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United States House of Representatives elections in Montana, 2022
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June 7, 2022 |
November 8, 2022 |
2022 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Montana were on November 8, 2022. Voters elected two candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's two U.S. House districts.
The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. The filing deadline was March 14, 2022.
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from Montana -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2022 | After the 2022 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 0 | 0 | |
| Republican Party | 1 | 2 | |
| Total | 1 | 2 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Monica Tranel (Democratic Party)
- Ryan K. Zinke (Republican Party) ✔
- John Lamb (Libertarian Party)
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates
Libertarian Party
This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:
District 2
General election candidates
- Matt Rosendale (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Penny Ronning (Democratic Party)
- Sam Rankin (Libertarian Party)
- Gary Buchanan (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
- Penny Ronning ✔
- Mark Sweeney (unofficially withdrew)
- Skylar Williams
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates
Libertarian Party
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
Ballot access
For information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District maps - A map of the state's districts before and after redistricting.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below were the district maps in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the maps in place before the election.
Montana Congressional Districts
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Montana Congressional Districts
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Montana.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Montana in 2022. Information below was calculated on April 11, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 20 candidates filed to run for Montana's two U.S. House districts, including nine Republicans, six Democrats, four Libertarians, and one independent. That's an average of 10 candidates per district.
This was the first filing deadline under Montana's new district lines adopted during the state's decennial redistricting process. Due to population growth, Montana gained a second congressional district ahead of the 2022 elections.
Incumbent Rep. Matt Rosendale (R), previously the state's at-large representative, filed to run in the 2nd Congressional District. He drew three Republican primary challengers. Overall, the 2nd District drew the largest candidate field at 11, including four Republicans, three Democrats, three Libertarians, and one Independent.
With Rosendale running in the 2nd District, this left the 1st District race open, marking the second election cycle in a row with one open U.S. House district in Montana. In 2020, Greg Gianforte (R) did not seek re-election to the U.S. House, choosing instead to run for governor, which he won.
Presidential elections
As a result of redistricting following the 2020 census, many district boundaries changed. As a result, analysis of the presidential vote in each of these new districts is not yet available. Once that analysis is available, it will be published here.
Montana presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 10 Democratic wins
- 21 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Republican | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 1 | 3 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Montana, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Greg Gianforte
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Kristen Juras
|
| Secretary of State | Christi Jacobsen
|
| Attorney General | Austin Knudsen
|
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Montana State Legislature as of November 2022.
Montana State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 19 | |
| Republican Party | 31 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 50 | |
Montana House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 33 | |
| Republican Party | 67 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 100 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Montana was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Montana Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Redistricting following the 2020 census
Montana enacted new legislative district boundaries after the 2020 census on February 22, 2023, when the Montana Districting & Apportionment Commission (MDAC) submitted its final plan to the secretary of state. The commission had voted 3-2 to approve the final plan on February 11, 2023. The two Democratic-appointed commissioners and the commission's chairperson—that the state supreme court appointed—voted to approve the plan. The two Republican-appointed commissioners voted against it. These districts took effect for the 2024 elections.
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
