Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
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Montana's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 14, 2022 |
Primary: June 7, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Montana |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
1st • 2nd Montana elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Montana, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. The filing deadline was March 14, 2022.
This district was one of seven new U.S. House districts created as a result of apportionment after the 2020 census. Click here to read more.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 35.3% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 62.2%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Democratic primary)
- Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Montana District 2
Incumbent Matt Rosendale defeated Gary Buchanan, Penny Ronning, and Sam Rankin in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Matt Rosendale (R) | 56.6 | 121,979 |
Gary Buchanan (Independent) | 21.9 | 47,195 | ||
![]() | Penny Ronning (D) ![]() | 20.2 | 43,480 | |
![]() | Sam Rankin (L) ![]() | 1.4 | 3,018 |
Total votes: 215,672 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Penny Ronning defeated Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew) and Skylar Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Penny Ronning ![]() | 58.5 | 21,983 |
![]() | Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew) | 22.8 | 8,586 | |
Skylar Williams | 18.7 | 7,029 |
Total votes: 37,598 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Laurie Bishop (D)
- Jack Ballard (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Incumbent Matt Rosendale defeated Kyle Austin, Charles A. Walking Child, and James Boyette in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Matt Rosendale | 75.7 | 73,453 |
Kyle Austin | 12.3 | 11,930 | ||
![]() | Charles A. Walking Child | 6.1 | 5,909 | |
![]() | James Boyette ![]() | 5.9 | 5,712 |
Total votes: 97,004 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 2
Sam Rankin defeated Samuel Thomas and Roger Roots in the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Sam Rankin ![]() | 47.0 | 958 |
Samuel Thomas | 27.2 | 554 | ||
Roger Roots | 25.8 | 526 |
Total votes: 2,038 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Montana
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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Sam Rankin (L)
Money is the problem, not political ideology.
We need politicians who are not controlled by big money interests and therefore can compromise and advance the public's interests.

Penny Ronning (D)
In the past year, median household incomes in Montana rose only 4.7 percent, but rentals rose 15 percent, and homes a whopping 29 percent. There are 10,000 fewer homes in Montana than we need, according to Freddie Mac. This gap between wages, housing costs, and housing availability needs to be addressed. Infill development in urban areas helps lower infrastructure costs, preservation of rural housing helps avoid displacement in rural areas, and low income and workforce housing tax credits help incentivize affordable housing development. These are a few areas that can be addressed immediately to begin promoting housing affordability in Montana.
Climate change is an urgent issue. In Montana and throughout the country, farmers and ranchers have been at the forefront of responsible land stewardship and will continue in that role as we understand more about how to address climate change. I support more funding for public research and development for crops and cropping systems; for methods to maintain healthy soil conditions, develop crops, varieties, and animal breeds that perform in more extreme conditions; and to examine options to combat drought. I also support the United States becoming energy independent. Montana can help lead the way through the opportunities we have for wind and solar power development, biofuels, clean coal technologies, and responsible oil and gas productiom.

Sam Rankin (L)

Penny Ronning (D)
- Public Safety and National Security
- Crime Victim Rights
- Campaign Finance Reform
- Making Healthcare Affordable and Accessible
- Economic Development
- Housing Availability and Affordability
- Agriculture
- Energy and Water

Sam Rankin (L)

Sam Rankin (L)

Sam Rankin (L)

Sam Rankin (L)

Sam Rankin (L)

Sam Rankin (L)

Sam Rankin (L)

Sam Rankin (L)

Sam Rankin (L)
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Matt Rosendale | Republican Party | $2,284,638 | $1,329,704 | $1,217,773 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Penny Ronning | Democratic Party | $175,793 | $175,464 | $329 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Mark Sweeney | Democratic Party | $123,323 | $119,523 | $0 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Skylar Williams | Democratic Party | $4,729 | $4,729 | $0 | As of July 8, 2022 |
Kyle Austin | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | As of June 22, 2022 |
James Boyette | Republican Party | $2,250 | $5,535 | $-3,221 | As of May 25, 2022 |
Charles A. Walking Child | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Sam Rankin | Libertarian Party | $31,150 | $31,133 | $17 | As of November 18, 2022 |
Roger Roots | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Samuel Thomas | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Gary Buchanan | Independent | $580,264 | $570,156 | $109 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Montana in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Montana | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1,740.00 | 3/14/2022 | Source |
Montana | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5% of total votes cast for the last successful candidate | $1,740.00 | 6/6/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Montana District 2
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Montana | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Montana's 1st | 45.3% | 52.2% | --- | --- |
Montana's 2nd | 35.3% | 62.2% | 40.6% | 56.9% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Montana.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Montana in 2022. Information below was calculated on April 11, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 20 candidates filed to run for Montana's two U.S. House districts, including nine Republicans, six Democrats, four Libertarians, and one independent. That's an average of 10 candidates per district.
This was the first filing deadline under Montana's new district lines adopted during the state's decennial redistricting process. Due to population growth, Montana gained a second congressional district ahead of the 2022 elections.
Incumbent Rep. Matt Rosendale (R), previously the state's at-large representative, filed to run in the 2nd Congressional District. He drew three Republican primary challengers. Overall, the 2nd District drew the largest candidate field at 11, including four Republicans, three Democrats, three Libertarians, and one Independent.
With Rosendale running in the 2nd District, this left the 1st District race open, marking the second election cycle in a row with one open U.S. House district in Montana. In 2020, Greg Gianforte (R) did not seek re-election to the U.S. House, choosing instead to run for governor, which he won.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Montana's 2nd the 74th most Republican district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Montana's 2nd based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
35.3% | 62.2% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Montana, 2020
Montana presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 10 Democratic wins
- 21 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Montana and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Montana | ||
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Montana | United States | |
Population | 1,084,225 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 145,549 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 87.8% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 0.6% | 12.6% |
Asian | 0.8% | 5.6% |
Native American | 6.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 0.8% | 5.1% |
Multiple | 3.8% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 3.9% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 94% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 33.1% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $56,539 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 12.8% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana, November 2022 | |||
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Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Republican | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 1 | 3 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Montana, November 2022 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Montana State Legislature as of November 2022.
Montana State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 19 | |
Republican Party | 31 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
Montana House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 33 | |
Republican Party | 67 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Montana was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Montana Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
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Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023