Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
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Montana's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 11, 2024 |
Primary: June 4, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Montana |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd Montana elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Montana, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024.
Incumbent Matt Rosendale (R) will not be running for re-election.
The primary was June 4, 2024. The filing deadline was March 11, 2024. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 56.6%-20.2%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 62.2%-35.3%.[3]
This is one of 45 open races for the U.S. House in 2024 where an incumbent did not run for re-election. Across the country, 24 Democrats and 21 Republicans did not run for re-election. In 2022, 49 representatives did not seek re-election, including 31 Democrats and 18 Republicans.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 4 Democratic primary)
- Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 4 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Montana District 2
Troy Downing defeated John B. Driscoll, Reilly Neill, and John Metzger in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 2 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Troy Downing (R) | 65.7 | 181,832 |
![]() | John B. Driscoll (D) | 33.9 | 93,713 | |
![]() | Reilly Neill (D) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.4 | 1,058 | |
![]() | John Metzger (Independent) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 40 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 9 |
Total votes: 276,652 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
John B. Driscoll defeated Steve Held, Ming Cabrera, and Kevin Hamm in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | John B. Driscoll | 33.3 | 13,420 |
![]() | Steve Held | 26.4 | 10,649 | |
![]() | Ming Cabrera ![]() | 20.9 | 8,408 | |
![]() | Kevin Hamm | 19.4 | 7,813 |
Total votes: 40,290 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Troy Downing | 36.1 | 36,269 |
![]() | Denny Rehberg | 17.1 | 17,182 | |
![]() | Stacy Zinn | 13.5 | 13,581 | |
![]() | Elsie Arntzen | 9.4 | 9,468 | |
![]() | Kenneth Bogner | 9.0 | 9,026 | |
![]() | Ric Holden | 7.1 | 7,108 | |
Joel G. Krautter | 3.4 | 3,432 | ||
Kyle Austin | 3.2 | 3,177 | ||
![]() | Edward Walker | 1.2 | 1,168 |
Total votes: 100,411 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Matt Rosendale (R)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Independent
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE-U.S. CONGRESS AND CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS: 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGON. ADVANTAGE: ‘IMMEDIATELY GET TO WORK FOR MT DISTRICT 2 BEGINNING DAY 1: I. SIGN (ALREADY WRITTEN) DEMAND FOR AUDIT INTO “PRICE GOUGING” ON COST OF LIVING: Grocery foods and beverages; Housing, rent, electricity; Farm Fertilizer; Gas and other motor fuel; Motor vehicle parts and accessories and; Corporate penalties $50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing”. Introduce Bill to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing. II. INTRODODUCE (ALREADY WRITTEN) BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL U.S. MUST CLOSE THE BORDER: If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol. INTRODODUCE BILL (ALREADY WRITTEN) BUILDING STEEL BOLLARD WALL AUGMENTED WITH ANTI-CLIMB AND ANTI-DIG FEATURES III. INTRODUCE BILL (ALREADY WRITTEN) FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS: Increase prescription drugs from 10-15 to “250” prescriptions to directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. 79% cost savings early result IV. FULLY FUND SOLUTIONS TO WATER SUPPLY OF ST. MARY RIVER AND MILK RIVER BASINS. Support continued joint efforts from federal, Tribal and state agencies to collect / monitor water diversions."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Montana District 2 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I'm running for U.S. Congress to give voters in Eastern Montana a choice and a voice on the ballot. I'm a former Montana State House Representative and longtime newspaper publisher, a mom and a tireless advocate for issues facing Montanans. The candidate who won the Democrat primary for U.S. House in 2024 vowed not to file with the FEC, raise money, or elevate Democrat principles and values. Four years ago he was a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate and publicly against Reproductive Rights. I've never wavered in my support for bodily autonomy and the right to equal healthcare for all in Montana. I facilitated multiple groups and events over years while administrating Montana March for Reproductive Rights and will be a champion for this issue in Congress. In the 2024 race for Montana's Second District, there are two Republicans on the ballot. I am the choice for Democrats who deserve representation. Without a strong top-of-the-ticket candidate, every race down the line is affected. My campaign lifts all races across this rural district. I show up in Miles City, in Havre, Malta and Lewistown and I help elevate candidates and committees and the ground. The rallying cry is, "A rising tide lifts all boats!" and I work to canvas, host fund raisers, offer support and presence, raise awareness online and elevate every candidate on the ballot up and down the list. This work over just a short time helps re-motivate the base in MT-02!"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Montana District 2 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Montana
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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John Metzger (Independent)
O CONVINCED CONGRESSMAN TO COSPONSOR BILL TO INREASE COMPETITION IN CONTRACTING FOR U.S. GOVERNMENT GOODS AND SERVICES. ENACTED BILL INCREASED COMPETITION AND REDUCED GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND BUDGETS.
O TOP-DOWN WASTE-FRAUD-ABUSE AUDIT OF U.S. DEPT. OF EDUCATION AND MT EDUCATION FUNDING. INVESTING THE SAVINGS INTO INCREASED TEACHER SALARIES, JOB SECURITY, SCHOOL SECURITY, AND CURRENT EDUCATIONAL MATERIEL.REDUCE PROPERTY TAXES TEAMING WITH THE GOVERNOR AND STATE LEGISLATURE. WILL DEMAND IMMEDIATE AUDITS AND RECOMMENDATIONS OF WHAT UNNECESSARY PROGRAMS TO ELIMINATE/CUT TO REDUCE PROPERTY TAXES. Page 3-15, Volume 2 of FY 2024-2025 Budget is clear. Get ready for an UNACCEPTABLE 26.6% “Percent Change” Property Tax forecast for FY 2024. An 81% increase from the 5% forecast in FY 2023. THIS IS UNACCEPTABLE.
HIGH PRIORITY ON FARM COMMMODITY PROGRAM SUPPORT FOR milk, beef, wheat, hay, alfalfa, barley, lentils, peas, chickpeas, canola, corn, safflower, flaxseed, oats, sugar beets, soybeans, rice, sheep, and hogs among others. Strong oversight-through audits-that U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) use best-practices TO ANTICIPATE when to fund for trade promotion and food aid, expand crop insurance, increased outlays to producers affected by retaliatory tariffs, disaster assistance for agricultural losses, amend conservation programs, and reauthorize and revise nutrition assistance.

Reilly Neill (D)
Challenges in rural healthcare disproportionately affect women in Montana but everyone in Montana deserves access to equal and adequate healthcare.
Investing in women's health programs and access to care in rural communities will insure the health of our children and families. Everyone in Montana deserves access to equal healthcare and has a right to privacy with their healthcare provider.
Montana feeds the world. The concerns of the farmers and ranchers across Montana need to be represented in D.C.
Agricultural producers in the state face serious challenges in the coming years and Montana needs someone fighting strong for our agricultural economy. Farmers and ranchers need support and solutions.
The delay in implementing the St. Mary and Milk River Project on the Hi-Line will not only impact 18,000 Montana residents, it will affect the global food supply. Having someone dedicated and committed to our producers across the state is imperative in making sure we can continue to support rural infrastructure and our rural communities and continue to feed the world.
From roads and bridges to public schools and services, Montanans should be able to depend on public infrastructure. Getting our fair share of public benefits from the taxes we pay must be a priority for Montana's congressional delegation.

John Metzger (Independent)

Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)

John Metzger (Independent)

Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)
• U.S. Small Business Administration's Mentor-Protege Program helps team small businesses to partner with a more experienced firm for mentorship. The joint venture may pursue any type of set-aside contract for which the protégé qualifies, including contracts set aside for 8(a), service-disabled veteran-owned, woman-owned, and HUBZone businesses. • These businesses bring competition to ‘break up’ monopolies in Utilities, Finance, Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services, Administrative and Waste Management Services among many other industries.
• These businesses = jobs!
Reilly Neill (D)
We can get past divisions and get together for the common good. We have a choice, not to move to the right or to the left, but to move forward.
The great strength of our state lies in the hearts of decent, caring citizens, when a neighbor walks across the road and says, “Need a hand? Here it is.”
We pull each other out of the ditch and get ‘er done. We get past divisions and get together for the common good.
When Democrats run on decency, empathy, compassion, and sticking to our principles, we win. When we win, we get to work delivering and standing up for people.
John Metzger (Independent)
o 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS o 16+ CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGON. “Actions speak louder than words”: The ADVANTAGE above let’s me ‘GET IMMEDIATELY TO WORK FOR MT DISTRICT 2 BEGINNING DAY 1: I. DAY 1: IMMEDIATE GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY OFFICE (GAO) AUDIT INTO “PRICE GOUGING” ON COST OF LIVING: Grocery foods and beverages; Prescriptions; Housing, rent, electricity; Farm Fertilizer Gas and other motor fuel; Motor vehicle parts and accessories and; Food supply chain for post-farm activities that transform raw food in to finished food products. Corporate penalties $25-$50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing” and manipulating wholesale markets. GAO to draft legislation to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing, bid rigging and other predatory/exclusionary acts. II. INTRODUCE BILL IN THE FORM OF AN AMENDMENT FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS: Increases prescription drug numbers (e.g., “10”) to “not less than 250” prescription drugs the Center for Medicare Services will directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. Accelerates the negotiation timetable to 2025, 2026, and 2027 and; Requests GAO audit Medicare prescription selections and negotiations to ensure “best price” negotiations 2024-2027.
III. BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL Department of Homeland Security MUST CLOSE THE BORDER: If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol—in a single day; If daily average of migrant encounters per week reaches a specific number set by U.S. Border Patrol;
• Border remains closed until DHS and U.S. Border Patrol have operational control and processing capacity of the border.
John Metzger (Independent)
Below are my plans, my core responsibilities: ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others; ■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office; ■ A detailed "path" from a Joint House/Senate team of Republicans and Democrats how Congress will reach the deficit reduction goal separately passing 12 fiscal year 2025 appropriations bills on time;
■ A ban on "earmarks" — "congressionally directed spending items" — attached to spending bills. A 2024 House "package" of six appropriation bills had 6,000+ earmarks adding $12+ billion to the federal deficit according to Bloomberg Government.
Reilly Neill (D)
If elected, I will serve with a purpose to reflect the will of Montana and its voters.
Primary bills are considered to protect the agricultural economy in Montana and the U.S., invest in and maintain public infrastructure, address the housing crisis, listen to community concerns and set clear priorities for the national budget. I will also look at defending the Equal Rights Amendment.
My job will be to represent the people of Montana to the best of my ability. Even if I win as a Democrat, I will take off my hat when elected to serve all Montanans.
Elevating and building the Democrat base in the district will still continue to be a priority throughout my campaign and after the election. Building a community of Democrats will insure continued wins on the ticket and the base of the party in years to come.
John Metzger (Independent)
Task Comptroller of the United States create a GAO ‘Red Team’ of auditors, criminal investigators, and other support to audit/investigate the estimated $236 billion “improper payments” (e.g., overpayments, inaccurate recordkeeping, and/or fraud) in fiscal year (FY 2023) in: a. Medicare ($51.9 billion ‘improper payments’); b. Medicaid ($36.7 billion ‘improper payments’) c. All Other Programs ($36.1 billion ‘improper payments’) d. Earned Income Tax Credit ($16.2 billion ‘improper payments’)
In the first 3-4 months in the House: Meet with Small Business Administration (SBA) Administrator and all Montana 2nd Congressional District local SBA leads to review their final plans: For increases in small businesses in 2025 in Montana 2nd Congressional District that ‘break up’ and compete with ‘monopolies’ (e.g., Utilities, Finance and Insurance, Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services, Administrative and Waste Management Services) Task GAO to audit the progress of full SBA implementation with updates every 2-3 weeks and; SBA Administrator will send SBA subject matter expert to 'join' my House Congressional Staff with expertise in: Funding, Training, Accounting, Contracts and; Best Practices in successful SBA small businesses Introduce Bills in the form of amendments—ALREADY DRAFTED—on: Border Security and; Countering fentanyl crossing into United States ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others;
■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office;
Reilly Neill (D)
We pull each other out of the ditch and we walk across the road to our neighbor and say, "Need a hand? Here it is."
We are the party of FDR, JFK and MLK, Jr. and we can be proud to support conservation issues with our farmers and ranchers, human rights with our neighbors and good public schools and academic programs with our communities.
So many across Montana are fighting for our morals and principles as Democrats and building a community of these committed neighbors is my primary goal.
John Metzger (Independent)

John Metzger (Independent)

John Metzger (Independent)

John Metzger (Independent)

John Metzger (Independent)

John Metzger (Independent)
Grocery foods and beverages; Prescriptions; Housing, rent, electricity; Farm Fertilizer Gas and other motor fuel; Motor vehicle parts and accessories and; Food supply chain for post-farm activities that transform raw food in to finished food products. Corporate penalties $25-$50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing” and manipulating wholesale markets. Government Accountability Office (GAO) to draft legislation to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing, bid rigging and other predatory/exclusionary acts. II. INTRODUCE BILL IN THE FORM OF AN AMENDMENT FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS: Increases prescription drug numbers (e.g., “10”) to “not less than 250” prescription drugs the Center for Medicare Services will directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. Accelerates the negotiation timetable to 2025, 2026, and 2027 and; Requests GAO audit Medicare prescription selections and negotiations to ensure “best price” negotiations 2024-2027.
III. BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL Department of Homeland Security MUST CLOSE THE BORDER: If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol—in a single day; If daily average of migrant encounters per week reaches a specific number set by U.S. Border Patrol; • Border remains closed until DHS and U.S. Border Patrol have operational control and processing capacity of the border. • Migrants who attempt to cross while the border is closed are barred from applying for asylum and/or to cross the border.
IV. BUILDING A STEEL BOLLARD BARRIER [“THE WALL”]
THE CONSTRUCTION OF STEEL BOLLARD PEDESTRIAN BARRIER BUILT AT LEAST 18 TO 30 FEET IN EFFECTIVE HEIGHT AND AUGMENTED WITH ANTI-CLIMB AND ANTI-DIG FEATURES
Reilly Neill (D)
As a unique institution, the U.S. House of Representatives has endured as a beacon for democracy since 1787 when representatives of states of the Union first met at the Constitutional Convention.
Every state in the Union at the time sent delegates and the tradition continues today, now encompassing all of the United States and since 1789 featuring delegates elected by their districts.
No term limits exist for this office so while generational wisdom is thick, so may be corruption and cronyism.
This chamber is the meat-and-potatoes of lawmaking in America and it's on the House floor, in committee and in final votes where is where democracy is minted every day of session, no matter how droll or contradictory the bill.
John Metzger (Independent)
MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE/CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS: 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGONAs a prior Legislative Aide at the U.S. Capitol for two Republicans during the Reagan and Bush Administrations we were encouraged to staff "Good Government" initiatives and Bills. I was part of a team that eliminated $44 billion of wasteful government spending. Below are my plans, my core responsibilities: ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others; ■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office; ■ A detailed "path" from a Joint House/Senate team of Republicans and Democrats how Congress will reach the deficit reduction goal separately passing 12 fiscal year 2025 appropriations bills on time;
■ A ban on "earmarks" — "congressionally directed spending items" — attached to spending bills. A 2024 House "package" of six appropriation bills had 6,000+ earmarks adding $12+ billion to the federal deficit according to Bloomberg Government.
Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)
Grocery foods and beverages; Prescriptions; Housing, rent, electricity; Farm Fertilizer Gas and other motor fuel; Motor vehicle parts and accessories and; Food supply chain for post-farm activities that transform raw food in to finished food products. Corporate penalties $25-$50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing” and manipulating wholesale markets. GAO to draft legislation to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing, bid rigging and other predatory/exclusionary acts. II. INTRODUCE BILL IN THE FORM OF AN AMENDMENT FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS: Increases prescription drug numbers (e.g., “10”) to “not less than 250” prescription drugs the Center for Medicare Services will directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. Accelerates the negotiation timetable to 2025, 2026, and 2027 and; Requests GAO audit Medicare prescription selections and negotiations to ensure “best price” negotiations 2024-2027.
III. BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL Department of Homeland Security MUST CLOSE THE BORDER: If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol—in a single day; If daily average of migrant encounters per week reaches a specific number set by U.S. Border Patrol; • Border remains closed until DHS and U.S. Border Patrol have operational control and processing capacity of the border. • Migrants who attempt to cross while the border is closed are barred from applying for asylum and/or to cross the border.
IV. BUILDING A STEEL BOLLARD BARRIER [“THE WALL”] THE CONSTRUCTION OF STEEL BOLLARD PEDESTRIAN BARRIER BUILT AT LEAST 18 TO 30 FEET IN EFFECTIVE HEIGHT AND AUGMENTED WITH ANTI-CLIMB AND ANTI-DIG FEATURES
Construction of pedestrian barriers will be at locations identified in the Border Security Improvement Plan
Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)

Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)

Reilly Neill (D)
In the U.S. Senate and House, term limits allow for service in both houses as is the case in many states, and this allowance fosters generational wisdom. Even with the often-generous limits in State positions, new leadership must have opportunity to enter the process as well.
In general, I support term limits within reason to account for preserving institutional wisdom and support strict limits absolutely for the United States or individual state Supreme Courts.
John Metzger (Independent)

Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)
Grocery foods and beverages; Prescriptions; Housing, rent, electricity; Farm Fertilizer Gas and other motor fuel; Motor vehicle parts and accessories and other cost of living goods and services. I. TOP PRIORITY: IMMEDIATE AUDITS INTO “PRICE GOUGING” ON COST OF LIVING, and more businesses (more jobs!) to prevent monopolies: Grocery foods and beverages; Prescriptions; Housing, rent, electricity; Farm Fertilizer Gas and other motor fuel; Motor vehicle parts and accessories and; Food supply chain for post-farm activities that transform raw food in to finished food products. Corporate penalties $25-$50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing” and manipulating wholesale markets. GAO to draft legislation to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing, bid rigging and other predatory/exclusionary acts. II. INTRODUCE BILL IN THE FORM OF AN AMENDMENT FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS: Increases prescription drug numbers (e.g., “10”) to “not less than 250” prescription drugs the Center for Medicare Services will directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. Accelerates the negotiation timetable to 2025, 2026, and 2027 and; Requests GAO audit Medicare prescription selections and negotiations to ensure “best price” negotiations 2024-2027.
III. BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL Department of Homeland Security MUST CLOSE THE BORDER: If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol—in a single day; If daily average of migrant encounters per week reaches a specific number set by U.S. Border Patrol; • Border remains closed until DHS and U.S. Border Patrol have operational control and processing capacity of the border. • Migrants who attempt to cross while the border is closed are barred from applying for asylum and/or to cross the border.
IV. BUILDING A STEEL BOLLARD BARRIER [“THE WALL”]
Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)
MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE/CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS: 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGON - COMPROMISE ON COMPETITION IN CONTRACTING ACT RESULTED IN LOWER COSTS FOR GOVERNMENT GOODS, HIGHER RELIABLITY IN GOVERNMENT GOODS AND LOWER BUDGETS FOR GOVERNMENT DEPARTMENTS - COMPROMISE ON REQUIRING WARRANTIES ON MILITARY HARWARE AND SOFTWARE RESULTED IN GOVERNMENT SAVINGS AND MORE RELIABLE MILITARY HARWARE AND SOFTWARE
- SENATOR'S QUOTE: "I GET A WARRANTY ON MY TRACTOR; WE SHOULD GET WARRANTIES ON TANKS!"
Reilly Neill (D)
Every perspective has a story and reasoning and when we are able to step outside our own perspective to see another, we can learn and adjust to find a way forward together.
In order to get work done in Congress, you must have the ability to compromise.
John Metzger (Independent)
MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE/CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS: 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGONAs a prior Legislative Aide at the U.S. Capitol for two Republicans during the Reagan and Bush Administrations we were encouraged to staff "Good Government" initiatives and Bills. I was part of a team that eliminated $44 billion of wasteful government spending. Below are my plans, my core responsibilities: ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others; ■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office; ■ A detailed "path" from a Joint House/Senate team of Republicans and Democrats how Congress will reach the deficit reduction goal separately passing 12 fiscal year 2025 appropriations bills ON TIME;
■ A ban on "earmarks" — "congressionally directed spending items" — attached to spending bills. A 2024 House "package" of six appropriation bills had 6,000+ earmarks adding $12+ billion to the federal deficit according to Bloomberg Government.
Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)
4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGONAs a prior Legislative Aide at the U.S. Capitol for two Republicans during the Reagan and Bush Administrations we were encouraged to staff "Good Government" initiatives and Bills. I was part of a team that eliminated $44 billion of wasteful government spending.
Government Accountability Office (GAO) Audits and Inspector General audits and investigations can inform "Good Government" legislation for ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others; ■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office; ■ A detailed "path" from a Joint House/Senate team of Republicans and Democrats how Congress will reach the deficit reduction goal separately passing 12 fiscal year 2025 appropriations bills ON TIME;
■ A ban on "earmarks" — "congressionally directed spending items" — attached to spending bills. A 2024 House "package" of six appropriation bills had 6,000+ earmarks adding $12+ billion to the federal deficit according to Bloomberg Government.
Reilly Neill (D)

Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)

Reilly Neill (D)

John Metzger (Independent)
“More than 300 [U.S.] House [of Representative] lawmakers were reimbursed at least $5.8 million for food and lodging while on official business in Washington last year under a new taxpayer-funded program that does not require them to provide receipts.”
As a former Legislative Aid on Capitol Hill, we ALWAYS provided travel, food, and lodging receipts. It was good Government. The costs were public information. It was communicating with taxpayers it matters what ‘bills’ get paid with their taxes. It enabled a serious discussion whether taxpayers wanted to pay those receipts.
Not requiring “receipts” leaves taxpayers scratching their heads asking “Why Not?” It disables that necessary accountability discussion between taxpayers and their U.S. House Representatives.
House lawmakers saw no need for “receipts” for “Rubbergate” in 1992 and what happened? The General Accounting Office (GAO) found House members ‘bounced’ 8,331 checks worth hundreds of thousands of dollars in a single year. GAO found 66 worst offenders wrote about 20,000 ‘rubber’ checks totaling $10,846,856. The ‘disconnect’ discussing accountability cost House lawmakers their jobs at reelection.
Time for a GAO audit of the $5.8 million for food and lodging in 2023. The audit should include 2024. It’s past time House lawmakers provide receipts, discuss the ‘taxpayer-funded’ program with constituents, and hear from constituents whether the program should even exist.
Reilly Neill (D)
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ming Cabrera | Democratic Party | $61,522 | $61,522 | $0 | As of September 30, 2024 |
John B. Driscoll | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Kevin Hamm | Democratic Party | $71,856 | $71,856 | $0 | As of August 30, 2024 |
Steve Held | Democratic Party | $96,204 | $96,204 | $0 | As of August 11, 2024 |
Reilly Neill | Democratic Party | $15,824 | $9,461 | $6,363 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Elsie Arntzen | Republican Party | $253,125 | $134,559 | $118,566 | As of December 31, 2023 |
Kyle Austin | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Kenneth Bogner | Republican Party | $55,442 | $55,442 | $0 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Troy Downing | Republican Party | $2,943,575 | $2,832,045 | $111,531 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Ric Holden | Republican Party | $51,721 | $50,654 | $1,067 | As of July 1, 2024 |
Joel G. Krautter | Republican Party | $88,079 | $88,079 | $0 | As of September 24, 2024 |
Denny Rehberg | Republican Party | $379,840 | $7,387 | $372,453 | As of March 31, 2024 |
Edward Walker | Republican Party | $103,597 | $29,752 | $73,845 | As of December 31, 2023 |
Stacy Zinn | Republican Party | $154,182 | $154,182 | $0 | As of November 15, 2024 |
John Metzger | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Montana in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Montana | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1,740.00 | 3/11/2024 | Source |
Montana | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 6,128[8] | $1,740.00 | 6/3/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Montana.
Montana U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 75.0% | 1 | 100.0% | ||||
2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 1 | 100.0% | ||||
2020 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | N/A | ||||
2018 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 50.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2016 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2014 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | N/A |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Montana in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 31, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Sixteen candidates, including five Democrats and 11 Republicans, ran for Montana’s two U.S. House districts in 2024. That’s eight candidates per district, higher than the 7.5 candidates who ran in 2022 but the same as the eight candidates who ran in 2020.
The total number of candidates who ran for the U.S. House in 2024 was also higher than any other year this decade. Fifteen candidates ran in 2022, eight in 2020, seven in 2018, two in 2016, and seven in 2014.
One seat was open in 2024, meaning an incumbent did not run for re-election. Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-2nd) did not run for re-election because he is retired from public office.
Thirteen candidates—four Democrats and nine Republicans—ran for the open 2nd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.
Three primaries—one Democratic and two Republican—were contested in 2024. Four primaries were contested in 2022, two primaries were contested in 2020, and one was in 2018.
Rep. Ryan Zinke (R-1st) was the only incumbent who faced a primary challenger in 2024.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in both districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Montana's 2nd the 71st most Republican district nationally.[9]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Montana's 2nd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
35.3% | 62.2% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[10] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
38.0 | 58.5 | R+20.5 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Montana, 2020
Montana presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 10 Democratic wins
- 21 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Montana, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Montana State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 16 | |
Republican Party | 34 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
Montana House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 32 | |
Republican Party | 68 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Montana Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Montana District 2
Incumbent Matt Rosendale defeated Gary Buchanan, Penny Ronning, and Sam Rankin in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Matt Rosendale (R) | 56.6 | 121,979 |
Gary Buchanan (Independent) | 21.9 | 47,195 | ||
![]() | Penny Ronning (D) ![]() | 20.2 | 43,480 | |
![]() | Sam Rankin (L) ![]() | 1.4 | 3,018 |
Total votes: 215,672 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Penny Ronning defeated Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew) and Skylar Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Penny Ronning ![]() | 58.5 | 21,983 |
![]() | Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew) | 22.8 | 8,586 | |
Skylar Williams | 18.7 | 7,029 |
Total votes: 37,598 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Laurie Bishop (D)
- Jack Ballard (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Incumbent Matt Rosendale defeated Kyle Austin, Charles A. Walking Child, and James Boyette in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Matt Rosendale | 75.7 | 73,453 |
Kyle Austin | 12.3 | 11,930 | ||
![]() | Charles A. Walking Child | 6.1 | 5,909 | |
![]() | James Boyette ![]() | 5.9 | 5,712 |
Total votes: 97,004 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Sam Rankin defeated Samuel Thomas and Roger Roots in the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Sam Rankin ![]() | 47.0 | 958 |
Samuel Thomas | 27.2 | 554 | ||
Roger Roots | 25.8 | 526 |
Total votes: 2,038 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Montana At-large District
Matt Rosendale defeated Kathleen Williams in the general election for U.S. House Montana At-large District on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Matt Rosendale (R) | 56.4 | 339,169 |
![]() | Kathleen Williams (D) | 43.6 | 262,340 |
Total votes: 601,509 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Gibney (G)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District
Kathleen Williams defeated Tom Winter in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kathleen Williams | 89.5 | 133,436 |
![]() | Tom Winter | 10.5 | 15,698 |
Total votes: 149,134 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Matt Rains (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Matt Rosendale | 48.3 | 104,575 |
![]() | Corey Stapleton | 33.2 | 71,902 | |
![]() | Debra Lamm | 6.7 | 14,462 | |
![]() | Joe Dooling | 6.3 | 13,726 | |
![]() | Mark McGinley ![]() | 3.6 | 7,818 | |
John Evankovich | 1.8 | 3,983 |
Total votes: 216,466 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Timothy Johnson (R)
Green primary election
Green primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District
John Gibney advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | John Gibney | 100.0 | 690 |
Total votes: 690 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Montana At-large District
Incumbent Greg Gianforte defeated Kathleen Williams and Elinor Swanson in the general election for U.S. House Montana At-large District on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Greg Gianforte (R) | 50.9 | 256,661 |
![]() | Kathleen Williams (D) ![]() | 46.2 | 233,284 | |
![]() | Elinor Swanson (L) | 2.9 | 14,476 |
Total votes: 504,421 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Doug Campbell (G)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kathleen Williams ![]() | 33.5 | 37,513 |
![]() | John Heenan | 31.7 | 35,480 | |
Grant Kier | 24.2 | 27,025 | ||
![]() | Lynda Moss | 5.1 | 5,667 | |
John Meyer ![]() | 3.3 | 3,740 | ||
![]() | Jared Pettinato | 2.2 | 2,472 |
Total votes: 111,897 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District
Incumbent Greg Gianforte advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Greg Gianforte | 100.0 | 136,372 |
Total votes: 136,372 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Drew Turiano (R)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Average of all congressional districts.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023