Andrea Townsend (Oregon)
Andrea Townsend (Pacific Green Party) ran for election to the U.S. House to represent Oregon's 5th Congressional District. Townsend lost in the general election on November 5, 2024.
2024 battleground election
Ballotpedia identified the November 5, general election as a battleground race. The summary below is from our coverage of this election, found here.
Janelle Bynum (D) defeated incumbent Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) and three other candidates in the general election for Oregon's 5th Congressional District on Nov. 5, 2024.
Chavez-DeRemer was one of 15 incumbents who lost their re-election campaigns to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2024. Additionally, this was one of 19 seats that changed partisan control due to the 2024 U.S. House of Representatives elections.
The district was one of 19 Republican-held U.S. House districts up for election in 2024 that Biden won in the 2020 presidential election. Biden won the district by 8.8 percentage points that year. Democratic lawmakers represented the district from 1997 until 2023, when Chavez-DeRemer assumed office after winning the 2022 general election by 2.1 percentage points.[1] Before the election, Central Oregon Daily News’ Claire Rush and Hallie Golden wrote, "Democrats hold a slight advantage in voter registration in the 5th, but roughly a third of voters are unaffiliated, and the two candidates [had] sought to appeal to the district's purple hue."[2]
This was the third rematch between Chavez-DeRemer and Bynum. Bynum defeated Chavez-DeRemer twice to represent District 51 in the Oregon House of Representatives. In 2016, Bynum defeated Chavez-DeRemer 51% to 49%. In 2018, Bynum defeated Chavez-DeRemer 54% to 46%. OPB's Bryce Dole wrote that those elections were in "a much smaller, suburban area around Happy Valley in Clackamas County."[3]
Before the election, four major election forecasters differed in their ratings for the general election, with two rating it Toss-up, one rating it Tilt Democratic, and one rating it Lean Democratic.
Chavez-DeRemer served as the Mayor of Happy Valley, Oregon, from 2011 to 2018 and as a Happy Valley City Council member from 2005 to 2010.[4] Before she ran for public office, Chavez-DeRemer owned Anesthesia Associates Northwest and Evolve Health medical clinics and served on the Happy Valley Parks Committee.[5][4]
Chavez-DeRemer said she decided to run for Congress because "Oregonians were growing increasingly frustrated that politicians weren't doing more to fix these worsening crises, and I saw the harmful impact the issues had on our homes, schools, and businesses."[6] She also said that she would prioritize bipartisanship because "that's what the 5th District expects and deserves from their Representative."[6]
Bynum was elected to represent District 39 in the state House in 2022 after she defeated Kori Haynes (R) 55% to 45%. She previously represented District 51 from 2017 to 2023. Her professional experience included owning a McDonald's franchise.[7]
On her reason for running, Bynum said, "I ran for state legislature because I wanted to level the playing field for every Oregon resident, and I am running for Congress to do the same for those in Oregon's 5th district and for Americans in every corner of our country."[8] She also said that, "bipartisan and productive communications with all leaders, at all levels of government, is a crucial first step for making progress on the issues that matter most to Oregonians and the Fifth District."[8]
According to Lewis and Clark College Prof. Ben Gaskins, the two candidates took different approaches to messaging.[9] Bynum focused on national issues such as abortion and Chavez-DeRemer's endorsement of former President Donald Trump (R) in the 2024 presidential election.[9] Chavez-DeRemer focused on local issues such as the economy and Bynum's legislative record on public safety.[9]
Based on third quarter reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Chavez-DeRemer raised $5.7 million and spent $5.1 million and Bynum raised $6.4 million and spent $5.9 million. To review campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.
Brett Smith (Independent Party), Sonja Feintech (L), and Andrea Townsend (Pacific Green Party) also ran in the general election.
Elections
2024
See also: Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2024
Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Republican primary)
Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Oregon District 5
Janelle Bynum defeated incumbent Lori Chavez-DeRemer, Brett Smith, Sonja Feintech, and Andrea Townsend in the general election for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Janelle Bynum (D) | 47.7 | 191,365 |
 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) | 45.0 | 180,420 | |
 | Brett Smith (Independent Party)  | 4.7 | 18,665 | |
 | Sonja Feintech (L) | 1.5 | 6,193 | |
| Andrea Townsend (Pacific Green Party) | 1.0 | 4,155 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 495 | ||
| Total votes: 401,293 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Andrew Aasen (No Party Affiliation)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5
Janelle Bynum defeated Jamie McLeod-Skinner in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on May 21, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Janelle Bynum | 69.4 | 55,473 |
 | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | 29.9 | 23,905 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.6 | 510 | ||
| Total votes: 79,888 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Kevin Easton (D)
- Lynn Peterson (D)
- Cameron Pahl (D)
- Matthew Davie (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5
Incumbent Lori Chavez-DeRemer advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on May 21, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 98.2 | 54,458 |
| Other/Write-in votes | 1.8 | 1,009 | ||
| Total votes: 55,467 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[10] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[11] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lori Chavez-DeRemer | Republican Party | $6,092,659 | $5,748,786 | $353,334 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Janelle Bynum | Democratic Party | $7,524,632 | $7,479,499 | $45,133 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Jamie McLeod-Skinner | Democratic Party | $438,831 | $196,531 | $242,301 | As of December 31, 2023 |
| Brett Smith | Independent Party | $8,727 | $7,907 | $820 | As of September 30, 2024 |
| Sonja Feintech | Libertarian Party | $4,654 | $4,646 | $8 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Andrea Townsend | Pacific Green Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[12][13]
If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[14]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[15]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[16][17][18]
| Race ratings: Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Democratic | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Endorsements
Ballotpedia did not identify endorsements for Townsend in this election.
Campaign themes
2024
Ballotpedia survey responses
See also: Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection
Andrea Townsend did not complete Ballotpedia's 2024 Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance summary
Note: The finance data shown here comes from the disclosures required of candidates and parties. Depending on the election or state, this may represent only a portion of all the funds spent on their behalf. Satellite spending groups may or may not have expended funds related to the candidate or politician on whose page you are reading this disclaimer. Campaign finance data from elections may be incomplete. For elections to federal offices, complete data can be found at the FEC website. Click here for more on federal campaign finance law and here for more on state campaign finance law.
See also
2024 Elections
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Govtrack.us, "Historical List of Members of Congress," accessed September 10, 2024
- ↑ Central Oregon Daily News, "Bynum vs. Chavez-DeRemer among 2 NW Congressional races that could decide House control," October 14, 2024
- ↑ OPB, "In key Oregon swing district, US House candidates face uphill battle for moderate vote," May 23, 2024
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "Lori Chavez-DeRemer," accessed September 10, 2024
- ↑ Oregon Secretary of State, "Oregon Blue Book Almanac & Fact Book," accessed September 10, 2024
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 KATU News, "Know Your Candidates 2024: Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R), Congress, District 5," May 1, 2024
- ↑ Oregon State Legislature, "Representative Janelle Bynum," accessed September 10, 2024
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 KOIN 6, "In their words, candidates respond to a KOIN questionnaire," April 14,2024
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 AXIOS Portland, "How Oregon's 5th Congressional District could tip the House," September 5, 2024
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ Amee LaTour, Email correspondence with the Center for Responsive Politics, August 5, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
