Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
Montana's 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 14, 2022
Primary: June 7, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Montana
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+16
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Montana's 2nd Congressional District
1st2nd
Montana elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Montana, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. The filing deadline was March 14, 2022.

This district was one of seven new U.S. House districts created as a result of apportionment after the 2020 census. Click here to read more.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 35.3% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 62.2%.[1]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Montana District 2

Incumbent Matt Rosendale defeated Gary Buchanan, Penny Ronning, and Sam Rankin in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Matt Rosendale
Matt Rosendale (R)
 
56.6
 
121,979
Image of Gary Buchanan
Gary Buchanan (Independent)
 
21.9
 
47,195
Image of Penny Ronning
Penny Ronning (D) Candidate Connection
 
20.2
 
43,480
Image of Sam Rankin
Sam Rankin (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
3,018

Total votes: 215,672
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2

Penny Ronning defeated Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew) and Skylar Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Penny Ronning
Penny Ronning Candidate Connection
 
58.5
 
21,983
Image of Mark Sweeney
Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew)
 
22.8
 
8,586
Image of Skylar Williams
Skylar Williams
 
18.7
 
7,029

Total votes: 37,598
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2

Incumbent Matt Rosendale defeated Kyle Austin, Charles A. Walking Child, and James Boyette in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Matt Rosendale
Matt Rosendale
 
75.7
 
73,453
Kyle Austin
 
12.3
 
11,930
Image of Charles A. Walking Child
Charles A. Walking Child
 
6.1
 
5,909
Image of James Boyette
James Boyette Candidate Connection
 
5.9
 
5,712

Total votes: 97,004
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 2

Sam Rankin defeated Samuel Thomas and Roger Roots in the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Sam Rankin
Sam Rankin Candidate Connection
 
47.0
 
958
Samuel Thomas
 
27.2
 
554
Image of Roger Roots
Roger Roots
 
25.8
 
526

Total votes: 2,038
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Montana
Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Corporate, PAC, and lobbyist's money is causing Congress to vote for their interersts and not the public's interests.

Money is the problem, not political ideology.

We need politicians who are not controlled by big money interests and therefore can compromise and advance the public's interests.
Healthcare is a fundamental right, especially for veterans, and needs to be addressed as such. Not only are costs an issue, but so is access for too many Montanans. Updating and improving Medicare reimbursement is a step in the right direction as is lowering the age of qualification for Medicare. The high cost of prescription drug prices must be dealt with also, especially lifesaving drugs like insulin. Additionally, in rural Montana, doctors are few and far between. That’s why I support S 1873, the Rural Physician Workforce Production Act of 2021.

In the past year, median household incomes in Montana rose only 4.7 percent, but rentals rose 15 percent, and homes a whopping 29 percent. There are 10,000 fewer homes in Montana than we need, according to Freddie Mac. This gap between wages, housing costs, and housing availability needs to be addressed. Infill development in urban areas helps lower infrastructure costs, preservation of rural housing helps avoid displacement in rural areas, and low income and workforce housing tax credits help incentivize affordable housing development. These are a few areas that can be addressed immediately to begin promoting housing affordability in Montana.

Climate change is an urgent issue. In Montana and throughout the country, farmers and ranchers have been at the forefront of responsible land stewardship and will continue in that role as we understand more about how to address climate change. I support more funding for public research and development for crops and cropping systems; for methods to maintain healthy soil conditions, develop crops, varieties, and animal breeds that perform in more extreme conditions; and to examine options to combat drought. I also support the United States becoming energy independent. Montana can help lead the way through the opportunities we have for wind and solar power development, biofuels, clean coal technologies, and responsible oil and gas productiom.
Environment, Housing, and Defense.
* Combating Human Trafficking and Sexual Exploitation
  • Public Safety and National Security
  • Crime Victim Rights
  • Campaign Finance Reform
  • Making Healthcare Affordable and Accessible
  • Economic Development
  • Housing Availability and Affordability
  • Agriculture
  • Energy and Water
An official who has show an interest in helping people before being elected. We now have elected officials who are, quite frankly, punks, or who have made fortunes (goal: make money, not helping people), and celebrities with nothing but whatever brought them celebrity status, think TV.
Combat in U.S. Army and working toward a common goal. I worked with people I didn’t like (I’m sure it was mutual), but we were nonetheless a cohesive group that worked together and accomplished common goals
Like Jeannette Rankin, the first woman to hold federal office, who broke the male dominated Congress, I would like to be remembered as the first candidate who got through to the voters that it's the money from corporations, PAC's, and lobbyists that causes politicians to vote against the will of the American people. Voting against the will of the people is what is now causing the deep anger and disgust with Congress. It is not about philosophy, but the attitude of "my way or I will vote no!"
Soda-Jerk. and I worked there summers through high school. I was hired at a local drive-inn hamburger spot to pick up the lot and then work the fountain. It was actually just like what you would see in department store lunch counters, actual push-pumps to get the different flavors and an ice cream machine I had to pour in 4% butterfat content mix to make milk shakes which were then put on a high-speed blender.
My father dying while I was in grade school and not having a father figure. My mother and sister did their best.
The drowning out of what the majority of American's want Congress to do by use of the rich, corporations, PAC's, and lobbyist's money. Money is not speech. Hiring 100 people to yell support for a policy is very different than verbally convincing 100 people to yell support for that policy. The excess money also helps bad politicians to stay in office by allowing them to spend enough money to overwhelm voter's senses with negative, divisive, and angry ads against their opponents. If you repeat a lie enough, people will end up believing it.
No,. It should be longer. With the speed of communication and no need to travel by horseback to Congress, it's a burden to worry about the next election which, in essence, is right around the corner the day you win.
Two bums sitting in an alley leaning against a building and holding a sack with the neck of a bottle sticking out: "it's a good wine, but it's not a great wine. Two ladies sitting in a bar and one says: "I'd give a $1,000 to be one of those millionaires."
Yes, compromise is a basis for my campaign. It's simple. That is what a democracy is all about? Unfortunately, the unruly, rude, and loud have convinced voters it has to be 'their' way or it's wrong. Compromise doesn't mean I would give in when discussing any specific subject. It implies the other side is operating in good faith. Currently that is not the case and I hope the voters in November vote out extremists and Congress can then get back to a semblance of doing the work of the American people.



Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Matt Rosendale Republican Party $2,284,638 $1,329,704 $1,217,773 As of December 31, 2022
Penny Ronning Democratic Party $175,793 $175,464 $329 As of December 31, 2022
Mark Sweeney Democratic Party $123,323 $119,523 $0 As of December 31, 2022
Skylar Williams Democratic Party $4,729 $4,729 $0 As of July 8, 2022
Kyle Austin Republican Party $0 $0 $0 As of June 22, 2022
James Boyette Republican Party $2,250 $5,535 $-3,221 As of May 25, 2022
Charles A. Walking Child Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Sam Rankin Libertarian Party $31,150 $31,133 $17 As of November 18, 2022
Roger Roots Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Samuel Thomas Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Gary Buchanan Independent $580,264 $570,156 $109 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Montana in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Montana U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $1,740.00 3/14/2022 Source
Montana U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of total votes cast for the last successful candidate $1,740.00 6/6/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Montana District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Montana after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Montana
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Montana's 1st 45.3% 52.2% --- ---
Montana's 2nd 35.3% 62.2% 40.6% 56.9%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Montana.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Montana in 2022. Information below was calculated on April 11, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 20 candidates filed to run for Montana's two U.S. House districts, including nine Republicans, six Democrats, four Libertarians, and one independent. That's an average of 10 candidates per district.

This was the first filing deadline under Montana's new district lines adopted during the state's decennial redistricting process. Due to population growth, Montana gained a second congressional district ahead of the 2022 elections.

Incumbent Rep. Matt Rosendale (R), previously the state's at-large representative, filed to run in the 2nd Congressional District. He drew three Republican primary challengers. Overall, the 2nd District drew the largest candidate field at 11, including four Republicans, three Democrats, three Libertarians, and one Independent.

With Rosendale running in the 2nd District, this left the 1st District race open, marking the second election cycle in a row with one open U.S. House district in Montana. In 2020, Greg Gianforte (R) did not seek re-election to the U.S. House, choosing instead to run for governor, which he won.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Montana's 2nd the 74th most Republican district nationally.[10]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Montana's 2nd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
35.3% 62.2%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Montana, 2020

Montana presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 10 Democratic wins
  • 21 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D R R D D R R R D D D D D R R R D R R R R R R D R R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Montana and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Montana
Montana United States
Population 1,084,225 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 145,549 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 87.8% 70.4%
Black/African American 0.6% 12.6%
Asian 0.8% 5.6%
Native American 6.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 0.8% 5.1%
Multiple 3.8% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 3.9% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 94% 88.5%
College graduation rate 33.1% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $56,539 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 12.8% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 0 1
Republican 1 1 2
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 1 3

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Montana, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Greg Gianforte
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Kristen Juras
Secretary of State Republican Party Christi Jacobsen
Attorney General Republican Party Austin Knudsen

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Montana State Legislature as of November 2022.

Montana State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 19
     Republican Party 31
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Montana House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 33
     Republican Party 67
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Montana was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Montana Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R
Senate D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D R R R R R R R R R R R R S S R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R


See also

Montana 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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Montana congressional delegation
Voting in Montana
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External links

Footnotes

  1. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  2. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  3. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  9. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  10. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Republican Party (4)