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Ballotpedia's 2012 General Election Preview Articles: New Jersey Congressional Seats

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October 29, 2012

By Ballotpedia's Congressional team

New Jersey's Congressional Elections in 2012
U.S. Senate Election? U.S. House seats Possible competitive races?
Yes 12 1 (3rd)

TRENTON: New Jersey: New Jersey has 12 U.S. House seats and one U.S. Senate seat on the 2012 ballot. New Jersey lost one congressional district in the redistricting after the 2010 census, causing two Democratic incumbents, Steve Rothman and Bill Pascrell, to compete in the 9th District primary on June 5. All 12 districts have at least three candidates running.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Menendez will defend his seat against 10 challengers.

In New Jersey, all polls are open from 6:00 am to 8:00 pm Eastern Time.[1]

See also: State Poll Opening and Closing Times (2012)

U.S. Senate

Bob Menendez was appointed to the Senate in January 2006 to fill the remainder of Jon Corzine's term. He was elected to the same seat in November 2006, and has served one full term. He leads Republican opponent Joe Kyrillos by up to 20 points in recent polls of likely voters. Despite being a current state senator, Kyrillos suffers from poor name recognition: only 59 percent recognized him in a recent poll.[2]

State General Election Candidates Incumbent 2012 Winner Partisan Switch?
New Jersey Class 1 Senate seat :Democratic Party Bob Menendez
Republican Party Joe Kyrillos
Libertarian Party Kenneth Kaplan
Green Party Ken Wolski
Grey.png Inder "Andy" Soni
Grey.png Gwen Diakos
Grey.png Eugene Martin Lavergne
Grey.png Daryl Brooks
Grey.png Robert "Turk" Turkavage
Grey.png Gregory Pason
Grey.png J. David Dranikoff
Bob Menendez Pending Pending

According to Cook's race ratings, New Jersey's Senate race is considered Likely Democratic.[3]

U.S. House

In the 3rd District, Republican incumbent Jon Runyan faces democratic challenger Shelley Adler. Adler is the widow of John Adler, who represented the 3rd District until he was defeated by Runyan in 2010. Despite an added fundraising disadvantage, he is leading Adler in polls. The Cook Political Report rates this race as "leaning Republican."[4] The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has named this district on its "Red to Blue" program, a list of districts where they are focusing their support in the hopes of winning a majority in the House.[5]

In the 6th District, Republican tea-partier Anna Little faces incumbent Frank Pallone Jr. for the second time in a district that has virtually the same partisan demographics after redistricting, despite being redrawn slightly to the east. In 2010, with all the momentum of the tea party and the Republican wave election, Little lost to Pallone by 10 percentage points.[6]

Here is a complete list of U.S. House candidates appearing on the general election ballot in New Jersey:

Candidates running by District

District General Election Candidates Incumbent 2012 Winner Partisan Switch?
1st Democratic Party Rob Andrews
Republican Party Greg Horton
Green Party John William Reitter
Grey.png Margaret Chapman
Rob Andrews Pending Pending
2nd Democratic Party Cassandra Shober
Republican Party Frank LoBiondo
Libertarian Party John Ordille
Grey.png David Bowen Sr.
Grey.png Charles Lukens
Grey.png Frank Faralli Jr.
Frank LoBiondo Pending Pending
3rd Democratic Party Shelley Adler
Republican Party Jon Runyan
Grey.png Christopher Dennick, Jr.
Grey.png Robert Edward Forchion
Grey.png Frederick John Lavergne
Grey.png Robert Shapiro
Grey.png Robert Witterschein
Jon Runyan Pending Pending
4th Democratic Party Brian Froelich
Republican Party Chris Smith
Grey.png Leonard Marshall
Chris Smith Pending Pending
5th Democratic Party Adam Gussen
Republican Party Scott Garrett
Green Party Patricia Alessandrini
Scott Garrett Pending Pending
6th Democratic Party Frank Pallone Jr.
Republican Party Anna Little
Libertarian Party Len Flynn
Grey.png Mac Dara Lyden
Grey.png Herb Tarbous
Grey.png Karen Zaletel
Frank Pallone Pending Pending
7th Democratic Party Upendra Chivukula
Republican Party Leonard Lance
Libertarian Party Patrick McKnight
Grey.png Dennis Breen
Leonard Lance Pending Pending
8th Democratic Party Albio Sires
Republican Party Maria Karczewski
Grey.png Stephen Deluca
Grey.png Pablo Olivera
Grey.png Herbert Shaw
Bill Pascrell Pending Pending
9th Democratic Party Bill Pascrell
Republican Party Shmuley Boteach
Grey.png E. David Smith
Grey.png Jeanette Woolsey
Steve Rothman Pending Pending
10th Democratic Party Donald Payne Jr.
Republican Party Brian Kelemen
Libertarian Party Mick Erickson
Grey.png Joanne Miller
Donald M. Payne Pending Pending
11th Democratic Party John Arvanites
Republican Party Rodney Frelinghuysen
Grey.png Barry Berlin
Rodney Frelinghuysen Pending Pending
12th Democratic Party Rush D. Holt, Jr.
Republican Party Eric Beck
Grey.png Kenneth Cody
Grey.png Jack Freudenheim
Rush D. Holt, Jr. Pending Pending
13th District Removed in Redistricting Albio Sires N/A N/A


Partisan breakdown by district

Members of the U.S. House from New Jersey -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 7 6
     Republican Party 6 6
Total 13 12

Comparison of new and old redistricting maps

 Congressional Redistricting Map, approved September 2011 

For more information, view Redistricting in New Jersey.



See also

New Jersey

Footnotes