New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 31 (in person); Oct. 6 (online; by mail)
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 17
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: No ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
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| New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 10, 2020 |
| Primary: June 2, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Xochitl Torres Small (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in New Mexico |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd New Mexico elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
Yvette Herrell (R) defeated incumbent Xochitl Torres Small (D) and Steve Jones (I) in the general election for New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District on November 3, 2020.
The race was one of 56 U.S. House rematches from 2018. In 2018, Torres Small defeated Herrell 51% to 49%. Steve Pearce (R) won re-election in 2016 against Merrie Soules (D) 62% to 37%. Before 2018, the district was last represented by a Democrat in 2011.
The 2nd District was one of 31 U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election and a Democratic candidate won in the 2018 midterm elections. During the presidential election, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton (D) 50% to 40% in the 2nd District.[1]
The outcome of this race affected partisan control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 117th Congress. All 435 seats in the House were up for election. At the time of the election, Democrats had a 232 to 198 majority over Republicans. The Libertarian Party had one seat. Four seats were vacant. Democrats defended 30 districts Donald Trump (R) won in 2016. Republicans defended five districts Hillary Clinton (D) won in 2016. Both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee prioritized this race.[2][3]
As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District was located in the southern and western portions of the state and included Catron, Chaves, Cibola, De Baca, Dona Ana, Eddy, Grant, Guadalupe, Hidalgo, Lea, Lincoln, Luna, Otero, Sierra, and Socorro counties. Portions of Bernalillo, McKinley, Roosevelt, and Valencia counties were also included in the district.[4]
Steve Jones completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection Survey and participated in a Candidate Conversation. Click here to view his survey responses and here to view his Candidate Conversation video.
This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
New Mexico modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee ballot applications were sent to all registered voters in the general election.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 2
Yvette Herrell defeated incumbent Xochitl Torres Small and Steve Jones in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Yvette Herrell (R) | 53.7 | 142,283 | |
| Xochitl Torres Small (D) | 46.3 | 122,546 | ||
Steve Jones (Independent) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 117 | ||
| Total votes: 264,946 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2
Incumbent Xochitl Torres Small advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Xochitl Torres Small | 100.0 | 48,095 | |
| Total votes: 48,095 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2
Yvette Herrell defeated Claire Chase and Chris Mathys in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Yvette Herrell | 44.7 | 26,968 | |
| Claire Chase | 31.5 | 19,017 | ||
| Chris Mathys | 23.8 | 14,378 | ||
| Total votes: 60,363 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[5] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- U.S. House (Assumed office: 2019)
Biography: Torres Small received a bachelor’s degree from Georgetown University and a law degree from the University of New Mexico. She worked as a field representative for Senator Tom Udall (D), a law clerk for the Honorable Robert C. Brack, and as an attorney specializing in environmental law, healthcare, and litigation.
Show sources
Sources: Xochitl Torres Small's 2020 campaign website, "On the issues," accessed October 2, 2020; Albuquerque Journal, "Torres Small, Herrell make pitch to voters in Journal/KOAT debate," September 27, 2020; LinkedIn, "Xochitl Torres Small," accessed October 2, 2020; Xochitl Torres Small's 2020 campaign website, "Meet Xochitl," accessed October 2, 2020
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- New Mexico House of Representatives (2011-2018)
Biography: Herrell graduated from ITT School of Business in Boise, Idaho, and attended New Mexico State University. Herrell's professional experience included working as a businessowner and realtor.
Show sources
Sources: Albuquerque Journal, "Torres Small, Herrell make pitch to voters in Journal/KOAT debate," September 27, 2020; Yvette Herrell's 2020 campaign website, "Shared Values," accessed October 2, 2020; Albuquerque Journal, "2nd Congressional District candidate Yvette Herrell," accessed May 31, 2020; Alamogordo Daily News, "Yvette Herrell running for Congressional seat vacated by Pearce," July 11, 2017
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 in 2020.
Party: Independent
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Formerly; management consultant for the energy industry worldwide, university accounting Instructor, partner in national CPA firm., producer of PBS weekly financial program and consultant to SBA for minority businesses. Awarded Soldier's Medal for Heroism as medic Staff Sgt.."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 in 2020.
Candidate Conversations
Moderated by journalist and political commentator Greta Van Susteren, Candidate Conversations is a virtual debate format that allows voters to easily get to know their candidates through a short video Q&A.
Click below to watch the conversation for this race.
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
| New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020: general election polls | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Sponsor | ||||||
| Research and Polling Inc./The Albuquerque Journal | Oct. 23-29, 2020 | 46% | 48% | 5% | ±4.9 | 403 | -- | ||||
| Research and Polling Inc./The Albuquerque Journal | Aug. 26-Sept. 2, 2020 | 47% | 45% | 9% | ±4.8 | 418 | -- | ||||
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xochitl Torres Small | Democratic Party | $8,479,218 | $8,630,945 | $16,718 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Yvette Herrell | Republican Party | $2,868,122 | $2,984,196 | $54,544 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Steve Jones | Independent | $9,405 | $9,505 | $-100 | As of December 31, 2020 |
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Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District the 181st most Republican nationally.[8]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.14. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.14 points toward that party.[9]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[10]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[11][12][13]
| Race ratings: New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Tilt Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available.
| Noteworthy endorsements | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Endorsement | Torres Small (D) | Herrell (R) | ||||
| Newspapers and editorials | ||||||
| Albuquerque Journal[14] | ✔ | |||||
| Elected officials | ||||||
| Mayor Benny Jasso (R)[15] | ✔ | |||||
| President Donald Trump (R)[16] | ✔ | |||||
| Individuals | ||||||
| Former Rep. Steve Pearce (R)[17] | ✔ | |||||
| Former Rep. Harry Teague (D)[17] | ✔ | |||||
| Organizations | ||||||
| U.S. Chamber of Commerce[18] | ✔ | |||||
Timeline
2020
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Xochitl Torres Small
Supporting Torres Small
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- "In New Mexico, we’re fiercely independent but we aren’t afraid to work together..." - Torres Small campaign ad, released October 28, 2020
- "Cuando mi abuela vino a los Estados Unidos, vino en busca de una vida mejor, de una democracia en donde su voz fuera importante..." - Torres Small campaign ad, released October 27, 2020
- "Cumplir a Nuevo México significa cumplir con nuestra comunidad en estos tiempos difíciles." - Torres Small campaign ad, released October 13, 2020
- "La historia de mi familia es una historia Americana" - Torres Small campaign ad, released October 4, 2020
Yvette Herrell
Supporting Herrell
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Opposing Torres Small
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Satellite group ads
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Opposing Torres Small
Opposing Harrell
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Campaign themes
- See also: Campaign themes
Xochitl Torres Small
Torres Small’s campaign website stated the following:
| “ |
COVID-19 In Congress, I’ve reached across the aisle to find those solutions, working with Democrats, Republicans, and President Trump to pass the CARES Act which provided Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans for thousands of businesses across our state. And when those loans weren’t reaching our smallest small businesses fast enough, I called for increased transparency into the lending program to ensure that the businesses on New Mexico’s Main Streets were getting their fair share. I’ve also worked with Republicans to support our rural healthcare providers who are on the frontlines by fighting to ensure that they have enough testing, personal protective equipment (PPE), and supplies to effectively fight the spread of COVID-19. And through the passage of four relief packages, I’ve helped secure millions of dollars in relief funding for our rural hospitals giving them the support they needed to keep their doors open and to safely serve their community. There is still a long way to go in our battle against COVID-19, though, which is why I am keeping up the fight and advocating for policies that will allow us to recover faster. That starts with an infrastructure plan that puts Americans back to work helping to rebuild our roads and bridges and improving broadband and cell phone coverage in every corner of the country. It’s also why I’ve called for the creation of a task force that ensures our rural communities get their fair share and are not left behind in the COVID-19 recovery. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT I have spent my career delivering for southern New Mexico. I fought to protect water for our farmers, to bring new funding and support to New Mexico State University—from STEM education to energy research—and to increase broadband throughout our rural communities. I also worked to protect our public lands because I know that our parks and public lands are not only what makes southern New Mexico so beautiful, but they also serve as a significant economic driver for our communities. I will continue to fight for living wages for hard working New Mexicans and work with stakeholders to provide incentives to attract businesses that offer good-paying jobs. I’ll support investment in 21st century infrastructure, from safe roads to broadband and cell phone service. I’ll find creative ways to streamline interaction with government agencies, so New Mexico businesses can operate as efficiently and effectively as possible. And I’ll continue to fight for funding for workforce training and development programs that connect K-12 students to local universities, education programs, and local businesses to prepare New Mexico’s students for the jobs of the future, right here at home. HEALTHCARE We deserve an advocate who understands the unique healthcare needs of rural communities. I’m proud to have brought Democrats and Republicans together to introduce legislation to reduce the doctor shortage in rural America and improve telehealth services, because an expecting mother shouldn’t have to drive hours for every single prenatal appointment and veterans shouldn’t have to get on a bus in the middle of the night to get to a doctor’s appointment in Albuquerque the next day. And now, during this unprecedented time, it is critical that we provide support and relief to our rural hospitals that are on the frontline of this pandemic. That is why I’ve introduced bipartisan legislation that would ensure 20% of all healthcare relief funding goes to our rural providers. It’s also why I’ve fought to ensure that rural providers have the testing, PPE, and resources they need to keep their communities safe and defeat COVID-19. IMMIGRATION Having grown up and worked along the border, I also know that a fundamental part of our border security is a clear and moral immigration system. We need a border that is both strong and vibrant. That’s why I was proud to vote for bipartisan legislation that would provide a path to citizenship for DREAMers. It’s also why I introduced legislation to expand and streamline access to work visas that would support and grow our agricultural workforce. VETERANS It also means ensuring that veterans have access to the most up-to-date and effective treatments, including for mental health conditions like PTSD and depression. Mental health treatment must be a priority if we are to reduce the staggering number of veteran suicides which is why I introduced legislation that would help to better identify veterans at risk of suicide so that they can get the care they need. It is critical we provide better transition services to service members as they return to civilian life and their communities. Our veterans need to understand the resources that are available to them, and we need to provide a full suite of services, including actively connecting veterans to job opportunities and programs that combat homelessness. EDUCATION In Congress, I’m working to level the playing field because in southern New Mexico we face some unique challenges in providing strong public education to our rural and diverse communities. These unique challenges need targeted solutions. That’s why I’ve worked to address critical physical and digital infrastructure needs in our public education system by supporting measures that would invest in new schools to replace outdated ones and build out our broadband network bridging the digital divide. It’s also why I’ve fought to protect mandatory funding for Hispanic serving institutions (HIS) as well as to broaden the applicability of Pell grants so that they can be used for vocational training programs. Moving forward, I’ll continue to work to advocate for more federal investments so states can increase pay for teachers and reduce class sizes so every child has the chance to learn. Finally, I’ll invest in early childhood education and work toward universal access to Pre-K for all New Mexican families. [22] |
” |
| —Xochitl Torres Small’s campaign website (2020)[23] | ||
Yvette Herrell
Herrell’s campaign website stated the following:
| “ |
A CHAMPION FOR NEW MEXICO’S HARDWORKING MIDDLE CLASS EFFECTIVE LEGISLATOR Focused on serving her district, Yvette prioritizes people over politics. She will continue to be a leader in Congress, always putting New Mexico first. This is one of many reasons Yvette is endorsed by the Freedom Caucus, Representatives Jim Jordan, Mark Meadows, and Andy Biggs. REAL WORLD EXPERIENCE Born into a hardworking and business-minded family, Yvette has earned every dollar she has today. She knows that determined New Mexicans can accomplish anything when government gets out of the way. CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICAN CREATING OPPORTUNITY & JOBS WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT Education must be under local control and as New Mexico's voice in Congress, Yvette will help bring resources into the state to expand apprenticeship programs and adult education opportunities. EXPAND RURAL CONNECTIVITY MIDDLE INCOME TAX CUT PROTECTING LIFE & LIBERTY PRO-SECOND AMENDMENT Hunting and the shooting sports are New Mexico traditions that should be protected and passed along to the next generation. We must teach our children about the importance of the Second Amendment and never allow Washington insiders to erode our rights. UPHOLD THE CONSTITUTION VOTER INTEGRITY RELIGIOUS LIBERTY SECURING AMERICA'S FUTURE STRENGTHEN OUR MILITARY With the creation of the Space Force, New Mexico is an ideal location for this new branch to grow. SUPPORT OUR VETERANS Veterans are a priority for Yvette and she will work to create new opportunities for the most vulnerable. Homeless Veterans have skills our communities need and Yvette will work to end Veteran homelessness. EXPAND THE MISSIONS PROTECTING FARMERS & RANCHERS Yvette understands our priority - our families. SECURE THE BORDER WORK PERMITS & IMMIGRATION We need to invest in expanding the immigration judicial system to allow for more judges to handle the increased cases at the border. TAX REFORM FOR LAND OWNERS PROTECT PRIVATE PROPERTY EXPANDING ENERGY PRODUCTION STOP THE GREEN NEW DEAL INVEST IN ROADS Yvette will work to ensure product and people can move safely throughout the Permian Basin. Yvette will also be an advocate for energy producers, protecting them from government overreach and frivolous infrastructure rules. SOLVE THE HOUSING CRISIS REDUCE REGULATIONS Yvette will work with energy producers and all interested stakeholders to take their voice to the halls of Congress. Energy jobs are the backbone for many New Mexico families and we must protect them for generations to come. REFORMING HEALTHCARE The Affordable Care Act increased costs and taxes on Americans seeking coverage while separating people from their trusted medical providers. Yvette supports repealing the ACA and replacing it with a free market based, patient centered healthcare system. Any new healthcare policy needs to contain protections for pre-existing conditions. EXPANDING RURAL CARE STOPPING MEDICARE FOR ALL PROMISES MADE EXPAND MENTAL HEALTHCARE |
” |
| —Yvette Herrell’s campaign website (2020)[24] | ||
District represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016
This district was one of 30 Democratic-held U.S. House districts up in 2020 that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election. Most were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2020.
| 2020 Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016 | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Ran in 2020? | 2018 congressional margin | 2016 presidential margin | 2012 presidential margin | ||||||||
| Arizona's 1st | Yes | Democrats+7.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+2.5 | |||||||||
| Georgia's 6th | Yes | Democrats+1.0 | Trump+1.5 | Romney+23.3 | |||||||||
| Illinois' 14th | Yes | Democrats+5.0 | Trump+3.9 | Romney+10 | |||||||||
| Illinois' 17th | Yes | Democrats+24.2 | Trump+0.7 | Obama+17 | |||||||||
| Iowa's 1st | Yes | Democrats+5.1 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+13.7 | |||||||||
| Iowa's 2nd | Retired | Democrats+5.2 | Trump+4.1 | Obama+13.1 | |||||||||
| Iowa's 3rd | Yes | Democrats+2.2 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+4.2 | |||||||||
| Maine's 2nd | Yes | Democrats+1.3 | Trump+10.3 | Obama+8.6 | |||||||||
| Michigan's 8th | Yes | Democrats+3.8 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+3.1 | |||||||||
| Michigan's 11th | Yes | Democrats+6.7 | Trump+4.4 | Romney+5.4 | |||||||||
| Minnesota's 2nd | Yes | Democrats+5.5 | Trump+1.2 | Obama+0.1 | |||||||||
| Minnesota's 7th | Yes | Democrats+4.3 | Trump+30.8 | Romney+9.8 | |||||||||
| Nevada's 3rd | Yes | Democrats+9.1 | Trump+1.0 | Obama+0.8 | |||||||||
| New Hampshire's 1st | Yes | Democrats+8.6 | Trump+1.6 | Obama+1.6 | |||||||||
| New Jersey's 3rd | Yes | Democrats+1.3 | Trump+6.2 | Obama+4.6 | |||||||||
| New Jersey's 5th | Yes | Democrats+13.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+3.0 | |||||||||
| New Jersey's 11th | Yes | Democrats+14.6 | Trump+0.9 | Romney+5.8 | |||||||||
| New Mexico's 2nd | Yes | Democrats+1.9 | Trump+10.2 | Romney+6.8 | |||||||||
| New York's 11th | Yes | Democrats+6.5 | Trump+9.8 | Obama+4.3 | |||||||||
| New York's 18th | Yes | Democrats+10.9 | Trump+1.9 | Obama+4.3 | |||||||||
| New York's 19th | Yes | Democrats+5.2 | Trump+6.8 | Obama+6.2 | |||||||||
| New York's 22nd | Yes | Democrats+1.8 | Trump+15.5 | Romney+0.4 | |||||||||
| Oklahoma's 5th | Yes | Democrats+1.4 | Trump+13.4 | Romney+18.4 | |||||||||
| Pennsylvania's 8th | Yes | Democrats+9.3 | Trump+9.6 | Obama+11.9 | |||||||||
| Pennsylvania's 17th | Yes | Democrats+12.5 | Trump+2.6 | Romney+4.5 | |||||||||
| South Carolina's 1st | Yes | Democrats+1.4 | Trump+13.1 | Romney+18.1 | |||||||||
| Utah's 4th | Yes | Democrats+0.3 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+37.0 | |||||||||
| Virginia's 2nd | Yes | Democrats+2.2 | Trump+3.4 | Romney+2.3 | |||||||||
| Virginia's 7th | Yes | Democrats+1.9 | Trump+6.5 | Romney+10.5 | |||||||||
| Wisconsin's 3rd | Yes | Democrats+19.3 | Trump+4.5 | Obama+11 | |||||||||
| Source: Sabato's Crystal Ball and Daily Kos | |||||||||||||
Click here to see the five U.S. House districts represented by a Republican in 2020 and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Three of 33 New Mexico counties—9 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
| Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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| County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
| Colfax County, New Mexico | 8.55% | 2.24% | 10.73% | ||||
| Hidalgo County, New Mexico | 6.73% | 4.96% | 2.92% | ||||
| Valencia County, New Mexico | 8.60% | 2.47% | 7.72% | ||||
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Mexico with 48.3 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 40 percent. In presidential elections between 1912 and 2016, New Mexico voted Democratic 56 percent of the time and Republican 44 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Mexico voted Democratic four times. The state voted Republican in 2004.[25]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in New Mexico. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[26][27]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 45 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 29.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 45 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 26.7 points. Clinton won nine districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 25 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 24.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 25 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 27 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 20.96% | 75.79% | R+54.8 | 18.04% | 72.51% | R+54.5 | R |
| 2 | 27.47% | 69.17% | R+41.7 | 21.96% | 67.15% | R+45.2 | R |
| 3 | 22.91% | 73.48% | R+50.6 | 17.17% | 73.66% | R+56.5 | R |
| 4 | 51.61% | 45.33% | D+6.3 | 42.79% | 42.74% | D+0.1 | R |
| 5 | 70.17% | 26.83% | D+43.3 | 60.70% | 24.05% | D+36.6 | D |
| 6 | 70.21% | 27.48% | D+42.7 | 58.64% | 28.48% | D+30.2 | D |
| 7 | 50.49% | 44.11% | D+6.4 | 40.92% | 45.72% | R+4.8 | R |
| 8 | 46.36% | 48.66% | R+2.3 | 37.51% | 49.60% | R+12.1 | R |
| 9 | 71.00% | 26.44% | D+44.6 | 61.37% | 24.12% | D+37.2 | D |
| 10 | 65.21% | 30.46% | D+34.8 | 56.93% | 31.21% | D+25.7 | D |
| 11 | 74.16% | 20.74% | D+53.4 | 69.71% | 18.46% | D+51.2 | D |
| 12 | 68.74% | 26.63% | D+42.1 | 61.46% | 27.69% | D+33.8 | D |
| 13 | 67.68% | 27.95% | D+39.7 | 59.39% | 27.06% | D+32.3 | D |
| 14 | 75.95% | 20.09% | D+55.9 | 65.37% | 23.23% | D+42.1 | D |
| 15 | 49.95% | 45.35% | D+4.6 | 48.43% | 38.84% | D+9.6 | R |
| 16 | 60.23% | 35.40% | D+24.8 | 54.22% | 33.06% | D+21.2 | D |
| 17 | 62.55% | 32.61% | D+29.9 | 57.98% | 29.63% | D+28.3 | D |
| 18 | 74.99% | 17.57% | D+57.4 | 73.69% | 13.64% | D+60.1 | D |
| 19 | 71.55% | 22.91% | D+48.6 | 67.73% | 20.05% | D+47.7 | D |
| 20 | 46.26% | 48.57% | R+2.3 | 45.05% | 41.13% | D+3.9 | R |
| 21 | 61.08% | 33.19% | D+27.9 | 53.96% | 31.12% | D+22.8 | D |
| 22 | 42.30% | 51.77% | R+9.5 | 40.33% | 46.60% | R+6.3 | R |
| 23 | 50.61% | 44.70% | D+5.9 | 47.86% | 39.71% | D+8.1 | D |
| 24 | 52.10% | 42.11% | D+10 | 47.19% | 36.79% | D+10.4 | D |
| 25 | 60.90% | 33.31% | D+27.6 | 57.03% | 28.81% | D+28.2 | D |
| 26 | 62.57% | 33.00% | D+29.6 | 55.12% | 32.19% | D+22.9 | D |
| 27 | 43.63% | 51.56% | R+7.9 | 43.86% | 42.63% | D+1.2 | R |
| 28 | 43.36% | 51.02% | R+7.7 | 43.31% | 42.27% | D+1 | R |
| 29 | 48.16% | 47.12% | D+1 | 45.04% | 41.24% | D+3.8 | R |
| 30 | 50.06% | 44.08% | D+6 | 47.75% | 37.01% | D+10.7 | R |
| 31 | 38.29% | 57.90% | R+19.6 | 41.78% | 45.91% | R+4.1 | R |
| 32 | 48.95% | 47.93% | D+1 | 43.90% | 47.34% | R+3.4 | D |
| 33 | 57.44% | 38.34% | D+19.1 | 55.59% | 32.01% | D+23.6 | D |
| 34 | 67.75% | 30.86% | D+36.9 | 64.65% | 28.49% | D+36.2 | D |
| 35 | 58.06% | 38.71% | D+19.3 | 54.23% | 34.26% | D+20 | D |
| 36 | 53.29% | 43.51% | D+9.8 | 49.35% | 39.28% | D+10.1 | D |
| 37 | 50.09% | 46.98% | D+3.1 | 49.32% | 39.69% | D+9.6 | D |
| 38 | 45.97% | 50.34% | R+4.4 | 39.87% | 49.90% | R+10 | R |
| 39 | 53.53% | 43.60% | D+9.9 | 48.95% | 41.86% | D+7.1 | D |
| 40 | 69.65% | 27.03% | D+42.6 | 60.30% | 28.99% | D+31.3 | D |
| 41 | 74.26% | 22.15% | D+52.1 | 64.48% | 23.77% | D+40.7 | D |
| 42 | 77.86% | 18.20% | D+59.7 | 69.70% | 18.34% | D+51.4 | D |
| 43 | 51.55% | 42.52% | D+9 | 51.63% | 31.90% | D+19.7 | D |
| 44 | 42.34% | 53.33% | R+11 | 38.87% | 48.14% | R+9.3 | R |
| 45 | 75.50% | 20.49% | D+55 | 71.68% | 19.09% | D+52.6 | D |
| 46 | 76.11% | 19.64% | D+56.5 | 72.91% | 17.80% | D+55.1 | D |
| 47 | 75.23% | 21.12% | D+54.1 | 75.51% | 16.95% | D+58.6 | D |
| 48 | 79.43% | 16.14% | D+63.3 | 76.07% | 15.07% | D+61 | D |
| 49 | 48.75% | 46.04% | D+2.7 | 39.56% | 48.03% | R+8.5 | R |
| 50 | 54.56% | 40.49% | D+14.1 | 49.33% | 40.67% | D+8.7 | D |
| 51 | 34.24% | 62.18% | R+27.9 | 29.61% | 60.13% | R+30.5 | R |
| 52 | 62.23% | 35.17% | D+27.1 | 62.07% | 29.79% | D+32.3 | D |
| 53 | 48.82% | 48.52% | D+0.3 | 48.39% | 41.93% | D+6.5 | R |
| 54 | 32.19% | 64.92% | R+32.7 | 25.69% | 66.62% | R+40.9 | R |
| 55 | 29.64% | 67.48% | R+37.8 | 24.35% | 67.91% | R+43.6 | R |
| 56 | 34.58% | 61.37% | R+26.8 | 29.21% | 61.10% | R+31.9 | R |
| 57 | 45.25% | 50.34% | R+5.1 | 39.99% | 46.81% | R+6.8 | R |
| 58 | 43.98% | 52.91% | R+8.9 | 36.58% | 53.06% | R+16.5 | R |
| 59 | 29.23% | 67.78% | R+38.5 | 23.93% | 67.65% | R+43.7 | R |
| 60 | 42.37% | 52.23% | R+9.9 | 38.93% | 47.35% | R+8.4 | R |
| 61 | 32.56% | 65.02% | R+32.5 | 29.95% | 62.63% | R+32.7 | R |
| 62 | 19.59% | 78.35% | R+58.8 | 18.39% | 74.53% | R+56.1 | R |
| 63 | 49.61% | 47.24% | D+2.4 | 36.71% | 51.26% | R+14.6 | D |
| 64 | 24.47% | 72.92% | R+48.5 | 20.65% | 70.74% | R+50.1 | R |
| 65 | 79.83% | 16.71% | D+63.1 | 67.22% | 16.91% | D+50.3 | D |
| 66 | 24.60% | 72.24% | R+47.6 | 21.08% | 69.94% | R+48.9 | R |
| 67 | 37.15% | 59.71% | R+22.6 | 27.94% | 62.43% | R+34.5 | R |
| 68 | 47.01% | 48.56% | R+1.5 | 43.56% | 42.91% | D+0.7 | R |
| 69 | 68.52% | 28.07% | D+40.4 | 56.03% | 29.07% | D+27 | D |
| 70 | 69.54% | 26.69% | D+42.9 | 60.23% | 28.91% | D+31.3 | D |
| Total | 52.99% | 42.84% | D+10.1 | 48.26% | 40.04% | D+8.2 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 2nd Congressional District candidates in New Mexico in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Mexico, click here.
| Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| New Mexico | 2nd Congressional District | Democratic | 758 | 2% of votes cast for all the party's gubernatorial candidates in the last primary election (within the district) | N/A | N/A | 2/4/2020 | Source |
| New Mexico | 2nd Congressional District | Republican | 630 | 2% of votes cast for all the party's gubernatorial candidates in the last primary election (within the district) | N/A | N/A | 2/4/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 2
Xochitl Torres Small defeated Yvette Herrell in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Xochitl Torres Small (D) | 50.9 | 101,489 | |
| Yvette Herrell (R) | 49.1 | 97,767 | ||
| Total votes: 199,256 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2
Xochitl Torres Small defeated Madeleine Hildebrandt in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Xochitl Torres Small | 72.6 | 25,395 | |
| Madeleine Hildebrandt | 27.4 | 9,577 | ||
| Total votes: 34,972 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Angel Pena (D)
- David Alcon (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2
Yvette Herrell defeated Monty Newman, Gavin Clarkson, and Clayburn Griffin in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Yvette Herrell | 49.0 | 16,023 | |
| Monty Newman | 32.0 | 10,474 | ||
| Gavin Clarkson | 12.4 | 4,060 | ||
Clayburn Griffin ![]() | 6.6 | 2,143 | ||
| Total votes: 32,700 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Volpato (R)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve Pearce (R), who began serving in Congress in 2003, ran for re-election in 2016. He was the only Republican candidate to file and faced Merrie Soules, the only Democratic candidate to file, and Jack McGrann (R write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary opponent in June.[28][29]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 62.7% | 143,514 | ||
| Democratic | Merrie Soules | 37.2% | 85,232 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 70 | |
| Total Votes | 228,816 | |||
| Source: New Mexico Secretary of State | ||||
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of New Mexico held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Steve Pearce (R) defeated Roxanne Lara (D) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 64.4% | 95,209 | ||
| Democratic | Roxanne "Rocky" Lara | 35.5% | 52,499 | |
| Write-in (R) | Jack A. McGrann (write-in) | 0% | 69 | |
| Total Votes | 147,777 | |||
| Source: New Mexico Secretary of State | ||||
State profile
- See also: New Mexico and New Mexico elections, 2020
Partisan data
The information in this section was current as of May 17, 2020.
Presidential voting pattern
- New Mexico voted for the Democratic candidate in six out of the seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2018 elections, both U.S. Senators from New Mexico were Democrats.
- All three of New Mexico's U.S. Representatives were Democrats.
State executives
- As of May 2020, Democrats held 20 and Republicans held three of New Mexico's 29 state executive offices. Elections for the other offices are nonpartisan.
- New Mexico's governor was Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled the New Mexico State Senate with a 26-16 majority.
- Democrats controlled the New Mexico House of Representatives with a 46-24 majority.
New Mexico Party Control: 1992-2025
Eighteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
|
|
| Demographic data for New Mexico | ||
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 2,080,328 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 121,298 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 73.2% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 2.1% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 1.4% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 9.1% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 3.3% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 47.4% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 84.2% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 26.3% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $44,963 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 24.7% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Mexico. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, ""Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2016, 2012, and 2008,"" accessed June 24, 2020
- ↑ DCCC, "Frontline," February 7, 2019
- ↑ GOP Young Guns, "Young Guns," accessed October 2, 2020
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 Albuquerque Journal, "Editorial: Journal endorses candidates for NM’s congressional delegation," October 19, 2020
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 Border Report, "GOP mayor endorses Torres Small in close US House race," October 20, 2020
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 Twitter, "Donald Trump on September 10, 2020," accessed October 2, 2020
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 Yvette Herrell's 2020 campaign website, "Meet Yvette," accessed October 2, 2020
- ↑ 18.0 18.1 The Associated Press, "Chamber of Commerce backs freshmen House Dems, marking shift," September 1, 2020
- ↑ Albuquerque Journal, "Journal Poll: ‘Extremely close’ race for 2nd Congressional District’," October 31, 2020
- ↑ Twitter, "Jacob Rubashkin on October 16, 2020," accessed October 26, 2020
- ↑ Albuquerque Journal, "Journal Poll: NM’s 2nd Congressional District ‘too close to call’," September 6, 2020
- ↑ 22.0 22.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Xochitl Torres Small’s campaign website, “On the Issues,” accessed October 1, 2020
- ↑ Yvette Harrell’s campaign website, “Shared Values,” accessed October 1, 2020
- ↑ 270towin.com, "New Mexico," accessed August 8, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ New Mexico Scretary of State ,"2016 Primary Election Contest/Candidate List," accessed February 3, 2016
- ↑ New Mexico Secretary of State, "2016 General Election Contest/Candidate List," accessed September 7, 2016
