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Kentucky gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2019 (May 21 Republican primary)
- Primary: May 21
- General election: Nov. 5
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 7
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 5
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo or non-photo ID required
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m.
2023 →
← 2015
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Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: January 29, 2019 |
Primary: May 21, 2019 General: November 5, 2019 Pre-election incumbent(s): Gov. Matt Bevin (Republican) Lt. Gov. Jenean M. Hampton (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. Voting in Kentucky |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican Inside Elections: Toss-up |
Ballotpedia analysis |
Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2019 Impact of term limits in 2019 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2019 |
Kentucky executive elections |
Governor Lieutenant governor |
Incumbent Matt Bevin (R) defeated challengers Robert Goforth (R), Ike Lawrence (R), and William Woods (R) in the Republican primary for governor of Kentucky. Bevin received 52 percent of the vote to Goforth's 39 percent. Woods and Lawrence received 5 and 3 percent, respectively.
The Republican primary was held on May 21, 2019. Bevin announced his re-election campaign on January 25, 2019, and chose state Sen. Ralph Alvarado as his running mate.[1] The Lexington Herald-Leader speculated that Alvarado's background in medicine could be helpful to Bevin as the governor continues to pursue changes to the Medicaid system.[2] Bevin is the third consecutive sitting governor of Kentucky to choose a different running mate in his re-election campaign.[3]
State Rep. Robert Goforth (R) announced he was entering the race with Lawrence County attorney Mike Hogan as his running mate on January 8, 2019. Goforth was first elected to political office in February 2018, winning a special election to a seat in the Kentucky state House.[4] Goforth is focusing his campaign on running as a native Kentuckian while portraying Bevin as an outsider. Announcing his candidacy, Goforth said, "I believe Kentucky deserves a governor who is one of us . . . Our commonwealth needs a chief executive who is a conservative molded not by New England and Wall Street, but by Kentucky and Main Street."[5]
Ike Lawrence filed to run with James Anthony Rose, and William E. Woods filed to run with Justin Miller.
The filing deadline for candidates was January 29, 2019. Gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial candidates run on a slate together.
Kentucky primary voter? Dates you need to know. | |
---|---|
Primary Election | May 21, 2019 |
Candidate Filing Deadline | January 29, 2019 |
Registration Deadline | April 22, 2019 |
Absentee Application Deadline | May 14, 2019 |
General Election | November 5, 2019 |
Voting information | |
Primary Type | Closed |
Polling place hours | 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. |
Polling locations: Go to your assigned precinct for election day. |
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the general election, click here.
Candidates and election results
Governor
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Kentucky
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Matt Bevin | 52.3 | 136,069 |
Robert Goforth | 38.9 | 101,345 | ||
William Woods | 5.5 | 14,440 | ||
![]() | Ike Lawrence | 3.2 | 8,412 |
Total votes: 260,266 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Lieutenant governor
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Ralph Alvarado | 52.4 | 136,069 |
![]() | Michael T. Hogan | 39.0 | 101,345 | |
Justin Miller | 5.4 | 14,040 | ||
James Anthony Rose | 3.2 | 8,412 |
Total votes: 259,866 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Election results by county
The map below highlights each county based on which candidate received the most votes there. A darker shade indicates a higher percentage of total votes for that candidate.
Political analysis of election outcome
Bevin's margin of victory
Eric Ostermeier of Smart Politics found that Bevin's 13.4 percent margin fo victory in the 2019 Republican primary was the smallest margin of victory of any Kentucky governor seeking re-election since the state implemented a primary system in 1903. Eight sitting governors have appeared on a primary ballot since then, and the average margin of victory in a contested primary was 30.85 percent across four races. The four other governors seeking re-election ran unopposed. The only other Republican governor to seek re-election was Ernie Fletcher, who won his party's nomination with a 13.6 percent margin of victory.[6]
Candidate profiles
The candidates below have been mentioned by media coverage as top contenders. They are listed in alphabetical order.
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: Governor of Kentucky (Assumed office: 2015)
Biography: Bevin was born in New Hampshire and earned his bachelor's degree from Washington and Lee University. Bevin served in the U.S. Army and reached the rank of captain. After his military career, Bevin worked in financial services, founding Integrity Asset Management in 2003 before becoming president of Bevin Brothers, a bell manufacturing company, in 2011.
- Bevin highlighted his work with the state budget. His website stated that he "[p]assed a fiscally conservative budget that makes a historic commitment to our ailing pension system and restores fiscal responsibility in state government."[7]
- Bevin indicated that healthcare policy is one of his priorities. His website said, "Governor Bevin is working to improve the health of Kentuckians on a variety of fronts. Kentucky HEALTH will help improve health outcomes while ensuring the long term viability of the Medicaid program."[7]
- Bevin waned the state to invest further in charter schools. His website stated, "This historic charter school legislation represents a truly momentous step forward in providing quality choices for Kentucky’s most vulnerable students, creating the promise of real opportunity for young people and their parents where hope does not currently exist. These are tuition-free public schools, open to any student who wishes to attend."[7]
Party: Republican
Incumbent: No
Political office: Kentucky House of Representatives (Assumed office: 2018)
Biography: Goforth was born in Kentucky and served in the U.S. Army as a combat engineer. Following his military career, Goforth graduated from pharmacy school at the University of Kentucky and founded pharmacies in southeast Kentucky.[8]
- Goforth challenged the tone of the current administration. At a news conference, Goforth said, "I believe Kentucky deserves a governor who is one of us . . . Our commonwealth needs a chief executive who is a conservative molded not by New England and Wall Street, but by Kentucky and Main Street."[5]
- Goforth ran a campaign focused on working families, small business owners, and seniors. His website called his agenda "people-first."[8]
Endorsements
Do you know of an official or organization that endorsed a candidate in this race? Let Ballotpedia know by email at editor@ballotpedia.org.
Matt Bevin
- President Donald Trump (R)[9]
Timeline
- May 21, 2019: President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Bevin in a Twitter post.[9]
- May 2, 2019: Secretary of State Alison Grimes (D) announced that a record total of 3,421,796 Kentuckians were registered to vote in the state's gubernatorial primary.[10]
- March 8, 2019: Vice President Mike Pence (R) appeared at a Bevin campaign fundraiser in Lexington.[11]
- January 29, 2019: The filing deadline passed. Four candidates filed to run: Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin (R), state Rep. Robert Goforth (R), Ike Lawrence (R), and William E. Woods (R).
- January 25, 2019: Gov. Matt Bevin announced he was running for re-election. He identified State Sen. Ralph Alvarado as his running mate.[1]
Campaign themes
Candidate survey
Ballotpedia invites candidates to participate in its annual survey. |
The following campaign themes came from the candidates' campaign websites, where available.
Matt Bevin
“ |
Strengthening Kentucky’s Financial Foundation Passed a fiscally conservative budget that makes a historic commitment to our ailing pension system and restores fiscal responsibility in state government. Growing Kentucky’s Economy Kentucky will be the epicenter of engineering and manufacturing excellence in America Creating A Healthier Kentucky Governor Bevin is working to improve the health of Kentuckians on a variety of fronts. Protecting and Strengthening Our Communities
Investing In Education & Workforce This historic charter school legislation represents a truly momentous step forward in providing quality choices for Kentucky’s most vulnerable students, creating the promise of real opportunity for young people and their parents where hope does not currently exist. These are tuition-free public schools, open to any student who wishes to attend. Serving Those Who Serve Us While public servants do not do what they do for recognition, Gov. Bevin strongly believes Kentucky should serve those who serve their communities. |
” |
—Matt Bevin[7] |
Robert Goforth
“ | Christian. Husband. Father. Veteran. Pharmacist. Business Owner. Farmer. State Representative. Conservative. These are some of the words that describe Dr. Robert Goforth.
Robert is running for Kentucky’s Governor because he wants to give back to the state and the people that helped him to succeed in life. Robert grew up in poverty, enlisted in the U.S. Army when he became of age, and served as a combat engineer. Robert put himself through college at the University of Kentucky, and graduated from pharmacy school, becoming a Doctor of Pharmacy (Pharm.D.). As a pharmacist and business owner, Robert knows all about self-reliance, hard work, and what it takes to accomplish goals. He’s a proven job creator. Robert built his businesses from the ground up, building his pharmacies in Southeast Kentucky up from zero to multimillion dollars in annual revenues. Robert created over 30 jobs in his businesses for people in our region. Robert is committed to a people-first agenda that values working families, small business owners, and seniors. [12] |
” |
—Robert Goforth[8] |
William Woods
“ |
Public Education The top priority of our administration will be to safeguard Kentucky's Public Education System. We will Keep the Promise made to Kentucky's Educators. We will stand up to those willing to sacrifice experienced and dedicated educators for their own political and financial gain. Combating the Drug Epidemic We will call out the corrupt processes that have left our citizens more vulnerable to becoming victims of illegal drug use. We will fight to ensure our children have a future, free from the addictions taking too many Kentucky lives. We will end the state-sponsored drug loophole. A Realistic Pension Fund Solution We will work with Republicans and Democrats to give the public realistic expectations for a fix to this self-inflicted crisis. We will call out those who continue to lie about the real problems behind the epidemic. We will offer new funding solutions that do NOT include raising taxes. Casino Gaming Kentuckians send hundreds of millions in taxpayer dollars to states like Indiana and Ohio each year. Meanwhile, Kentucky's elected leaders are wined and dined by casino magnates and gaming experts on the possibilities for Kentucky casinos. It's time that the average Kentuckian benefits from casino tax revenue. A Budget that Works for the People We will trim the budget. We will stop the wasteful spending that steals the tax dollars of hard-working Kentuckians and puts the lives of our citizens at risk. |
” |
—William Woods[13] |
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Matt Bevin
|
Robert Goforth
Our fourth ad hit the airwaves today across Kentucky! Check it out, and help us to keep spreading our message by contributing $5, $10, $25, $50 or more today.
— Robert Goforth (@goforthforky) April 25, 2019
|
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Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
2019 Kentucky gubernatorial Republican primary | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Bevin | Goforth | Lawrence | Woods | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||||
Cygnal May 10-May 12, 2019 | 56% | 18% | 2% | 1% | 23% | +/-4.0 | 600 | ||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Campaign finance
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[14][15][16]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- Putting Kentucky First made a $94,000 ad buy to support Bevin on April 26, 2019.[17]
Social media
Twitter accounts
- As of January 2019, Ike Lawrence did not have a Twitter account.
Tweets by Matt Bevin Tweets by Robert Goforth Tweets by William Woods
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
One of 120 Kentucky counties—0.83 percent—is a pivot county. Pivot counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Elliott County, Kentucky | 44.13% | 2.50% | 25.17% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Kentucky with 62.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 32.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1792 and 2016, Kentucky voted Democratic 45.6 percent of the time and Republican 26.3 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Kentucky voted Republican all five times.[18]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Kentucky. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[19][20]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 18 out of 100 state House districts in Kentucky with an average margin of victory of 24.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 18 out of 100 state House districts in Kentucky with an average margin of victory of 25 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 82 out of 100 state House districts in Kentucky with an average margin of victory of 32.8 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 82 out of 100 state House districts in Kentucky with an average margin of victory of 42 points. Trump won 20 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 28.28% | 70.29% | R+42 | 21.07% | 75.71% | R+54.6 | R |
2 | 28.39% | 70.02% | R+41.6 | 19.66% | 76.54% | R+56.9 | R |
3 | 40.47% | 57.82% | R+17.3 | 36.33% | 58.93% | R+22.6 | D |
4 | 28.50% | 70.01% | R+41.5 | 19.59% | 76.79% | R+57.2 | R |
5 | 34.38% | 63.66% | R+29.3 | 28.15% | 66.52% | R+38.4 | R |
6 | 32.05% | 66.22% | R+34.2 | 22.63% | 73.37% | R+50.7 | D |
7 | 34.35% | 64.05% | R+29.7 | 25.60% | 69.99% | R+44.4 | R |
8 | 45.14% | 53.78% | R+8.6 | 40.22% | 56.32% | R+16.1 | R |
9 | 29.19% | 69.46% | R+40.3 | 22.92% | 73.34% | R+50.4 | R |
10 | 40.43% | 57.99% | R+17.6 | 29.06% | 66.06% | R+37 | D |
11 | 43.65% | 55.17% | R+11.5 | 34.91% | 60.53% | R+25.6 | R |
12 | 31.04% | 67.42% | R+36.4 | 20.94% | 75.28% | R+54.3 | R |
13 | 46.17% | 51.87% | R+5.7 | 39.24% | 54.05% | R+14.8 | R |
14 | 31.99% | 66.02% | R+34 | 22.42% | 73.01% | R+50.6 | R |
15 | 35.13% | 63.22% | R+28.1 | 23.89% | 72.90% | R+49 | R |
16 | 31.83% | 66.81% | R+35 | 24.20% | 72.59% | R+48.4 | R |
17 | 29.65% | 69.19% | R+39.5 | 26.55% | 68.13% | R+41.6 | R |
18 | 30.68% | 67.92% | R+37.2 | 21.96% | 74.00% | R+52 | R |
19 | 36.66% | 61.97% | R+25.3 | 28.23% | 67.66% | R+39.4 | R |
20 | 47.55% | 50.21% | R+2.7 | 47.28% | 45.81% | D+1.5 | D |
21 | 29.72% | 68.87% | R+39.2 | 19.57% | 77.59% | R+58 | R |
22 | 30.68% | 68.01% | R+37.3 | 22.20% | 73.97% | R+51.8 | D |
23 | 32.54% | 65.99% | R+33.5 | 23.11% | 72.94% | R+49.8 | R |
24 | 35.21% | 63.25% | R+28 | 24.18% | 72.15% | R+48 | R |
25 | 36.11% | 62.25% | R+26.1 | 29.69% | 64.91% | R+35.2 | R |
26 | 32.43% | 66.01% | R+33.6 | 25.01% | 70.56% | R+45.6 | R |
27 | 42.17% | 56.05% | R+13.9 | 30.64% | 64.67% | R+34 | D |
28 | 44.94% | 53.71% | R+8.8 | 37.86% | 57.69% | R+19.8 | D |
29 | 39.17% | 59.62% | R+20.5 | 38.23% | 56.76% | R+18.5 | R |
30 | 71.73% | 26.98% | D+44.8 | 69.58% | 25.88% | D+43.7 | D |
31 | 50.04% | 48.33% | D+1.7 | 50.75% | 43.48% | D+7.3 | D |
32 | 43.38% | 55.29% | R+11.9 | 47.38% | 46.66% | D+0.7 | R |
33 | 41.13% | 57.48% | R+16.3 | 43.59% | 50.25% | R+6.7 | R |
34 | 59.79% | 37.94% | D+21.9 | 65.14% | 28.16% | D+37 | D |
35 | 56.21% | 41.52% | D+14.7 | 53.85% | 39.87% | D+14 | D |
36 | 32.23% | 66.72% | R+34.5 | 35.92% | 58.96% | R+23 | R |
37 | 49.68% | 48.67% | D+1 | 44.50% | 49.97% | R+5.5 | D |
38 | 54.21% | 44.14% | D+10.1 | 48.62% | 46.39% | D+2.2 | D |
39 | 33.35% | 64.62% | R+31.3 | 30.32% | 63.52% | R+33.2 | D |
40 | 67.80% | 30.82% | D+37 | 64.07% | 31.32% | D+32.8 | D |
41 | 76.55% | 21.94% | D+54.6 | 75.28% | 19.22% | D+56.1 | D |
42 | 85.66% | 12.50% | D+73.2 | 84.31% | 10.77% | D+73.5 | D |
43 | 76.26% | 23.02% | D+53.2 | 74.36% | 21.81% | D+52.6 | D |
44 | 60.58% | 38.30% | D+22.3 | 55.32% | 41.13% | D+14.2 | D |
45 | 37.40% | 60.69% | R+23.3 | 41.04% | 51.95% | R+10.9 | R |
46 | 54.38% | 44.35% | D+10 | 50.32% | 44.79% | D+5.5 | D |
47 | 40.04% | 58.29% | R+18.3 | 25.17% | 70.32% | R+45.2 | D |
48 | 41.16% | 57.55% | R+16.4 | 46.46% | 48.29% | R+1.8 | R |
49 | 32.77% | 65.53% | R+32.8 | 23.27% | 72.25% | R+49 | D |
50 | 41.07% | 57.59% | R+16.5 | 30.97% | 64.66% | R+33.7 | R |
51 | 26.66% | 72.21% | R+45.5 | 19.84% | 76.57% | R+56.7 | R |
52 | 22.27% | 76.72% | R+54.4 | 15.23% | 82.44% | R+67.2 | R |
53 | 30.93% | 67.34% | R+36.4 | 21.74% | 73.75% | R+52 | R |
54 | 30.10% | 68.30% | R+38.2 | 26.05% | 69.78% | R+43.7 | R |
55 | 28.09% | 70.49% | R+42.4 | 23.18% | 70.94% | R+47.8 | R |
56 | 42.41% | 55.60% | R+13.2 | 40.91% | 52.53% | R+11.6 | D |
57 | 50.60% | 47.40% | D+3.2 | 45.10% | 49.31% | R+4.2 | D |
58 | 35.55% | 63.19% | R+27.6 | 30.51% | 64.14% | R+33.6 | R |
59 | 30.49% | 67.97% | R+37.5 | 30.74% | 63.05% | R+32.3 | R |
60 | 27.40% | 70.85% | R+43.4 | 24.75% | 69.46% | R+44.7 | R |
61 | 30.41% | 68.03% | R+37.6 | 21.75% | 73.63% | R+51.9 | R |
62 | 37.00% | 61.15% | R+24.2 | 31.04% | 63.50% | R+32.5 | R |
63 | 31.20% | 66.99% | R+35.8 | 31.78% | 61.61% | R+29.8 | R |
64 | 31.06% | 67.21% | R+36.2 | 26.56% | 67.11% | R+40.5 | R |
65 | 56.23% | 41.12% | D+15.1 | 50.32% | 42.57% | D+7.8 | D |
66 | 28.55% | 69.70% | R+41.2 | 25.31% | 68.35% | R+43 | R |
67 | 48.32% | 49.06% | R+0.7 | 44.07% | 48.71% | R+4.6 | D |
68 | 31.30% | 66.80% | R+35.5 | 29.27% | 64.48% | R+35.2 | R |
69 | 38.90% | 58.93% | R+20 | 34.35% | 58.94% | R+24.6 | R |
70 | 35.60% | 62.91% | R+27.3 | 23.57% | 72.93% | R+49.4 | D |
71 | 22.53% | 75.99% | R+53.5 | 18.98% | 77.49% | R+58.5 | R |
72 | 40.10% | 58.03% | R+17.9 | 32.18% | 63.34% | R+31.2 | D |
73 | 32.99% | 65.40% | R+32.4 | 28.17% | 67.15% | R+39 | R |
74 | 36.76% | 61.45% | R+24.7 | 26.75% | 69.75% | R+43 | R |
75 | 56.44% | 40.17% | D+16.3 | 59.29% | 32.42% | D+26.9 | D |
76 | 54.20% | 43.37% | D+10.8 | 54.52% | 39.06% | D+15.5 | D |
77 | 70.90% | 26.97% | D+43.9 | 67.96% | 26.00% | D+42 | D |
78 | 35.41% | 62.52% | R+27.1 | 25.41% | 70.22% | R+44.8 | R |
79 | 52.52% | 44.89% | D+7.6 | 54.48% | 38.07% | D+16.4 | D |
80 | 25.27% | 73.15% | R+47.9 | 18.88% | 77.48% | R+58.6 | R |
81 | 41.73% | 55.80% | R+14.1 | 39.31% | 54.03% | R+14.7 | R |
82 | 20.17% | 78.63% | R+58.5 | 14.96% | 82.26% | R+67.3 | R |
83 | 18.35% | 80.19% | R+61.8 | 13.46% | 83.72% | R+70.3 | R |
84 | 18.79% | 79.76% | R+61 | 17.84% | 79.62% | R+61.8 | R |
85 | 16.98% | 81.77% | R+64.8 | 13.26% | 83.41% | R+70.1 | R |
86 | 21.03% | 77.60% | R+56.6 | 14.55% | 82.39% | R+67.8 | R |
87 | 21.56% | 76.86% | R+55.3 | 15.69% | 81.91% | R+66.2 | D |
88 | 37.91% | 60.16% | R+22.3 | 42.13% | 50.98% | R+8.8 | R |
89 | 21.00% | 77.27% | R+56.3 | 17.30% | 78.99% | R+61.7 | R |
90 | 14.04% | 84.43% | R+70.4 | 11.55% | 85.97% | R+74.4 | R |
91 | 26.26% | 71.89% | R+45.6 | 21.15% | 75.56% | R+54.4 | R |
92 | 26.17% | 71.86% | R+45.7 | 20.45% | 76.99% | R+56.5 | R |
93 | 22.68% | 75.61% | R+52.9 | 15.01% | 82.81% | R+67.8 | D |
94 | 20.88% | 76.88% | R+56 | 17.76% | 78.99% | R+61.2 | D |
95 | 30.76% | 66.72% | R+36 | 23.50% | 73.36% | R+49.9 | R |
96 | 33.82% | 63.97% | R+30.1 | 20.35% | 76.02% | R+55.7 | R |
97 | 25.32% | 72.56% | R+47.2 | 17.72% | 79.37% | R+61.6 | R |
98 | 39.52% | 58.63% | R+19.1 | 25.37% | 71.06% | R+45.7 | R |
99 | 40.29% | 57.31% | R+17 | 28.36% | 67.88% | R+39.5 | D |
100 | 41.11% | 56.89% | R+15.8 | 29.95% | 65.87% | R+35.9 | D |
Total | 37.81% | 60.51% | R+22.7 | 32.69% | 62.54% | R+29.8 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Kentucky heading into the 2019 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Kentucky.
- Following the 2018 elections, Republicans held five of six U.S. House seats in Kentucky.
State executives
- As of January 2019, Democrats held five of 14 state executive positions, Democrats held two, and the remaining seven positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Kentucky was Republican Matt Bevin. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 5, 2019.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Kentucky General Assembly. They had a 62-37 majority in the state House and a -11 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Illinois was under a Republican trifecta, meaning that the one party controlled the state government. Matt Bevin (R) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Kentucky elections, 2018
In 2018, Kentucky held elections for all six of its Congressional seats, 19 of 38 seats in the Kentucky State Senate, all 100 seats in the Kentucky House of Representatives, one seat on the Kentucky Supreme Court, and two seats on the Kentucky Court of Appeals. There was also one constitutional amendment on the ballot.
Demographics
Demographic data for Kentucky | ||
---|---|---|
Kentucky | U.S. | |
Total population: | 4,424,611 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 39,486 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 87.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 7.9% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 1.3% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.1% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 3.3% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 84.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 22.3% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $43,740 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 22.7% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Kentucky. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Kentucky's three largest cities were Louisville (pop. est. 615,000), Lexington (pop. est. 315,000), and Bowling Green (pop. est. 64,000).[21][22]
Context of the 2019 elections
Party control in Kentucky
A state government trifecta is a term that describes single-party government, when one political party holds the governor's office and has majorities in both chambers of the legislature in a state government. Kentucky's 2019 gubernatorial election will either preserve the state's Republican trifecta or return it to divided government. Kentucky has been a Republican trifecta since the start of the 2017 legislative session. Gov. Matt Bevin is a Republican and Republicans control both chambers of the legislature.
Since 1992, there have been 11 years of trifecta control of the state out of 28: eight for Democrats from 1992 to 1999, and three for Republicans from 2017 to 2019.
A Democratic victory in the gubernatorial election would ensure divided government for at least four years. A Republican victory would maintain their trifecta through at least 2020 when the state holds its next legislative elections.
Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2025
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Election history
2015
Governor and Lieutenant Governor, 2015 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
52.5% | 511,771 | |
Democrat | Jack Conway/Sannie Overly | 43.8% | 426,827 | |
Independent | Drew Curtis/Heather Curtis | 3.7% | 35,627 | |
Total Votes | 974,225 | |||
Election results via Kentucky Secretary of State |
2011
Governor and Lt. Governor of Kentucky, 2011 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
55.7% | 464,245 | |
Republican | David Williams and Richie Farmer | 35.3% | 294,034 | |
Independent | Gatewood Galbraith and Dea Riley | 9% | 74,860 | |
Total Votes | 833,139 | |||
Election results via Kentucky Secretary of State |
2007
Governor and Lieutenant Governor, 2007 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
58.7% | 619,552 | |
Republican | Ernie Fletcher and Robbie Rudolph | 41.3% | 435,773 | |
Total Votes | 1,055,325 | |||
Election results via Kentucky Secretary of State |
2003
Governor and Lieutenant Governor, 2003 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
55% | 596,284 | |
Democratic | Ben Chandler and Charlie Owen | 45% | 487,159 | |
Total Votes | 1,083,443 | |||
Election results via Kentucky Secretary of State |
State profile
- See also: Kentucky and Kentucky elections, 2019
Partisan data
The information in this section was current as of May 7, 2019
Presidential voting pattern
- Kentucky voted Republican in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2018 elections, both U.S. Senators from Kentucky were Republican.
- Kentucky had one Democratic and five Republican U.S. Representatives.
State executives
- Democrats held two and Republicans held five of Kentucky's 14 state executive offices. Elections for the other offices are nonpartisan.
- Kentucky's governor was Republican Matt Bevin.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled the Kentucky State Senate with a 29-9 majority.
- Republicans controlled the Kentucky House of Representatives with a 61-39 majority.
Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2025
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
|
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Demographic data for Kentucky | ||
---|---|---|
Kentucky | U.S. | |
Total population: | 4,424,611 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 39,486 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 87.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 7.9% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 1.3% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.1% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 3.3% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 84.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 22.3% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $43,740 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 22.7% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Kentucky. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
See also
Kentucky government: |
Elections: |
Ballotpedia exclusives: |
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Courier Journal, "Matt Bevin will make announcement about the governor's race today," January 25, 2019
- ↑ Lexington Herald-Leader, "Bevin dumps Hampton, announces Ralph Alvarado as his lieutenant governor running mate," January 26, 2019
- ↑ Smart Politics, "Bevin Brings In New Blood," January 29, 2019
- ↑ Courier Journal, "Robert Goforth enters governor's race, gives GOP a Bevin alternative," January 8, 2019
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Louisville Courier Journal, "Robert Goforth enters governor's race, gives GOP a Bevin alternative," January 8, 2019
- ↑ Smart Politics, "Bevin Records Narrowest Primary Victory by Kentucky Governor," May 23, 2019
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 Governor of Kentucky, "Priorities," accessed January 31, 2019
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 Goforth for Kentucky, "Home," accessed January 31, 2019
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 Twitter, "Donald Trump on May 21, 2019," accessed May 21, 2019
- ↑ Twitter, "Bluegrass Politics on May 2,” accessed May 3, 2019
- ↑ WUKY, "Mike Pence Stumps For Kentucky's Republican Governor," March 9, 2019
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 12.2 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ My Kentucky First, "#KentuckyFirst Agenda," accessed January 31, 2019
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ Twitter, “Medium Buying on April 26, 2019,” accessed April 26, 2019
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Kentucky," accessed June 1, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Kentucky Demographics, "Kentucky Cities by Population," accessed January 31, 2019
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Kentucky," accessed January 31, 2019
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