Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day for June 28, 2018
The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
June 28, 2018: Fifty-six percent (56%) of U.S. adults say they are “absolutely certain” to vote in the 2018 midterm elections. Other than the 54% level recorded in 1978, that’s the lowest level of interest measured by Gallup in more than 60 years of polling the same question.[1]
The all-time high levels of midterm interest came in 2006 and 2010 when 68% of adults said they were absolutely certain to vote.
Currently, there is no partisan difference in enthusiasm for this year’s election. Gallup reports that “65% of Republicans and 64% of Democrats say they are absolutely certain to vote. As is normal, independents are less certain of voting, at 45%.”
Gallup says that “the 2018 midterm elections may not produce the blue wave that was suggested by earlier polling.” The research firm notes that “when asked whether their vote for a congressional candidate will be made to send a positive or a negative message about Trump, about as many registered voters who plan to vote say they will be sending a message to support Trump (20%) as to oppose him (23%).”
In 2006, 2010, and 2014, the party out of power made huge gains. In those years, however, there was a wide gap between the number who wanted to send a message of support and opposition.
Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.
- June 27, 2018 – 38 years old: median age of Americans, highest ever
- June 26, 2018 – 32 percent of Americans interested in soccer
- June 25, 2018 – 48: The number of House seats Democrats must win to qualify as a wave election
- June 22, 2018 – 1,166 state legislative races already will not include major party opposition
- June 21, 2018 – 80 percent of voters believe fear of being politically incorrect leads to bad business or political decisions
- To see other recent numbers, check out the archive.
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Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
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