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California's 52nd Congressional District
California's 52nd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Juan Vargas (D).
As of the 2020 Census, California representatives represented an average of 761,091 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 704,566 residents.
Elections
2024
See also: California's 52nd Congressional District election, 2024
California's 52nd Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 52
Incumbent Juan Vargas defeated Justin Lee in the general election for U.S. House California District 52 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Juan Vargas (D) | 66.3 | 172,217 |
Justin Lee (R) | 33.7 | 87,501 |
Total votes: 259,718 | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 52
Incumbent Juan Vargas and Justin Lee advanced from the primary for U.S. House California District 52 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Juan Vargas (D) | 65.0 | 62,511 |
✔ | Justin Lee (R) | 35.0 | 33,611 |
Total votes: 96,122 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jeremiah Suzara (No party preference)
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 52
Incumbent Juan Vargas defeated Tyler Geffeney in the general election for U.S. House California District 52 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Juan Vargas (D) | 66.7 | 100,686 |
![]() | Tyler Geffeney (R) ![]() | 33.3 | 50,330 |
Total votes: 151,016 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 52
Incumbent Juan Vargas and Tyler Geffeney defeated Joaquín Vázquez in the primary for U.S. House California District 52 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Juan Vargas (D) | 59.1 | 56,827 |
✔ | ![]() | Tyler Geffeney (R) ![]() | 30.5 | 29,348 |
![]() | Joaquín Vázquez (D) ![]() | 10.4 | 9,965 |
Total votes: 96,140 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Judah Hosanna (R)
- Richard Bailey (R)
- Charles Weir (R)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 52
Incumbent Scott Peters defeated Jim DeBello in the general election for U.S. House California District 52 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Scott Peters (D) | 61.6 | 244,145 |
![]() | Jim DeBello (R) ![]() | 38.4 | 152,350 |
Total votes: 396,495 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 52
Incumbent Scott Peters and Jim DeBello defeated Nancy Casady and Ryan Cunningham in the primary for U.S. House California District 52 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Scott Peters (D) | 49.1 | 111,897 |
✔ | ![]() | Jim DeBello (R) ![]() | 32.4 | 73,779 |
![]() | Nancy Casady (D) ![]() | 16.0 | 36,422 | |
![]() | Ryan Cunningham (Independent) ![]() | 2.5 | 5,701 |
Total votes: 227,799 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Famela Ramos (R)
- Jerlilia Ryans (D)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 52
Incumbent Scott Peters defeated Omar Qudrat in the general election for U.S. House California District 52 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Scott Peters (D) | 63.8 | 188,992 |
![]() | Omar Qudrat (R) | 36.2 | 107,015 |
Total votes: 296,007 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 52
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 52 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Scott Peters (D) | 59.0 | 98,744 |
✔ | ![]() | Omar Qudrat (R) | 15.3 | 25,530 |
![]() | James Veltmeyer (R) | 11.4 | 19,040 | |
![]() | Danny Casara (R) ![]() | 4.6 | 7,680 | |
![]() | Michael Allman (R) ![]() | 3.9 | 6,561 | |
![]() | John Horst (R) | 3.4 | 5,654 | |
![]() | Jeff Cullen (R) | 2.4 | 4,027 |
Total votes: 167,236 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Alexander Miller (D)
- Freeman Michaels (Independent)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Scott Peters (D) defeated Denise Gitsham (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Peters and Gitsham defeated Terry Reagan Allvord (R), Jacquie Atkinson (R), Kenneth Canada (R), and John Horst (R) in the top-two primary on June 7, 2016. [1][2]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
56.5% | 181,253 | |
Republican | Denise Gitsham | 43.5% | 139,403 | |
Total Votes | 320,656 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
![]() |
58.9% | 108,020 | |
Republican | ![]() |
16.2% | 29,658 | |
Republican | Jacquie Atkinson | 13% | 23,927 | |
Republican | Kenneth Canada | 4.5% | 8,268 | |
Republican | Terry Allvord | 4.5% | 8,194 | |
Republican | John Horst | 3% | 5,435 | |
Total Votes | 183,502 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
2014
Incumbent Scott Peters won re-election to California's 52nd Congressional District in 2014. The race was a battleground district in 2014 due to the low margin of victory for Democrats in the last election and last two presidential elections. Incumbent Scott Peters (D) and Carl DeMaio triumphed in the blanket primary over Kirk Jorgensen (R) and Fred Simon (R). The general election race between Peters and DeMaio remained too close to call for several days after the election. The Associated Press called the race for Peters late on November 7, 2014, but DeMaio did not concede the race until November 9, 2014, due to the fact that there were still between 10,000 to 15,000 ballots left to be counted.[3][4]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
51.6% | 98,826 | |
Republican | Carl DeMaio | 48.4% | 92,746 | |
Total Votes | 191,572 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
2012
The 51st Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Democrat Scott Peters won election in the district.[5]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
51.2% | 151,451 | |
Republican | Brian Bilbray Incumbent | 48.8% | 144,459 | |
Total Votes | 295,910 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ray Lutz (D) and Michael Benoit (L) in the general election.[6]
2008
On November 4, 2008, Duncan Hunter won election to the United States House. He defeated Mike Lumpkin (D), Michael Benoit (L) and Joseph Ryan (Write-in) in the general election.[7]
2006
On November 7, 2006, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated John Rinaldi (D) and Michael Benoit (L) in the general election.[8]
2004
On November 2, 2004, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Brian Keliher (D) and Michael Benoit (L) in the general election.[9]
2002
On November 5, 2002, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Peter Moore-Kochlacs (D) and Michael Benoit (L) in the general election.[10]
2000
On November 7, 2000, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Craig Barkacs (D), Michael Benoit (L) and Robert Sherman (Natural Law) in the general election.[11]
1998
On November 3, 1998, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Lynn Badler (L) and Adrienne Pelton (Natural Law) in the general election.[12]
1996
On November 5, 1996, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Darity Wesley (D), Janice Jordan (P&F), Dante Ridley (L) and Peter Robert Ballantyne (Natural Law) in the general election.[13]
1994
On November 8, 1994, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Janet Gastil (D), Joe Shea (L) and Art Edelman (P&F) in the general election.[14]
1992
On November 3, 1992, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Janet Gastil (D), Joe Shea (L) and Dennis Gretsinger (P&F) in the general election.[15]
District map
Redistricting
2020-2021
The California Citizens Redistricting Commission voted 14-0 in favor of a new congressional district map on December 20, 2021, and delivered those maps to the secretary of state on December 27, 2021.[16][17] California was apportioned 52 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2020 census, a net loss of one seat compared to apportionment after the 2010 census. This map took effect for California's 2022 congressional elections.
How does redistricting in California work? In California, a non-politician commission draws both congressional and state legislative district lines. Established in 2008 by ballot initiative, the commission comprises 14 members: five Democrats, five Republicans, and four belonging to neither party. A panel of state auditors selects the pool of nominees from which the commissioners are appointed. This pool comprises 20 Democrats, 20 Republicans, and 20 belonging to neither party. The majority and minority leaders of both chambers of the state legislature may each remove two members from each of the aforementioned groups. The first eight commission members are selected at random from the remaining nominees. These first eight comprise three Democrats, three Republicans, and two belonging to neither party. The first eight commissioners appoint the remaining six, which must include two Democrats, two Republicans, and two belonging to neither party.[18]
Commissioners must meet the following requirements in order to serve:[18]
- Members must have voted in at least two of the last three statewide elections.
- Members cannot have switched party affiliation for at least five years.
- "Neither commissioners nor immediate family may have been, within 10 years of appointment, a candidate for federal or state office or member of a party central committee; an officer, employee, or paid consultant to a federal or state candidate or party; a registered lobbyist or paid legislative staff; or a donor of more than $2,000 to an elected candidate."
- Members cannot be "staff, consultants or contractors for state or federal government" while serving as commissioners. The same prohibition applies to the family of commission members.
In order to approve a redistricting plan, nine of the commission's 14 members must vote for it. These nine must include three Democrats, three Republicans, and three belonging to neither party. Maps drawn by the commission may be overturned by public referendum. In the event that a map is overturned by the public, the California Supreme Court must appoint a group to draw a new map.[18]
The California Constitution requires that districts be contiguous. Further, the state constitution mandates that "to the extent possible, [districts] must ... preserve the geographic integrity of cities, counties, neighborhoods and communities of interest." Districts must also "encourage compactness." State Senate and Assembly districts should be nested within each other where possible.[18]
California District 52
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
California District 52
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
2010-2011
In 2011, the California State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
2026
Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is D+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 52nd the 98th most Democratic district nationally.[19]
2024
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 52nd the 77th most Democratic district nationally.[20]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 67.4%-30.5%.[21]
2022
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 52nd the 76th most Democratic district nationally.[22]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 67.4% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 30.5%.[23]
2018
Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+6. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 52nd Congressional District the 155th most Democratic nationally.[24]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[25]
See also
- Redistricting in California
- California's 52nd Congressional District election, 2024
- California's 52nd Congressional District election, 2022
- California's 52nd Congressional District election, 2020
- California's 52nd Congressional District election, 2018
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Certified List of Candidates for Voter-Nominated Offices June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed April 4, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "California Primary Results," June 7, 2016
- ↑ UT San Diego, "Peters on the verge of victory," November 7, 2014
- ↑ Politico, "Rep. Scott Peters beats Carl DeMaio for San Diego seat," November 7. 2014
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, California," accessed August 15, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Politico, "California’s new congressional map boosts Democrats," Dec. 21, 2021
- ↑ Lake County News, "California Citizens Redistricting Commission delivers maps to California Secretary of State," Dec. 28, 2021
- ↑ 18.0 18.1 18.2 18.3 All About Redistricting, "California," accessed April 21, 2015
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018