Utah's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 23
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 20
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 2 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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Utah's 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 19, 2020 |
Primary: June 30, 2020 (canceled) General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: John Curtis (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Utah |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Utah elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Utah, held elections in 2020.
Incumbent John Curtis won election in the general election for U.S. House Utah District 3.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican John Curtis, who was first elected in 2017.
As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Utah's 3rd Congressional District was located in the eastern portion of the state and included Carbon, Emery, Grand, San Juan, and Wasatch counties as well as portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties.[1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Utah modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: The third-party collection and return of absentee ballots was restricted to individuals residing in the same household as the voter.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Utah District 3
The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. House Utah District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | John Curtis (R) | 68.7 | 246,674 |
![]() | Devin Thorpe (D) ![]() | 26.8 | 96,067 | |
Daniel Clyde Cummings (Constitution Party) | 2.5 | 8,889 | ||
Thomas McNeill (United Utah Party) ![]() | 2.0 | 7,040 | ||
Trey Robinson (Independent) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.1 | 250 | ||
![]() | Jeremy Friedbaum (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 7 |
Total votes: 358,927 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Russel Fugal (Independent)
Democratic convention
Democratic convention for U.S. House Utah District 3
Devin Thorpe defeated Jared Lyle Anderson and Trey Robinson in the Democratic convention for U.S. House Utah District 3 on April 25, 2020.
Candidate | ||
Jared Lyle Anderson (D) ![]() | ||
Trey Robinson (D) ![]() | ||
✔ | ![]() | Devin Thorpe (D) ![]() |
![]() | ||||
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Republican convention
Republican convention for U.S. House Utah District 3
Incumbent John Curtis defeated Timothy Noel Aalders in the Republican convention for U.S. House Utah District 3 on April 25, 2020.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | John Curtis (R) |
![]() | Timothy Noel Aalders (R) |
![]() | ||||
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Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Utah. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Utah with 45.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 27.5 percent. Independent candidate and Utah native Evan McMullin received 21.5 percent of the vote, his strongest showing in a state. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Utah cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same timeframe, Utah supported Republican candidates more often than Democrats, 73.3 to 23.3 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Utah. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won seven out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 20.8 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 19 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 21.9 points. Clinton won six districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 68 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 54.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 56 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 30.7 points. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 9.42% | 89.03% | R+79.6 | 10.81% | 62.88% | R+52.1 | R |
2 | 9.49% | 88.76% | R+79.3 | 11.45% | 51.57% | R+40.1 | R |
3 | 12.34% | 85.57% | R+73.2 | 15.18% | 48.43% | R+33.2 | R |
4 | 22.96% | 73.62% | R+50.7 | 30.29% | 33.77% | R+3.5 | R |
5 | 10.92% | 87.18% | R+76.3 | 13.60% | 51.67% | R+38.1 | R |
6 | 10.18% | 87.91% | R+77.7 | 13.94% | 48.70% | R+34.8 | R |
7 | 22.58% | 75.17% | R+52.6 | 24.95% | 47.41% | R+22.5 | R |
8 | 32.39% | 64.89% | R+32.5 | 33.89% | 42.27% | R+8.4 | R |
9 | 30.35% | 67.18% | R+36.8 | 29.16% | 46.44% | R+17.3 | R |
10 | 34.81% | 62.01% | R+27.2 | 37.00% | 38.57% | R+1.6 | R |
11 | 24.47% | 73.17% | R+48.7 | 25.28% | 48.10% | R+22.8 | R |
12 | 20.44% | 77.27% | R+56.8 | 20.63% | 52.90% | R+32.3 | R |
13 | 19.95% | 77.67% | R+57.7 | 20.41% | 47.72% | R+27.3 | R |
14 | 21.75% | 75.91% | R+54.2 | 21.48% | 44.83% | R+23.4 | R |
15 | 13.20% | 85.22% | R+72 | 15.05% | 49.86% | R+34.8 | R |
16 | 22.55% | 75.36% | R+52.8 | 24.02% | 47.62% | R+23.6 | R |
17 | 15.44% | 82.73% | R+67.3 | 18.65% | 44.09% | R+25.4 | R |
18 | 14.51% | 83.99% | R+69.5 | 18.83% | 43.66% | R+24.8 | R |
19 | 19.24% | 78.78% | R+59.5 | 23.75% | 40.60% | R+16.8 | R |
20 | 21.05% | 77.07% | R+56 | 25.91% | 40.61% | R+14.7 | R |
21 | 27.07% | 70.44% | R+43.4 | 24.26% | 47.55% | R+23.3 | R |
22 | 37.41% | 59.20% | R+21.8 | 35.79% | 35.31% | D+0.5 | D |
23 | 56.84% | 39.68% | D+17.2 | 59.42% | 21.08% | D+38.3 | D |
24 | 61.48% | 33.07% | D+28.4 | 68.79% | 16.04% | D+52.8 | D |
25 | 69.65% | 23.70% | D+45.9 | 74.08% | 11.49% | D+62.6 | D |
26 | 60.94% | 32.81% | D+28.1 | 64.98% | 19.07% | D+45.9 | D |
27 | 6.44% | 92.24% | R+85.8 | 11.91% | 56.88% | R+45 | R |
28 | 54.60% | 41.73% | D+12.9 | 64.09% | 18.31% | D+45.8 | D |
29 | 13.06% | 85.33% | R+72.3 | 14.40% | 58.81% | R+44.4 | R |
30 | 36.99% | 60.36% | R+23.4 | 38.48% | 33.65% | D+4.8 | R |
31 | 43.06% | 54.05% | R+11 | 43.41% | 31.30% | D+12.1 | D |
32 | 27.09% | 70.42% | R+43.3 | 31.20% | 42.83% | R+11.6 | R |
33 | 44.21% | 52.69% | R+8.5 | 44.63% | 31.45% | D+13.2 | R |
34 | 39.64% | 57.37% | R+17.7 | 41.60% | 31.42% | D+10.2 | D |
35 | 51.49% | 44.22% | D+7.3 | 55.00% | 24.81% | D+30.2 | D |
36 | 42.19% | 54.94% | R+12.7 | 49.52% | 26.90% | D+22.6 | D |
37 | 40.42% | 56.67% | R+16.3 | 45.86% | 31.84% | D+14 | D |
38 | 37.19% | 59.58% | R+22.4 | 37.41% | 33.31% | D+4.1 | R |
39 | 35.46% | 61.95% | R+26.5 | 36.62% | 35.54% | D+1.1 | R |
40 | 50.87% | 45.38% | D+5.5 | 56.43% | 22.35% | D+34.1 | D |
41 | 16.24% | 81.72% | R+65.5 | 18.41% | 49.31% | R+30.9 | R |
42 | 23.97% | 73.84% | R+49.9 | 27.04% | 39.88% | R+12.8 | R |
43 | 30.88% | 66.58% | R+35.7 | 32.50% | 37.41% | R+4.9 | R |
44 | 37.44% | 59.36% | R+21.9 | 40.71% | 33.05% | D+7.7 | R |
45 | 34.33% | 62.63% | R+28.3 | 37.99% | 35.99% | D+2 | R |
46 | 41.80% | 55.26% | R+13.5 | 47.04% | 32.01% | D+15 | D |
47 | 29.03% | 68.70% | R+39.7 | 30.89% | 39.06% | R+8.2 | R |
48 | 8.85% | 89.34% | R+80.5 | 15.28% | 49.21% | R+33.9 | R |
49 | 33.11% | 64.55% | R+31.4 | 37.68% | 38.47% | R+0.8 | R |
50 | 18.79% | 79.57% | R+60.8 | 23.63% | 43.95% | R+20.3 | R |
51 | 22.76% | 75.35% | R+52.6 | 27.60% | 46.79% | R+19.2 | R |
52 | 18.13% | 79.66% | R+61.5 | 20.72% | 46.22% | R+25.5 | R |
53 | 24.78% | 72.98% | R+48.2 | 28.04% | 53.13% | R+25.1 | R |
54 | 36.66% | 60.93% | R+24.3 | 39.86% | 41.21% | R+1.3 | R |
55 | 8.36% | 90.17% | R+81.8 | 7.51% | 77.30% | R+69.8 | R |
56 | 8.26% | 89.97% | R+81.7 | 12.12% | 51.01% | R+38.9 | R |
57 | 8.06% | 90.22% | R+82.2 | 12.76% | 53.20% | R+40.4 | R |
58 | 9.98% | 88.32% | R+78.3 | 10.13% | 66.35% | R+56.2 | R |
59 | 10.79% | 87.00% | R+76.2 | 15.98% | 48.16% | R+32.2 | R |
60 | 10.30% | 87.22% | R+76.9 | 16.52% | 47.59% | R+31.1 | R |
61 | 13.38% | 84.32% | R+70.9 | 18.52% | 43.41% | R+24.9 | R |
62 | 13.30% | 85.02% | R+71.7 | 13.61% | 71.08% | R+57.5 | R |
63 | 11.11% | 86.48% | R+75.4 | 18.77% | 31.71% | R+12.9 | R |
64 | 14.96% | 81.98% | R+67 | 21.07% | 38.70% | R+17.6 | R |
65 | 9.38% | 88.79% | R+79.4 | 13.36% | 54.10% | R+40.7 | R |
66 | 8.98% | 89.30% | R+80.3 | 11.64% | 58.71% | R+47.1 | R |
67 | 9.57% | 88.60% | R+79 | 10.46% | 62.32% | R+51.9 | R |
68 | 15.24% | 82.39% | R+67.2 | 14.03% | 62.30% | R+48.3 | R |
69 | 26.06% | 71.16% | R+45.1 | 20.44% | 66.97% | R+46.5 | R |
70 | 15.90% | 81.72% | R+65.8 | 14.64% | 71.90% | R+57.3 | R |
71 | 14.57% | 83.10% | R+68.5 | 14.76% | 69.24% | R+54.5 | R |
72 | 13.87% | 83.89% | R+70 | 15.11% | 63.65% | R+48.5 | R |
73 | 24.42% | 73.56% | R+49.1 | 23.16% | 62.62% | R+39.5 | R |
74 | 17.87% | 80.76% | R+62.9 | 20.14% | 66.98% | R+46.8 | R |
75 | 13.77% | 84.32% | R+70.6 | 15.58% | 68.95% | R+53.4 | R |
Total | 24.75% | 72.79% | R+48 | 27.46% | 45.54% | R+18.1 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+25, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 25 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Utah's 3rd Congressional District the 16th most Republican nationally.[4]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.06. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.06 points toward that party.[5]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]
Race ratings: Utah's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 3rd Congressional District candidates in Utah in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Utah, click here.
Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
Utah | 3rd Congressional District | Qualified party | 7,000 | Fixed number | $485.00 | Fixed number | 3/19/2020 (declaration of candidacy); petitions due two weeks before party convention | Source |
Utah | 3rd Congressional District | Unaffiliated | 300 | Fixed number | $485.00 | Fixed number | 3/19/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Utah District 3
Incumbent John Curtis defeated James Singer, Gregory Duerden, and Tim Zeidner in the general election for U.S. House Utah District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | John Curtis (R) | 67.5 | 174,856 |
![]() | James Singer (D) | 27.3 | 70,686 | |
![]() | Gregory Duerden (Independent American Party) | 2.6 | 6,686 | |
Tim Zeidner (United Utah Party) | 2.6 | 6,630 |
Total votes: 258,858 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Melanie McCoard (Independent)
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. James Singer advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Utah District 3.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Utah District 3
Incumbent John Curtis defeated Christopher Herrod in the Republican primary for U.S. House Utah District 3 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | John Curtis | 73.3 | 66,404 |
![]() | Christopher Herrod | 26.7 | 24,158 |
Total votes: 90,562 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Chia-Chi Teng (R)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Jason Chaffetz (R) defeated Stephen Tryon (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Chaffetz defeated Chia-Chi Teng in the Republican primary on June 28, 2016.[10][11]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
73.5% | 209,589 | |
Democratic | Stephen Tryon | 26.5% | 75,716 | |
Total Votes | 285,305 | |||
Source: Utah Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
78.6% | 47,439 | ||
Chia-Chi Teng | 21.4% | 12,922 | ||
Total Votes | 60,361 | |||
Source: Utah Lieutenant Governor |
2014
Incumbent Jason Chaffetz won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Brian Wonnacott, Zack Strong, Ben Mates and Stephen Tryon (I) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
72.3% | 102,952 | |
Democratic | Brian Wonnacott | 22.5% | 32,059 | |
Independent American | Zack Strong | 2.2% | 3,192 | |
Independent | Ben Mates | 1.1% | 1,513 | |
Independent | Stephen Tryon | 1.8% | 2,584 | |
Total Votes | 142,300 | |||
Source: Utah Lieutenant Governor, "Elections," |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Utah Secretary of State, "2016 Candidate Filings," accessed March 19, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Utah," June 28, 2016