Oregon's 1st Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Oregon's 1st Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 10, 2020
Primary: May 19, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Suzanne Bonamici (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: No polling hours (vote-by-mail)
Voting in Oregon
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Oregon's 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th
Oregon elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 1st Congressional District of Oregon, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici won election in the general election for U.S. House Oregon District 1.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 10, 2020
May 19, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Suzanne Bonamici, who was first elected in 2012.

Oregon's 1st Congressional District is located in the northwest corner of the state and includes Clatsop, Columbia, Washington and Yamhill counties and a part of Multnomah County.[2]

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Oregon did not modify any procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Oregon District 1

Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici defeated Christopher Christensen in the general election for U.S. House Oregon District 1 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Suzanne Bonamici
Suzanne Bonamici (D / Working Families Party)
 
64.6
 
297,071
Image of Christopher Christensen
Christopher Christensen (R) Candidate Connection
 
35.2
 
161,928
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
900

Total votes: 459,899
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 1

Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici defeated Heidi Briones, Amanda Siebe, and Ricky Barajas in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 1 on May 19, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Suzanne Bonamici
Suzanne Bonamici
 
83.6
 
100,733
Image of Heidi Briones
Heidi Briones Candidate Connection
 
6.9
 
8,260
Image of Amanda Siebe
Amanda Siebe Candidate Connection
 
6.7
 
8,055
Image of Ricky Barajas
Ricky Barajas Candidate Connection
 
2.4
 
2,948
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.4
 
523

Total votes: 120,519
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 1

Christopher Christensen defeated Army Murray in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 1 on May 19, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Christopher Christensen
Christopher Christensen Candidate Connection
 
55.9
 
27,417
Army Murray
 
41.8
 
20,509
 Other/Write-in votes
 
2.4
 
1,162

Total votes: 49,088
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Two of 36 Oregon counties—5.6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Columbia County, Oregon 11.46% 5.16% 12.02%
Tillamook County, Oregon 5.58% 4.86% 9.89%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Oregon with 50.1 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 39.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Oregon cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 73.3 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Oregon supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 56.7 to 43.3 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every election between between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Oregon. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 39 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 26.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 36 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 31.6 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 21 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 20.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 24 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 24 points. Trump won three districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Oregon's 1st Congressional District the 123rd most Democratic nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Suzanne Bonamici Working Families Party, Democratic Party $961,897 $867,301 $553,346 As of December 31, 2020
Christopher Christensen Republican Party $244 $772 $0 As of November 20, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Oregon's 1st Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 1st Congressional District candidates in Oregon in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oregon, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Oregon 1st Congressional District Major party 0 N/A $100.00 Fixed number 3/10/2020 Source
Oregon 1st Congressional District Unaffiliated 4,091 1% of votes cast in the district for president N/A N/A 8/25/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Oregon's 1st Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Oregon District 1

Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici defeated John Verbeek and Drew Layda in the general election for U.S. House Oregon District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Suzanne Bonamici
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
 
63.6
 
231,198
Image of John Verbeek
John Verbeek (R)
 
32.1
 
116,446
Image of Drew Layda
Drew Layda (L) Candidate Connection
 
4.2
 
15,121
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
484

Total votes: 363,249
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 1

Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici defeated Ricky Barajas and Michael Stansfield in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 1 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Suzanne Bonamici
Suzanne Bonamici
 
92.2
 
69,774
Image of Ricky Barajas
Ricky Barajas
 
3.9
 
2,945
Image of Michael Stansfield
Michael Stansfield Candidate Connection
 
3.9
 
2,936

Total votes: 75,655
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 1

John Verbeek defeated George Griffith and Preston Miller in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 1 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Verbeek
John Verbeek
 
51.1
 
21,191
Image of George Griffith
George Griffith
 
41.1
 
17,049
Image of Preston Miller
Preston Miller
 
7.8
 
3,228

Total votes: 41,468
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Oregon's 1st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici (D) defeated Brian Heinrich (R) and Kyle Sheahan (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Bonamici defeated Shabba Woodley in the Democratic primary, while Heinrich defeated Jonathan Burgess and Delinda Morgan to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on May 17, 2016.[13][14]

U.S. House, Oregon District 1 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngSuzanne Bonamici Incumbent 59.6% 225,391
     Republican Brian Heinrich 37% 139,756
     Libertarian Kyle Sheahan 3.2% 12,257
     N/A Misc. 0.2% 691
Total Votes 378,095
Source: Oregon Secretary of State


U.S. House, Oregon District 1 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSuzanne Bonamici Incumbent 90% 99,153
Shabba Woodley 10% 10,961
Total Votes 110,114
Source: Oregon Secretary of State
U.S. House, Oregon District 1 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngBrian Heinrich 49.4% 19,290
Delinda Morgan 27.2% 10,640
Jonathan Burgess 23.4% 9,127
Total Votes 39,057
Source: Oregon Secretary of State

2014

See also: Oregon's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

The 1st Congressional District of Oregon held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici (Democratic and Working Families Party) defeated Jason Yates (Republican and Constitution Party), James Foster (L) and Steven Cody Reynolds (Progressive and Pacific Green Party) in the general election.

U.S. House, Oregon District 1 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngSuzanne Bonamici Incumbent 57.3% 160,038
     Republican Jason Yates 34.5% 96,245
     Libertarian James Foster 4% 11,213
     Green Steven Cody Reynolds 4% 11,163
     Miscellaneous Miscellaneous 0.2% 594
Total Votes 279,253
Source: Oregon Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 Oregon is a vote-by-mail state. Polling hours apply to vote centers where individuals can instead vote in person.
  2. Oregon Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 9, 2012
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  4. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  5. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  6. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  7. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  8. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  9. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  11. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  12. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  13. Oregon Secretary of State, "Candidate filings search results," accessed March 9, 2016
  14. The New York Times, "Oregon Primary Results," May 17, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Val Hoyle (D)
District 5
District 6
Democratic Party (7)
Republican Party (1)