Utah's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Utah's 2nd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 19, 2020
Primary: June 30, 2020 (canceled)
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Chris Stewart (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Utah
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Utah's 2nd Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th
Utah elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Utah, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Chris Stewart won election in the general election for U.S. House Utah District 2.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 19, 2020
June 30, 2020 (canceled)
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Chris Stewart, who was first elected in 2012.

As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Utah's 2nd Congressional District was located in the western portion of the state. It included Beaver, Garfield, Iron, Kane, Millard, Piute, Sevier, Tooele, Washington, and Wayne counties and sections of Davis, Juab, Salt Lake, and Sanpete counties.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Utah's 2nd Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 40.2 36.6
Republican candidate Republican Party 56.1 59
Difference 15.9 22.4

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Utah modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: The third-party collection and return of absentee ballots was restricted to individuals residing in the same household as the voter.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Utah District 2

Incumbent Chris Stewart defeated Kael Weston and J. Robert Latham in the general election for U.S. House Utah District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Chris Stewart
Chris Stewart (R)
 
59.0
 
208,997
Image of Kael Weston
Kael Weston (D) Candidate Connection
 
36.6
 
129,762
Image of J. Robert Latham
J. Robert Latham (L) Candidate Connection
 
4.4
 
15,465

Total votes: 354,224
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic convention

Democratic convention for U.S. House Utah District 2

Kael Weston defeated Randy Hopkins and Larry Livingston in the Democratic convention for U.S. House Utah District 2 on April 25, 2020.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican convention

Republican convention for U.S. House Utah District 2

Incumbent Chris Stewart defeated Mary Burkett, Ty Jensen, and Carson Jorgensen in the Republican convention for U.S. House Utah District 2 on April 25, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Chris Stewart
Chris Stewart (R)
Image of Mary Burkett
Mary Burkett (R) Candidate Connection
Image of Ty Jensen
Ty Jensen (R) Candidate Connection
Image of Carson Jorgensen
Carson Jorgensen (R) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Utah. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Utah with 45.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 27.5 percent. Independent candidate and Utah native Evan McMullin received 21.5 percent of the vote, his strongest showing in a state. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Utah cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same timeframe, Utah supported Republican candidates more often than Democrats, 73.3 to 23.3 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Utah. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won seven out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 20.8 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 19 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 21.9 points. Clinton won six districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 68 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 54.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 56 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 30.7 points.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Utah's 2nd Congressional District the 75th most Republican nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.16. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.16 points toward that party.[5]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: Utah's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 2nd Congressional District candidates in Utah in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Utah, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Utah 2nd Congressional District Qualified party 7,000 Fixed number $485.00 Fixed number 3/19/2020 (declaration of candidacy); petitions due two weeks before party convention Source
Utah 2nd Congressional District Unaffiliated 300 Fixed number $485.00 Fixed number 3/19/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Utah's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Utah District 2

Incumbent Chris Stewart defeated Shireen Ghorbani and Jeffrey Whipple in the general election for U.S. House Utah District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Chris Stewart
Chris Stewart (R)
 
56.1
 
151,489
Image of Shireen Ghorbani
Shireen Ghorbani (D)
 
38.9
 
105,051
Jeffrey Whipple (L)
 
5.0
 
13,504

Total votes: 270,044
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Shireen Ghorbani advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Utah District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Chris Stewart advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Utah District 2.

2016

See also: Utah's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Chris Stewart (R) defeated Charlene Albarran (D) and Paul McCollaum Jr. (Constitution Party) in the general election on November 8, 2016.[10]

U.S. House, Utah District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngChris Stewart Incumbent 61.6% 170,524
     Democratic Charlene Albarran 33.9% 93,778
     Constitution Paul McCollaum Jr. 4.5% 12,517
Total Votes 276,819
Source: Utah Secretary of State

2014

See also: Utah's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

Incumbent Chris Stewart won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Luz Robles, Wayne Hill, Shaun McCausland and Bill Barron in the general election.

U.S. House, Utah District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngChris Stewart Incumbent 60.9% 88,915
     Democratic Luz Robles 32.6% 47,585
     Independent American Wayne Hill 2.3% 3,328
     Constitution Shaun McCausland 3.1% 4,509
     Independent Bill Barron 1.2% 1,734
Total Votes 146,071
Source: Utah Lieutenant Governor, "Elections,"

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Republican Party (6)