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Election results, 2023: State government trifectas

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Elections by state

After the November 2023 elections, there were 23 Republican trifectas, 17 Democratic trifectas, and 10 divided governments. Republicans gained one trifecta, Democrats neither gained nor lost any trifectas, and there was one less divided government. Before the 2023 elections, there were 22 Republican trifectas, 17 Democratic trifectas, and 11 divided governments where neither party held trifecta control.

State government trifecta is a term to describe single-party government, when one political party holds the governorship and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature.

Following the November 2023 elections, there were a total of 40 state government trifectas. This was the highest number of trifectas across the country since at least 1992.

The only change in trifecta status was in Louisiana, which changed from a divided government to a Republican trifecta after Jeff Landry (R) was elected governor on October 14.

Kentucky remained a divided government after Gov. Andy Beshear (D) was re-elected governor. The Kentucky State Legislature was not on the ballot in 2023, so it remained under Republican control. Virginia remained a divided government after Democrats maintained control of the Virginia State Senate and won the Virginia House of Delegates. Governor Glenn Youngkin (R) was not up for election in 2023.

Mississippi and New Jersey remained Republican and Democratic trifectas, respectively, after those parties maintained partisan control of the legislature in each state. Gov. Tate Reeves (R) was re-elected in Mississippi, and New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy (D) was not up for election in 2023.

On this page, you will find:

Trifectas on the ballot in 2023

In 2023, there were five trifectas—one Democratic, one Republican, and three divided governments— on the ballot. The table below highlights the partisan balance of those five trifectas before and after the election.

Trifectas partisan breakdown
Party As of the 2023 elections After the 2023 elections
Democratic Party Democratic 1 1
Republican Party Republican 1 2
Independent_American_Party Divided governments 3 2

The map below highlights states that held elections for governor, state legislature, or both in 2023 by the party of the winning candidate.

Partisan balance of all trifectas

At the time of the 2023 election, there were 22 Republican trifectas, 17 Democratic trifectas, and 11 divided governments where neither party held trifecta control. The table below highlights the trifecta status of all 50 states before and after the 2023 elections.

Trifectas partisan breakdown
Party As of the 2023 elections After the 2023 elections
Democratic Party Democratic 17 17
Republican Party Republican 22 23
Independent_American_Party Divided governments 11 10

The chart below shows the trifecta status of all 50 states from 1992 through 2024, when the 2023 election winners were sworn in.

The map below highlights each state by trifecta status before and after the 2023 elections. Click the blue links above the color key to switch the view between pre-election and post-election partisan control.

Pre-election analysis

Vulnerable state government trifectas

The section below analyses the vulnerability of trifectas on the ballot in 2023 based on gubernatorial race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, and the number and proportion of seats in the state legislature that needed to change party control to flip the chamber. Click here to read more about our methodology.


Democratic Party

Current status: 1 trifecta

Moderately vulnerable: 1
Republican Party

Current status: 1 trifecta

Not vulnerable: 1

Vulnerable trifectas

Democratic Party New Jersey

Republican Party None


Hover your mouse cursor over a state or tap the state for more details.


Potential new trifectas

The section below analyses the likelihood of divided governments on the ballot in 2023 becoming new trifectas based on gubernatorial race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, and the number and proportion of seats in the state legislature that needed to change party control to flip the chamber. Click here to read more about our methodology.


Predicted Democratic pickups

None
Toss-ups
None
Predicted Republican pickups

Moderate possibility: 2

Slight possibility: 1

Potential new trifectas

Democratic Party None

Independent_American_Party None

Republican Party Louisiana
Republican Party Virginia

Republican Party Kentucky


Hover your mouse cursor over a state or tap the state for more details. Toss-up states are those where Democratic and Republican trifectas both have a good chance of forming.


Potential best-case scenarios

The following maps represent best-case scenarios for each party based on pre-election projections and forecasting. We define a party's best-case scenario as an outcome in which the party gains all potential new trifectas that are rated towards that party or as a toss-up, as well as retaining all of their current trifectas. Additionally, under a party's best-case scenario, the opposing party loses all of its somewhat and moderately vulnerable trifectas.

The Democrats' best-case scenario was for there to be no change from the trifecta status in place before the 2023 elections.

Percentage of Americans living under trifectas following a best-case 2022 election for Democrats
Total Democratic trifectas Republican trifectas Divided governments
States 50 17 22 11
Population 328,771,307[1] 136,955,272 130,058,201 61,757,834
Proportion (%) 100% 41.7% 39.6% 18.8%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau



The Republicans' best-case scenario in 2023 was to break the Democratic trifecta in New Jersey and gain new trifectas in Kentucky, Louisiana, and Virginia.

Percentage of Americans living under trifectas following a best-case 2022 election for Republicans
Total Democratic trifectas Republican trifectas Divided governments
States 50 16 25 9
Population 328,771,307[2] 128,072,901 147,771,333 52,927,073
Proportion (%) 100% 39.0% 44.9% 16.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau


Log of trifecta election results


Historical changes in trifecta status (2010-2022)

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

The state legislative and gubernatorial elections of November 8, 2016, led to these results:

  • The Republican Party added new state government trifectas in four states (Iowa, Kentucky, Missouri and New Hampshire). They lost trifectas in Nevada and North Carolina, which left them with 25 trifectas.
  • The Democratic Party lost one trifecta (in Vermont), ending up with trifectas in six states. They did not gain any additional trifectas.
State Pre-election party in power Post-election party in power Change?
Colorado Divided government Divided government No
Iowa Divided government Republican Yes
Indiana Republican Republican No
Kentucky Divided government Republican Yes
Maine Divided government Divided government No
Michigan Republican Republican No
Minnesota Divided government Divided government No
Missouri Divided government Republican Yes
Montana Divided government Divided government No
Nevada Republican Divided government Yes
New Hampshire Divided government Republican Yes
New Mexico Divided government Divided government No
New York Divided government Divided government No
North Carolina Republican Divided government Yes
Vermont Democrat Divided government Yes
Washington Divided government Divided government No
West Virginia Divided government Divided government No
Wisconsin Republican Republican No

2014

Potential trifecta losses prior to election

Ballotpedia identified 13 trifecta states that could have become divided governments after the November 4, 2014, election:[5]

  • Republican Party 6 Republican trifectas
  • Democratic Party 7 Democratic trifectas[5]

In the table below, a "Yes" indicates that party control was considered up for grabs, while a "No" indicates races that were not deemed likely to change hands.

State Positions that could change hands Pre-election party in power Post-election party in power
Governor Senate House
Arizona Yes Yes No Republican Republican
Colorado No Yes No Democratic Divided government
Connecticut Yes No No Democratic Democratic
Florida Yes No No Republican Republican
Illinois Yes No No Democratic Divided government
Kansas Yes No No Republican Republican
Maryland Yes No No Democratic Divided government
Massachusetts Yes No No Democratic Divided government
Michigan Yes No Yes Republican Republican
Minnesota No No Yes Democratic Divided government
Pennsylvania Yes Yes Yes Republican Divided government
West Virginia No No Yes Democratic Divided government
Wisconsin Yes Yes No Republican Republican

2013

November

Virginia's governorship swung Democratic on November 5, 2013, as Terry McAuliffe (D) defeated Ken Cuccinelli (R). This removed a Republican trifecta in Virginia.

May

In May 2013, Governor of Rhode Island Lincoln Chafee changed his party affiliation from independent to Democratic, giving the Democratic Party a trifecta in Rhode Island.[6]

2012

See also: Democratic and Republican state government trifectas heading into the 2012 elections

Heading into the 2012 elections, there were 33 total trifectas in the United States. After the election, there were five new trifectas, bringing the total to 38 trifectas. However, following the election, power-sharing arrangements in two states reduced the total trifectas to 36.

Trifecta complexities

There were three states that complicated the labeling of trifectas in 2012 and 2013. These three unique situations brought the total trifectas from 37 to 36, decreasing the Democratic states by two and adding one GOP state.

  • In New York, the Democratic Party, by virtue of the elections, controlled all three levels of government. However, a power-sharing agreement was reached that gave control of the state Senate over to the Republicans; five elected Democrats pledged to caucus with the GOP. This burst the Democratic trifecta, reducing the total trifectas by one state.[7]
  • In Virginia, the state Senate was a tied chamber as a result of the 2011 elections. However, the tiebreaking vote was cast by the lieutenant governor, who was a Republican. Thus, control of the governorship and state legislature effectively rested with the Republicans. This gave Republicans an additional trifecta, increasing the total trifectas by one state.[8]
  • In Washington, the Democratic Party, by virtue of the elections, controlled all three levels of government. However, a power-sharing agreement was reached that gave control of the state Senate over to the Republicans; two conservative Democrats pledged to elect Republican leadership to the chamber. This burst the Democratic trifecta, reducing the total trifectas by one state.[9]
 Trifectas before and after the 2012 election 

2010

See also: Democratic and Republican state government trifectas heading into the 2010 elections

Heading into the 2010 elections, there were 25 total trifectas in the United States. After the election, there were seven new trifectas, bringing the total to 32 trifectas.

 Trifectas before and after the 2010 election 

Analysis of state elections, 2023

See also: Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2023

State legislative elections

State Houses-Tile image.png
See also: State legislative elections, 2023

Eight of the country's 99 state legislative chambers held regularly-scheduled elections in 2023. Elections in those eight chambers represented 578 of the country's 7,386 state legislative seats (7.8%). This was the most seats up for election in an odd-numbered year since 2011.

General elections in Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia took place on November 7, 2023. General elections in Louisiana took place on November 18, 2023.

  • Democrats gained one state legislative chamber by winning partisan control of the Virginia House of Delegates. Democrats maintained control of the state Senate. Virginia's trifecta status remained divided.
  • Republicans were guaranteed simple majorities in both Mississippi's House and Senate and Louisiana's House and Senate due to the number of districts where candidates from only one political party ran.
  • Democrats maintained partisan control of both chambers of the New Jersey state legislature.

Analysis


State executive elections

State-capitol-utah.jpg
See also: State executive official elections, 2023


Analysis

State judicial elections

Gavel-square.png
See also: State judicial elections, 2023

A total of 15 state appellate court seats were up for election in 2023. This includes:

  • 2 supreme court seats
  • 13 intermediate appellate court seats.

The number of state supreme court and intermediate court elections is subject to change if judges retire or are appointed.

Ballotpedia provided coverage of supreme court and intermediate appellate court elections, as well as local trial court elections for judges within the 100 largest cities in the United States as measured by population.

Analysis

See also

Footnotes