United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2024

	2026 → ← 2022
Alaska's At-large Congressional District
	Top-four primary; General election
Election details
	Filing deadline: June 1, 2024
	Primary: August 20, 2024; General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
	Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.; Voting in Alaska
Race ratings
	Cook Political Report: Toss-up; DDHQ and The Hill: Toss-up; Inside Elections: Tilt Republican; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
	U.S. Senate battlegrounds; U.S. House battlegrounds; Federal and state primary competitiveness; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
	Alaska's At-large Congressional District; At-large; Alaska elections, 2024; U.S. Congress elections, 2024; U.S. Senate elections, 2024; U.S. House elections, 2024; Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Alaska 2024 elections

U.S. House • State Senate • State House • Supreme court • Appellate courts • State ballot measures • Local ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • Recalls • How to run for office

Nicholas Begich (R) defeated incumbent Rep. Mary Peltola (D), Eric Hafner (D), and John Howe (Alaskan Independence Party) in the general election for Alaska's At-Large Congressional District on Nov. 5, 2024. Click here for detailed results. Peltola was one of 15 incumbents who lost their re-election campaigns to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2024. Additionally, this was one of 19 seats that changed partisan control due to the 2024 U.S. House of Representatives elections.

Peltola and Begich led in polling, fundraising, and local media attention.

Peltola defeated Begich and Sarah Palin (R) in a special election in 2022 with 51.5% of the vote in the final round of ranked-choice voting. Under ranked-choice voting, voters rank the candidates on the ballot in order of preference rather than voting for one candidate. If no one candidate has more than 50% of the first-choice vote, the lowest-ranked candidate is eliminated and votes are tallied again with the eliminated candidates' votes redistributed to their voters' next choice. The process repeats until one candidate receives more than 50% of the vote.

In the special election, Peltola won 40.2% of the first-place vote to Palin's 31.3% and Begich's 28.5%, leading to Begich's elimination. In the second round of counting, Peltola defeated Palin 51.5% to 48.5%. In the regularly-scheduled election later that year, the first-choice vote was 48.7% for Peltola, 25.8% for Palin, 23.6% for Begich, and 1.9% for Chris Bye (L). Bye was eliminated in the second round, leaving the totals at 49.2% for Peltola, 26.3% for Palin, and 24.5% for Begich. After Begich's elimination, Peltola defeated Palin 55.0% to 45.0% in the third round.

The 2024 election was also held using a ranked-choice ballot. Voters also voted on a ballot measure that would have repealed the state's use of ranked-choice voting and top-four primaries. If the measure had passed, future elections would have be conducted using the same system of partisan primaries and plurality voting in general elections that were in use in Alaska until 2020.

Peltola was the first Democrat elected to represent Alaska in the U.S. House since 1972.

Based on post-general election reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Peltola raised $13.41 million and spent $13.61 million, and Begich raised $2.72 million and spent $2.58 million. To review all the campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.

Before the election, four major election forecasters rated the race a toss-up.

Peltola and Begich were the top two finishers in the top-four primary on August 20, 2024. Howe and Hafner were the fifth- and sixth-place finishers and advanced to the general election after Nancy Dahlstrom (R) and Matthew Salisbury (R) dropped out. Dahlstrom, the then-lieutenant governor, received 19.9% of the primary vote and had an endorsement from former President Donald Trump (R). In a statement announcing her withdrawal, Dahlstrom said she "entered this race because Alaskans deserve better representation than what we have received from Mary Peltola in Washington...At this time, the best thing I can do to see that goal realized is to withdraw my name from the general election ballot and end my campaign."^[1]

On September 12, 2024, the Alaska Supreme Court ruled against the Democratic Party of Alaska in a suit it filed seeking Hafner's removal from the ballot. The party said that Hafner, who was serving a 20-year prison sentence and had never resided in Alaska, was ineligible to take office.^[2] In the ruling, the court found that Hafner met the requirements to file as a candidate even if he had not met the requirements to take office, concluding that there was "no basis under Alaska law or otherwise to challenge a candidate preemptively under constitutional grounds."^[3]

Begich was the founder of a software development firm and a technology-focused investment group. Begich said he was running because "Washington is broken: lost opportunities for Alaskans, a focus on so many of the wrong priorities, big government lobbyists and insiders who are selling our nation to the highest bidder, and a President who often can’t find his own way off a stage."^[4]

Peltola was a former state legislator, development manager, and fisherwoman. Peltola said she had "worked with our bipartisan delegation to bring home projects that will strengthen the permanent fund, preserve our fisheries, lower our energy costs, and create high-paying union jobs for regular Alaskans...Alaska only works when we work together and ignore Lower 48 partisanship."^[5]

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.^[6] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.^[7] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 55.0%-45.0%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 53.1%-43.0%.^[8]

Alaska's At-large Congressional District was one of 37 congressional districts with a Democratic incumbent or an open seat that the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) targeted in 2024. To read about NRCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of NRCC targeted districts, click here.

To learn more about other elections on the ballot, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Alaska At-large District

Select round:

The ranked-choice voting election was won by Nicholas Begich in round 3 . The results of Round are displayed below. To see the results of other rounds, use the dropdown menu above to select a round and the table will update.

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 329,493
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Matthew Salisbury (R)
Nancy Dahlstrom (R)

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Alaska At-large District

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House Alaska At-large District on August 20, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mary Peltola (D)	50.9	55,166
✔		Nicholas Begich (R)	26.6	28,803
✔		Nancy Dahlstrom (R)	19.9	21,574
✔		Matthew Salisbury (R)	0.6	652
		John Howe (Alaskan Independence Party)	0.6	621
		Eric Hafner (D)	0.4	467
	Submit photo	Gerald Heikes (R)	0.4	424
		Lady Donna Dutchess (Nonpartisan)	0.2	195
		David Ambrose (Nonpartisan)	0.1	154
		Richard Grayson (No Labels Party)	0.1	143
	Submit photo	Richard Mayers (Undeclared)	0.1	119
	Submit photo	Samuel Claesson (Nonpartisan)	0.1	89

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 108,407
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Voting information

See also: Voting in Alaska

Election information in Alaska: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

In-person: Oct. 6, 2024
By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 6, 2024
Online: Oct. 6, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

In-person: Oct. 26, 2024
By mail: Received by Oct. 26, 2024
Online: Oct. 26, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 21, 2024 to Nov. 5, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (AKST/HST)

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Mary Peltola

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office:

U.S. House Alaska (Assumed office: 2022)
Bethel, Alaska, City Council (2011–2013)
Alaska House of Representatives (1999–2009)

Biography: Before entering elected politics, Peltola worked as a commercial fisherwoman. She also served as the community development manager for the Donlin gold mine project and as executive director of the Kuskokwim River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Peltola said she was running because "My own kids (all seven of them!) don’t remember the times of rapid growth and expansion...We are losing our kids to outmigration every year, and Lower 48 partisan gridlock and politicking are trying to interfere with our Alaska model of working together." Peltola said she would work with lawmakers in both parties to advance Alaska's interests.

Peltola said her policy priorities included "working to preserve our fisheries for communities that rely on them, connecting our communities by securing investments in our infrastructure and creating good-paying union jobs."

Peltola said that following the Dobbs decision, "It’s more important than ever to protect our right to choose – and I’m the only candidate who is committed to doing so."

Show sources

Sources: Mary Peltola 2024 campaign website, "My Story," accessed September 9, 2024; Mary Peltola 2024 campaign website, "My Solutions," accessed September 9, 2024; Facebook, "Mary Peltola on January 22, 2024," accessed September 9, 2024; Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "PELTOLA, Mary Sattler," accessed September 9, 2024; Mary Peltola official website, "Biography," accessed September 9, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Alaska At-large District in 2024.

Nicholas Begich

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography: Begich obtained a bachelor's degree in business administration from Baylor University and a master's in business administration from Indiana University. Begich worked for Ford Motor Company before returning to Alaska in 2004. Begich founded FarShore Partners, a software development firm, in 2006. Begich co-founded Dashfire, a firm investing in technology startups, in 2009.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Begich said he was running because "Washington is broken: lost opportunities for Alaskans, a focus on so many of the wrong priorities, big government lobbyists and insiders who are selling our nation to the highest bidder, and a President who often can’t find his own way off a stage."

Begich said his policy priorities included encouraging energy development, maintaining jobs in Alaska, and opposing restrictions on firearms.

Begich said Peltola was "too beholden to her party leadership in DC to do the job for Alaskans. In fact she votes with Nancy Pelosi over 90% of the time."

Show sources

Sources: Facebook, "Nick Begich on July 13, 2023," accessed September 9, 2024; Nicholas Begich 2024 campaign website, "Solutions," accessed September 9, 2024; Facebook, "Nick Begich on February 26, 2024," accessed September 9, 2024; Nicholas Begich 2024 campaign website, "Home page," accessed September 9, 2024; LinkedIn, "Nicholas Begich III," accessed September 9, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Alaska At-large District in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Mary Peltola

August 11, 2024

August 11, 2024

August 11, 2024

View more ads here:

Nicholas Begich

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Nicholas Begich while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.^[9] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."^[10] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.

United States House of Representatives Alaska at-Large District, 2024: general election polls
Poll	Date	Peltola	Hafner	Begich	Howe	Undecided/Other	Margin of error	Sample size^[11]	Sponsor^[12]
Cygnal	Aug. 30 – Sept. 1, 2024	38%	--	35%	--	--	±4.9%	400 LV	National Republican Congressional Committee/Nicholas Begich

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[13]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[14]^[15]^[16]

Race ratings: Alaska's At-large Congressional District election, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 5, 2024	October 29, 2024	October 22, 2024	October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Tilt Republican	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean Republican	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Mary Peltola	Democratic Party	$13,443,537	$14,050,828	$83,969	As of December 31, 2024
Eric Hafner	Democratic Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Nicholas Begich	Republican Party	$2,810,468	$2,747,372	$104,330	As of December 31, 2024
Nancy Dahlstrom	Republican Party	$996,164	$790,352	$205,812	As of December 31, 2024
Gerald Heikes	Republican Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Matthew Salisbury	Republican Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
John Howe	Alaskan Independence Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Richard Grayson	No Labels Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Richard Mayers	Undeclared	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
David Ambrose	Nonpartisan	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Samuel Claesson	Nonpartisan	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Lady Donna Dutchess	Nonpartisan	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election. * Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.^[17]^[18]^[19]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate	By election
Mary Peltola Nicholas Begich John Howe	Open Secrets Federal Election Commission

As of September 6, 2024, Eric Hafner (D) had not registered as a candidate with the Federal Election Commission.

District analysis

Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

Competitiveness

Presidential elections

State party control

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Alaska.

Alaska U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year	Districts/ offices	Seats	Open seats	Candidates	Possible primaries	Contested Democratic primaries	Contested Republican primaries	Contested top-four primaries	% of contested primaries	Incumbents in contested primaries	% of incumbents in contested primaries
2024	1	1	0	12	1	N/A	N/A	1	100.0%	1	100.0%
2022	1	1	0	22	1	N/A	N/A	1	100.0%	1	100.0%
2020	1	1	0	6	2	1	1	N/A	100.0%	1	100.0%
2018	1	1	0	7	2	1	1	N/A	100.0%	1	100.0%
2016	1	1	0	7	2	1	1	N/A	100.0%	1	100.0%
2014	1	1	0	6	2	1	1	N/A	100.0%	1	100.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Alaska in 2024. Information below was calculated on July 10, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Twelve candidates ran for Alaska's At-Large Congressional District, including two Democrats, four Republicans, two non-major party candidates, three nonpartisan candidates, and one undeclared candidate. Twenty-two candidates ran in 2022, six candidates ran in 2020, and seven ran in 2018.

The number of candidates who ran in 2024 is also the second-most in the last 10 years.

Alaska's At-Large Congressional District was not open in 2024 because incumbent Rep. Mary Peltola (D-AL) ran for re-election. The only election year that the district was open in the last 10 years was 2022.

Democratic and Republican candidates filed to run in the primary, meaning the district was not guaranteed to either party.

Alaska utilizes a top-four primary system. In a top-four primary system, primary candidates run in a single primary election, regardless of the candidate's party affiliation. The four candidates that receive the most votes advance to the general election. In the general election, voters use ranked-choice voting to select the winner.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Alaska's At-Large the 167th most Republican district nationally.^[20]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Alaska's At-Large based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
43.0%	53.1%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.^[21] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
37.8	50.2	R+12.3

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Alaska, 2020

Alaska presidential election results (1900-2020)

1 Democratic win
15 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

See also: Party control of Alaska state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Alaska's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Alaska
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	0	0	0
Republican	2	1	3
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	1	3

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Alaska's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Alaska, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Mike Dunleavy
Lieutenant Governor	Nancy Dahlstrom
Attorney General	Treg Taylor

State legislature

Alaska State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	9
	Republican Party	11
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		20

Alaska House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	13
	Republican Party	22
	Independent	4
	Nonpartisan	1
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		40

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Alaska Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	I	I	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	I	I	I	I	R	R	R	R	R	R
Senate	S	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	S	S
House	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	S	S	S	S	S	S

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Alaska in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Alaska, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Alaska	U.S. House	All candidates	N/A	$100.00	6/1/2024	Source

District election history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.