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Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day for November 4, 2022

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By Scott Rasmussen

The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

November 4, 2022: Twenty percent (20%) of voters say that violence is at least somewhat likely regardless of who wins the upcoming midterm elections, including 6% who say that violence is very likely regardless of the outcome. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 16% think violence is unlikely regardless of who wins, including 5% who say that violence is not at all likely, and 13% are not sure in either case. The remaining 51% think violence is likely only if one party wins and not the other.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 registered voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 27-29, 2022. Fieldwork for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of registered voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left nearly a decade ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Survey Question

If Republicans win control of Congress in the upcoming midterm election, how likely is it that progressives will react with violence?

  • 20%-Very likely
  • 24%-Somewhat likely
  • 16%-Somewhat unlikely
  • 21%-Very unlikely
  • 18%-Not sure

If Democrats win control of Congress in the upcoming midterm election, how likely is it that conservatives will react with violence?

  • 17%-Very likely
  • 26%-Somewhat likely
  • 17%-Somewhat unlikely
  • 24%-Very unlikely
  • 17%-Not sure



Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.


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Footnotes