Everything you need to know about ranked-choice voting in one spot. Click to learn more!

Washington's 8th Congressional District election, 2020 (August 4 top-two primary)

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search



2022
2018
Washington's 8th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Top-two primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: May 15, 2020
Primary: August 4, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Kim Schrier (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: Poll opening hours vary; close at 8 p.m. (most voting done by mail)
Voting in Washington
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Washington's 8th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th
Washington elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

A top-two primary took place on August 4, 2020, in Washington's 8th Congressional District to determine which two candidates would run in the district's general election on November 3, 2020.

Incumbent Kim Schrier and Jesse Jensen advanced from the primary for U.S. House Washington District 8.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
May 15, 2020
August 4, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election, the incumbent was Kim Schrier (Democrat), who was first elected in 2018.

Washington uses a top-two primary system, in which all candidates appear on the same ballot, for congressional and state-level elections. The top two vote-getters move on to the general election, regardless of their party affiliation. In states that do not use a top-two system, all parties are usually able to put forward a candidate for the general election if they choose to.[2][3]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Washington's 8th Congressional District's top-two primary. For more in-depth information on the district's general election, see the following page:

Candidates and election results

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 8

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kim Schrier
Kim Schrier (D)
 
43.3
 
106,611
Image of Jesse Jensen
Jesse Jensen (R) Candidate Connection
 
20.0
 
49,368
Image of Keith Swank
Keith Swank (R)
 
17.4
 
42,809
Image of Dave Saulibio
Dave Saulibio (Trump Republican Party) Candidate Connection
 
11.8
 
28,976
Image of Corey Bailey
Corey Bailey (Independent) Candidate Connection
 
2.7
 
6,552
Image of James Mitchell
James Mitchell (D) Candidate Connection
 
2.5
 
6,187
Image of Keith Arnold
Keith Arnold (D)
 
1.7
 
4,111
Image of Ryan Burkett
Ryan Burkett (Unaffiliated) Candidate Connection
 
0.6
 
1,458
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
289

Total votes: 246,361
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[4] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.

Image of Corey Bailey

WebsiteFacebook

Party: Independent

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I'm not a democrat nor a republican; I'm not even a politician. I'm a simple minded, 3rd generation fisherman, middle-class working husband and father trying to provide for my family. I am running for this position because I am frustrated with how politicians have taken control of our government. A government that is supposed to be of the people and by the people has turned into quid pro quo and back room deals and ultimately, they don't get anything accomplished. As a citizen of this great country, I have decided to raise my hand and say STOP! I chose to run as an Independent; that way I owe no devotion to either party. My devotion is to the people that I represent. I want to send Congress a clear message that We the People are fed up with their political nonsense. We the People tell our government what we want, not the other way around. Therefore, I ask that you, citzens of Washington State, stand up and yell STOP with me, by considering to cast your vote for me. And if elected, you can be sure, that I will Give'em HELL on the HILL! Thank you and God Bless. "


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Our Constitution is a document in which "We the People'' tell the government what it is allowed to do. But lately, it seems like it is just the opposite. We have seen more and more government rules, regulations, and taxes. Basic rights provided in the Bill of Rights are being striped away little by little. Its time to STOP and remind congress who they are working for.


On February 19, 2020, the stock market floor cheered as they closed the day on a high note. NASDAQ closed at 9,817.18, the highest ever. Then COVID-19 killed our economy. This virus will not define us, we will overcome this challenge and I believe that we will survive this virus and our strong economy will return with a vengeance! The CDC has provided us with guidance and I believe that it is time to reopen our country, following the simple procedures outlined by the CDC. Our small businesses are suffering, our working family's are missing paychecks and wondering how they are going to pay their bills. Enough is enough!


Drop the bipartisan BS, congress needs to focus on coming together and getting stuff done, not playing political games.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Washington District 8 in 2020.

Image of Ryan Burkett

Facebook

Party: Unaffiliated

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am an individual that knows there is a cooler future for our country, and humanity, if we choose to create it with purpose. To that I will add, I was born in Indio, California year that Supreme Court was re-hearing arguments about women's liberty and family planning. In '76 I found myself living in Globe, Arizona taking a cross country road trip to Olympics in Canada. I ended up back in California getting my first lesson in geopolitics with gas shortage of '79. My 3 years in Eugene, Oregon is where I got introduced to our ever-changing climate when EPA started flexing against timber industry. Finally made it to Washington in '83 when I realized that my study of economics would begin on Mercer Island. On my way to Congressional District 8 I did time on East Coast, 3 months in Plymouth, Massachusetts, and 6 months in rural Pennsylvania about 30 minutes east of Philly. I have been in Issaquah for 11 years now and a record setting 6 years at same address. I am a total of all these experiences, and I choose to create a more perfect future for us and our posterity. #Hateislackoflove"


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


My intentions are benevolent.


I will keep coming back until I retire at 70 or we find ourself, as a Union, in a more perfect future.


If there was only one thing to get done that would be term limits. Both major parties are exhausting and have over 150 years controlling our national narrative. Technology is showing there are way more then just two sides and 22nd century needs 21st century thinking.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Washington District 8 in 2020.

Image of Jesse Jensen

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am the son of a Pastor, proud father of three, former Congressional Staffer, four tour US Army Captain and Special Operations Combat Veteran with two Bronze Stars, and successful businessman. I married an Auburn Riverside and WSU alumni and we are raising a family in beautiful Bonney Lake. I got my MBA from Columbia Business School and worked for Microsoft and served as a Director of a Health Care company with clinics from Kent to Graham. I spent the early part of my career working on Capitol Hill learning about public policy and government leadership. It wasn't until a visit with a wounded soldier, at the height of the Iraq war, that I became inspired to enlist in the military to serve my country in uniform. As a Captain in the US Army and as a member of the elite Ranger Regiment, I underwent the most intense training our military has to offer and deployed on four combat tours. It was during this time that I learned that the best leaders are servants to those they are entrusted to lead. I decided to run for Congress because too many in D.C. have failed to be servants to the people. My military background combined with my experience working in the Private sector, managing healthcare facilities, and passion for servant leadership has prepared me to serve you in Congress."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I believe in Servant Leadership which means I will fight for every woman, man, and child in the 8th Congressional District.


I will fight to protect pre-existing conditions, lower health care costs, defend our Constitutional rights specifically our 1st and 2nd ammendment rights, and will push to safely re-open our economy.


I'm proud to be endorsed by former Congressman Dave Reichert, King County Councilmember Reagan Dunn, former Senator Slade Gorton, former Attorney General Rob McKenna, former State Legislator Jan Shabro, Clay Myers of Kittitas County, Sheriff Brian Burnett, Congressmen Dan Crenshaw, Mike Gallagher, Mike Waltz, The Washington State Farm Bureau, Mainstream Republicans of Washington, Concerned Tax Payers of Washington State, King County Republican Party, the Hunters Heritage Council, and the War Veterans Fund.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Washington District 8 in 2020.

Image of James Mitchell

WebsiteTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I'm James Mitchell, "uniting us all for a better life"! I am a Christian, a father, an entrepreneur and business builder! A visionary! I'm a PRO-Life Democrat with traditional values for the working class and restoration of the Party for teamwork, as was intended! My Pro-Life platform includes affordable housing, better wages brought with innovative manufacturing for more jobs. You need healthcare as your right, be it conventional or natural, whichever serves you better for some of your needs! I bring whole education reform, teaching our children how life works, including more homeschool support & opportunities! I'm a hybrid that includes conservative Republican values, working together to serve You! To me there is NO Higher Calling than service to another. That includes me volunteering in Seattle Union Gospel Mission "Search & Rescue" missions providing food, water, clothing & blankets to homeless, even in Seattle's "Jungle". I've met with Vine Maple Place and New Horizons Youth Homeless Shelter to determine their unmet needs. I am your Congressman with Heart! Heart for all of us hard working, people that are trying to live a good life with values, raising our families and caring for one another. I'm asking for your vote August 4th to unseat a freshman Congresswoman who only brings abortion and a fight for mandatory every AMA-allowed vaccine. She even wants our Federal Government to force these vaccines on your children! She stands for death; I stand for Life! God Bless You!"


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I stand for and represent "Pro Life for Whole Life". From womb to tomb. From cradle to grave. That includes your whole life's needs! Listening to your needs and working not for me but for you, since you have hired me to represent and fight for your needs!


I represent Restoration of not only the "working class" values originally created within the Democrat Party but hope I bring with the solutions from my entrepreneurial view in life. I bring more affordable housing solutions, innovative manufacturing opportunities that will also include higher wages. I have a complete solution to eradicate homelessness and hunger that brings permanency, not temporary or transitional housing, that does not work long-term.


I stand for Health and Education reform that support alternative and complimentary solutions not providing you with today. We must be forward-thinking in our health and education future, while also focusing on environmental solutions that preserve our lands and animal life, thus respecting life as the whole package we have. We live on this planet and interact with all life. We can be successful together!

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Washington District 8 in 2020.

Image of Dave Saulibio

Website

Party: Trump Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am a Trump Republican and MAGA warrior. Trump is a once-in-a-century President. Trump will rebuild our economy bigger and better than ever. But, Congress has to help, or get out his way. The 2020 elected congressional candidates will either make Trump's job easier or difficult the next two years. Trump is fighting for us with one had behind his back. I have just one mission: Do whatever it takes to make Trump's job easier so we all have peace and prosperity."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Bring back U.S. manufacturing, Made-in-America, America first again.


Open up all businesses, all schools, and all churches. Immediately!


Beat communist China back now while we still can.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Washington District 8 in 2020.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was EVEN, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were within 1 percentage point of the national average. This made Washington's 8th Congressional District the 202nd most Democratic nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.05. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.05 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Kim Schrier Democratic Party $5,452,642 $3,804,549 $1,717,753 As of December 31, 2020
Keith Arnold Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
James Mitchell Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Jesse Jensen Republican Party $857,594 $847,467 $10,127 As of December 31, 2020
Keith Swank Republican Party $30,840 $28,565 $2,327 As of December 31, 2020
Dave Saulibio Trump Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Ryan Burkett Unaffiliated $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Corey Bailey Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[7]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[8][9][10]

Race ratings: Washington's 8th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Washington is a vote-by-mail state. Early voting dates and polling hours apply to county-level vote centers where individuals can instead vote in person.
  2. NCSL, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 3, 2024
  3. Washington Secretary of State, "Top 2 Primary: FAQs for Candidates," accessed October 3, 2024
  4. Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
  5. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  6. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  7. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
Democratic Party (10)
Republican Party (2)