Oregon's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (May 19 Republican primary)
- Primary date: May 19
- Primary type: Closed
- Registration deadline(s): April 28
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Early voting starts: N/A (vote-by-mail)
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): N/A (vote-by-mail)
- Voter ID: No ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.[1]
2022 →
← 2018
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| Oregon's 2nd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 10, 2020 |
| Primary: May 19, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Greg Walden (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: No polling hours (vote-by-mail) Voting in Oregon |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Oregon elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
On May 19, 2020, Cliff Bentz advanced from the Republican primary to the general election for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, defeating 10 other primary candidates. Four candidates led the primary field in fundraising and media coverage: Jason Atkinson, Cliff Bentz, Knute Buehler, and Jimmy Crumpacker.[2][3] Incumbent Greg Walden (R) announced he would not seek re-election in 2020, leaving the district open.[4]
Ballotpedia identified this race as a battleground due to the competitiveness of fundraising and messaging differences between candidates. For a compilation of candidate key messages, click here. To view campaign ads launched by candidates in the race, click here.
In the 2018 general election, Walden (R) defeated Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) 56% to 39%, and he defeated Jim Crary (D) 72% to 28% in 2016. The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+11, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average.[5] Click here to learn more about what was at stake in the general election.
This page focuses on Oregon's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Oregon's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (May 19 Democratic primary)
- Oregon's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Oregon made no changes to its primary election.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 2
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Cliff Bentz | 31.3 | 37,488 |
 | Knute Buehler | 22.1 | 26,405 | |
 | Jason Atkinson | 19.5 | 23,274 | |
 | Jimmy Crumpacker | 18.0 | 21,507 | |
 | Travis Fager  | 3.6 | 4,265 | |
 | Jeff Smith | 2.1 | 2,539 | |
| Justin Livingston | 1.1 | 1,350 | ||
 | Mark Roberts | 1.1 | 1,336 | |
 | David Campbell | 0.3 | 418 | |
 | Glenn Carey | 0.2 | 283 | |
 | Kenneth Medenbach | 0.2 | 267 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 450 | ||
| Total votes: 119,582 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Justus Mayo (R)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[6] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: Oregon State Senate (2000-2013), Oregon House of Representatives (1998-2000)
Biography: Atkinson received a bachelor's degree in history and political science from Southern Oregon University in 1992 and a master's degree in business administration and public administration from Willamette University in 1997. At the time of the election, Atkinson owned a business consulting firm that he founded. He was also an Oregon gubernatorial candidate in 2006.
Show sources
Sources: Jason Atkinson 2020 campaign website, "Home," accessed April 1, 2020 YouTube, "Jason Atkinson Opening Statement," March 11, 2020; Jason Atkinson 2020 campaign website, "About Jason," accessed April 1, 2020
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
Oregon State Senate (2018-2020), Oregon House of Representatives (2008-2018), Ontario School Board (2005-2008), Oregon Water Resources Commission (1988-1996)
Biography: Bentz received a bachelor's degree in history from Eastern Oregon College in 1974 and a degree from Lewis and Clarke Law School in 1977. After finishing law school, he joined the firm of Yturri, O’Kief, Rose, and Burnham, where, as of the 2020 election cycle, he continued to work part-time as a senior partner.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
Oregon House of Representatives (2015-2019)
Biography: Buehler received a bachelor's degree in microbiology from Oregon State University, a master's degree in politics and economy from Oxford University, and an M.D. from Johns Hopkins University. At the time of the 2020 election cycle, Buehler had worked as a surgeon throughout his career and managed a medical clinic. Buehler was a candidate for governor of Oregon in 2018.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I was born and raised in Southern California. I moved to Oregon 4 years ago and haven't looked back. I am a father of a beautiful daughter, Alexis. I am a Navy veteran of six years, a cancer survivor and a career problem solver. I have been a corporate merchant for a Fortune 50 company and supply chain manager for multiple companies.I have managed large-scale telecommunications projects in Southern California."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Crumpacker received a bachelor's degree in government from Georgetown University. After graduating, he worked for American Insurance Group before joining First New York Securities as an energy investor. Crumpacker returned to Oregon to found an asset management firm.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am Travis Fager, a working class 'career commoner'... not another career politician looking for an upgrade. I am a well-rounded candidate with relevant, real world and professional experience. I am a lifetime resident of Oregon who appreciates the people and the diversity of this state. I am a husband of 27 years, a father of three, and a grateful participant of the American Dream. I entered into politics because of my concern about the current condition and trajectory of District 2 and the country. I grew up in a rural setting on a ranch, where I learned to work hard and put more trust in God than the government. As such, I always worked a job throughout my entire youth-manual labor, farming, construction, commercial fishing and wildland firefighting. I worked my way through college, and graduated with a business degree from Eastern Oregon University. In my professional life of sales, management, distribution and commercial broadcast radio, I've traveled extensively across this nation, state and our amazingly diversified District 2 of Oregon, meeting with common folks, sharing experiences, doing business, life and pursuing the American Dream. I value all that Oregon has to offer I enjoy frequent trips to the mountains of Eastern Oregon, the trails and the rivers of Central Oregon, the Willamette Valley, Portland and frequent Oregon Coast visits. "
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I moved from the Oregon, Willamette Valley to Central Oregon in 1989. I'm 66 and now live in Crescent. I'm a wood carver, log furniture builder, log sign maker and log cabin builder. I'm running for Greg Walden's position in the House of Representatives for Oregon Second Congressional District, Greg is retiring. I've been battling the government for 30 years through the courts. Only to find the courts are corrupt. Now I feel called to a new battlefield, "CONGRESS." I was tenacious in all my court trials, I'll be tenacious in Congress. Soo, this is what I stand for; Pro Constitution Pro 2nd Amendment Strong military Take care of veterans Pro life Elected delegates to interpret the Constitution, not the Supreme Court Cede federal lands to the States Open sustainable logging Open more mining Lawful immigration Build the wall Protect farmers and ranchers Keep government out of marriage Pro Trump"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I was born and raised in the San Francisco Bay Area. When I was young there was never a family that didn't have a father, everyone owned their home, no one needed public assistance, families went on vacations and kids went to college after high school. Poverty, drugs and crime did not exist. I moved to Medford in 2010, and never looked back. If I travel North or South, the first sign of a brake light or a taxed cup of coffee makes me want to come home to Jackson County but what I considered living like a king came with a cost that we all know and see everyday. I value everything that makes our District special: the uniquely independent spirit of our community, beautiful environment, extraordinary forest land, and even the untapped opportunity. I'm running for Congress because I know what makes this district special and I know the answers to end our economic woes. The 2nd District is blessed with abundant resources, but the Federal Government has an out-sized role in our lives. It's time for your federal representative(s) to start representing their constituency so the state government no longer has the only option other than to tax you into poverty. There has to be a balance between conserving our environment and ensuring that commerce can prosper. With those fundamentals in balance, jobs, education, and opportunity will follow. That system worked for decades, and I know it can work again for all of us. We need someone in Washington who will be a strong advocate."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Jeff Smith - The Bold Republican you need in congress! I grew up on a cattle ranch north of Elgin, Oregon. I went Oregon Institute of Technology in Klamath Falls, and since then I spent most of my adult life in the aerospace industry. I have seen the hollowing out of the middle class in Oregon, and I want to bring back jobs. Protect Social Security, lower Medical Care Costs, Pro-Life, Pro- Business, Pro- Agriculture, Pro - Logging, Pro-Trump - President Trump has done an out standing job of getting the economy going, appointing great Supreme Court Justices, building the wall, and slashing regulations. Pro- Life - Jeff Smith believes that life is a gift from God, and that humane life begins at conception. Because of that, Jeff Smith is opposed to legalized abortion. He is also opposed to funding for Planned Parenthood."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 2 in 2020.
Endorsements
This section lists endorsements issued in this election. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Jason Atkinson
- The Oregonian[7]
Cliff Bentz
- Former Congressman Bob Smith[8]
Jimmy Crumpacker
- Oregon Right to Life[9]
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Jason Atkinson
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Cliff Bentz
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Knute Buehler
Supporting Buehler
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Opposing Crumpacker
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Jimmy Crumpacker
Supporting Crumpacker
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Against opponents
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Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
If you are aware of polls conducted in this race, please email us.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[10] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[11] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Atkinson | Republican Party | $301,114 | $312,843 | $-11,729 | As of September 30, 2020 |
| Cliff Bentz | Republican Party | $1,452,634 | $1,363,581 | $89,054 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Knute Buehler | Republican Party | $1,599,076 | $1,595,465 | $3,611 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| David Campbell | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Glenn Carey | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Jimmy Crumpacker | Republican Party | $998,842 | $998,842 | $0 | As of November 20, 2020 |
| Travis Fager | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Justin Livingston | Republican Party | $8,885 | $8,905 | $80 | As of June 30, 2020 |
| Kenneth Medenbach | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Mark Roberts | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Jeff Smith | Republican Party | $30,964 | $41,966 | $-12,002 | As of May 27, 2020 |
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Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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As of April 2020, the following candidates had self-funded portions of their campaigns:
- Crumpacker loaned his campaign $200,000
- Bentz loaned his campaign $100,000
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[12][13][14]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
Primaries in Oregon
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Oregon generally utilizes a closed primary process. The selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members for presidential and legislative elections.[15][16]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
What was at stake in the general election
U.S. House elections were held on November 3, 2020, and coincided with the 2020 presidential election. All 435 House districts were up for election, and the results determined control of the U.S. House in the 117th Congress.
At the time of the election, Democrats had a 232-197 advantage over Republicans. There was one Libertarian member, and there were five vacancies. Republicans needed to gain a net 21 seats to win control of the House. Democrats needed to gain seats or lose fewer than 14 net seats to keep their majority.
In the 2018 midterm election, Democrats had a net gain of 40 seats, winning a 235-200 majority in the House. Heading into the 2018 election, Republicans had a 235-193 majority with seven vacancies.
In the 25 previous House elections that coincided with a presidential election, the president's party had gained House seats in 16 elections and lost seats in nine. In years where the president's party won districts, the average gain was 18. In years where the president's party lost districts, the average loss was 27. Click here for more information on presidential partisanship and down-ballot outcomes.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[17]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[18][19][20]
| Race ratings: Oregon's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+11, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oregon's 2nd Congressional District the 120th most Republican nationally.[21]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.15. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.15 points toward that party.[22]
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Two of 36 Oregon counties—5.6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
| Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
| Columbia County, Oregon | 11.46% | 5.16% | 12.02% | ||||
| Tillamook County, Oregon | 5.58% | 4.86% | 9.89% | ||||
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Oregon with 50.1 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 39.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Oregon cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 73.3 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Oregon supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 56.7 to 43.3 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every election between between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Oregon. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[23][24]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 39 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 26.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 36 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 31.6 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 21 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 20.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 24 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 24 points. Trump won three districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 37.15% | 59.91% | R+22.8 | 30.45% | 63.42% | R+33 | R |
| 2 | 35.86% | 61.05% | R+25.2 | 27.65% | 65.58% | R+37.9 | R |
| 3 | 38.59% | 58.64% | R+20.1 | 32.16% | 60.97% | R+28.8 | R |
| 4 | 34.06% | 63.51% | R+29.4 | 27.52% | 66.33% | R+38.8 | R |
| 5 | 60.76% | 35.69% | D+25.1 | 58.86% | 33.66% | D+25.2 | D |
| 6 | 43.64% | 53.69% | R+10 | 40.10% | 52.36% | R+12.3 | R |
| 7 | 40.94% | 55.86% | R+14.9 | 32.79% | 59.77% | R+27 | R |
| 8 | 68.36% | 28.03% | D+40.3 | 65.84% | 26.50% | D+39.3 | D |
| 9 | 49.44% | 47.54% | D+1.9 | 40.23% | 52.56% | R+12.3 | D |
| 10 | 55.67% | 41.16% | D+14.5 | 47.25% | 45.02% | D+2.2 | D |
| 11 | 55.39% | 41.57% | D+13.8 | 50.86% | 41.87% | D+9 | D |
| 12 | 56.62% | 40.21% | D+16.4 | 49.34% | 41.70% | D+7.6 | D |
| 13 | 63.69% | 32.89% | D+30.8 | 62.35% | 29.39% | D+33 | D |
| 14 | 57.20% | 40.05% | D+17.1 | 51.09% | 40.77% | D+10.3 | D |
| 15 | 44.80% | 52.00% | R+7.2 | 39.46% | 51.33% | R+11.9 | R |
| 16 | 68.67% | 27.22% | D+41.4 | 69.48% | 20.98% | D+48.5 | D |
| 17 | 36.23% | 60.65% | R+24.4 | 27.71% | 64.47% | R+36.8 | R |
| 18 | 38.39% | 59.05% | R+20.7 | 33.45% | 58.97% | R+25.5 | R |
| 19 | 44.87% | 52.96% | R+8.1 | 42.46% | 50.19% | R+7.7 | R |
| 20 | 50.99% | 46.50% | D+4.5 | 49.71% | 42.02% | D+7.7 | D |
| 21 | 57.81% | 39.39% | D+18.4 | 53.19% | 38.56% | D+14.6 | D |
| 22 | 54.27% | 42.99% | D+11.3 | 52.07% | 40.38% | D+11.7 | D |
| 23 | 43.15% | 54.01% | R+10.9 | 36.74% | 55.52% | R+18.8 | R |
| 24 | 47.77% | 49.67% | R+1.9 | 44.83% | 46.73% | R+1.9 | R |
| 25 | 43.43% | 54.28% | R+10.8 | 40.87% | 50.61% | R+9.7 | R |
| 26 | 49.24% | 48.65% | D+0.6 | 51.80% | 40.43% | D+11.4 | R |
| 27 | 62.96% | 34.72% | D+28.2 | 66.84% | 25.48% | D+41.4 | D |
| 28 | 59.90% | 37.33% | D+22.6 | 59.87% | 31.58% | D+28.3 | D |
| 29 | 54.53% | 42.09% | D+12.4 | 52.00% | 38.65% | D+13.4 | D |
| 30 | 56.91% | 40.02% | D+16.9 | 57.59% | 33.00% | D+24.6 | D |
| 31 | 52.12% | 44.60% | D+7.5 | 44.06% | 47.64% | R+3.6 | D |
| 32 | 52.75% | 44.09% | D+8.7 | 45.64% | 46.09% | R+0.5 | D |
| 33 | 65.90% | 31.83% | D+34.1 | 72.64% | 20.98% | D+51.7 | D |
| 34 | 63.85% | 33.25% | D+30.6 | 67.22% | 24.53% | D+42.7 | D |
| 35 | 60.70% | 36.93% | D+23.8 | 63.83% | 28.39% | D+35.4 | D |
| 36 | 79.34% | 17.38% | D+62 | 82.77% | 11.05% | D+71.7 | D |
| 37 | 52.79% | 45.42% | D+7.4 | 57.22% | 35.31% | D+21.9 | R |
| 38 | 65.77% | 32.10% | D+33.7 | 71.88% | 22.01% | D+49.9 | D |
| 39 | 42.78% | 55.07% | R+12.3 | 38.83% | 54.39% | R+15.6 | R |
| 40 | 53.15% | 44.33% | D+8.8 | 49.14% | 42.74% | D+6.4 | D |
| 41 | 70.80% | 26.25% | D+44.5 | 70.28% | 22.34% | D+47.9 | D |
| 42 | 87.06% | 7.84% | D+79.2 | 87.10% | 6.08% | D+81 | D |
| 43 | 89.37% | 6.92% | D+82.5 | 89.00% | 5.40% | D+83.6 | D |
| 44 | 82.65% | 13.55% | D+69.1 | 81.66% | 11.41% | D+70.2 | D |
| 45 | 79.69% | 17.31% | D+62.4 | 80.42% | 13.55% | D+66.9 | D |
| 46 | 79.45% | 16.72% | D+62.7 | 80.06% | 13.10% | D+67 | D |
| 47 | 66.01% | 31.23% | D+34.8 | 63.57% | 29.15% | D+34.4 | D |
| 48 | 61.00% | 36.01% | D+25 | 59.27% | 32.83% | D+26.4 | D |
| 49 | 57.08% | 40.26% | D+16.8 | 51.57% | 40.49% | D+11.1 | D |
| 50 | 54.82% | 42.75% | D+12.1 | 51.27% | 41.12% | D+10.2 | D |
| 51 | 53.04% | 44.74% | D+8.3 | 50.91% | 41.90% | D+9 | D |
| 52 | 51.53% | 45.97% | D+5.6 | 46.57% | 45.78% | D+0.8 | R |
| 53 | 40.98% | 56.77% | R+15.8 | 39.36% | 53.26% | R+13.9 | R |
| 54 | 54.38% | 42.95% | D+11.4 | 55.64% | 35.94% | D+19.7 | R |
| 55 | 32.25% | 65.13% | R+32.9 | 24.43% | 69.92% | R+45.5 | R |
| 56 | 28.24% | 69.10% | R+40.9 | 23.76% | 69.30% | R+45.5 | R |
| 57 | 32.89% | 64.08% | R+31.2 | 27.24% | 65.33% | R+38.1 | R |
| 58 | 33.98% | 63.22% | R+29.2 | 27.37% | 65.78% | R+38.4 | R |
| 59 | 42.10% | 55.62% | R+13.5 | 36.82% | 56.07% | R+19.3 | R |
| 60 | 26.45% | 70.57% | R+44.1 | 20.38% | 73.39% | R+53 | R |
| Total | 54.64% | 42.46% | D+12.2 | 51.96% | 40.57% | D+11.4 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 2nd Congressional District candidates in Oregon in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oregon, click here.
| Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| Oregon | 2nd Congressional District | Major party | 0 | N/A | $100.00 | Fixed number | 3/10/2020 | Source |
| Oregon | 2nd Congressional District | Unaffiliated | 4,050 | 1% of votes cast in the district for president | N/A | N/A | 8/25/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Oregon District 2
Incumbent Greg Walden defeated Jamie McLeod-Skinner and Mark Roberts in the general election for U.S. House Oregon District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Greg Walden (R) | 56.3 | 207,597 |
 | Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) | 39.4 | 145,298 | |
| Mark Roberts (Independent Party of Oregon) | 4.2 | 15,536 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 278 | ||
| Total votes: 368,709 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 2
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 2 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | 43.7 | 25,351 |
 | Jennifer Neahring | 24.2 | 14,020 | |
 | Jim Crary | 11.7 | 6,774 | |
 | Timothy White | 6.0 | 3,469 | |
 | Raz Mason | 5.4 | 3,137 | |
 | Eric Burnette | 4.7 | 2,734 | |
 | Michael Byrne | 4.4 | 2,546 | |
| Total votes: 58,031 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 2
Incumbent Greg Walden defeated Paul Romero and Randy Pollock in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 2 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Greg Walden | 77.6 | 71,543 |
 | Paul Romero | 16.5 | 15,181 | |
| Randy Pollock | 6.0 | 5,514 | ||
| Total votes: 92,238 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Independent Party of Oregon primary election
Independent Party of Oregon primary for U.S. House Oregon District 2
Mark Roberts advanced from the Independent Party of Oregon primary for U.S. House Oregon District 2 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Mark Roberts | 100.0 | 3,441 |
| Total votes: 3,441 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Greg Walden (R) defeated Jim Crary (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Walden defeated Paul Romero in the Republican primary on May 17, 2016.[25][26]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |  Greg Walden Incumbent |
71.7% | 272,952 | |
| Democratic | Jim Crary | 28% | 106,640 | |
| N/A | Misc. | 0.3% | 1,147 | |
| Total Votes | 380,739 | |||
| Source: Oregon Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Greg Walden Incumbent |
80.1% | 85,039 | ||
| Paul Romero | 19.9% | 21,099 | ||
| Total Votes | 106,138 | |||
| Source: Oregon Secretary of State |
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State profile
- See also: Oregon and Oregon elections, 2020
Partisan data
The information in this section was current as of April 23, 2020.
Presidential voting pattern
- Oregon voted for the Democratic candidate in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2018 elections, both U.S. Senators from Oregon were Democrats.
- Oregon had four Democratic and one Republican U.S. Representatives.
State executives
- Democrats held three and a Republican held one of Oregon's 13 state executive offices. Elections for the other offices are nonpartisan.
- Oregon's governor was Democrat Kate Brown.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled the Oregon State Senate with a 18-12 majority.
- Democrats controlled the Oregon House of Representatives with a 38-22 majority.
Oregon Party Control: 1992-2025
Seventeen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
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| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
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| Demographic data for Oregon | ||
|---|---|---|
| Oregon | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 4,024,634 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 95,988 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 85.1% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 1.8% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 4% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 4.1% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 12.3% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 89.8% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 30.8% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $51,243 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 18.4% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Oregon. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
See also
- Oregon's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (May 19 Democratic primary)
- Oregon's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
- United States House elections in Oregon, 2020 (May 19 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Oregon, 2020 (May 19 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2020
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Oregon is a vote-by-mail state. Polling hours apply to vote centers where individuals can instead vote in person.
- ↑ OPB, "District Newcomer Crumpacker Raises Big Money In Race To Replace Walden," accessed March 31, 2020
- ↑ Washington Times, "'Tolerance alive and well in Oregon': Vandals destroy GOP candidate's pro-Trump sign," accessed March 31, 2020
- ↑ Politico, "Greg Walden to retire in latest sign of GOP doubts about retaking House," October 28, 2019
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
- ↑ The Oregonian, "Editorial endorsement: Voters should pick Jason Atkinson, Nik Heuertz in primaries for Congress," accessed May 5, 2020
- ↑ Facebook, "Cliff Bentz 2020 campaign," accessed April 27, 2020
- ↑ Facebook, "Jimmy Crumpacker 2020 campaign," accessed April 27, 2020
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures,"State Primary Election Types," accessed October 4, 2024
- ↑ Oregon Secretary of State,"Frequently Asked Questions," accessed October 4, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Oregon Secretary of State, "Candidate filings search results," accessed March 9, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Oregon Primary Results," May 17, 2016
