Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

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2026
2022
Montana's 2nd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 11, 2024
Primary: June 4, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Montana
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Montana's 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd
Montana elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Montana, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024.

Incumbent Matt Rosendale (R) will not be running for re-election.

The primary was June 4, 2024. The filing deadline was March 11, 2024. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 56.6%-20.2%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 62.2%-35.3%.[3]

This is one of 45 open races for the U.S. House in 2024 where an incumbent did not run for re-election. Across the country, 24 Democrats and 21 Republicans did not run for re-election. In 2022, 49 representatives did not seek re-election, including 31 Democrats and 18 Republicans.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Montana District 2

Troy Downing defeated John B. Driscoll, Reilly Neill, and John Metzger in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 2 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Troy Downing
Troy Downing (R)
 
65.7
 
181,832
Image of John B. Driscoll
John B. Driscoll (D)
 
33.9
 
93,713
Image of Reilly Neill
Reilly Neill (D) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.4
 
1,058
Image of John Metzger
John Metzger (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
40
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
9

Total votes: 276,652
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2

John B. Driscoll defeated Steve Held, Ming Cabrera, and Kevin Hamm in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 4, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John B. Driscoll
John B. Driscoll
 
33.3
 
13,420
Image of Steve Held
Steve Held
 
26.4
 
10,649
Image of Ming Cabrera
Ming Cabrera Candidate Connection
 
20.9
 
8,408
Image of Kevin Hamm
Kevin Hamm
 
19.4
 
7,813

Total votes: 40,290
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 4, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Troy Downing
Troy Downing
 
36.1
 
36,269
Image of Denny Rehberg
Denny Rehberg
 
17.1
 
17,182
Image of Stacy Zinn
Stacy Zinn
 
13.5
 
13,581
Image of Elsie Arntzen
Elsie Arntzen
 
9.4
 
9,468
Image of Kenneth Bogner
Kenneth Bogner
 
9.0
 
9,026
Image of Ric Holden
Ric Holden
 
7.1
 
7,108
Image of Joel G. Krautter
Joel G. Krautter
 
3.4
 
3,432
Kyle Austin
 
3.2
 
3,177
Image of Edward Walker
Edward Walker
 
1.2
 
1,168

Total votes: 100,411
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of John Metzger

WebsiteFacebookYouTube

Party: Independent

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE-U.S. CONGRESS AND CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS: 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGON. ADVANTAGE: ‘IMMEDIATELY GET TO WORK FOR MT DISTRICT 2 BEGINNING DAY 1: I. SIGN (ALREADY WRITTEN) DEMAND FOR AUDIT INTO “PRICE GOUGING” ON COST OF LIVING:  Grocery foods and beverages;  Housing, rent, electricity;  Farm Fertilizer;  Gas and other motor fuel;  Motor vehicle parts and accessories and;  Corporate penalties $50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing”.  Introduce Bill to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing. II. INTRODODUCE (ALREADY WRITTEN) BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL  U.S. MUST CLOSE THE BORDER: If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol.  INTRODODUCE BILL (ALREADY WRITTEN) BUILDING STEEL BOLLARD WALL AUGMENTED WITH ANTI-CLIMB AND ANTI-DIG FEATURES III. INTRODUCE BILL (ALREADY WRITTEN) FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS:  Increase prescription drugs from 10-15 to “250” prescriptions to directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. 79% cost savings early result IV. FULLY FUND SOLUTIONS TO WATER SUPPLY OF ST. MARY RIVER AND MILK RIVER BASINS.  Support continued joint efforts from federal, Tribal and state agencies to collect / monitor water diversions."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


O SAVED TAXPAYERS / CANCELLED $44 BILLION IN WASTEFUL GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS AS 4+ YEARS LEGISLATIVE AIDE U.S. CONGRESS, APPROPRIATIONS /GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS COMMITTEES DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS O CONVINCED CONGRESSMAN TO COSPONSOR BILL TO INREASE COMPETITION IN CONTRACTING FOR U.S. GOVERNMENT GOODS AND SERVICES. ENACTED BILL INCREASED COMPETITION AND REDUCED GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND BUDGETS. O TOP-DOWN WASTE-FRAUD-ABUSE AUDIT OF U.S. DEPT. OF EDUCATION AND MT EDUCATION FUNDING. INVESTING THE SAVINGS INTO INCREASED TEACHER SALARIES, JOB SECURITY, SCHOOL SECURITY, AND CURRENT EDUCATIONAL MATERIEL.


REDUCE PROPERTY TAXES TEAMING WITH THE GOVERNOR AND STATE LEGISLATURE. WILL DEMAND IMMEDIATE AUDITS AND RECOMMENDATIONS OF WHAT UNNECESSARY PROGRAMS TO ELIMINATE/CUT TO REDUCE PROPERTY TAXES. Page 3-15, Volume 2 of FY 2024-2025 Budget is clear. Get ready for an UNACCEPTABLE 26.6% “Percent Change” Property Tax forecast for FY 2024. An 81% increase from the 5% forecast in FY 2023. THIS IS UNACCEPTABLE.


HIGH PRIORITY ON FARM COMMMODITY PROGRAM SUPPORT FOR milk, beef, wheat, hay, alfalfa, barley, lentils, peas, chickpeas, canola, corn, safflower, flaxseed, oats, sugar beets, soybeans, rice, sheep, and hogs among others. Strong oversight-through audits-that U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) use best-practices TO ANTICIPATE when to fund for trade promotion and food aid, expand crop insurance, increased outlays to producers affected by retaliatory tariffs, disaster assistance for agricultural losses, amend conservation programs, and reauthorize and revise nutrition assistance.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Montana District 2 in 2024.

Image of Reilly Neill

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I'm running for U.S. Congress to give voters in Eastern Montana a choice and a voice on the ballot. I'm a former Montana State House Representative and longtime newspaper publisher, a mom and a tireless advocate for issues facing Montanans. The candidate who won the Democrat primary for U.S. House in 2024 vowed not to file with the FEC, raise money, or elevate Democrat principles and values. Four years ago he was a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate and publicly against Reproductive Rights. I've never wavered in my support for bodily autonomy and the right to equal healthcare for all in Montana. I facilitated multiple groups and events over years while administrating Montana March for Reproductive Rights and will be a champion for this issue in Congress. In the 2024 race for Montana's Second District, there are two Republicans on the ballot. I am the choice for Democrats who deserve representation. Without a strong top-of-the-ticket candidate, every race down the line is affected. My campaign lifts all races across this rural district. I show up in Miles City, in Havre, Malta and Lewistown and I help elevate candidates and committees and the ground. The rallying cry is, "A rising tide lifts all boats!" and I work to canvas, host fund raisers, offer support and presence, raise awareness online and elevate every candidate on the ballot up and down the list. This work over just a short time helps re-motivate the base in MT-02!"


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


This election cycle, Constitutional Amendment CI-128 is on the ballot. By voting yes on this initiative, Montanans will be guaranteed the express right to carry out decisions about one’s own pregnancy, including the right to abortion. Challenges in rural healthcare disproportionately affect women in Montana but everyone in Montana deserves access to equal and adequate healthcare. Investing in women's health programs and access to care in rural communities will insure the health of our children and families. Everyone in Montana deserves access to equal healthcare and has a right to privacy with their healthcare provider.


Montana feeds the world. The concerns of the farmers and ranchers across Montana need to be represented in D.C. Agricultural producers in the state face serious challenges in the coming years and Montana needs someone fighting strong for our agricultural economy. Farmers and ranchers need support and solutions. The delay in implementing the St. Mary and Milk River Project on the Hi-Line will not only impact 18,000 Montana residents, it will affect the global food supply. Having someone dedicated and committed to our producers across the state is imperative in making sure we can continue to support rural infrastructure and our rural communities and continue to feed the world.


From roads and bridges to public schools and services, Montanans should be able to depend on public infrastructure. Getting our fair share of public benefits from the taxes we pay must be a priority for Montana's congressional delegation. Good public schools, safe roads and bridges and municipal services are priorities in our communities across the district and they should be priorities in Congress.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Montana District 2 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Montana

Election information in Montana: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: N/A

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 4, 2024
  • By mail: N/A by N/A
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 7, 2024 to Nov. 4, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (MST)

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

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John Metzger (Independent)

O SAVED TAXPAYERS / CANCELLED $44 BILLION IN WASTEFUL GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS AS 4+ YEARS LEGISLATIVE AIDE U.S. CONGRESS, APPROPRIATIONS /GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS COMMITTEES DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS

O CONVINCED CONGRESSMAN TO COSPONSOR BILL TO INREASE COMPETITION IN CONTRACTING FOR U.S. GOVERNMENT GOODS AND SERVICES. ENACTED BILL INCREASED COMPETITION AND REDUCED GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND BUDGETS.

O TOP-DOWN WASTE-FRAUD-ABUSE AUDIT OF U.S. DEPT. OF EDUCATION AND MT EDUCATION FUNDING. INVESTING THE SAVINGS INTO INCREASED TEACHER SALARIES, JOB SECURITY, SCHOOL SECURITY, AND CURRENT EDUCATIONAL MATERIEL.

REDUCE PROPERTY TAXES TEAMING WITH THE GOVERNOR AND STATE LEGISLATURE. WILL DEMAND IMMEDIATE AUDITS AND RECOMMENDATIONS OF WHAT UNNECESSARY PROGRAMS TO ELIMINATE/CUT TO REDUCE PROPERTY TAXES. Page 3-15, Volume 2 of FY 2024-2025 Budget is clear. Get ready for an UNACCEPTABLE 26.6% “Percent Change” Property Tax forecast for FY 2024. An 81% increase from the 5% forecast in FY 2023. THIS IS UNACCEPTABLE.

HIGH PRIORITY ON FARM COMMMODITY PROGRAM SUPPORT FOR milk, beef, wheat, hay, alfalfa, barley, lentils, peas, chickpeas, canola, corn, safflower, flaxseed, oats, sugar beets, soybeans, rice, sheep, and hogs among others. Strong oversight-through audits-that U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) use best-practices TO ANTICIPATE when to fund for trade promotion and food aid, expand crop insurance, increased outlays to producers affected by retaliatory tariffs, disaster assistance for agricultural losses, amend conservation programs, and reauthorize and revise nutrition assistance.
This election cycle, Constitutional Amendment CI-128 is on the ballot. By voting yes on this initiative, Montanans will be guaranteed the express right to carry out decisions about one’s own pregnancy, including the right to abortion.

Challenges in rural healthcare disproportionately affect women in Montana but everyone in Montana deserves access to equal and adequate healthcare.

Investing in women's health programs and access to care in rural communities will insure the health of our children and families. Everyone in Montana deserves access to equal healthcare and has a right to privacy with their healthcare provider.

Montana feeds the world. The concerns of the farmers and ranchers across Montana need to be represented in D.C.

Agricultural producers in the state face serious challenges in the coming years and Montana needs someone fighting strong for our agricultural economy. Farmers and ranchers need support and solutions.

The delay in implementing the St. Mary and Milk River Project on the Hi-Line will not only impact 18,000 Montana residents, it will affect the global food supply. Having someone dedicated and committed to our producers across the state is imperative in making sure we can continue to support rural infrastructure and our rural communities and continue to feed the world.

From roads and bridges to public schools and services, Montanans should be able to depend on public infrastructure. Getting our fair share of public benefits from the taxes we pay must be a priority for Montana's congressional delegation.

Good public schools, safe roads and bridges and municipal services are priorities in our communities across the district and they should be priorities in Congress.
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John Metzger (Independent)

AUDIT AND ELIMINATE WASTE, FRAUD, AND ABUSE OF HARD-EARNED TAXPAYER MONEY. ELIMINATE Congressional Earmarks-Congressionally directed spending-bypassing the appropriations process. A 2024 U.S. House ‘package’ of 6 appropriation bills HAD OVER 6,600 EARMARKS ADDING $12+ BILLION TO THE FEDERAL DEFICIT reportedly. ELIMINATE taxpayer-funded program that reimburses U.S. House Representatives for food and lodging while on "official business" in Washington, DC. The program DOES NOT REQUIRE THE LAWMAKERS TO PROVIDE RECEIPTS. More than 300 U.S. House of Representative lawmakers were reimbursed at least $5.8 million for food and lodging while on "official business" in Washington last year.
Reproductive Rights, Women's Healthcare, Investing in Agricultural Economy, Climate Variability and Agriculture, Public Infrastructure, Maintaining Good Public Schools and Athletic Programs, Building Resiliency into Public Systems - Energy and Power, Irrigation and Municipal Water Issues, and Disaster Preparedness.
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John Metzger (Independent)

President Reagan. President Reagan always made time to meet once a week with U.S. House Speaker of the House Tip O'Neill to COMPROMISE on legislation. President Reagan and Speaker O'Neill always put personal matters aside and prioritize compromise on details of legislation.
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John Metzger (Independent)

Movie: "All the President's Men" Book: Machiavelli's Treatise "The Prince"
On the Floor: Tales from the Montana House by Reilly Neill
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John Metzger (Independent)

President Reagan and President Trump reminded us it's important elected officials in government 'get out of the way' to create economic growth. President Reagan reminded us elected officials can play a role creating an environment that is friendly to growth. I can help constituents that want to become business owners and entrepreneurs. I can encourage women and men to complete economic plans, evaluate risks, and then allow them to get big rewards when they succeed. The Small Business Administration (SBA) Administrator and local SBA leads can do a lot more for District 2:

• U.S. Small Business Administration's Mentor-Protege Program helps team small businesses to partner with a more experienced firm for mentorship. The joint venture may pursue any type of set-aside contract for which the protégé qualifies, including contracts set aside for 8(a), service-disabled veteran-owned, woman-owned, and HUBZone businesses. • These businesses bring competition to ‘break up’ monopolies in Utilities, Finance, Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services, Administrative and Waste Management Services among many other industries.

• These businesses = jobs!
Transparency, accountability, and integrity all matter in a public representative. I have worked in the past and will work in the future to serve my constituents with the primary mission of speaking for their interests rather than my own.

We can get past divisions and get together for the common good. We have a choice, not to move to the right or to the left, but to move forward.

The great strength of our state lies in the hearts of decent, caring citizens, when a neighbor walks across the road and says, “Need a hand? Here it is.”

We pull each other out of the ditch and get ‘er done. We get past divisions and get together for the common good.

When Democrats run on decency, empathy, compassion, and sticking to our principles, we win. When we win, we get to work delivering and standing up for people.
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John Metzger (Independent)

 MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE/CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS:

o 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS o 16+ CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGON.  “Actions speak louder than words”: The ADVANTAGE above let’s me ‘GET IMMEDIATELY TO WORK FOR MT DISTRICT 2 BEGINNING DAY 1: I. DAY 1: IMMEDIATE GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY OFFICE (GAO) AUDIT INTO “PRICE GOUGING” ON COST OF LIVING:  Grocery foods and beverages;  Prescriptions;  Housing, rent, electricity;  Farm Fertilizer  Gas and other motor fuel;  Motor vehicle parts and accessories and;  Food supply chain for post-farm activities that transform raw food in to finished food products.  Corporate penalties $25-$50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing” and manipulating wholesale markets.  GAO to draft legislation to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing, bid rigging and other predatory/exclusionary acts. II. INTRODUCE BILL IN THE FORM OF AN AMENDMENT FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS:  Increases prescription drug numbers (e.g., “10”) to “not less than 250” prescription drugs the Center for Medicare Services will directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. Accelerates the negotiation timetable to 2025, 2026, and 2027 and;  Requests GAO audit Medicare prescription selections and negotiations to ensure “best price” negotiations 2024-2027.

III. BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL  Department of Homeland Security MUST CLOSE THE BORDER:  If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol—in a single day;  If daily average of migrant encounters per week reaches a specific number set by U.S. Border Patrol;

• Border remains closed until DHS and U.S. Border Patrol have operational control and processing capacity of the border.
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John Metzger (Independent)

As a prior Legislative Aide at the U.S. Capitol for two Republicans during the Reagan and Bush Administrations we were encouraged to staff "Good Government" initiatives and Bills. I was part of a team that eliminated $44 billion of wasteful government spending.

Below are my plans, my core responsibilities: ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others; ■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office; ■ A detailed "path" from a Joint House/Senate team of Republicans and Democrats how Congress will reach the deficit reduction goal separately passing 12 fiscal year 2025 appropriations bills on time;

■ A ban on "earmarks" — "congressionally directed spending items" — attached to spending bills. A 2024 House "package" of six appropriation bills had 6,000+ earmarks adding $12+ billion to the federal deficit according to Bloomberg Government.
As a former State Representative, member of the Water Policy Interim Committee and longtime newspaper publisher, I have the experience to work effectively in Congress, from advocating for the St. Mary Canal and Milk River irrigation projects to pass the U.S. House to ensuring every citizen has access to rural healthcare and good public schools.

If elected, I will serve with a purpose to reflect the will of Montana and its voters.

Primary bills are considered to protect the agricultural economy in Montana and the U.S., invest in and maintain public infrastructure, address the housing crisis, listen to community concerns and set clear priorities for the national budget. I will also look at defending the Equal Rights Amendment.

My job will be to represent the people of Montana to the best of my ability. Even if I win as a Democrat, I will take off my hat when elected to serve all Montanans.

Elevating and building the Democrat base in the district will still continue to be a priority throughout my campaign and after the election. Building a community of Democrats will insure continued wins on the ticket and the base of the party in years to come.
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John Metzger (Independent)

Congressman in U.S. House of Representatives leading the U.S. House back to a priority on "Good Government"

 Task Comptroller of the United States create a GAO ‘Red Team’ of auditors, criminal investigators, and other support to audit/investigate the estimated $236 billion “improper payments” (e.g., overpayments, inaccurate recordkeeping, and/or fraud) in fiscal year (FY 2023) in:  a. Medicare ($51.9 billion ‘improper payments’);  b. Medicaid ($36.7 billion ‘improper payments’)  c. All Other Programs ($36.1 billion ‘improper payments’)  d. Earned Income Tax Credit ($16.2 billion ‘improper payments’)

 In the first 3-4 months in the House: Meet with Small Business Administration (SBA) Administrator and all Montana 2nd Congressional District local SBA leads to review their final plans:  For increases in small businesses in 2025 in Montana 2nd Congressional District that ‘break up’ and compete with ‘monopolies’ (e.g., Utilities, Finance and Insurance, Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services, Administrative and Waste Management Services)  Task GAO to audit the progress of full SBA implementation with updates every 2-3 weeks and;  SBA Administrator will send SBA subject matter expert to 'join' my House Congressional Staff with expertise in:  Funding, Training, Accounting, Contracts and;  Best Practices in successful SBA small businesses  Introduce Bills in the form of amendments—ALREADY DRAFTED—on:  Border Security and;  Countering fentanyl crossing into United States ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others;

■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office;
In running for U.S. Congress in 2024, I'd like to help build community among Democrats all across Montana's Second Congressional District.

We pull each other out of the ditch and we walk across the road to our neighbor and say, "Need a hand? Here it is."

We are the party of FDR, JFK and MLK, Jr. and we can be proud to support conservation issues with our farmers and ranchers, human rights with our neighbors and good public schools and academic programs with our communities.

So many across Montana are fighting for our morals and principles as Democrats and building a community of these committed neighbors is my primary goal.
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John Metzger (Independent)

Working at the Pentagon during the 9/11 terrorist attack. Returned one day later, with Pentagon still on fire, for selection to Response Team to 9/11 attack.
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John Metzger (Independent)

Laying irrigation systems and landscaping helped pay college tuition.
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John Metzger (Independent)

Lincoln at Gettysburg by Garry Wills. Wills researches the leadership, religious faith, and valor of sacrifice President Lincoln used in the Gettysburg Address.
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John Metzger (Independent)

Friends in Low Places by Garth Brooks
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John Metzger (Independent)

Protecting my older brother with developmental disabilities from "bullies" when we were growing up as kids.
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John Metzger (Independent)

435 U.S. House of Representative members REQUIRE compromise, communication, and a priority on passing legislation prohibiting “PRICE GOUGING”, and more businesses (more jobs!) to prevent monopolies on:

 Grocery foods and beverages;  Prescriptions;  Housing, rent, electricity;  Farm Fertilizer  Gas and other motor fuel;  Motor vehicle parts and accessories and;  Food supply chain for post-farm activities that transform raw food in to finished food products.  Corporate penalties $25-$50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing” and manipulating wholesale markets.  Government Accountability Office (GAO) to draft legislation to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing, bid rigging and other predatory/exclusionary acts. II. INTRODUCE BILL IN THE FORM OF AN AMENDMENT FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS:  Increases prescription drug numbers (e.g., “10”) to “not less than 250” prescription drugs the Center for Medicare Services will directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. Accelerates the negotiation timetable to 2025, 2026, and 2027 and;  Requests GAO audit Medicare prescription selections and negotiations to ensure “best price” negotiations 2024-2027.

III. BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL  Department of Homeland Security MUST CLOSE THE BORDER:  If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol—in a single day;  If daily average of migrant encounters per week reaches a specific number set by U.S. Border Patrol; • Border remains closed until DHS and U.S. Border Patrol have operational control and processing capacity of the border. • Migrants who attempt to cross while the border is closed are barred from applying for asylum and/or to cross the border.

IV. BUILDING A STEEL BOLLARD BARRIER [“THE WALL”]

 THE CONSTRUCTION OF STEEL BOLLARD PEDESTRIAN BARRIER BUILT AT LEAST 18 TO 30 FEET IN EFFECTIVE HEIGHT AND AUGMENTED WITH ANTI-CLIMB AND ANTI-DIG FEATURES
Having served in the Montana House of Representatives, I understand the function of the body and the importance of the work that is done at the Federal level of the U.S. House.

As a unique institution, the U.S. House of Representatives has endured as a beacon for democracy since 1787 when representatives of states of the Union first met at the Constitutional Convention.

Every state in the Union at the time sent delegates and the tradition continues today, now encompassing all of the United States and since 1789 featuring delegates elected by their districts.

No term limits exist for this office so while generational wisdom is thick, so may be corruption and cronyism.

This chamber is the meat-and-potatoes of lawmaking in America and it's on the House floor, in committee and in final votes where is where democracy is minted every day of session, no matter how droll or contradictory the bill.
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John Metzger (Independent)

20+ YEARS COMPROMISING ON LEGISLATION FOR"GOOD GOVERNMENT" SOLUTIONS TO CONSTITUENT ISSUES

MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE/CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS: 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGONAs a prior Legislative Aide at the U.S. Capitol for two Republicans during the Reagan and Bush Administrations we were encouraged to staff "Good Government" initiatives and Bills. I was part of a team that eliminated $44 billion of wasteful government spending. Below are my plans, my core responsibilities: ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others; ■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office; ■ A detailed "path" from a Joint House/Senate team of Republicans and Democrats how Congress will reach the deficit reduction goal separately passing 12 fiscal year 2025 appropriations bills on time;

■ A ban on "earmarks" — "congressionally directed spending items" — attached to spending bills. A 2024 House "package" of six appropriation bills had 6,000+ earmarks adding $12+ billion to the federal deficit according to Bloomberg Government.
We have a citizen legislature which encourages people from all career paths to enter politics. As in any career, experience can be an incredible boon to being effective on the job. Obtaining experience in some kind of public service and serving in a public or elected office can be invaluable when later seeking high office or to enrich any career and become more engaged with the direction a community heads in the future.
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John Metzger (Independent)

I. IMMEDIATE AUDITS INTO “PRICE GOUGING” ON COST OF LIVING, and more businesses (more jobs!) to prevent monopolies:

 Grocery foods and beverages;  Prescriptions;  Housing, rent, electricity;  Farm Fertilizer  Gas and other motor fuel;  Motor vehicle parts and accessories and;  Food supply chain for post-farm activities that transform raw food in to finished food products.  Corporate penalties $25-$50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing” and manipulating wholesale markets.  GAO to draft legislation to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing, bid rigging and other predatory/exclusionary acts. II. INTRODUCE BILL IN THE FORM OF AN AMENDMENT FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS:  Increases prescription drug numbers (e.g., “10”) to “not less than 250” prescription drugs the Center for Medicare Services will directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. Accelerates the negotiation timetable to 2025, 2026, and 2027 and;  Requests GAO audit Medicare prescription selections and negotiations to ensure “best price” negotiations 2024-2027.

III. BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL  Department of Homeland Security MUST CLOSE THE BORDER:  If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol—in a single day;  If daily average of migrant encounters per week reaches a specific number set by U.S. Border Patrol; • Border remains closed until DHS and U.S. Border Patrol have operational control and processing capacity of the border. • Migrants who attempt to cross while the border is closed are barred from applying for asylum and/or to cross the border.

IV. BUILDING A STEEL BOLLARD BARRIER [“THE WALL”]  THE CONSTRUCTION OF STEEL BOLLARD PEDESTRIAN BARRIER BUILT AT LEAST 18 TO 30 FEET IN EFFECTIVE HEIGHT AND AUGMENTED WITH ANTI-CLIMB AND ANTI-DIG FEATURES

 Construction of pedestrian barriers will be at locations identified in the Border Security Improvement Plan
The threat to human rights continues to present issues across the nation as the right to reproductive healthcare and bodily autonomy are threatened by increasingly draconian State and Federal legislation. Climate change in coming years will present the greatest threat to our food supply, energy grid, irrigation projects and daily life. Building resiliency into necessary public systems should be a top priority in Congress.
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John Metzger (Independent)

In favor of two-year term limits for U.S. House. Replace the "Seniority" metric for higher "ladder rungs" in political power with members working hardest to enact "good government" Bills in both House and Senate. Then we'll have a Congress communicating with constituents.
Yes.
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John Metzger (Independent)

In favor of term limits for U.S. House and U.S. Senate. Replace the "Seniority" metric for higher "ladder rungs" in political power with members working hardest to enact "good government" Bills in both House and Senate. Then we'll have a Congress communicating with constituents.
As a State Representative, I can appreciate the legacy of knowledge elder officials bring to Congress and other positions of representation and governance. Still, lifetime appointments such as those on the Supreme Court undermine the democratic process. Term limits would insure accountability in such a case and discourage any abuse of office.

In the U.S. Senate and House, term limits allow for service in both houses as is the case in many states, and this allowance fosters generational wisdom. Even with the often-generous limits in State positions, new leadership must have opportunity to enter the process as well.

In general, I support term limits within reason to account for preserving institutional wisdom and support strict limits absolutely for the United States or individual state Supreme Courts.
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John Metzger (Independent)

Two "Pioneers": Davy Crocket, defender of the Alamo and U.S. Congressman. Jeannette Rankin, first woman elected to the U.S. Congress.
Representative Steve Cohen (D) from Memphis, Tennessee is a champion for all of his constituents. His straight-thinking and no-nonsense approach to issues facing his district and the nation is a model for me.
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John Metzger (Independent)

Too many stories from District 2 Montanans not being able to afford:

 Grocery foods and beverages;  Prescriptions;  Housing, rent, electricity;  Farm Fertilizer  Gas and other motor fuel;  Motor vehicle parts and accessories and other cost of living goods and services. I. TOP PRIORITY: IMMEDIATE AUDITS INTO “PRICE GOUGING” ON COST OF LIVING, and more businesses (more jobs!) to prevent monopolies:  Grocery foods and beverages;  Prescriptions;  Housing, rent, electricity;  Farm Fertilizer  Gas and other motor fuel;  Motor vehicle parts and accessories and;  Food supply chain for post-farm activities that transform raw food in to finished food products.  Corporate penalties $25-$50 million (or more)/day for “price fixing” and manipulating wholesale markets.  GAO to draft legislation to break up monopolies and insert competition replacing price fixing, bid rigging and other predatory/exclusionary acts. II. INTRODUCE BILL IN THE FORM OF AN AMENDMENT FOR NEGOTIATED PRESCRIPTION PRICE REDUCTIONS:  Increases prescription drug numbers (e.g., “10”) to “not less than 250” prescription drugs the Center for Medicare Services will directly negotiate price reductions with the manufacturer. Accelerates the negotiation timetable to 2025, 2026, and 2027 and;  Requests GAO audit Medicare prescription selections and negotiations to ensure “best price” negotiations 2024-2027.

III. BORDER CLOSING AND BORDER SECURITY BILL  Department of Homeland Security MUST CLOSE THE BORDER:  If migrant encounters exceed a specific number—set by U.S. Border Patrol—in a single day;  If daily average of migrant encounters per week reaches a specific number set by U.S. Border Patrol; • Border remains closed until DHS and U.S. Border Patrol have operational control and processing capacity of the border. • Migrants who attempt to cross while the border is closed are barred from applying for asylum and/or to cross the border.

IV. BUILDING A STEEL BOLLARD BARRIER [“THE WALL”]
A constituent's daughter was at the end of her pregnancy and suddenly complications arose from an emergency birth. The daughter's husband and her mother were in the waiting room when the doctor asked them to choose the mother or the child's life. In Montana, this woman got to make that choice with her son-in-law. They chose the mother-to-be and the child made it through as well, with complications. This is a personal story that guts you when it's shared. In another state, there is no choice and this young mother would have died.
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John Metzger (Independent)

20+ YEARS COMPROMISING ON LEGISLATION FOR"GOOD GOVERNMENT" SOLUTIONS TO CONSTITUENT ISSUES

MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE/CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS: 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGON - COMPROMISE ON COMPETITION IN CONTRACTING ACT RESULTED IN LOWER COSTS FOR GOVERNMENT GOODS, HIGHER RELIABLITY IN GOVERNMENT GOODS AND LOWER BUDGETS FOR GOVERNMENT DEPARTMENTS - COMPROMISE ON REQUIRING WARRANTIES ON MILITARY HARWARE AND SOFTWARE RESULTED IN GOVERNMENT SAVINGS AND MORE RELIABLE MILITARY HARWARE AND SOFTWARE

- SENATOR'S QUOTE: "I GET A WARRANTY ON MY TRACTOR; WE SHOULD GET WARRANTIES ON TANKS!"
Absolutely. Working in the Republican-dominated Montana State Legislature, the minority was forced into a constant position of compromise. In non-partisan committees, compromise was the only way forward to get important work done.

Every perspective has a story and reasoning and when we are able to step outside our own perspective to see another, we can learn and adjust to find a way forward together.

In order to get work done in Congress, you must have the ability to compromise.
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John Metzger (Independent)

20+ YEARS COMPROMISING ON LEGISLATION FOR "GOOD GOVERNMENT" SOLUTIONS TO CONSTITUENT ISSUES

MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE/CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS: 4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGONAs a prior Legislative Aide at the U.S. Capitol for two Republicans during the Reagan and Bush Administrations we were encouraged to staff "Good Government" initiatives and Bills. I was part of a team that eliminated $44 billion of wasteful government spending. Below are my plans, my core responsibilities: ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others; ■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office; ■ A detailed "path" from a Joint House/Senate team of Republicans and Democrats how Congress will reach the deficit reduction goal separately passing 12 fiscal year 2025 appropriations bills ON TIME;

■ A ban on "earmarks" — "congressionally directed spending items" — attached to spending bills. A 2024 House "package" of six appropriation bills had 6,000+ earmarks adding $12+ billion to the federal deficit according to Bloomberg Government.
I would make sure that Montana, even with its small population, got its fair share in legislation. We feed the world and power the nation and we need support for our infrastructure.
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John Metzger (Independent)

MT District 2 HAS THE SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE OF MY 20+ YEARS AS LEGISLATIVE AIDE/CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS—PENTAGON DURING PRESIDENTS REAGAN AND BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS:

4+ YEARS U.S. CONGRESS LEGISLATIVE AIDE FOR TWO REPUBLICAN SENATORS 16 YEARS CONGRESSIONAL AFFAIRS PENTAGONAs a prior Legislative Aide at the U.S. Capitol for two Republicans during the Reagan and Bush Administrations we were encouraged to staff "Good Government" initiatives and Bills. I was part of a team that eliminated $44 billion of wasteful government spending.

Government Accountability Office (GAO) Audits and Inspector General audits and investigations can inform "Good Government" legislation for ■ A detailed plan to increase competition to reduce grocery, housing, and farming costs among others; ■ A detailed plan to reduce the $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit "scored" by the independent Congressional Budget Office; ■ A detailed "path" from a Joint House/Senate team of Republicans and Democrats how Congress will reach the deficit reduction goal separately passing 12 fiscal year 2025 appropriations bills ON TIME;

■ A ban on "earmarks" — "congressionally directed spending items" — attached to spending bills. A 2024 House "package" of six appropriation bills had 6,000+ earmarks adding $12+ billion to the federal deficit according to Bloomberg Government.
The investigative tools of Congress should be used to either to gather information valuable in considering and producing legislation or to ensure existing laws are being properly administered.
Wilmot Collins, Jesse Mullen, Ming Cabrera, Kevin Hamm, Steve Held
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John Metzger (Independent)

U.S. House Appropriations Committee, U.S. House Agriculture Committee, U.S. House Veterans Committee, U.S. House Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions, U.S. House Committee on Homeland Security, U.S. House Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship, U.S. House Committee on Environment and Public Works, U.S. House Committee on Energy and Natural Resources
Agriculture, Education, House Homeland Security, Emergency Management, and Water, Wildlife and Fisheries
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John Metzger (Independent)

The Washington Post reported on June 4, 2024:

“More than 300 [U.S.] House [of Representative] lawmakers were reimbursed at least $5.8 million for food and lodging while on official business in Washington last year under a new taxpayer-funded program that does not require them to provide receipts.”

As a former Legislative Aid on Capitol Hill, we ALWAYS provided travel, food, and lodging receipts. It was good Government. The costs were public information. It was communicating with taxpayers it matters what ‘bills’ get paid with their taxes. It enabled a serious discussion whether taxpayers wanted to pay those receipts.

Not requiring “receipts” leaves taxpayers scratching their heads asking “Why Not?” It disables that necessary accountability discussion between taxpayers and their U.S. House Representatives.

House lawmakers saw no need for “receipts” for “Rubbergate” in 1992 and what happened? The General Accounting Office (GAO) found House members ‘bounced’ 8,331 checks worth hundreds of thousands of dollars in a single year. GAO found 66 worst offenders wrote about 20,000 ‘rubber’ checks totaling $10,846,856. The ‘disconnect’ discussing accountability cost House lawmakers their jobs at reelection.

Time for a GAO audit of the $5.8 million for food and lodging in 2023. The audit should include 2024. It’s past time House lawmakers provide receipts, discuss the ‘taxpayer-funded’ program with constituents, and hear from constituents whether the program should even exist.
All candidates and elected officials need to be transparent with their financial records so voters and citizens can be fully informed about their activities. While in service, each official should hold the code of ethics required for their position.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Ming Cabrera Democratic Party $61,522 $61,522 $0 As of September 30, 2024
John B. Driscoll Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Kevin Hamm Democratic Party $71,856 $71,856 $0 As of August 30, 2024
Steve Held Democratic Party $96,204 $96,204 $0 As of August 11, 2024
Reilly Neill Democratic Party $15,824 $9,461 $6,363 As of September 30, 2024
Elsie Arntzen Republican Party $253,125 $134,559 $118,566 As of December 31, 2023
Kyle Austin Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Kenneth Bogner Republican Party $55,442 $55,442 $0 As of September 30, 2024
Troy Downing Republican Party $2,943,575 $2,832,045 $111,531 As of December 31, 2024
Ric Holden Republican Party $51,721 $50,654 $1,067 As of July 1, 2024
Joel G. Krautter Republican Party $88,079 $88,079 $0 As of September 24, 2024
Denny Rehberg Republican Party $379,840 $7,387 $372,453 As of March 31, 2024
Edward Walker Republican Party $103,597 $29,752 $73,845 As of December 31, 2023
Stacy Zinn Republican Party $154,182 $154,182 $0 As of November 15, 2024
John Metzger Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Montana in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Montana U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $1,740.00 3/11/2024 Source
Montana U.S. House Unaffiliated 6,128[8] $1,740.00 6/3/2024 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_mt_congressional_district_02.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Montana.

Montana U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 2 2 1 16 4 1 2 75.0% 1 100.0%
2022 2 2 1 15 4 2 2 100.0% 1 100.0%
2020 1 1 1 8 2 1 1 100.0% 0 N/A
2018 1 1 0 7 2 1 0 50.0% 0 0.0%
2016 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
2014 1 1 1 7 2 1 1 100.0% 0 N/A

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Montana in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 31, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Sixteen candidates, including five Democrats and 11 Republicans, ran for Montana’s two U.S. House districts in 2024. That’s eight candidates per district, higher than the 7.5 candidates who ran in 2022 but the same as the eight candidates who ran in 2020.

The total number of candidates who ran for the U.S. House in 2024 was also higher than any other year this decade. Fifteen candidates ran in 2022, eight in 2020, seven in 2018, two in 2016, and seven in 2014.

One seat was open in 2024, meaning an incumbent did not run for re-election. Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-2nd) did not run for re-election because he is retired from public office.

Thirteen candidates—four Democrats and nine Republicans—ran for the open 2nd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.

Three primaries—one Democratic and two Republican—were contested in 2024. Four primaries were contested in 2022, two primaries were contested in 2020, and one was in 2018.

Rep. Ryan Zinke (R-1st) was the only incumbent who faced a primary challenger in 2024.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in both districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Montana's 2nd the 71st most Republican district nationally.[9]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Montana's 2nd based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
35.3% 62.2%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[10] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
38.0 58.5 R+20.5

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Montana, 2020

Montana presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 10 Democratic wins
  • 21 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D R R D D R R R D D D D D R R R D R R R R R R D R R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Montana state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 0 0
Republican 2 2 4
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 2 4

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Montana, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Greg Gianforte
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Kristen Juras
Secretary of State Republican Party Christi Jacobsen
Attorney General Republican Party Austin Knudsen

State legislature

Montana State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 16
     Republican Party 34
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Montana House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 32
     Republican Party 68
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Montana Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas  •  Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R
Senate D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D R R R R R R R R R R R R S S R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

2022

See also: Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Montana District 2

Incumbent Matt Rosendale defeated Gary Buchanan, Penny Ronning, and Sam Rankin in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Matt Rosendale
Matt Rosendale (R)
 
56.6
 
121,979
Image of Gary Buchanan
Gary Buchanan (Independent)
 
21.9
 
47,195
Image of Penny Ronning
Penny Ronning (D) Candidate Connection
 
20.2
 
43,480
Image of Sam Rankin
Sam Rankin (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
3,018

Total votes: 215,672
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2

Penny Ronning defeated Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew) and Skylar Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Penny Ronning
Penny Ronning Candidate Connection
 
58.5
 
21,983
Image of Mark Sweeney
Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew)
 
22.8
 
8,586
Image of Skylar Williams
Skylar Williams
 
18.7
 
7,029

Total votes: 37,598
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2

Incumbent Matt Rosendale defeated Kyle Austin, Charles A. Walking Child, and James Boyette in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Matt Rosendale
Matt Rosendale
 
75.7
 
73,453
Kyle Austin
 
12.3
 
11,930
Image of Charles A. Walking Child
Charles A. Walking Child
 
6.1
 
5,909
Image of James Boyette
James Boyette Candidate Connection
 
5.9
 
5,712

Total votes: 97,004
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 2

Sam Rankin defeated Samuel Thomas and Roger Roots in the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Sam Rankin
Sam Rankin Candidate Connection
 
47.0
 
958
Samuel Thomas
 
27.2
 
554
Image of Roger Roots
Roger Roots
 
25.8
 
526

Total votes: 2,038
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2020

See also: Montana's At-Large Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Montana At-large District

Matt Rosendale defeated Kathleen Williams in the general election for U.S. House Montana At-large District on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Matt Rosendale
Matt Rosendale (R)
 
56.4
 
339,169
Image of Kathleen Williams
Kathleen Williams (D)
 
43.6
 
262,340

Total votes: 601,509
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District

Kathleen Williams defeated Tom Winter in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kathleen Williams
Kathleen Williams
 
89.5
 
133,436
Image of Tom Winter
Tom Winter
 
10.5
 
15,698

Total votes: 149,134
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Matt Rosendale
Matt Rosendale
 
48.3
 
104,575
Image of Corey Stapleton
Corey Stapleton
 
33.2
 
71,902
Image of Debra Lamm
Debra Lamm
 
6.7
 
14,462
Image of Joe Dooling
Joe Dooling
 
6.3
 
13,726
Image of Mark McGinley
Mark McGinley Candidate Connection
 
3.6
 
7,818
John Evankovich
 
1.8
 
3,983

Total votes: 216,466
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Green primary election

Green primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District

John Gibney advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
John Gibney
 
100.0
 
690

Total votes: 690
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Montana's At-Large Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Montana At-large District

Incumbent Greg Gianforte defeated Kathleen Williams and Elinor Swanson in the general election for U.S. House Montana At-large District on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Gianforte
Greg Gianforte (R)
 
50.9
 
256,661
Image of Kathleen Williams
Kathleen Williams (D) Candidate Connection
 
46.2
 
233,284
Image of Elinor Swanson
Elinor Swanson (L)
 
2.9
 
14,476

Total votes: 504,421
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kathleen Williams
Kathleen Williams Candidate Connection
 
33.5
 
37,513
Image of John Heenan
John Heenan
 
31.7
 
35,480
Grant Kier
 
24.2
 
27,025
Image of Lynda Moss
Lynda Moss
 
5.1
 
5,667
John Meyer Candidate Connection
 
3.3
 
3,740
Image of Jared Pettinato
Jared Pettinato
 
2.2
 
2,472

Total votes: 111,897
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District

Incumbent Greg Gianforte advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana At-large District on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Gianforte
Greg Gianforte
 
100.0
 
136,372

Total votes: 136,372
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

See also

Montana 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Average of all congressional districts.
  9. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  10. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


Senators
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