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Maryland's 8th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Maryland's 8th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: January 24, 2020
Primary: June 2, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Jamie Raskin (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Maryland
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Maryland's 8th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Maryland elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 8th Congressional District of Maryland, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Jamie Raskin won election in the general election for U.S. House Maryland District 8.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
January 24, 2020
June 2, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Jamie Raskin, who was first elected in 2016.

Maryland's 8th Congressional District encompasses parts of Carroll, Frederick and Montgomery counties.[1]

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Maryland modified its absentee/mail-in and candidate filing procedures, early voting, and polling places for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee/mail-in ballot request forms sent to all qualified voters in the general election. The return deadline for absentee/mail-in ballot requests was October 20, 2020.
  • Candidate filing procedures: The petition signature requirement for obtaining party status for the Green and Libertarian parties was reduced from 10,000 to 5,000 signatures. The nomination petition signature requirement for unaffiliated candidates was reduced by 50 percent.
  • Early voting: An early voting period ran from October 26, 2020 through November 2, 2020.
  • Polling places: All early voting centers and Election Day polling locations were open on November 3, 2020. The Maryland State Board of Elections operated a limited number of centralized voting centers in lieu of precinct polling places for in-person voting in the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Maryland District 8

Incumbent Jamie Raskin defeated Gregory Coll and Lih Young in the general election for U.S. House Maryland District 8 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jamie Raskin
Jamie Raskin (D)
 
68.2
 
274,716
Image of Gregory Coll
Gregory Coll (R) Candidate Connection
 
31.6
 
127,157
Image of Lih Young
Lih Young (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
27
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
714

Total votes: 402,614
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Maryland District 8

Incumbent Jamie Raskin defeated Marcia Morgan, Lih Young, and Utam Paul in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Maryland District 8 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jamie Raskin
Jamie Raskin
 
86.8
 
111,894
Marcia Morgan
 
7.9
 
10,236
Image of Lih Young
Lih Young
 
3.8
 
4,874
Utam Paul
 
1.5
 
1,885

Total votes: 128,889
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 8

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 8 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gregory Coll
Gregory Coll Candidate Connection
 
41.8
 
13,070
Image of Bridgette Cooper
Bridgette Cooper
 
15.4
 
4,831
Image of Nicholas Gladden
Nicholas Gladden Candidate Connection
 
12.8
 
4,019
Patricia Rogers
 
12.4
 
3,868
Image of Shelly Skolnick
Shelly Skolnick
 
9.5
 
2,979
Image of Michael Yadeta
Michael Yadeta Candidate Connection
 
8.1
 
2,526

Total votes: 31,293
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Maryland. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Maryland with 60.3 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 33.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1789 and 2016, Maryland voted Democratic 52 percent of the time and Republican 21 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Maryland voted Democratic all five times.[2]

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Maryland's 8th Congressional District the 95th most Democratic nationally.[3]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.87. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.87 points toward that party.[4]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[5] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[6] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Jamie Raskin Democratic Party $2,111,542 $1,438,142 $1,338,530 As of December 31, 2020
Lih Young Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Gregory Coll Republican Party $30,971 $27,352 $3,618 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[7]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[8][9][10]

Race ratings: Maryland's 8th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 8th Congressional District candidates in Maryland in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Maryland, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Maryland 8th Congressional District Principal parties 0 N/A $100.00 Fixed number 1/24/2020 Source
Maryland 8th Congressional District Unaffiliated 2,748 1% of the eligible voters for the district (reduced by 50% by judge's order) $100.00 Fixed number 8/3/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Maryland's 8th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Maryland District 8

Incumbent Jamie Raskin defeated John Walsh and Jasen Wunder in the general election for U.S. House Maryland District 8 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jamie Raskin
Jamie Raskin (D)
 
68.2
 
217,679
Image of John Walsh
John Walsh (R) Candidate Connection
 
30.2
 
96,525
Image of Jasen Wunder
Jasen Wunder (L)
 
1.5
 
4,853
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
273

Total votes: 319,330
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Maryland District 8

Incumbent Jamie Raskin defeated Summer Spring and Utam Paul in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Maryland District 8 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jamie Raskin
Jamie Raskin
 
90.5
 
81,071
Image of Summer Spring
Summer Spring
 
5.8
 
5,239
Utam Paul
 
3.7
 
3,272

Total votes: 89,582
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 8

John Walsh defeated Bridgette Cooper and Victor Williams in the Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 8 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Walsh
John Walsh Candidate Connection
 
44.9
 
9,095
Image of Bridgette Cooper
Bridgette Cooper Candidate Connection
 
31.3
 
6,341
Image of Victor Williams
Victor Williams
 
23.9
 
4,835

Total votes: 20,271
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Maryland's 8th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. In Maryland's 8th Congressional District, incumbent Chris Van Hollen (D) chose not to run for re-election in 2016, instead seeking election to the U.S. Senate. Jamie Raskin (D) defeated Dan Cox (R), Nancy Wallace (Green), and Jasen Wunder (Libertarian) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Raskin defeated eight other candidates in the Democratic primary, while Cox defeated Jeffrey Jones, Elizabeth Matory, Aryeh Shudofsky and Shelly Skolnick to win the Republican nomination. Additionally, Wallace defeated Charles Galloway and Elizabeth Croydon to win the Green Party primary. The primary elections took place on April 26, 2016.[11][12]

U.S. House, Maryland District 8 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJamie Raskin 60.6% 220,657
     Republican Dan Cox 34.2% 124,651
     Green Nancy Wallace 3.1% 11,201
     Libertarian Jasen Wunder 2% 7,283
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 532
Total Votes 364,324
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections


U.S. House, Maryland District 8 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJamie Raskin 33.6% 43,776
David Trone 27.1% 35,400
Kathleen Matthews 23.9% 31,186
Ana Sol Gutierrez 5.5% 7,185
William Jawando 4.6% 6,058
Kumar Barve 2.4% 3,149
David Anderson 1.2% 1,511
Joel Rubin 1.1% 1,426
Dan Bolling 0.5% 712
Total Votes 130,403
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections
U.S. House, Maryland District 8 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDan Cox 44.4% 20,647
Jeffrey Jones 20.1% 9,343
Elizabeth Matory 15.7% 7,295
Shelly Skolnick 12.5% 5,835
Aryeh Shudofsky 7.4% 3,421
Total Votes 46,541
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections

2014

See also: Maryland's 8th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 8th Congressional District of Maryland held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Chris Van Hollen (D) defeated Dave Wallace (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Maryland District 8 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngChris Van Hollen Incumbent 60.2% 127,260
     Republican Dave Wallace 39.6% 83,711
     Write-in Others 0.2% 516
Total Votes 211,487
Source: Maryland Secretary of State Official Results

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  2. 270towin.com, "Maryland," accessed June 22, 2017
  3. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  4. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  5. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  6. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  7. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  11. Maryland State Board of Elections, "2016 Presidential Primary Election State Candidates List," accessed February 5, 2016
  12. The New York Times, "Maryland Primary Results," April 26, 2016


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