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Contributions per vote analysis of 2017 ballot measure campaigns

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In 2017, there were twenty-seven (27) statewide ballot measures on the ballot in nine states. A total of about $107.80 million was contributed to the campaigns surrounding these measures, with 94 percent of the contributions going to the campaigns surrounding the four citizen initiatives on the ballot: two in Ohio and two in Maine. Ohio Issue 2, the Drug Price Standards initiative, accounted for $77.4 million on its own.

One method for analyzing the effectiveness of campaigns is to look at the size of their funds relative to the number of votes their position received. This is a "contributions per votes" (CPV) amount. This report looks at the contributions per vote for each statewide measure in 2017.

For a full report on the campaign contributions surrounding 2017 ballot measures, click here.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • All four citizen initiatives had significant campaign spending in support and three of the four had significant campaign spending in opposition.
  • The support campaigns for three of these initiatives had the first, second, and fourth highest contributions per vote amounts in 2017; the third highest was for the campaign in opposition to Ohio Issue 2.
  • Of the measures that were not citizen initiatives, one—New York Proposal 1 (constitutional convention)—featured campaign contributions in both support and opposition, and four others had contributions to the support campaign.
  • The CPV for the support campaigns of each measure with significant campaign spending was higher than for the opposition campaign—including the four citizen initiatives.
  • The difference between support and opposition CPV's for the four initiatives ranged from $5.5 to $161.45; two support campaigns won, and two lost.
  • Initiatives

    The measures listed in this section were put on the ballot through citizen signature petition campaigns to propose a new law.[1]

    The highest contributions per vote amount was for the campaign in support of Maine Question 1, an initiative to authorize a specific owner—Shawn Scott—to operate a casino or slot machines in York County, Maine. The campaign behind the initiative received $9.4 million in contributions and ultimately spent $8.57 million to get Question 1 on the ballot and try to get it approved. The measure ultimately received 57,538 votes (16.71 percent) in favor of it for a contributions-per-vote of $163.97 and spending per vote equal to $148.96. This campaign had CPV that was more than four times higher than the contributions per vote of the campaign with the next highest CPV. The campaign in support of this initiative spent $2.7 million on the signature petition drive alone, paying $43.97 for each signature required to put the measure on the ballot. This cost per required signature was eight times the average in 2016.

    Ohio Issue 2 Support logo

    Ohio Issue 2 stood out in 2017 as the most expensive measure battle of the year and the most expensive ballot measure battle in Ohio's history. It also ranked among the most expensive ballot

    Ohio Issue 2 Opposition logo

    measure battles ever outside of California. The support and opposition campaigns for Issue 2 also featured the second and third highest contributions-per-vote amounts in 2017. The support campaign received $18.3 million—99.99 percent of which came from the AIDS Healthcare Foundation—and lost, garnering 483,983 votes (20.83 percent). The opposition campaign received $59.1 million—all of which came from the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) and a subsidiary of PhRMA—and won, garnering 1,837,608 votes (79.15 percent).

    A chart showing the four citizen initiatives, the outcomes of the measures, and the CPV for both the support and opposition campaigns is below:

    Measure Status Support Opposition Difference
    Maine Question 1: Casino Initiative
    Defeatedd
    $163.97 $2.52 $161.45
    Maine Question 2: Medicaid Expansion
    Approveda
    $13.15 $3.02 $10.13
    Ohio Issue 1: Marsy's Law
    Approveda
    $5.50 $0.00 $5.50
    Ohio Issue 2: Drug Price
    Defeatedd
    $37.79 $32.18 $5.61

    The data used to calculate the contributions per vote information above is in the chart below. Click [show] to expand the data.

    Legislative and automatic referrals

    The measures listed below were put on the ballot by the state legislature or automatically required by a state law or the state constitution. These types of measures usually generate less campaign spending than initiatives and veto referendums.

    Besides the citizen initiatives that were on the ballot, which all had active support and opposition campaign spending, five measures had campaigns in support or opposition that received contributions and made expenditures. The other measures of this type had no campaign finance data and, therefore, had no contributions per vote

    Measure Status Support Opposition Difference
    Louisiana Amendment 1: Property Taxes Exemption
    Approveda
    $2.01 $0.00 $2.01
    Maine Question 1: Business Stimulus Bond Issue
    Approveda
    $1.89 $0.00 $1.89
    New York Proposal 1: Constitutional Convention Question
    Defeatedd
    $1.69 $1.47 $0.22
    Texas Proposition 2: Home Equity Loans
    Approveda
    $1.03 $0.00 $1.03
    Texas Proposition 7: Prizes to Promote Savings
    Approveda
    $0.93 $0.00 $0.93

    The data used to calculate the contributions per vote information above is in the chart below. Click [show] to expand the data.

    Comparison to 2016

    Ballotpedia did a CPV analysis for 2016 as well, which featured 76 citizen-initiated measures and a total of 162 statewide ballot measures.[2]

    Support

    The highest CPV amount for a campaign supporting a ballot measure was $35.30. The campaign was Nevadans for Background Checks, which backed Nevada Question 1, and it raised $19,720,674.58. The measure was narrowly approved with 558,631 votes.

    The following table illustrates the support campaigns with the highest CPV amounts. Five of the six are ballot initiatives and one, Rhode Island Question 1, is a legislative referral. Click [show] to expand.

    Opposition

    The highest CPV amount for a campaign opposing a ballot measure was for No On Measure 97, which opposed Oregon Measure 97. With a CPV of $24.07, the "No" campaign raised $28,038,124 and received 1,164,658 votes.

    The following table illustrates the opposition campaigns with the highest CPV amounts. All five are ballot initiatives. Click [show] to expand.

    Difference

    The greatest difference between the CPV amounts of support and oppositions campaigns for the same measure is for Nevada Question 1, which was approved. Supporters had a CPV of $35.30, and opponents had a CPV of $12.08. The difference between the two scores was $23.22.

    The following table illustrates the largest differences between the CPV amounts of support and opposition campaigns. Only measures that had both support and opposition campaigns are included. All five measures are ballot initiatives. Click [show] to expand.

    See also

    Foot notes

    1. There were no statewide veto referendums—measures put on the ballot through a citizen signature petition to challenge a law passed by the legislature instead of proposing a new law—on the ballot in 2017.
    2. The data for 2016 is from a report released by Ballotpedia in December 2016. A number of states still had one more filing deadline at that time, meaning the CPV amounts could have increased slightly."