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Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 2, 2020
Primary: May 12, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Don Bacon (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Central time zone); 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. (Mountain time zone)
Voting in Nebraska
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd
Nebraska elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

Incumbent Don Bacon (R) defeated Kara Eastman (D) and Tyler Schaeffer (L) in the general election for the 2nd Congressional District of Nebraska on November 3, 2020.

The race was one of 56 U.S. House rematches from 2018. In 2018, Bacon defeated Eastman, receiving 51% of the vote to Eastman's 49%. Bacon defeated incumbent Brad Ashford (D) in 2016, 49% to 48%.

On October 7, Roll Call listed Bacon as the 2020 election cycle's most vulnerable representative, citing Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden's 7-point lead in a recent poll of the district's voters and spending by national Democrats.[1] As of October 8, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee had each spent $1.2 million in the district.[2]

The outcome of this race affected partisan control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 117th Congress. All 435 seats in the House were up for election. At the time of the election, Democrats had a 232 to 198 majority over Republicans. The Libertarian Party had one seat. Four seats were vacant. Democrats defended 30 districts Donald Trump (R) won in 2016. Republicans defended five districts Hillary Clinton (D) won in 2016.


Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District is located in the eastern portion of the state and includes Douglas County and part of Sarpy County.[3]

This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.


Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 52.3 46.2
Republican candidate Republican Party 45.7 50.8
Difference 6.6 4.6

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Nebraska modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Mail-in ballots were sent to all registered voters in the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 2

Incumbent Don Bacon defeated Kara Eastman and Tyler Schaeffer in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Don Bacon
Don Bacon (R)
 
50.8
 
171,071
Image of Kara Eastman
Kara Eastman (D)
 
46.2
 
155,706
Tyler Schaeffer (L)
 
3.0
 
10,185

Total votes: 336,962
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2

Kara Eastman defeated Ann Ashford and Gladys Harrison in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2 on May 12, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kara Eastman
Kara Eastman
 
62.2
 
45,953
Image of Ann Ashford
Ann Ashford
 
31.2
 
23,059
Gladys Harrison
 
6.7
 
4,920

Total votes: 73,932
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2

Incumbent Don Bacon defeated Paul Anderson in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2 on May 12, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Don Bacon
Don Bacon
 
90.6
 
68,531
Paul Anderson
 
9.4
 
7,106

Total votes: 75,637
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2

Tyler Schaeffer advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2 on May 12, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Tyler Schaeffer
 
100.0
 
964

Total votes: 964
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[4] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.


Image of Don Bacon

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

U.S. House (Assumed office: 2017)

Biography:  Bacon received a degree in political science from Northern Illinois University and master's degrees from the University of Phoenix and the National War College. He served in the U.S. Air Force from 1985 to 2014 and retired as a Brigadier General. Bacon served as an assistant professor at Bellevue University, where he taught courses on leadership and American values. In 2009, he was selected as Europe’s top Air Force Wing Commander. Bacon also worked for Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R-Neb.) as his military advisor.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Bacon's campaign ads said he had one of the most bipartisan records and that his accomplishments included combating extremism, standing for law enforcement and supporting better training, passing a bill to manufacture more masks, and securing funding for low-income housing.


Bacon said, "I believe there’s enough anger and hate in Washington, D.C. I believe in a better way. We can disagree without being disrespectful, we can stand up for our beliefs and defend the right of others to do the same, and we can recognize that there is far more that unites us than divides us."


Bacon said Eastman's healthcare plan was too extreme for Democrats and that his plan would improve healthcare by funding COVID-19 vaccine research and lowering drug costs and premiums.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Nebraska District 2 in 2020.

Image of Kara Eastman

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Metropolitan Community College Board of Governors (2015-2019)

Biography:  Eastman received a bachelor's degree in sociology and English from Pitzer College and a master's in clinical social work from Loyola University. She founded the nonprofit Omaha Healthy Kids Alliance in 2006. Eastman was a board member of the Nonprofit Association of the Midlands and was an appointed member of the Mayor of Omaha's Fair Housing Advisory Board. As of the 2020 election, she was president of Kara Eastman Partners, a nonprofit consulting business.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Eastman emphasized her background in nonprofit work and on the Board of Governors of Metropolitan Community College, saying she served local communities by helping create housing for children, creating jobs, and strengthening nondiscrimination policies. 


Eastman said she was running for Congress "because our healthcare is a mess. Politicians and special interests are only making it worse."


Eastman said Bacon, along with Trump, supported tax cuts for billionaires, was too extreme, and wanted to cut Social Security and healthcare. She said Bacon received donations from drug and insurance industries and criticized him for saying "hell yes" to repealing the Affordable Care Act in 2017.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Nebraska District 2 in 2020.

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District 2020, general election polls
Poll Date Republican Party Bacon Democratic Party Eastman Libertarian Party Schaeffer Undecided/Other Margin of error Sample size Sponsor
New York Times/Siena College Sept. 25-27 45% 43% 3% 9% ± 5.3 420 --


Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[5] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[6] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Don Bacon Republican Party $3,790,455 $3,755,144 $85,039 As of December 31, 2020
Kara Eastman Democratic Party $4,524,583 $4,578,199 $29,232 As of December 31, 2020
Tyler Schaeffer Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+4, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District the 204th most Republican nationally.[7]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.05. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.05 points toward that party.[8]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt DemocraticToss-upToss-upToss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanToss-upToss-upLean Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.

Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available.

Noteworthy endorsements
Endorsement Bacon (R) Eastman (D)
Elected officials
President Donald Trump (R)
Gov. Pete Ricketts (R)
Sen./Vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris (D-Calif.)
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.)[13]
State Sen. John McCollister (R)[14]
Individuals
Former 2nd District Rep. Brad Ashford (D)[15][16]
Former President Barack Obama (D)
2020 Democratic presidential nominee/Former Vice President Joe Biden
2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee Bob Krist
Former Sen. (I-Conn.) and former Democratic vice presidential nominee Joe Lieberman
Former Rep. Jim Moran (D-Va.)
Former Nebraska Democratic Party Executive Director Barry Rubin

Timeline

2020


Campaign advertisements

This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Don Bacon

Supporting Bacon

"Real Bipartisan Leadership" - Bacon ad, released October 23, 2020
"Hear from LaVon" - Bacon ad, released October 19, 2020
"Hell Yes" - Bacon ad, released October 12, 2020
"Angie" - Bacon ad, released September 30, 2020
"Nebraska Way" - Bacon ad, released September 22, 2020
"Tom and Vicki" - Bacon ad, released September 3, 2020
"A Safer Future" - Bacon ad, released July 30, 2020
"Leaders Step Forward" - Bacon ad, released July 16, 2020

Opposing Eastman

"Bullhorn" - Bacon ad, released October 6, 2020
"Too Progressive" - National Republican Congressional Committee/Bacon ad, released September 15, 2020
"Trust" - Bacon ad, released September 8, 2020
"Best Friends" - Bacon ad, released August 25, 2020

Democratic Party Kara Eastman

Opposing Bacon

"Kara Eastman for Congress" - Eastman ad, released August 15, 2020
"Don Bacon voted 'Hell Yes' to cutting Nebraskans' healthcare." - Eastman ad, released April 1, 2020

Satellite group ads

Opposing Eastman

"All Alone" - National Republican Congressional Committee ad, released October 27, 2020
"Beatles" - Congressional Leadership Fund ad, released September 24, 2020
"Very Very Expensive" - National Republican Congressional Committee ad, released September 22, 2020

Opposing Bacon

"Harder" - Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee ad, released October 13, 2020
"Yes Yes Hell Yes" - Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee ad, released September 17, 2020
"Truth About Bacon" - Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee ad, released September 9, 2020

Debates and forums

October 12, 2020

3 News Now and the Omaha World-Herald co-hosted a debate. View the video here.

October 7, 2020

NET News hosted a debate. View the video here.

Campaign themes

See also: Campaign themes

Republican Party Don Bacon

As of October 30, 2020, Bacon's campaign website did not contain a section detailing campaign themes.[19]

His website RealBaconRecord.com featured videos discussing healthcare.

Bacon said upon filing for re-election in January 2020, "The 2020 election will have lasting repercussions for our district, state, and nation. ... I believe we can work together to find solutions to the issues we all care about, like lowering healthcare costs, strengthening our national security against growing threats, and reforming immigration. We share the same priorities, and our team has a great track record of success. I'm grateful for the chance to represent this district again."[20]


Democratic Party Kara Eastman

Eastman’s campaign website stated the following:

HEALTHCARE

I believe that healthcare is a human right and that no one in the United States should have to choose between seeking medical care and putting food on the table. Ninety-two percent of Americans favor lower prescription drug prices and over 70% favor importing medicine from Canada. The federal government is slated to spend over $34 trillion on healthcare over the next decade. Transforming our healthcare system would save the government over $2 trillion over that same period. It would increase efficiencies, reduce overhead costs, allow individuals to choose their provider instead of having to stay in network, eliminate premiums and deductibles, and free employers from having to administer healthcare plans.

Priorities:

  • We must dramatically cut drug prices and make sure that the U.S. pays no more for prescription drugs than other major countries.
  • All Americans must have medical care and insurance.
  • I believe we need to improve medical care for all seniors.

JOBS AND THE ECONOMY

We have a $2 trillion investment gap in infrastructure, and we must restore our global competitive advantage through public-private partnerships and large investments in infrastructure to provide well-paying jobs across our country. I fully support Davis-Bacon wages on these kinds of federal projects. We also must raise the minimum wage and continue to foster trades programs within our community college system. I support economic opportunities that combat climate change as a way to create great jobs locally and invest in energy efficient housing. We must expand lending opportunities from credit unions and lower interest rates to small businesses, especially those in blighted communities, which in turn create jobs. We must ensure that all our citizens can achieve the American dream.

Priorities:

  • We need to establish a livable wage for American workers.
  • I support our unions, and I’m against so-called right to work laws, because they lower wages and hurt the collective bargaining power of unions.
  • I favor expanding business and investment opportunities for people of color.

IMMIGRATION

NE-CD2 has over 100,000 immigrants who contribute to key sectors of our economy and help build the fabric of our diverse community. The current administration’s policies of separating families, imprisoning babies without access to basic needs, and rounding up hard-working immigrants is immoral and un-American. They are more concerned with scoring political points with their base than they are with border security. Now is the time for us to make significant investments in smart technology, work-force development, and foreign aid. Other solutions that transform our immigration system include hiring more immigration judges and fully staffing ports of entry. We must make law-abiding Dreamers citizens and ensure that immigrants who follow the law can earn a lawful presence in our country.

INCOME INEQUALITY

The World Bank puts our income inequality on par with some of the poorest and unequal nations in the world. This is dangerous for our economy and damaging to our collective sense of morality. The GOP Tax Plan was a clear hand-out to the very wealthy and large corporations that simply do not need welfare. It was shown to have raised taxes on the middle class and exempted those who can afford to pay their fair share - this is not fiscal responsibility. We need to ensure that all Americans have a livable wage, are not drowning in student loans and healthcare costs, have healthy, affordable housing, and have a way to care for their children while they go to work. We also need to regulate banks and Wall Street and tax financial transactions to help pay down our debt.

Priorities:

  • Social security should not be seen as an entitlement program; it’s an earned benefit. And it’s a system that people rely on for retirement, so the cap must be raised in the short term or simply eliminated.
  • We need to get back to regulating banks and investment firms.
  • With effective and targeted regulation, we’re able to generate revenue to pay down our debt, which is well over $20 trillion today. Then, corporations pay their fair share.

VETERANS

The Department of Veterans Affairs will have to serve well over 4 million veterans in the next 20 years. One trillion dollars of the costs of our post-9/11 wars are directly tied to healthcare for vets. I support ensuring the VA provides timely, high quality healthcare, including dental care, to veterans. I also support programs that address some of the unmet needs of veterans such as education, mental health, and housing.

Priorities:

  • I will work so that all of the vacancies at the VA are filled. We must ensure that the VA has the doctors, nurses, and medical professionals it requires to give veterans the care they need.
  • I believe we must guarantee comprehensive dental care as a health care benefit to all former servicemembers.
  • Because suicide is such a serious issue for our men and women in uniform, we should greatly expand access to VA mental health and suicide prevention services.

WOMEN’S RIGHTS AND FAMILY ISSUES

I trust women to make decisions about their own health and about their families, and I support the ideal of reproductive justice. I believe that access to birth control is a fundamental right of privacy in the United States. Pre-K schooling must be available to all, so that parents are able to provide their children with a quality early education. I also passionately support family leave and paid sick days as well as equal pay for women. In addition, there must be public and private investments in childcare to ensure these kinds of services are accessible to all.

Priorities:

  • We must ensure that family leave and paid sick days are a part of our economic system.
  • I will champion pay equity for women.
  • I will work tirelessly to address racial disparities in the American healthcare system.

RESTORING OUR DEMOCRACY

I support a government which is efficient and transparent. The current administration has too many ties to large corporations, not to mention business arrangements with some of our foreign adversaries. Similarly, my Republican opponent accepts a great deal of corporate PAC money from special interests. This is wrong, and I will not accept corporate PAC dollars. I also think “dark” money should not be allowed to corrupt our elections. Therefore, I stand against the 2010 Supreme Court decision Citizens United. Gerrymandering must be ended, and citizen commissions should draw fair, non-partisan districts. Participation in our electoral democracy must be increased through automatic voter registration and by ending voter suppression tactics. Finally, I have seen how difficult it is for candidates who do not come from wealth to raise funds and want to move toward public funding of federal election campaigns.

RACIAL AND SOCIAL JUSTICE

Read our Racial Justice Plan

I have spent my career fighting for racial and social justice, running nonprofit organizations that center on empowering communities of color. In Omaha, I have focused my work on jobs creation and economic and community development, specifically in North and South Omaha. In Congress, I will work to repair the systemic inequalities people of color face in our district. This includes focusing on economic inequality, access to reliable transportation, healthy, affordable housing, debt-free education, and workforce development. This will also include reforming our criminal justice system by ending the school to prison pipeline, through bail reform and by the decriminalization of marijuana.

EDUCATION

I support debt-free tuition. This would lead to a dramatic lowering of costs for families making under $125,000 a year at all 4-yr. state colleges and universities. Community colleges should be accessible for everyone at virtually no cost (Tennessee already has pioneered this). In the short term, we must reduce student debt and challenge lenders who profit off student debt burden. Finally, I am against public funding of charter schools because they don’t uniformly outperform public schools, they aren’t all unionized, and oversight can be lax.

Priorities:

  • I believe education should not be defined by zip-code or socioeconomic status.
  • I support creating debt-free college pathways and improving workforce development.
  • I will work to expand the reach of existing Head Start programs so all children have access to public pre-K education.

ENVIRONMENT

Climate change is the number one moral and security threat our nation faces. We must reorient our environmental and economic policies to meet this incredible challenge and once again become a global leader in innovation and sustainability. Following the 2020 elections, we must get back into international agreements like the Paris Agreement and then aggressively update them to bring down carbon emissions. In the meantime, wind and solar must be harnessed as clean energy options, especially here in Nebraska. I will fight for a 50% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030, getting to net-zero by 2040, and a 100% clean energy plan for America.

Priorities:

  • If we care about future generations, we must transition to a 100% clean and renewable energy economy by 2040. This means investments in wind, solar and geothermal energy and upgrading buildings, homes, and public transportation systems.
  • We must retrain workers currently employed in the fossil fuel industry and invest in communities heavily impacted by the extraction economy so that no worker is left behind. At the same time, we will incentivize the creation of green jobs.
  • We must make sure unions have a prominent seat at the table as new employment opportunities become available.

FOREIGN POLICY

There are many senior level cabinet positions and diplomatic posts that have never been filled under the current administration. This, combined with the lack of funding for the State Department, puts our national security at extreme risk. We must engage in negotiation, diplomacy and alliance building in order to prevent unnecessary conflict in the world. The Iraq War cost us more than $3 trillion; close to another $3 trillion has been spent in Afghanistan, and now the President has torn up the Iran Nuclear Deal which puts us in jeopardy of starting another unaffordable, unnecessary war.

GUN SAFETY

As a mom, I am outraged by the lack of movement we have seen in the country on this issue. Groups like the NRA have commandeered the discussion. This is a public health menace, and common-sense solutions are supported by 85 to 90% of Americans. Universal background checks, mandatory waiting periods, smart technology, age requirements, and a ban on the sale of weapons of war would help ensure our children are not gunned down in their schools or playgrounds.

Priorities:

  • The vast majority of private sales (including gun shows and online) must fall under the existing background check umbrella.
  • We must end the gun show loophole. All gun purchases should be subject to the same background check standards.
  • I support raising the minimum age to buy a firearm to 21 years old. We need to keep guns out of the hands of young people, and this is a good way to do it.

FARMING/AGRICULTURE

When in Washington, I will demand that the new tariffs be rescinded and that Congress determine economic policy as set out in the Constitution. Plus, I do not believe that our nation’s farmers, who are on the losing end of an unnecessary tariff war, should have to get paid off to fund an economic conflict with China. In Nebraska, where one in four of our jobs are in the $4-7 billion agricultural sector, producers of soybeans and other commodities are being used like pawns. Looking toward the future, we must invest in regenerative farming practices and ensure that all Nebraskans have access to high quality, nutritious food.[21]

—Kara Eastman’s campaign website (2020)[22]

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of 93 Nebraska counties—1.08 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Thurston County, Nebraska 5.94% 13.91% 6.96%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Nebraska with 58.7 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 33.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1868 and 2016, Nebraska voted Republican 82 percent of the time and Democratic 18 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Nebraska voted Republican all five times.[23]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Senate districts in Nebraska. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[24][25]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 10 out of 49 state Senate districts in Nebraska with an average margin of victory of 26.2 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 12 out of 49 state Senate districts in Nebraska with an average margin of victory of 22.8 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 39 out of 49 state Senate districts in Nebraska with an average margin of victory of 31.1 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 37 out of 49 state Senate districts in Nebraska with an average margin of victory of 38.3 points. Trump won five districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


District election history

2018

See also: Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 2

Incumbent Don Bacon defeated Kara Eastman in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Don Bacon
Don Bacon (R)
 
51.0
 
126,715
Image of Kara Eastman
Kara Eastman (D) Candidate Connection
 
49.0
 
121,770

Total votes: 248,485
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2

Kara Eastman defeated Brad Ashford in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kara Eastman
Kara Eastman Candidate Connection
 
51.6
 
21,357
Image of Brad Ashford
Brad Ashford
 
48.4
 
19,998

Total votes: 41,355
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2

Incumbent Don Bacon advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 2 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Don Bacon
Don Bacon
 
100.0
 
33,852

Total votes: 33,852
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2016

See also: Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Don Bacon (R) defeated Democratic incumbent Brad Ashford and Steven Laird (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Bacon defeated Chip Maxwell to win the Republican primary, while Laird defeated Andy Shambaugh and Jeffrey Lynn Stein to win the Libertarian nomination. The primary elections took place on May 10, 2016.[26][27]

U.S. House, Nebraska District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDon Bacon 48.9% 141,066
     Democratic Brad Ashford Incumbent 47.7% 137,602
     Libertarian Steven Laird 3.3% 9,640
Total Votes 288,308
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State


U.S. House, Nebraska District 2 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDon Bacon 66% 32,328
Chip Maxwell 34% 16,677
Total Votes 49,005
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State
U.S. House, Nebraska District 2 Libertarian Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSteven Laird 46.2% 108
Andy Shambaugh 38% 89
Jeffrey Lynn Stein 15.8% 37
Total Votes 234
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State

2014

See also: Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Nebraska held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Brad Ashford (D) defeated incumbent Lee Terry (R) and Steven Laird (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Nebraska District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBrad Ashford 49% 83,872
     Republican Lee Terry Incumbent 45.7% 78,157
     Libertarian Steven Laird 5.3% 9,021
Total Votes 171,050
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Roll Call, "10 most vulnerable House members: GOP in suburbs, ‘blue wave’ Democrats," October 7, 2020
  2. Open Secrets, "Nebraska District 02 Race, Outside Spending," accessed October 8, 2020
  3. Nebraska Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 29, 2012
  4. Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
  5. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  6. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  7. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  8. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  9. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  11. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  12. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  13. Twitter, "Bernie Sanders on September 16, 2020," accessed October 12, 2020
  14. 14.0 14.1 Omaha World-Herald, "Kara Eastman receives endorsement from Sen. McCollister, Republican who called out Trump," October 9, 2020
  15. 15.0 15.1 Omaha World-Herald, "Republican Don Bacon wins endorsement of former rival, Democrat Brad Ashford," October 7, 2020
  16. Bacon defeated incumbent Ashford for the seat in 2016. Ashford ran again in 2018, losing to Eastman in the Democratic primary.
  17. Omaha World-Herald, "Thousands attend President Trump's rally in Omaha," October 27, 2020
  18. The New York Times, "NE020920 Crosstabs," September 25-27, 2020
  19. Don Bacon's 2020 campaign website, "Home," accessed September 30, 2020
  20. WOWT, "Don Bacon files for re-election," January 29, 2020
  21. Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  22. Kara Eastman’s campaign website, “Issues,” accessed September 30, 2020
  23. 270towin.com, "Nebraska," accessed July 30, 2017
  24. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  25. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  26. Nebraska Secretary of State, "Statewide Candidate List," March 2, 2016
  27. The New York Times, "Nebraska Primary Results," May 10, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Don Bacon (R)
District 3
Republican Party (5)