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Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 11, 2020
Primary: August 11, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Rosa DeLauro (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Connecticut
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th
Connecticut elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Connecticut, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Rosa L. DeLauro won election in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 3.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
June 11, 2020
August 11, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Rosa DeLauro, who was first elected in 1990.

Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District is located in the south-central portion of the state along the Long Island Sound. Portions of Fairfield, Middlesex, and New Haven counties are included in the district.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 59.9 58.7
Republican candidate Republican Party 38.8 39.8
Difference 21.1 18.9

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Connecticut modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee/mail-in ballot applications were sent to all registered voters in the general election. Voters could cite concern over COVID-19 as a reason for voting absentee in the general election.
  • Candidate filing procedures: The filing deadlines for major-party and unaffiliated candidates were extended by two days, to June 11, 2020, and August 7, 2020, respectively.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 3

Incumbent Rosa L. DeLauro defeated Margaret Streicker and Justin Paglino in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 3 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rosa L. DeLauro
Rosa L. DeLauro (D / Working Families Party)
 
58.7
 
203,265
Image of Margaret Streicker
Margaret Streicker (R / Independent Party)
 
39.8
 
137,596
Image of Justin Paglino
Justin Paglino (G) Candidate Connection
 
1.5
 
5,240

Total votes: 346,101
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Rosa L. DeLauro advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 3.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Margaret Streicker advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 3.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of eight Connecticut counties—12.5 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Windham County, Connecticut 7.78% 13.28% 14.68%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Connecticut with 54.6 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 40.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Connecticut voted Republican 53.33 percent of the time and Democratic 46.67 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Connecticut voted Democratic all five times.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Connecticut. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 120 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 30.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 105 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 30.9 points. Clinton won 32 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 31 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 8.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 46 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 11.6 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were +9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District the 122nd most Democratic nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.99. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.99 points toward that party.[5]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2018

See also: Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 3

Incumbent Rosa L. DeLauro defeated Angel Cadena in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 3 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rosa L. DeLauro
Rosa L. DeLauro (D)
 
64.6
 
174,572
Image of Angel Cadena
Angel Cadena (R)
 
35.4
 
95,667

Total votes: 270,239
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Rosa L. DeLauro advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 3.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Angel Cadena advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 3.

2016

See also: Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Rosa DeLauro (D) defeated Angel Cadena (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Both candidates won their nomination at a party convention and did not face a primary election in August. DeLauro won reeelection in the November 8 election.[10][11][12]

U.S. House, Connecticut District 3 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRosa DeLauro Incumbent 69% 213,572
     Republican Angel Cadena 31% 95,786
     N/A Write-in 0% 21
Total Votes 309,379
Source: Connecticut Secretary of State

2014

See also: Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 3rd Congressional District of Connecticut held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Rosa DeLauro (D) defeated James Brown (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Connecticut District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRosa DeLauro Incumbent 66.9% 140,485
     Republican James Brown 33.1% 69,454
Total Votes 209,939
Source: Connecticut Secretary of the State

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Jim Himes (D)
District 5
Democratic Party (7)