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Virginia's 6th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Virginia's 6th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 26, 2020
Primary: June 23, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Ben Cline (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Virginia
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Virginia's 6th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
Virginia elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 6th Congressional District of Virginia, held elections in 2020.

In Virginia, political parties decide for themselves whether to nominate their candidates via primary or convention. In Virginia's 6th Congressional District, a Democratic convention was scheduled for May 9, 2020, and a Republican primary was scheduled to take place on June 23, 2020. The district's Democratic committee originally called for a primary to take place on June 23, 2020. The primary was canceled after no candidates filed for the race, allowing the district's Democratic committee to choose to hold a convention to nominate the Democratic candidate instead.

Incumbent Benjamin Lee Cline won election in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 6.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 26, 2020
June 23, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Ben Cline, who was first elected in 2018.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Virginia's 6th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 38.6 35.3
Republican candidate Republican Party 59.8 64.6
Difference 21.2 29.3

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Virginia modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Drop-boxes to return absentee and mail-in ballots were used for the general election. The witness requirement for absentee voting was suspended, and all absentee and mail-in ballots had prepaid return postage.
  • Voter registration: The state's voter registration deadline was extended from October 13, 2020, to October 15, 2020.[1]
  • Candidate filing procedures: Petition signature requirements for unaffiliated and minor-party candidates for federal office in Virginia were reduced as follows: 2,500 signatures for presidential candidates; 3,500 signatures for U.S. Senate candidates; and 350 signatures for U.S. House candidates. The filing deadline for unaffiliated and minor-party congressional candidates was extended to August 1.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Virginia District 6

Incumbent Benjamin Lee Cline defeated Nicholas Betts in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 6 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Benjamin Lee Cline
Benjamin Lee Cline (R)
 
64.6
 
246,606
Image of Nicholas Betts
Nicholas Betts (D) Candidate Connection
 
35.3
 
134,729
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
478

Total votes: 381,813
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Benjamin Lee Cline advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 6.

Green primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic convention

Democratic convention for U.S. House Virginia District 6

Nicholas Betts advanced from the Democratic convention for U.S. House Virginia District 6 on May 9, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Nicholas Betts
Nicholas Betts (D) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Five of 133 Virginia counties—3.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Buckingham County, Virginia 11.28% 2.43% 0.87%
Caroline County, Virginia 5.02% 8.24% 11.97%
Essex County, Virginia 2.14% 7.30% 10.35%
Nelson County, Virginia 5.59% 2.72% 9.15%
Westmoreland County, Virginia 7.14% 6.95% 10.24%

Note: Although it is highlighted in the map above, the city of Chesapeake is not considered a county and not included in our calculations as such.

In the 2016 presidential election, Virginia was a battleground state. Hillary Clinton (D) won Virginia with 49.7 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.4 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Virginia voted Democratic 56.67 percent of the time and Republican 43.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Virginia voted Democratic three times (2008, 2012, and 2016) and Republican two times (2000 and 2004).

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Virginia's 6th Congressional District the 100th most Republican nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Benjamin Lee Cline Republican Party $900,313 $680,286 $238,774 As of December 31, 2020
Nicholas Betts Democratic Party $59,690 $57,705 $0 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Virginia's 6th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 6th Congressional District candidates in Virginia in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Virginia, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Virginia 6th Congressional District Qualified party 1,000 Fixed number $3,480.00 2% of annual salary 3/26/2020 Source
Virginia 6th Congressional District Unaffiliated 350 Fixed number (reduced by court order) N/A N/A 8/1/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Virginia's 6th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Virginia District 6

Benjamin Lee Cline defeated Jennifer Lewis in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 6 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Benjamin Lee Cline
Benjamin Lee Cline (R)
 
59.7
 
167,957
Image of Jennifer Lewis
Jennifer Lewis (D)
 
40.2
 
113,133
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
287

Total votes: 281,377
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 6

Jennifer Lewis defeated Peter Volosin, Charlotte Moore, and Sergio Coppola in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 6 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jennifer Lewis
Jennifer Lewis
 
47.7
 
8,202
Image of Peter Volosin
Peter Volosin Candidate Connection
 
27.2
 
4,678
Image of Charlotte Moore
Charlotte Moore
 
18.5
 
3,175
Image of Sergio Coppola
Sergio Coppola
 
6.7
 
1,150

Total votes: 17,205
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 6

Benjamin Lee Cline advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 6 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Benjamin Lee Cline
Benjamin Lee Cline

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Virginia's 6th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Bob Goodlatte (R) defeated Kai Degner (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Goodlatte defeated Harry Griego in the Republican primary on June 14, 2016.[8][9]

U.S. House, Virginia District 6 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBob Goodlatte Incumbent 66.6% 225,471
     Democratic Kai Degner 33.1% 112,170
     N/A Write-in 0.2% 768
Total Votes 338,409
Source: Virginia Department of Elections


U.S. House, Virginia District 6 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngBob Goodlatte Incumbent 77.9% 18,993
Harry Griego 22.1% 5,383
Total Votes 24,376
Source: Virginia Department of Elections

2014

See also: Virginia's 6th Congressional District elections, 2014

Incumbent Bob Goodlatte won re-election in 2014. He defeated Libertarian Will Hammer and Green Party candidate Elaine Hildebrandt in the general election.

U.S. House, Virginia District 6 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBob Goodlatte Incumbent 74.5% 133,898
     Libertarian Will Hammer 12.3% 22,161
     Green Elaine Hildebrandt 11.9% 21,447
     N/A Write-in 1.2% 2,202
Total Votes 179,708
Source: Virginia Department of Elections

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. This change was not due to COVID-19. This deadline was extended after the state's voter registration website crashed.
  2. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  3. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. The New York Times, "Virginia Primary Results," June 14, 2016
  9. Virginia Department of Elections, "List of Candidates," accessed September 8, 2016


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Democratic Party (8)
Republican Party (5)