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Montana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Democratic primary)

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2024
2020
Montana's 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 14, 2022
Primary: June 7, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Montana
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+16
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Montana's 2nd Congressional District
1st2nd
Montana elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Democratic Party primary took place on June 7, 2022, in Montana's 2nd Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 8, 2022.

Penny Ronning advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 14, 2022
June 7, 2022
November 8, 2022


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Montana utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[1][2]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This district was one of seven new U.S. House districts created as a result of apportionment after the 2020 census. Click here to read more.

This page focuses on Montana's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-Dem-Ad-1-small.png

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2

Penny Ronning defeated Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew) and Skylar Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 2 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Penny Ronning
Penny Ronning Candidate Connection
 
58.5
 
21,983
Image of Mark Sweeney
Mark Sweeney (Unofficially withdrew)
 
22.8
 
8,586
Image of Skylar Williams
Skylar Williams
 
18.7
 
7,029

Total votes: 37,598
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[3] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[4] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Penny Ronning Democratic Party $175,793 $175,464 $329 As of December 31, 2022
Mark Sweeney Democratic Party $123,323 $119,523 $0 As of December 31, 2022
Skylar Williams Democratic Party $4,729 $4,729 $0 As of July 8, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Montana in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Montana U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $1,740.00 3/14/2022 Source
Montana U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of total votes cast for the last successful candidate $1,740.00 6/6/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Montana District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Montana after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[5] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[6]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Montana
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Montana's 1st 45.3% 52.2% --- ---
Montana's 2nd 35.3% 62.2% 40.6% 56.9%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Montana.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Montana in 2022. Information below was calculated on April 11, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 20 candidates filed to run for Montana's two U.S. House districts, including nine Republicans, six Democrats, four Libertarians, and one independent. That's an average of 10 candidates per district.

This was the first filing deadline under Montana's new district lines adopted during the state's decennial redistricting process. Due to population growth, Montana gained a second congressional district ahead of the 2022 elections.

Incumbent Rep. Matt Rosendale (R), previously the state's at-large representative, filed to run in the 2nd Congressional District. He drew three Republican primary challengers. Overall, the 2nd District drew the largest candidate field at 11, including four Republicans, three Democrats, three Libertarians, and one Independent.

With Rosendale running in the 2nd District, this left the 1st District race open, marking the second election cycle in a row with one open U.S. House district in Montana. In 2020, Greg Gianforte (R) did not seek re-election to the U.S. House, choosing instead to run for governor, which he won.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Montana's 2nd the 74th most Republican district nationally.[7]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Montana's 2nd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
35.3% 62.2%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Montana, 2020

Montana presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 10 Democratic wins
  • 21 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D R R D D R R R D D D D D R R R D R R R R R R D R R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Montana and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Montana
Montana United States
Population 1,084,225 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 145,549 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 87.8% 70.4%
Black/African American 0.6% 12.6%
Asian 0.8% 5.6%
Native American 6.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 0.8% 5.1%
Multiple 3.8% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 3.9% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 94% 88.5%
College graduation rate 33.1% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $56,539 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 12.8% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 0 1
Republican 1 1 2
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 1 3

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Montana, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Greg Gianforte
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Kristen Juras
Secretary of State Republican Party Christi Jacobsen
Attorney General Republican Party Austin Knudsen

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Montana State Legislature as of November 2022.

Montana State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 19
     Republican Party 31
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Montana House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 33
     Republican Party 67
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Montana was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Montana Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R
Senate D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D R R R R R R R R R R R R S S R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Republican Party (4)