Your feedback ensures we stay focused on the facts that matter to you most—take our survey.
New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 31 (in person); Oct. 6 (online; by mail)
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 17
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: No ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
|
New Mexico's 1st Congressional District |
---|
Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 10, 2020 |
Primary: June 2, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Debra Haaland (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in New Mexico |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd New Mexico elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 1st Congressional District of New Mexico, held elections in 2020.
Incumbent Debra Haaland won election in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
---|---|---|
Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Debra Haaland, who was first elected in 2018.
New Mexico's 1st Congressional District is located in the north-central portion of the state and includes all of Torrance and parts of Bernalillo, Sandoval, Santa Fe, and Valencia counties.[1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
New Mexico modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee ballot applications were sent to all registered voters in the general election.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Incumbent Debra Haaland defeated Michelle Garcia Holmes in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Debra Haaland (D) | 58.2 | 186,953 |
![]() | Michelle Garcia Holmes (R) ![]() | 41.8 | 134,337 |
Total votes: 321,290 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Cameron Chick (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Incumbent Debra Haaland advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Debra Haaland | 100.0 | 83,032 |
Total votes: 83,032 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Cameron Chick (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Michelle Garcia Holmes defeated Jared Vander Dussen and Brett Kokinadis in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michelle Garcia Holmes ![]() | 48.1 | 23,783 |
![]() | Jared Vander Dussen | 40.2 | 19,847 | |
![]() | Brett Kokinadis ![]() | 11.7 | 5,798 |
Total votes: 49,428 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Three of 33 New Mexico counties—9 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Colfax County, New Mexico | 8.55% | 2.24% | 10.73% | ||||
Hidalgo County, New Mexico | 6.73% | 4.96% | 2.92% | ||||
Valencia County, New Mexico | 8.60% | 2.47% | 7.72% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Mexico with 48.3 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 40 percent. In presidential elections between 1912 and 2016, New Mexico voted Democratic 56 percent of the time and Republican 44 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Mexico voted Democratic four times. The state voted Republican in 2004.[2]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in New Mexico. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 45 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 29.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 45 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 26.7 points. Clinton won nine districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 25 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 24.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 25 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 27 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 20.96% | 75.79% | R+54.8 | 18.04% | 72.51% | R+54.5 | R |
2 | 27.47% | 69.17% | R+41.7 | 21.96% | 67.15% | R+45.2 | R |
3 | 22.91% | 73.48% | R+50.6 | 17.17% | 73.66% | R+56.5 | R |
4 | 51.61% | 45.33% | D+6.3 | 42.79% | 42.74% | D+0.1 | R |
5 | 70.17% | 26.83% | D+43.3 | 60.70% | 24.05% | D+36.6 | D |
6 | 70.21% | 27.48% | D+42.7 | 58.64% | 28.48% | D+30.2 | D |
7 | 50.49% | 44.11% | D+6.4 | 40.92% | 45.72% | R+4.8 | R |
8 | 46.36% | 48.66% | R+2.3 | 37.51% | 49.60% | R+12.1 | R |
9 | 71.00% | 26.44% | D+44.6 | 61.37% | 24.12% | D+37.2 | D |
10 | 65.21% | 30.46% | D+34.8 | 56.93% | 31.21% | D+25.7 | D |
11 | 74.16% | 20.74% | D+53.4 | 69.71% | 18.46% | D+51.2 | D |
12 | 68.74% | 26.63% | D+42.1 | 61.46% | 27.69% | D+33.8 | D |
13 | 67.68% | 27.95% | D+39.7 | 59.39% | 27.06% | D+32.3 | D |
14 | 75.95% | 20.09% | D+55.9 | 65.37% | 23.23% | D+42.1 | D |
15 | 49.95% | 45.35% | D+4.6 | 48.43% | 38.84% | D+9.6 | R |
16 | 60.23% | 35.40% | D+24.8 | 54.22% | 33.06% | D+21.2 | D |
17 | 62.55% | 32.61% | D+29.9 | 57.98% | 29.63% | D+28.3 | D |
18 | 74.99% | 17.57% | D+57.4 | 73.69% | 13.64% | D+60.1 | D |
19 | 71.55% | 22.91% | D+48.6 | 67.73% | 20.05% | D+47.7 | D |
20 | 46.26% | 48.57% | R+2.3 | 45.05% | 41.13% | D+3.9 | R |
21 | 61.08% | 33.19% | D+27.9 | 53.96% | 31.12% | D+22.8 | D |
22 | 42.30% | 51.77% | R+9.5 | 40.33% | 46.60% | R+6.3 | R |
23 | 50.61% | 44.70% | D+5.9 | 47.86% | 39.71% | D+8.1 | D |
24 | 52.10% | 42.11% | D+10 | 47.19% | 36.79% | D+10.4 | D |
25 | 60.90% | 33.31% | D+27.6 | 57.03% | 28.81% | D+28.2 | D |
26 | 62.57% | 33.00% | D+29.6 | 55.12% | 32.19% | D+22.9 | D |
27 | 43.63% | 51.56% | R+7.9 | 43.86% | 42.63% | D+1.2 | R |
28 | 43.36% | 51.02% | R+7.7 | 43.31% | 42.27% | D+1 | R |
29 | 48.16% | 47.12% | D+1 | 45.04% | 41.24% | D+3.8 | R |
30 | 50.06% | 44.08% | D+6 | 47.75% | 37.01% | D+10.7 | R |
31 | 38.29% | 57.90% | R+19.6 | 41.78% | 45.91% | R+4.1 | R |
32 | 48.95% | 47.93% | D+1 | 43.90% | 47.34% | R+3.4 | D |
33 | 57.44% | 38.34% | D+19.1 | 55.59% | 32.01% | D+23.6 | D |
34 | 67.75% | 30.86% | D+36.9 | 64.65% | 28.49% | D+36.2 | D |
35 | 58.06% | 38.71% | D+19.3 | 54.23% | 34.26% | D+20 | D |
36 | 53.29% | 43.51% | D+9.8 | 49.35% | 39.28% | D+10.1 | D |
37 | 50.09% | 46.98% | D+3.1 | 49.32% | 39.69% | D+9.6 | D |
38 | 45.97% | 50.34% | R+4.4 | 39.87% | 49.90% | R+10 | R |
39 | 53.53% | 43.60% | D+9.9 | 48.95% | 41.86% | D+7.1 | D |
40 | 69.65% | 27.03% | D+42.6 | 60.30% | 28.99% | D+31.3 | D |
41 | 74.26% | 22.15% | D+52.1 | 64.48% | 23.77% | D+40.7 | D |
42 | 77.86% | 18.20% | D+59.7 | 69.70% | 18.34% | D+51.4 | D |
43 | 51.55% | 42.52% | D+9 | 51.63% | 31.90% | D+19.7 | D |
44 | 42.34% | 53.33% | R+11 | 38.87% | 48.14% | R+9.3 | R |
45 | 75.50% | 20.49% | D+55 | 71.68% | 19.09% | D+52.6 | D |
46 | 76.11% | 19.64% | D+56.5 | 72.91% | 17.80% | D+55.1 | D |
47 | 75.23% | 21.12% | D+54.1 | 75.51% | 16.95% | D+58.6 | D |
48 | 79.43% | 16.14% | D+63.3 | 76.07% | 15.07% | D+61 | D |
49 | 48.75% | 46.04% | D+2.7 | 39.56% | 48.03% | R+8.5 | R |
50 | 54.56% | 40.49% | D+14.1 | 49.33% | 40.67% | D+8.7 | D |
51 | 34.24% | 62.18% | R+27.9 | 29.61% | 60.13% | R+30.5 | R |
52 | 62.23% | 35.17% | D+27.1 | 62.07% | 29.79% | D+32.3 | D |
53 | 48.82% | 48.52% | D+0.3 | 48.39% | 41.93% | D+6.5 | R |
54 | 32.19% | 64.92% | R+32.7 | 25.69% | 66.62% | R+40.9 | R |
55 | 29.64% | 67.48% | R+37.8 | 24.35% | 67.91% | R+43.6 | R |
56 | 34.58% | 61.37% | R+26.8 | 29.21% | 61.10% | R+31.9 | R |
57 | 45.25% | 50.34% | R+5.1 | 39.99% | 46.81% | R+6.8 | R |
58 | 43.98% | 52.91% | R+8.9 | 36.58% | 53.06% | R+16.5 | R |
59 | 29.23% | 67.78% | R+38.5 | 23.93% | 67.65% | R+43.7 | R |
60 | 42.37% | 52.23% | R+9.9 | 38.93% | 47.35% | R+8.4 | R |
61 | 32.56% | 65.02% | R+32.5 | 29.95% | 62.63% | R+32.7 | R |
62 | 19.59% | 78.35% | R+58.8 | 18.39% | 74.53% | R+56.1 | R |
63 | 49.61% | 47.24% | D+2.4 | 36.71% | 51.26% | R+14.6 | D |
64 | 24.47% | 72.92% | R+48.5 | 20.65% | 70.74% | R+50.1 | R |
65 | 79.83% | 16.71% | D+63.1 | 67.22% | 16.91% | D+50.3 | D |
66 | 24.60% | 72.24% | R+47.6 | 21.08% | 69.94% | R+48.9 | R |
67 | 37.15% | 59.71% | R+22.6 | 27.94% | 62.43% | R+34.5 | R |
68 | 47.01% | 48.56% | R+1.5 | 43.56% | 42.91% | D+0.7 | R |
69 | 68.52% | 28.07% | D+40.4 | 56.03% | 29.07% | D+27 | D |
70 | 69.54% | 26.69% | D+42.9 | 60.23% | 28.91% | D+31.3 | D |
Total | 52.99% | 42.84% | D+10.1 | 48.26% | 40.04% | D+8.2 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+7, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made New Mexico's 1st Congressional District the 143rd most Democratic nationally.[5]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[6]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debra Haaland | Democratic Party | $2,274,489 | $1,903,520 | $390,843 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Michelle Garcia Holmes | Republican Party | $395,288 | $383,584 | $11,705 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]
Race ratings: New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 1st Congressional District candidates in New Mexico in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Mexico, click here.
Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
New Mexico | 1st Congressional District | Democratic | 1,269 | 2% of votes cast for all the party's gubernatorial candidates in the last primary election (within the district) | N/A | N/A | 2/4/2020 | Source |
New Mexico | 1st Congressional District | Republican | 410 | 2% of votes cast for all the party's gubernatorial candidates in the last primary election (within the district) | N/A | N/A | 2/4/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Debra Haaland defeated Janice Arnold-Jones and Lloyd Princeton in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Debra Haaland (D) | 59.1 | 147,336 |
![]() | Janice Arnold-Jones (R) ![]() | 36.3 | 90,507 | |
![]() | Lloyd Princeton (L) | 4.5 | 11,319 |
Total votes: 249,162 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Debra Haaland | 40.6 | 25,444 |
![]() | Damon Martinez | 25.8 | 16,182 | |
![]() | Antoinette Sedillo Lopez | 20.6 | 12,919 | |
Paul Moya | 5.9 | 3,691 | ||
![]() | Patrick Davis | 3.8 | 2,385 | |
![]() | Damian Lara | 3.3 | 2,063 |
Total votes: 62,684 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Abrams (D)
- John Flores (D)
- Jesse Heitner (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Janice Arnold-Jones advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Janice Arnold-Jones ![]() | 100.0 | 19,316 |
Total votes: 19,316 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Lloyd Princeton advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Lloyd Princeton | 100.0 | 244 |
Total votes: 244 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) defeated Richard Priem in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent in June.[13]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
65.1% | 181,088 | |
Republican | Richard Priem | 34.9% | 96,879 | |
Total Votes | 277,967 | |||
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State |
2014
The 1st Congressional District of New Mexico held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) defeated Mike Frese (R) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
58.6% | 105,474 | |
Republican | Mike Frese | 41.4% | 74,558 | |
Total Votes | 180,032 | |||
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ 270towin.com, "New Mexico," accessed August 8, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ New Mexico Scretary of State ,"2016 Primary Election Contest/Candidate List," accessed February 3, 2016