Contributions per vote analysis of 2017 ballot measure campaigns
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In 2017, there were twenty-seven (27) statewide ballot measures on the ballot in nine states. A total of about $107.80 million was contributed to the campaigns surrounding these measures, with 94 percent of the contributions going to the campaigns surrounding the four citizen initiatives on the ballot: two in Ohio and two in Maine. Ohio Issue 2, the Drug Price Standards initiative, accounted for $77.4 million on its own.
One method for analyzing the effectiveness of campaigns is to look at the size of their funds relative to the number of votes their position received. This is a "contributions per votes" (CPV) amount. This report looks at the contributions per vote for each statewide measure in 2017.
For a full report on the campaign contributions surrounding 2017 ballot measures, click here.
Initiatives
The measures listed in this section were put on the ballot through citizen signature petition campaigns to propose a new law.[1]
The highest contributions per vote amount was for the campaign in support of Maine Question 1, an initiative to authorize a specific owner—Shawn Scott—to operate a casino or slot machines in York County, Maine. The campaign behind the initiative received $9.4 million in contributions and ultimately spent $8.57 million to get Question 1 on the ballot and try to get it approved. The measure ultimately received 57,538 votes (16.71 percent) in favor of it for a contributions-per-vote of $163.97 and spending per vote equal to $148.96. This campaign had CPV that was more than four times higher than the contributions per vote of the campaign with the next highest CPV. The campaign in support of this initiative spent $2.7 million on the signature petition drive alone, paying $43.97 for each signature required to put the measure on the ballot. This cost per required signature was eight times the average in 2016.
Ohio Issue 2 stood out in 2017 as the most expensive measure battle of the year and the most expensive ballot measure battle in Ohio's history. It also ranked among the most expensive ballot
measure battles ever outside of California. The support and opposition campaigns for Issue 2 also featured the second and third highest contributions-per-vote amounts in 2017. The support campaign received $18.3 million—99.99 percent of which came from the AIDS Healthcare Foundation—and lost, garnering 483,983 votes (20.83 percent). The opposition campaign received $59.1 million—all of which came from the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) and a subsidiary of PhRMA—and won, garnering 1,837,608 votes (79.15 percent).
A chart showing the four citizen initiatives, the outcomes of the measures, and the CPV for both the support and opposition campaigns is below:
Measure | Status | Support | Opposition | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Maine Question 1: Casino Initiative | ![]() |
$163.97 | $2.52 | $161.45 |
Maine Question 2: Medicaid Expansion | ![]() |
$13.15 | $3.02 | $10.13 |
Ohio Issue 1: Marsy's Law | ![]() |
$5.50 | $0.00 | $5.50 |
Ohio Issue 2: Drug Price | ![]() |
$37.79 | $32.18 | $5.61 |
The data used to calculate the contributions per vote information above is in the chart below. Click [show] to expand the data.
Data for initiatives: | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ballot Measure: | Support contributions: | Opposition contributions: | Yes votes: | No votes: | Outcome: |
Ohio Issue 1, Marsy's Law Crime Victim Rights Initiative (2017) | $ | $ | 1,921,172 | 404,957 | ![]() |
Ohio Issue 2, Drug Price Standards Initiative (2017) | $ | $ | 483,983 | 1,837,608 | ![]() |
Maine Question 1, Casino or Slot Machines in York County Initiative (2017) | $ | $ | 57,538 | 286,847 | ![]() |
Maine Question 2, Medicaid Expansion Initiative (2017) | $ | $ | 203,080 | 141,436 | ![]() |
Legislative and automatic referrals
The measures listed below were put on the ballot by the state legislature or automatically required by a state law or the state constitution. These types of measures usually generate less campaign spending than initiatives and veto referendums.
Besides the citizen initiatives that were on the ballot, which all had active support and opposition campaign spending, five measures had campaigns in support or opposition that received contributions and made expenditures. The other measures of this type had no campaign finance data and, therefore, had no contributions per vote
Measure | Status | Support | Opposition | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Louisiana Amendment 1: Property Taxes Exemption | ![]() |
$2.01 | $0.00 | $2.01 |
Maine Question 1: Business Stimulus Bond Issue | ![]() |
$1.89 | $0.00 | $1.89 |
New York Proposal 1: Constitutional Convention Question | ![]() |
$1.69 | $1.47 | $0.22 |
Texas Proposition 2: Home Equity Loans | ![]() |
$1.03 | $0.00 | $1.03 |
Texas Proposition 7: Prizes to Promote Savings | ![]() |
$0.93 | $0.00 | $0.93 |
The data used to calculate the contributions per vote information above is in the chart below. Click [show] to expand the data.
Comparison to 2016
Ballotpedia did a CPV analysis for 2016 as well, which featured 76 citizen-initiated measures and a total of 162 statewide ballot measures.[2]
Support
The highest CPV amount for a campaign supporting a ballot measure was $35.30. The campaign was Nevadans for Background Checks, which backed Nevada Question 1, and it raised $19,720,674.58. The measure was narrowly approved with 558,631 votes.
The following table illustrates the support campaigns with the highest CPV amounts. Five of the six are ballot initiatives and one, Rhode Island Question 1, is a legislative referral. Click [show] to expand.
Measure | Status | Support | Opposition | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nevada Question 1 | ![]() |
$35.30 | $12.08 | $23.22 |
Oregon Measure 97 | ![]() |
$23.32 | $24.07 | -$0.76 |
Massachusetts Question 2 | ![]() |
$22.13 | $8.56 | $13.56 |
Rhode Island Question 1 | ![]() |
$20.68 | $0.00 | $20.68 |
Maine Question 3 | ![]() |
$16.48 | $2.58 | $13.90 |
South Dakota Amendment U | ![]() |
$14.39 | $0.08 | $14.31 |
Opposition
The highest CPV amount for a campaign opposing a ballot measure was for No On Measure 97, which opposed Oregon Measure 97. With a CPV of $24.07, the "No" campaign raised $28,038,124 and received 1,164,658 votes.
The following table illustrates the opposition campaigns with the highest CPV amounts. All five are ballot initiatives. Click [show] to expand.
Measure | Status | Support | Opposition | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Oregon Measure 97 | ![]() |
$23.32 | $24.07 | -$0.76 |
North Dakota Measure 4 | ![]() |
$0.17 | $17.31 | -$17.14 |
California Proposition 61 | ![]() |
$3.05 | $15.34 | -$12.29 |
South Dakota Measure 21 | ![]() |
$0.26 | $14.45 | -$14.19 |
California Proposition 56 | ![]() |
$3.96 | $14.37 | -$10.42 |
Difference
The greatest difference between the CPV amounts of support and oppositions campaigns for the same measure is for Nevada Question 1, which was approved. Supporters had a CPV of $35.30, and opponents had a CPV of $12.08. The difference between the two scores was $23.22.
The following table illustrates the largest differences between the CPV amounts of support and opposition campaigns. Only measures that had both support and opposition campaigns are included. All five measures are ballot initiatives. Click [show] to expand.
Measure | Status | Support | Opposition | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nevada Question 1 | ![]() |
$35.30 | $12.08 | $23.22 |
North Dakota Measure 4 | ![]() |
$0.17 | $17.31 | -$17.14 |
South Dakota Amendment U | ![]() |
$14.39 | $0.08 | $14.31 |
South Dakota Measure 21 | ![]() |
$0.26 | $14.45 | -$14.19 |
Maine Question 3 | ![]() |
$16.48 | $2.58 | $13.90 |
See also
- 2017 ballot measures
- Ballot measure readability scores, 2017
- Ballot measure signature costs, 2017
- Ballot measure campaign finance, 2017
- Ballot Measure Scorecard, 2017
- Ballotpedia's Tuesday Count for 2017
- List of ballot measure lawsuits in 2017
- 2017 ballot measure polls
- 2017 ballot measure media endorsements
Foot notes
- ↑ There were no statewide veto referendums—measures put on the ballot through a citizen signature petition to challenge a law passed by the legislature instead of proposing a new law—on the ballot in 2017.
- ↑ The data for 2016 is from a report released by Ballotpedia in December 2016. A number of states still had one more filing deadline at that time, meaning the CPV amounts could have increased slightly."