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Montana school board elections, 2015

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2015 School Board Elections

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Elections Information
Election dates2015 elections
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A total of one Montana school district among America's largest school districts by enrollment held an election in 2015 for four seats. Billings Public Schools held its election on May 5, 2015.

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Click to read about trends in Montana school board elections.

The district served 11,145 K-12 students during the 2012-2013 school year, according to the National Center for Education Statistics.[1] Click on the district name for more information on the district and its school board election.

2015 Montana School Board Elections
District Date Seats up for election Total board seats Student enrollment
Billings Public Schools 5/5/2015 4 9 11,145

Trends in Montana school board elections

See also: School boards in session: 2015 in brief
Montana school board competitiveness, 2012-2014.png

Billings Public SchoolsMontana's only school district among the 1,000 largest districts in the United States as of the 2013-2014 school year—saw low-contest school board elections between 2012 and 2015. During that time period, the district averaged 1.31 candidates per each seat up for election. In 2015, one school board seat saw no formal candidates file, leaving the contest between two write-in candidates.

The following sections analyze competitiveness and incumbency advantage in the district's school board elections. Billings Public Schools did not utilize primary or runoff elections. Winners only had to receive a plurality, or relative majority, of votes to secure a seat. All of the school board elections held in the district from 2012 to 2015 were nonpartisan.

Details of the data discussed here can be found in the table below.

Competitiveness

The 2012 and 2014 school board elections tied for the most candidates per seat with an average of 1.67, and the 2015 election had the fewest formal candidates run per seat with an average of 0.75. The 2015 election also had the highest percentage of unopposed seats, with only one candidate running for 75.00 percent of the seats on the ballot. The 2012 and 2014 election had 33.33 percent of seats go unopposed, and 66.67 percent of seats went unopposed in 2013.

Unopposed races

One of the seats up for election in 2015 saw a contested race. It was between two write-in candidates. This was a decrease from 2014, when two seats saw contested races. One seat was contested in 2013, and two seats were contested in 2012.

No candidate races

One seat on the board saw no formal candidates file for its election in 2015. No candidates initially filed to run for the High School District A seat, which left the seat open to a write-in contest. Two write-in candidates ran against each other in the election.[2]

At least one formal candidate filed for every seat up for election between 2012 to 2014.

Incumbency advantage

See also: School board incumbency analysis: 2015 in brief

Incumbents who ran for re-election in 2015 saw a 100 percent retention rate. Two incumbents filed to run in the election, and both kept their seats. The other two seats up for election in 2015 went to newcomers, one of which was a write-in candidate.

From 2012 to 2014, seven incumbents sought re-election. Only one failed to win re-election for an average incumbent retention rate of 85.71 percent over those three elections.

The map below details the success rates for incumbents who ran in the 2015 school board elections that were held in the largest school districts by enrollment in the U.S.


The map above details the success rates of incumbent who ran to retain their school board seats in the largest school districts in each state. States depicted in gray did not hold school board elections.

SBE breakdown of incumbents and newcomers elected in MT in 2015.png
SBE breakdown of incumbents and newcomers elected in MT in 2014.png

Data table

The table below displays the statistics for school board elections in Montana's largest school districts from 2012 to 2015.

Montana school board elections, 2012 - 2015
Year Total Incumbents
Seats up Candidates Candidates/
seat
Unopposed seats % unopposed % seats won by newcomers Sought re-election Unopposed Retained % retained
2015 4 3 0.75 3 75.00% 25.00% 2 2 2 100.00%
2014 3 5 1.67 1 33.33% 67.67% 1 0 1 100.00%
2013 3 4 1.33 2 67.67% 33.33% 3 2 2 67.67%
2012 3 5 1.67 1 33.33% 0.00% 3 1 3 100.00%

State profile

Demographic data for Montana
 MontanaU.S.
Total population:1,032,073316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):145,5463,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:89.2%73.6%
Black/African American:0.5%12.6%
Asian:0.7%5.1%
Native American:6.5%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
Two or more:2.5%3%
Hispanic/Latino:3.3%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:92.8%86.7%
College graduation rate:29.5%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$47,169$53,889
Persons below poverty level:17%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Montana.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

Presidential voting pattern

See also: Presidential voting trends in Montana

Montana voted Republican in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.

Pivot Counties (2016)

Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, three are located in Montana, accounting for 1.46 percent of the total pivot counties.[3]

Pivot Counties (2020)

In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Montana had two Retained Pivot Counties and one Boomerang Pivot County, accounting for 1.10 and 4.00 percent of all Retained and Boomerang Pivot Counties, respectively.

More Montana coverage on Ballotpedia

Academic performance

Education terms
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For more information on education policy terms, see this article.

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See also: Public education in Montana

NAEP scores

See also: NAEP scores by state

The National Center for Education Statistics provides state-by-state data on student achievement levels in mathematics and reading in the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP). The chart below presents the percentage of fourth and eighth grade students that scored at or above proficient in reading and math during the 2012-2013 school year. Compared to three neighboring states (North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming), Montana had the highest share of eighth grade students who scored at or above proficient in reading.[4]

Percent of students scoring at or above proficient, 2012-2013
Math - Grade 4 Math - Grade 8 Reading - Grade 4 Reading - Grade 8
Montana 45% 40% 35% 40%
North Dakota 48% 41% 34% 34%
South Dakota 40% 38% 32% 36%
Wyoming 48% 38% 37% 38%
United States 41% 34% 34% 34%
Source: United States Department of Education, ED Data Express, "State Tables"

Graduation, ACT and SAT scores

See also: Graduation rates by groups in state and ACT and SAT scores in the United States

The following table shows the graduation rates and average composite ACT and SAT scores for Montana and surrounding states during the 2012-2013 school year. All statements made in this section refer to that school year.[4][5][6]

In the United States, public schools reported graduation rates that averaged to about 81.4 percent. About 54 percent of all students in the country took the ACT, while 50 percent reported taking the SAT. The average national composite scores for those tests were 20.9 out of a possible 36 for the ACT and 1,498 out of a possible 2,400 for the SAT.[7]

Montana schools reported a graduation rate of 84.4 percent during the 2012-2013 school year, which was second-highest among its neighboring states.

In Montana, more students took the ACT than the SAT in 2013, earning an average ACT score of 21.3.

Comparison table for graduation rates and test scores, 2012-2013
State Graduation rate, 2013 Average ACT composite, 2013 Average SAT composite, 2013
Percent Quintile ranking** Score Participation rate Score Participation rate
Montana 84.4% Third 21.3 72% 1,595 25%
North Dakota 87.5% First 20.5 98% 1,799 2%
South Dakota 82.7% Third 21.9 78% 1,760 3%
Wyoming 77% Fourth 19.8 100% 1,757 4%
United States 81.4% 20.9 54% 1498 50%
**Graduation rates for states in the first quintile ranked in the top 20 percent nationally. Similarly, graduation rates for states in the fifth quintile ranked in the bottom 20 percent nationally.
Sources: United States Department of Education, "ED Data Express"
ACT.org, "2013 ACT National and State Scores"
The Commonwealth Foundation, "SAT scores by state, 2013"

Dropout rate

See also: Public high school dropout rates by state for a full comparison of dropout rates by group in all states

The high school event dropout rate indicates the proportion of students who were enrolled at some time during the school year and were expected to be enrolled in grades 9–12 in the following school year but were not enrolled by October 1 of the following school year. Students who have graduated, transferred to another school, died, moved to another country, or who are out of school due to illness are not considered dropouts. The average public high school event dropout rate for the United States remained constant at 3.3 percent for both school year 2010–11 and school year 2011–12. The event dropout rate for Montana was higher than the national average at 4.3 percent in the 2010-2011 school year, and 4.1 percent in the 2011-2012 school year.[8]

See also

Montana School Boards News and Analysis
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Footnotes