Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2026: Difference between revisions
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==Voting information== | ==Voting information== | ||
:''See also: [[Voting in Montana]]'' | :''See also: [[Voting in Montana]]'' | ||
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==Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses== | ==Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses== | ||
<APIWidget where='stages.race=70582 AND stages.type="General"' template="MultiCandidateConnection"/> | <APIWidget where='stages.race=70582 AND stages.type="General"' template="MultiCandidateConnection"/> | ||
Latest revision as of 21:54, 13 January 2026
U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Supreme court • All local elections by county • How to run for office |
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← 2024
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| Montana's 2nd Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 4, 2026 |
| Primary: June 2, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times:
7 a.m. to 8 p.m. |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd Montana elections, 2026 U.S. Congress elections, 2026 U.S. Senate elections, 2026 U.S. House elections, 2026 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Montana, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is June 2, 2026. The filing deadline is March 4, 2026. For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 (June 2 Democratic primary)
- Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 (June 2 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:
- Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
- Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies
General election
The primary will occur on June 2, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. Additional general election candidates will be added here following the primary.
General election for U.S. House Montana District 2
Michael Eisenhauer is running in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 2 on November 3, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Michael Eisenhauer (Independent) | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Sam Lux and Brian Miller are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 2, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Sam Lux | ||
| Brian Miller | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Incumbent Troy Downing is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 2, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Troy Downing | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here. You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Montana
Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Downing | Republican Party | $891,756 | $681,982 | $321,304 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Sam Lux | Democratic Party | $2,378 | $2,201 | $354 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Brian Miller | Democratic Party | $9,823 | $5,039 | $5,279 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Michael Eisenhauer | Independent | $201,100 | $4,256 | $196,844 | As of December 31, 2025 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
| Race ratings: Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| 1/13/2026 | 1/6/2026 | 12/23/2025 | 12/16/2025 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Montana in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Montana | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1740 | 3/4/2026 | Source |
| Montana | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 6,128 | $1740 | 6/1/2026 | Source |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.
General election
General election for U.S. House Montana District 2
Troy Downing (R) defeated John B. Driscoll (D), Reilly Neill (D), and John Metzger (Independent) in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 2 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Troy Downing (R) | 65.7 | 181,832 |
| | John B. Driscoll (D) | 33.9 | 93,713 | |
| | Reilly Neill (D) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.4 | 1,058 | |
| | John Metzger (Independent) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 40 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0% | 9 | ||
| Total votes: 276,652 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
John B. Driscoll (D) defeated Steve Held (D), Ming Cabrera (D), and Kevin Hamm (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | John B. Driscoll | 33.3 | 13,420 |
| | Steve Held | 26.4 | 10,649 | |
| | Ming Cabrera ![]() | 20.9 | 8,408 | |
| | Kevin Hamm | 19.4 | 7,813 | |
| Total votes: 40,290 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Troy Downing | 36.1 | 36,269 |
| | Denny Rehberg | 17.1 | 17,182 | |
| | Stacy Zinn | 13.5 | 13,581 | |
| | Elsie Arntzen | 9.4 | 9,468 | |
| | Kenneth Bogner | 9.0 | 9,026 | |
| | Ric Holden | 7.1 | 7,108 | |
| | Joel G. Krautter | 3.4 | 3,432 | |
| Kyle Austin | 3.2 | 3,177 | ||
| | Edward Walker | 1.2 | 1,168 | |
| Total votes: 100,411 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Matt Rosendale (R)
General election
General election for U.S. House Montana District 2
Incumbent Matt Rosendale (R) defeated Gary Buchanan (Independent), Penny Ronning (D), and Sam Rankin (L) in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Matt Rosendale (R) | 56.6 | 121,979 |
| | Gary Buchanan (Independent) | 21.9 | 47,195 | |
| | Penny Ronning (D) ![]() | 20.2 | 43,480 | |
| | Sam Rankin (L) ![]() | 1.4 | 3,018 | |
| Total votes: 215,672 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Penny Ronning (D) defeated Mark Sweeney (D) (Withdrew, appeared on ballot) and Skylar Williams (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Penny Ronning ![]() | 58.5 | 21,983 |
| | Mark Sweeney (Withdrew, appeared on ballot) | 22.8 | 8,586 | |
| | Skylar Williams | 18.7 | 7,029 | |
| Total votes: 37,598 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jack Ballard (D)
- Laurie Bishop (D)
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Incumbent Matt Rosendale (R) defeated Kyle Austin (R), Charles A. Walking Child (R), and James Boyette (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Matt Rosendale | 75.7 | 73,453 |
| Kyle Austin | 12.3 | 11,930 | ||
| | Charles A. Walking Child | 6.1 | 5,909 | |
| | James Boyette ![]() | 5.9 | 5,712 | |
| Total votes: 97,004 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian Party primary
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Sam Rankin (L) defeated Samuel Thomas (L) and Roger Roots (L) in the Libertarian Party primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Sam Rankin ![]() | 47.0 | 958 |
| Samuel Thomas | 27.2 | 554 | ||
| | Roger Roots | 25.8 | 526 | |
| Total votes: 2,038 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2026 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Montana's 2nd the 74th most Republican district nationally.[5]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2024 presidential election was in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by The Downballot.
| Kamala Harris | Donald Trump |
|---|---|
| 34.0% | 63.0% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Montana, 2024
Montana presidential election results (1900-2024)
- 10 Democratic wins
- 21 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of October 2025.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of October 2025.
| Office | Officeholder |
|---|---|
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General |
State legislature
Montana State Senate
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 18 | |
| Republican Party | 32 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 50 | |
Montana House of Representatives
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 42 | |
| Republican Party | 58 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 100 | |
Trifecta control
Montana Party Control: 1992-2025
No Democratic trifectas • Fifteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
= candidate completed the