Tennessee's 1st Congressional District: Difference between revisions
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==Footnotes== | ==Footnotes== | ||
Revision as of 18:48, 16 April 2019
| Tennessee's 1st Congressional District |
|---|
| Incumbent Phil Roe Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+28 |
| U.S. Census Bureau (2010 data)[1] |
| Population: 707,424 |
| Gender: 48.7% Male, 51.3% Female |
| Race[2]: 94.4% White, 2.3% Black |
| Ethnicity: 3.2% Hispanic |
| Unemployment: 9.7% |
| Median household income $37,197 |
| High school graduation rate 81.4% |
| College graduation rate 17.9% |
As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Tennessee's 1st Congressional District was located in the northeastern portion of the state and included Carter, Cocke, Greene, Hamblen, Hancock, Hawkins, Johnson, Sevier, Sullivan, Unicoi, and Washington counties and a segment of Jefferson County.[3]
The current representative of the 1st Congressional District is Phil Roe (R).
Elections
2018
General candidates
General election candidates
- Phil Roe (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Marty Olsen (Democratic Party)
- Michael Salyer (Independent)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Phil Roe (Incumbent) ✔
- Mickie Lou Banyas
- James Brooks
- Todd McKinley
- Michael Salyer[4] (Salyer also won the Libertarian nomination)[5]
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Phil Roe (R) defeated Alan Bohms (D) and Robert Franklin (independent) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Roe defeated Clint Tribble in the Republican primary on August 4, 2016.[6][7][8]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 78.4% | 198,293 | ||
| Democratic | Alan Bohms | 15.4% | 39,024 | |
| Independent | Robert Franklin | 6.2% | 15,702 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 6 | |
| Total Votes | 253,025 | |||
| Source: Tennessee Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
82.2% | 35,350 | ||
| Clint Tribble | 17.8% | 7,673 | ||
| Total Votes | 43,023 | |||
| Source: Tennessee Secretary of State |
||||
2014
The 1st Congressional District of Tennessee held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Phil Roe (R) defeated Michael Salyer (L), Robert Smith (G) and Robert Franklin (I) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 82.8% | 115,495 | ||
| Libertarian | Michael Salyer | 3% | 4,145 | |
| Independent | Robert Franklin | 7.1% | 9,905 | |
| Green | Robert Smith | 7.1% | 9,869 | |
| Total Votes | 139,414 | |||
| Source: Tennessee Secretary of State | ||||
2012
The 1st Congressional District of Tennessee held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Phil Roe won re-election in the district.[9]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alan Woodruff | 19.9% | 47,663 | |
| Republican | 76% | 182,252 | ||
| Green | Robert N Smith | 1.2% | 2,872 | |
| Independent | Karen Brackett | 2% | 4,837 | |
| Independent | Michael Salyer | 0.9% | 2,048 | |
| Total Votes | 239,672 | |||
| Source: Tennessee Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
2010
On November 2, 2010, Phil Roe won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Michael Edward Clark (D) and Kermit E. Steck (I) in the general election.[10]
2008
On November 4, 2008, Phil Roe won election to the United States House. He defeated Rob Russell (D), Joel Goodman (I), James W. Reeves (I) and Thomas "T.K." Owens (I) in the general election.[11]
2006
On November 7, 2006, David Davis won election to the United States House. He defeated Rick Trent (D), Robert N. Smith (I), James W. Reeves (I), Michael Peavler (I) and Mahmood (Michael) Sabri (I) in the general election.[12]
2004
On November 2, 2004, William L. Jenkins won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Graham Leonard (D), Ralph J. Ball (I) and Michael Peavler (I) in the general election.[13]
2002
On November 5, 2002, William L. Jenkins won re-election to the United States House. He ran unopposed in the general election.[14]
| U.S. House, Tennessee District 1 General Election, 2002 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | 98.8% | 127,300 | ||
| N/A | Write-in | 1.2% | 1,586 | |
| Total Votes | 128,886 | |||
2000
On November 7, 2000, William L. Jenkins won re-election to the United States House. He ran unopposed in the general election.[15]
| U.S. House, Tennessee District 1 General Election, 2000 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | 100% | 157,828 | ||
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 20 | |
| Total Votes | 157,848 | |||
Redistricting
2010-2011
- See also: Redistricting in Tennessee
In 2011, the Tennessee State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census. Tennessee did not lose or gain any seats in the redistricting process.[16]
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+28, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 28 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Tennessee's 1st Congressional District the sixth most Republican nationally.[17]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[18]
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Demographic data were added to this page in 2013. Ballotpedia will update this page in 2021 after data from the 2020 Census become available.
- ↑ Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.
- ↑ Tennessee Redistricting Map "Map" accessed July 30, 2012
- ↑ Tennessee Secretary of State, "Petitions Filed for Governor as of April 5, 2018," accessed April 6, 2018
- ↑ Information submitted to Ballotpedia via email on June 28, 2018
- ↑ Tennessee Secretary of State, "Candidate Petitions Filed as of April 7, 2016 Noon Qualifying Deadline," accessed April 8, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Tennessee House Primaries Results," August 4, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Tennessee"
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Associated Press, "First up for Tennessee lawmakers: 'Divisive' redistricting," January 10, 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018