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South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 30, 2020
Primary: June 9, 2020
Primary runoff: June 23, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Joe Wilson (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in South Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th
South Carolina elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of South Carolina, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Joe Wilson won election in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 2.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 30, 2020
June 9, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Joe Wilson, who was first elected in 2001.

South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District is located in the central portion of the state and includes Barnwell, Aiken, and Lexington counties and portions of Richland and Orangeburg counties.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 43.6 42.6
Republican candidate Republican Party 54.9 55.7
Difference 11.3 13.1

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

South Carolina modified its absentee/mail-in and in-person voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Any eligible voter could request an absentee ballot for the general election. Return postage for all mailed absentee ballots was prepaid.
  • In-person voting: In-person absentee voting was authorized to begin on October 5, 2020.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 2

Incumbent Joe Wilson defeated Adair Ford Boroughs and Kathleen Wright in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Joe Wilson
Joe Wilson (R)
 
55.7
 
202,715
Image of Adair Ford Boroughs
Adair Ford Boroughs (D)
 
42.6
 
155,118
Kathleen Wright (Constitution Party)
 
1.7
 
6,163
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
219

Total votes: 364,215
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Adair Ford Boroughs advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 2

Incumbent Joe Wilson defeated Michael Bishop in the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 2 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Joe Wilson
Joe Wilson
 
74.1
 
55,557
Image of Michael Bishop
Michael Bishop
 
25.9
 
19,397

Total votes: 74,954
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Alliance Party of South Carolina convention

Alliance Party of South Carolina convention for U.S. House South Carolina District 2

Sonny Narang advanced from the Alliance Party of South Carolina convention for U.S. House South Carolina District 2 on April 18, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Sonny Narang
Sonny Narang (Alliance Party of South Carolina)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Constitution convention

Constitution convention for U.S. House South Carolina District 2

Kathleen Wright advanced from the Constitution convention for U.S. House South Carolina District 2 on January 11, 2020.

Candidate
Kathleen Wright (Constitution Party)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Five of 46 South Carolina counties—10.9 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Barnwell County, South Carolina 5.16% 5.33% 1.65%
Calhoun County, South Carolina 2.83% 4.31% 3.55%
Chester County, South Carolina 4.83% 10.58% 8.30%
Colleton County, South Carolina 8.49% 0.19% 0.53%
McCormick County, South Carolina 3.32% 3.60% 6.08%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won South Carolina with 54.9 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 40.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, South Carolina cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 53.3 percent of the time. In that same time frame, South Carolina supported Democratic candidates for president more often than Republican candidates, 53.3 to 43.3 percent. South Carolina favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in South Carolina. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns show the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns show the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 39 out of 124 state House districts in South Carolina with an average margin of victory of 32.8 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 38 out of 124 state House districts in South Carolina with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 85 out of 124 state House districts in South Carolina with an average margin of victory of 28.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 86 out of 124 state House districts in South Carolina with an average margin of victory of 30.1 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+12, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 12 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District the 114th most Republican nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.08. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.08 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Joe Wilson Republican Party $1,686,289 $1,762,180 $74,366 As of December 31, 2020
Adair Ford Boroughs Democratic Party $2,537,936 $2,535,073 $2,862 As of December 31, 2020
Kathleen Wright Constitution Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 2nd Congressional District candidates in South Carolina in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in South Carolina, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
South Carolina 2nd Congressional District Major party N/A N/A $3,480.00 1% of annual salary multipled by term of office 3/30/2020 Source
South Carolina 2nd Congressional District Unaffiliated Pending 5% of active registered voters in district as of 120 days before the election N/A N/A 8/17/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 2

Incumbent Joe Wilson defeated Sean Carrigan and Sonny Narang in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Joe Wilson
Joe Wilson (R)
 
56.3
 
144,642
Image of Sean Carrigan
Sean Carrigan (D)
 
42.5
 
109,199
Image of Sonny Narang
Sonny Narang (American Party) Candidate Connection
 
1.2
 
3,111
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
187

Total votes: 257,139
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House South Carolina District 2

Sean Carrigan defeated Annabelle Robertson in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House South Carolina District 2 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Sean Carrigan
Sean Carrigan
 
53.3
 
5,733
Image of Annabelle Robertson
Annabelle Robertson
 
46.7
 
5,016

Total votes: 10,749
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 2

Annabelle Robertson and Sean Carrigan advanced to a runoff. They defeated Phil Black in the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 2 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Annabelle Robertson
Annabelle Robertson
 
41.8
 
14,168
Image of Sean Carrigan
Sean Carrigan
 
39.8
 
13,496
Image of Phil Black
Phil Black
 
18.4
 
6,225

Total votes: 33,889
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 2

Incumbent Joe Wilson advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 2 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Joe Wilson
Joe Wilson

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Joe Wilson (R) faced no opposition in the Republican primary. He defeated Arik Bjorn (D) and Eddie McCain (American) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Bjorn defeated Phil Black in the Democratic primary. The Democratic primary required a runoff, and Bjorn ultimately triumphed by 44 votes. The primary elections took place on June 14, 2016.[12][13]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJoe Wilson Incumbent 60.2% 183,746
     Democratic Arik Bjorn 35.9% 109,452
     American Eddie McCain 3.8% 11,444
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 354
Total Votes 304,996
Source: South Carolina Secretary of State


U.S. House, South Carolina District 2 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngArik Bjorn 50.1% 9,686
Phil Black 49.9% 9,642
Total Votes 19,328
Source: South Carolina Secretary of State

2014

See also: South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

Incumbent Joe Wilson won re-election to the U.S. House on November 4, 2014. He defeated Phil Black (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, South Carolina District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJoe Wilson Incumbent 62.4% 121,649
     Democratic Phil Black 35.3% 68,719
     Independent Harold Geddings III 2.1% 4,158
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 282
Total Votes 194,808
Source: South Carolina State Election Commission

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Republican Party (8)
Democratic Party (1)