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Colorado's 3rd Congressional District

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Colorado's 3rd Congressional District
Colorado's 3rd.JPG
Incumbent
Scott Tipton Republican Party
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+6
U.S. Census Bureau (2010 data)[1]
Population: 719,526
Gender: 50.5% Male, 49.5% Female
Race[2]: 88.2% White, 2.3% Native Am.
Ethnicity: 24.3% Hispanic
Unemployment: 10.2%
Median household income
$47,012
High school graduation rate
88.7%
College graduation rate
29.9%

As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Colorad's 3rd Congressional District was located in western and southern Colorado and included Alamosa, Archuleta, Conejos, Costilla, Custer, Delta, Dolores, Garfield, Gunnison, Hinsdale, Huerfano, Jackson, La Plata, Lake, Mesa, Mineral, Moffat, Montezuma, Montrose, Ouray, Pitkin, Pueblo, Rio Blanco, Rio Grande, Routt, Saguache, San Juan, and San Miguel counties. A portion of Eagle County was also included in the district. [3]

The current representative of the 3rd Congressional District is Scott Tipton (R).

2016 Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties and Congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties

Following the 2016 election, this district was one of 105 congressional districts that, based on boundaries adopted after the 2010 census, intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.

The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. The partisan makeup of the 109 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House following the 2016 election. Of the 109 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 64 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[4]

Elections

2018

See also: Colorado's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election candidates


Did not make the ballot:

Candidate Connection = candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey

Write-in candidates

Green Party Bruce Lohmiller
Green Party Gary Swing
Grey.png Richard Tetu
See also: Colorado's 3rd Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)
See also: Colorado's 3rd Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary)

Primary candidates

Democratic Party Democratic primary candidates

Candidate Connection = candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey

Republican Party Republican primary candidates


Libertarian Party Libertarians

Grey.png Independent

Grey.png Unaffiliated


2016

See also: Colorado's 3rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Scott Tipton (R) defeated Gail Schwartz (D) and Gaylon Kent (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Tipton defeated Alex Beinstein in the Republican primary on June 28, 2016.[6][7][8]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott Tipton Incumbent 54.6% 204,220
     Democratic Gail Schwartz 40.3% 150,914
     Libertarian Gaylon Kent 5.1% 18,903
Total Votes 374,037
Source: Colorado Secretary of State


U.S. House, Colorado, District 3 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngScott Tipton Incumbent 78.9% 43,992
Alex Beinstein 21.1% 11,790
Total Votes 55,782
Source: Colorado Secretary of State

2014

See also: Colorado's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 3rd Congressional District of Colorado held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Scott Tipton (R) defeated Abel Tapia (D), Travis Mero (L) and Tisha Casida (I) in the general election.

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott Tipton Incumbent 58% 163,011
     Democratic Abel Tapia 35.7% 100,364
     Independent Tisha Casida 4% 11,294
     Libertarian Travis Mero 2.3% 6,472
Total Votes 281,141
Source: Colorado Secretary of State

2012

See also: Colorado's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2012

The 3rd Congressional District of Colorado held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Scott Tipton won re-election in the district.[9]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Sal Pace 41.1% 142,619
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott Tipton Incumbent 53.4% 185,291
     Libertarian Gregory Gilman 2.4% 8,212
     Independent Tisha Casida 3.2% 11,125
Total Votes 347,247
Source: Colorado Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"


2010
On November 2, 2010, Scott Tipton won election to the United States House. He defeated incumbent John Salazar (D), Gregory Gilman (L), Jake Segrest (Unaffiliated), John Hargis Sr. (Write-in) and James Fritz (Write-in) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott Tipton 50.1% 129,257
     Democratic John Salazar incumbent 45.8% 118,048
     Libertarian Gregory Gilman 2.2% 5,678
     Unaffiliated Jake Segrest 1.9% 4,982
     Write-in John Hargis Sr. 0% 23
     Write-in James Fritz 0% 11
Total Votes 257,999


2008
On November 4, 2008, John Salazar won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Wayne Wolf (R) in the general election.[11]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Salazar incumbent 61.6% 203,455
     Republican Wayne Wolf 38.4% 126,762
Total Votes 330,217


2006
On November 7, 2006, John Salazar won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Scott Tipton (R), Bert Sargent (L) and Bruce Lohmiller (G) in the general election.[12]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Salazar incumbent 61.6% 146,488
     Republican Scott Tipton 36.5% 86,930
     Libertarian Bert Sargent 1.9% 4,417
     Green Bruce Lohmiller 0% 23
Total Votes 237,858


2004
On November 2, 2004, John Salazar won election to the United States House. He defeated Greg Walcher (R) and Jim Krug (Unaffiliated) in the general election.[13]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Salazar 50.6% 153,500
     Republican Greg Walcher 46.6% 141,376
     Unaffiliated Jim Krug 2.9% 8,770
Total Votes 303,646


2002
On November 5, 2002, Scott McInnis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Denis Berckefeldt (D), J. Brent Shroyer (L), Gary Swing (Natural Law) and Jason Alessio (Write-in) in the general election.[14]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott McInnis incumbent 65.8% 143,433
     Democratic Denis Berckefeldt 31.3% 68,160
     Libertarian J. Brent Shroyer 2% 4,370
     Natural Law Gary Swing 0.9% 1,903
     Write-in Jason Alessio 0% 106
Total Votes 217,972


2000
On November 7, 2000, Scott McInnis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Curtis Imrie (D), Drew Saskon (L) and Victor Good (Reform) in the general election.[15]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott McInnis incumbent 65.8% 199,204
     Democratic Curtis Imrie 29.1% 87,921
     Libertarian Drew Saskon 3.3% 9,982
     Reform Victor Good 1.8% 5,433
Total Votes 302,540


1998
On November 3, 1998, Scott McInnis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Robert Reed Kelley (D) and Barry Maggert (L) in the general election.[16]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 1998
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott McInnis incumbent 66.1% 156,501
     Democratic Robert Reed Kelley 31.5% 74,479
     Libertarian Barry Maggert 2.4% 5,673
Total Votes 236,653


1996
On November 5, 1996, Scott McInnis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Albert Gurule (D) in the general election.[17]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 1996
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott McInnis incumbent 68.9% 183,523
     Democratic Albert Gurule 31.1% 82,953
Total Votes 266,476


1994
On November 8, 1994, Scott McInnis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Linda Powers (D) in the general election.[18]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 1994
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott McInnis incumbent 69.6% 145,365
     Democratic Linda Powers 30.4% 63,427
Total Votes 208,792


1992
On November 3, 1992, Scott McInnis won election to the United States House. He defeated Mike Callihan (D) and Ki Nelson (Populist) in the general election.[19]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 1992
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngScott McInnis 54.7% 143,293
     Democratic Mike Callihan 43.7% 114,480
     Populist Ki Nelson 1.6% 4,189
     N/A Write-in 0% 2
Total Votes 261,964


1990
On November 6, 1990, Ben Nighthorse Campbell won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Bob Ellis (R) and Howard Fields (Colorado Populist) in the general election.[20]

U.S. House, Colorado District 3 General Election, 1990
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBen Nighthorse Campbell incumbent 70.2% 124,487
     Republican Bob Ellis 28.2% 49,961
     Colorado Populist Howard Fields 1.6% 2,859
Total Votes 177,307


Redistricting

2010-2011

This is the 3rd Congressional District of Colorado after the 2001 redistricting process. The current district is displayed in the infobox at the top of the page.
See also: Redistricting in Colorado

In 2011, the Colorado State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Colorado's 3rd Congressional District the 180th most Republican nationally.[21]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.14. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.14 points toward that party.[22]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Demographic data were added to this page in 2013. Ballotpedia will update this page in 2021 after data from the 2020 Census become available.
  2. ↑ Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.
  3. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  4. ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  5. ↑ Gaylon Kent for Congress, "Home," accessed April 9, 2018
  6. ↑ Colorado Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Election Candidate List," accessed May 2, 2016
  7. ↑ Politico, "Colorado House Primaries Results," June 28, 2016
  8. ↑ Colorado Secretary of State, "2016 General Election Candidate List," accessed September 5, 2016
  9. ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Colorado," November 6, 2012
  10. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  13. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  15. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  16. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
  17. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
  18. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
  19. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
  20. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013
  21. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  22. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Colorado's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Michael Bennet (D)
John Hickenlooper (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
Jeff Hurd (R)
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Democratic Party (6)
Republican Party (4)

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