th Congressional District, challenger Rick Nolan secured election by an 8.9 percent margin of victory. The district was considered a toss-up with Fairvote indicating that as a result of redistricting, the district had gone from an even balance between Democrats and Republicans to a 2 percent edge in favor of the Democrats.[21] Incumbent Chip Cravaack spent $2,385,666 and Nolan spent $1,194,314.[22]
In 2014, the district was focused on by both the National Republican Congressional Committee's Patriot Program[23] and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List."[24]
The National Republican Congressional Committee added Stewart Mills (R) to their "On the Radar" list. According to the NRCC, candidates that made the list received "...the tools they need to run successful, winning campaigns against their Democratic opponents."[25][26]
Elections
General election results
The 8th Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Rick Nolan (D) defeated challengers Stewart Mills (R) and Ray "Skip" Sandman (G) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
48.5% | 129,090 | |
Republican | Stewart Mills | 47.1% | 125,358 | |
Green | Skip Sandman | 4.3% | 11,450 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 185 | |
Total Votes | 266,083 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
Issues
Comments on ISIS
- See also: ISIS insurgency in Iraq and Syria
Rep. Rick Nolan (D) spoke against taking military action against the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS). Nolan asked President Barack Obama not to make a unilateral decision to mobilize the military without the consent of Congress. On August 29, 2014, Nolan stated, "American blood and treasury should not be made without the full consideration by all 535 members of the Congress of the United States."[27] He added, "When we get ourselves involved in that conflict, then we become a part of the problem and the solution becomes ours."[27]
Shortly after making these comments, Nolan issued a statement regarding ISIS. Nolan wrote, "I encourage them to employ the same intelligence resources – and the same selective, highly effective means they used to bring down Osama Bin Laden. Special operations of this kind do not involve U.S. troops on the ground, the killing of innocent people, or the re-involvement of the United States in another terribly destructive, expensive, open-ended conflict in that region.”[28]
Nolan's Republican challenger in the general election, Stewart Mills, disagreed with Nolan, saying, "Like it or not we have to play some role here. And for Congressman Nolan to take those positions, I think, leaves America in an even weaker position than we have been in the past. We can't lead from behind. We have to lead."[29]
According to a poll published in The Washington Post, about 91 percent of voters believed ISIS to be a serious threat, and 71 percent supported the U.S. government ordering air strikes against the Sunni insurgents in Iraq.[30]
Campaign themes
Rick Nolan
Rick Nolan listed the following issues, among others, on his campaign website:[31]
“ |
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—Rick Nolan, campaign website archive |
Stewart Mills
Stewart Mills listed the following issues on his campaign website:[33]
“ |
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” |
—Stewart Mills, campaign website archive |
Polls
Rick Nolan v. Stewart Mills | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Rick Nolan (D) | Stewart Mills (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
KSTP/SurveyUSA October 14-15, 2014 | 39% | 47% | 11% | +/-4.2 | 555 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
Endorsements
Stewart Mills
Stewart Mills received the following endorsements:
- Sixteen Minnesota state legislators, including Kurt Daudt, Michelle Benson, Sean Nienow and Carrie Ruud[34][35]
- The Minnesota Gun Owners PAC[36]
- Minnesota's 8th Congressional District Republicans[37]
Campaign contributions
Rick Nolan
Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Nolan's reports.[38]
Rick Nolan (2014) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
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Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
April Quarterly[39] | February 19, 2014 | $41,150.16 | $120,703.67 | $(27,976.93) | $133,876.90 | ||||
July Quarterly[40] | February 19, 2014 | $133,876.90 | $134,764.34 | $(59,115.94) | $209,525.30 | ||||
October Quarterly[41] | February 19, 2014 | $209,525.30 | $131,472.26 | $(62,998.33) | $277,999.23 | ||||
Year-End Quarterly[42] | February 19, 2014 | $277,999.23 | $144,397.73 | $(107,395.74) | $315,001.22 | ||||
April Quarterly[43] | April 15, 2014 | $315,001.22 | $265,772.54 | $(102,557.79) | $478,215.97 | ||||
July Quarterly[44] | July 23, 2014 | $478,215.97 | $285,201.56 | $(184,231.20) | $579,186.33 | ||||
Pre-Primary[45] | August 2, 2014 | $579,186.33 | $88,621.22 | $(43,312.85) | $624,494.70 | ||||
October Quarterly[46] | October 15, 2014 | $624,494.70 | $558,617.71 | $(657,417.03) | $525,695.38 | ||||
Pre-General[47] | October 23, 2014 | $525,695.38 | $124,123.99 | $(270,303.21) | $379,516.16 | ||||
Running totals | |||||||||
$1,853,675.02 | $(1,515,309.02) |
Stewart Mills
Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Mills' reports.[48]
Stewart Mills (2014) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
October Quarterly[49] | October 15, 2013 | $0 | $243,826.30 | $(9,383.77) | $234,442.53 | ||||
Year-End[50] | January 31, 2014 | $234,442.53 | $205,263.98 | $(133,416.76) | $306,289.75 | ||||
April Quarterly[51] | April 15, 2014 | $306,289.75 | $211,694.14 | $(162,245.00) | $355,738.89 | ||||
July Quarterly[52] | July 15, 2014 | $355,738.89 | $476,495.08 | $(403,129.10) | $429,104.87 | ||||
Pre-Primary[53] | July 31, 2014 | $429,104.87 | $81,093.00 | $(153,579.89) | $356,617.98 | ||||
October Quarterly[54] | October 15, 2014 | $356,617.98 | $482,331.12 | $(584,008.36) | $254,940.74 | ||||
Pre-General[55] | October 23, 2014 | $254,940.74 | $196,938.00 | $(253,965.13) | $197,913.61 | ||||
Running totals | |||||||||
$1,897,641.62 | $(1,699,728.01) |
Media
Stewart Mills
- Stewart Mills released his first television ad in May 2014, discussing his history with Mills Fleet Farm and how his experiences affected his views on Obamacare.
- In a June 2014 campaign ad, Mills' wife spoke of his community involvement, including the "Walk a Mile in Her Shoes" event to raise money for victims of domestic violence.[56]
- In July 2014, the House Majority PAC released an ad criticizing Mills for arguing against raising the minimum wage and wanting tax breaks for the wealthy.[57] This ad was taken off of two television stations after complaints that it was misleading due to a spliced video clip of Mills. In the video, Mills was quoted as saying, "Folks saying that 'the wealthy, the wealthy are not paying their fair share, the 2 percent, the 1 percent, whatever percent you want, is personally offensive," when in reality he had said, "To be singled out as a deadbeat is personally offensive."[58] The PAC and their supporters criticized the stations of taking the ad down for political reasons.[58]
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District history
Candidate ballot access |
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2012
Incumbent Chip Cravaack was defeated by Democratic challenger Rick Nolan in the general election on November 6, 2012.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
54.3% | 191,976 | |
Republican | Chip Cravaack Incumbent | 45.4% | 160,520 | |
NA | Write-in | 0.3% | 1,167 | |
Total Votes | 353,663 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State, "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" (dead link) |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Chip Cravaack (R) won election to the United States House. He defeated Jim Oberstar (D), Timothy Olson (Independence) and Richard "George" Burton (Constitution) in the general election.[59]
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2014
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2014
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ Politico, "House Elections Results," accessed November 11, 2014
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for July 26, 2014," accessed July 31, 2014
- ↑ FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed November 19, 2014
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed July 31, 2014
- ↑ Star Tribune, "Dem poll on 8th CD: Nolan widening lead on Mills," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ WDIO Eyewitness News, "KSTP/SurveyUSA POLL: Upset Brewing in 8th District?" accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ OpenSecrets, "2014 Outside Spending, by Race," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ OpenSecrets, "Minnesota District 08 Race, Outside Spending," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ Star Tribune, "Nolan, Mills duke it out over health care, guns, tax reform," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ Real Clear Politics, "MN-8: DCCC: 'Don't Hand Stewart Mills A Seat'," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," accessed April 25, 2023
- ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
- ↑ Minnesota Secretary of State,"PRIMARY ELECTION," accessed April 25, 2023
- ↑ Minnesota Secretary of State Website, "How to Register," accessed January 3, 2014
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ 19.0 19.1 19.2 Minnesota Secretary of State, "2014 State General Election Candidate Filings," accessed June 11, 2014
- ↑ Minnesota Public Radio, "Stewart Mills to run for 8th Dist. seat," accessed July 17, 2013
- ↑ FairVote, "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Minnesota," accessed March 3, 2013
- ↑ Open Secrets, "2012 Race: Minnesota District 08," accessed March 3, 2013
- ↑ NRCC, "Patriot Program 2012," accessed March 3, 2013
- ↑ DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012," accessed March 3, 2013
- ↑ Roll Call, "House Republicans Put 36 Recruits ‘On the Radar’," accessed November 21, 2013
- ↑ NRCC Young Guns, "List," accessed March 20, 2014
- ↑ 27.0 27.1 Northland News Center, "Rick Nolan urges President Obama to resist military involvement in Syria," accessed September 12, 2014
- ↑ Slate, "The ISIS-Bedwetter Watch Continues," accessed September 12, 2014
- ↑ Minnesota Public Radio News, "Strategy against Islamic State could play big in 8th District," accessed September 12, 2014
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Wide support for striking ISIS, but weak approval for Obama," accessed September 12, 2014
- ↑ Rick Nolan for Congress, "Rick Nolan: On the Issues," accessed October 1, 2014
- ↑ 32.0 32.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Stewart Mills for Congress, "Issues," accessed October 1, 2014
- ↑ Politics in Minnesota, "Stewart Mills announces GOP endorsements for CD 8 bid," accessed November 23, 2013
- ↑ Stewart Mills for Congress, "Stewart Mills Announces the Endorsements of 16 Minnesota State Legislators," accessed May 24, 2014
- ↑ Minnesota Gun Owners Political Action Committee, "Press Release: MN Gun Owners PAC endorses Stewart Mills for Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District," accessed May 24, 2014 (dead link)
- ↑ Brainerd Dispatch, "Stewart Mills endorsed for Congress by 8th District GOP," accessed May 24, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Nolan 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 18, 2013
- ↑ FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "Year-End Quarterly," accessed November 19, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed May 16, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed November 19, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "Pre-Primary," accessed November 19, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed November 19, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "Pre-General," accessed November 19, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills Summary Report," accessed April 23, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills October Quarterly," accessed March 19, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills Year-End," accessed March 19, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills April Quarterly," accessed April 23, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills July Quarterly," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills Pre-Primary," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills October Quarterly," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills Pre-General," accessed November 20, 2014
- ↑ YouTube, "In Her Shoes," accessed June 30, 2014
- ↑ YouTube, "MN-08: Stewart Mills - 'Personally Offensive.'," accessed July 31, 2014
- ↑ 58.0 58.1 National Journal, "Democratic PAC Sees Koch Influence Behind Scuttled TV Ads," accessed July 31, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013