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Illinois' 11th Congressional District

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Illinois' 11th Congressional District
IL 11th congressional district image.png
Incumbent
Bill Foster Democratic Party
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+9
U.S. Census Bureau (2010 data)[1]
Population: 722,745
Gender: 48.8% Male, 51.2% Female
Race[2]: 66.5% White, 10.8% Black, 6.9% Asian
Ethnicity: 26.6% Hispanic
Unemployment: 11.1%
Median household income
$65,938
High school graduation rate
86%
College graduation rate
34.5%

Illinois' 11th Congressional District includes portions of Cook, DuPage, Kane, Kendall, and Will counties. The city of Joliet was located in the district.[3]

The current representative of the 11th congressional district is Bill Foster (D).

Elections

2018

See also: Illinois' 11th Congressional District election, 2018

General election candidates


See also: Illinois' 11th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary)
See also: Illinois' 11th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Republican primary)

Primary candidates

Democratic Party Democratic primary candidates


Republican Party Republican primary candidates



2016

See also: Illinois' 11th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Bill Foster (D) defeated Tonia Khouri (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Foster ran unopposed in the Democratic primary on March 15, 2016, while Tonia Khouri defeated Nick Stella and Herman White to win the Republican nomination.[4][5][6]

U.S. House, Illinois District 11 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBill Foster Incumbent 60.4% 166,578
     Republican Tonia Khouri 39.6% 108,995
Total Votes 275,573
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections


U.S. House, Illinois District 11 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTonia Khouri 36.9% 22,859
Nick Stella 36.3% 22,489
Herman White 26.7% 16,536
Total Votes 61,884
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections

2014

See also: Illinois' 11th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 11th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Bill Foster (D) defeated challenger Darlene Senger (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Illinois District 11 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBill Foster Incumbent 53.5% 93,436
     Republican Darlene Senger 46.5% 81,335
Total Votes 174,771
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections Official Results

General election candidates


March 18, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Withdrew from race

2012

See also: Illinois' 11th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 11th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Democrat Bill Foster won the election in the district.[11]

U.S. House, Illinois District 11 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBill Foster 58.6% 148,928
     Republican Judy Biggert Incumbent 41.4% 105,348
Total Votes 254,276
Source: Illinois Board of Elections "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Adam Kinzinger won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Deborah L. Halvorson (D) in the general election.[12]

U.S. House, Illinois District 11 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAdam Kinzinger 57.3% 129,108
     Democratic Deborah L. Halvorson Incumbent 42.7% 96,019
Total Votes 225,127

2008

On November 4, 2008, Democrat Debbie Halvorson won election to the United States House. She defeated Republican Marty Ozinga and Green Party candidate Jason M. Wallace in the general election.[13]

U.S. House, Illinois District 11 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDebbie Halvorson 58.4% 185,652
     Republican Marty Ozinga 34.5% 109,608
     Green Jason M. Wallace 7.1% 22,635
Total Votes 317,895

2006

On November 7, 2006, Republican Jerry Weller won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Democrat John Pavich in the general election.[14]

2004

On November 2, 2004, Republican Jerry Weller won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Democrat Tari Renner in the general election.[15]

2002

On November 5, 2002, Republican Jerry Weller won election to the United States House. He defeated Democrat Keith S. Van Duyne in the general election.[16]

2000

On November 7, 2000, Republican Roy LaHood won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Democrat Joyce Harant in the general election.[17]

1998

On November 3, 1998, Republican Ray LaHood won re-election to the United States House. He was unopposed in the general election.[18]

Redistricting

2010-2011

See also: Redistricting in Illinois

Slow population growth required Illinois to lose one congressional seat following the 2010 census. With Democrats in charge of the House, Senate, and governorship, it was easy to pass a map beneficial to their party. According to an analysis by Politico, the new map could cost the GOP up to five U.S. House seats. GOP consultant David From said of the map, “It’s kind of a work of art, in the wrong direction. There’s a lot of creativity.”[19]

Republicans filed suit against the map, but eventually saw it upheld in the courts. A federal court panel agreed with the Republican complaint that the map was "a blatant political move to increase the number of Democratic congressional seats," but said that Republicans "failed to present a workable standard by which to evaluate such claims."[20]

The redraw 11th is strictly made up of suburban areas more friendly to Republicans.[21]

Before:
IL Congressional District 11 2000-2010.jpg

After:
IL Congressional District 11 map, 2012-2020.jpg

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Illinois' 11th Congressional District the 125th most Democratic nationally.[22]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.11. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.11 points toward that party.[23]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Demographic data were added to this page in 2013. Ballotpedia will update this page in 2021 after data from the 2020 Census become available.
  2. Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.
  3. United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  4. Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate List," accessed November 30, 2015
  5. The New York Times, "Illinois Primary Results," March 15, 2016
  6. Chicago Tribune, "Khouri, Stella separated by less than a percentage point in 11th District," March 16, 2016
  7. 7.0 7.1 Daily Herald "Senger meets with GOP officials about challenge to Foster" accessed April 17, 2013
  8. Sun Times "Aurora man exploring run for Congress in 11th District" accessed April 17, 2013
  9. Illinois Elections Division, "Bert Miller Candidate Detail," accessed November 27, 2013
  10. Illinois Elections Division, "Candidate Detail," accessed December 2, 2013
  11. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Illinois"
  12. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  13. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  15. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  16. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002"
  17. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000"
  18. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998"
  19. Politico, "Illinois Republicans brace for bloodbath," June 2, 2011
  20. BusinessWeek, "Illinois Republicans Lose Challenge to New Congressional Map," December 16, 2011
  21. Chicago Tribune, "Biggert now unopposed in GOP race," February 2, 2012
  22. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  23. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


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