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Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (September 6 Republican primary)

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Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 7, 2022
Primary: September 6, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Massachusetts
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): D+11
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th
Massachusetts elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Republican Party primary took place on September 6, 2022, in Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 8, 2022.

Dean Tran advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
June 7, 2022
September 6, 2022
November 8, 2022


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Massachusetts utilizes a semi-closed primary system. An unaffiliated voter is allowed to vote in the primary election of his or her choice.[1][2]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

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Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3

Dean Tran advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on September 6, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Dean Tran
Dean Tran
 
99.3
 
24,087
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.7
 
180

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 24,267
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Massachusetts in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Massachusetts, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Massachusetts U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 2,000 N/A 6/7/2022 Source
Massachusetts U.S. House Unaffiliated 2,000 N/A 8/30/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Massachusetts District 3
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Massachusetts District 3
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Massachusetts after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[3] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[4]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Massachusetts
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Massachusetts' 1st 59.8% 38.2% 61.1% 36.9%
Massachusetts' 2nd 64.3% 33.5% 61.8% 36.0%
Massachusetts' 3rd 62.7% 35.3% 63.4% 34.6%
Massachusetts' 4th 63.3% 34.8% 64.5% 33.7%
Massachusetts' 5th 74.8% 23.6% 74.5% 23.9%
Massachusetts' 6th 62.9% 35.3% 62.6% 35.6%
Massachusetts' 7th 85.5% 13.1% 85.3% 13.3%
Massachusetts' 8th 66.9% 31.4% 66.2% 32.2%
Massachusetts' 9th 58.2% 40.0% 57.9% 40.3%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Massachusetts.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Massachusetts in 2022. Information below was calculated on August 29, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Nineteen candidates ran for Massachusetts's nine U.S. House districts, including nine Democrats and ten Republicans. That's 2.1 candidates per district, less than the three candidates per district in 2020 and the 3.44 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Massachusetts was apportioned nine districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The 19 candidates who ran this year were eight fewer than the 27 candidates who ran in 2020 and 12 fewer than the 31 who ran in 2018. Fourteen candidates ran in 2016, 20 in 2014, and 28 in 2012.

All incumbents filed to run for re-election, meaning there were no open seats this year. There was one open seat in 2020 and 2018, no open seats in 2016 and 2014, and one open seat in 2012.

The 8th and 9th districts drew the most candidates in 2022, with one Democrat and two Republicans running in each. There were two contested primaries this year, both Republican. That number was three fewer than in 2020, when there were five contested primaries, and six fewer than in 2018, when there were eight contested primaries. There was one contested primary in 2016, three in 2014, and nine in 2012.

No incumbents faced primary challengers this year. That number was down from 2020, when three incumbents faced primary challengers, and 2018, when five incumbents did. No incumbents faced primary challengers in 2016, two did in 2014, and three did in 2012.

The 4th district was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed. No districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+11. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Massachusetts' 3rd the 120th most Democratic district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Massachusetts' 3rd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
62.7% 35.3%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Massachusetts, 2020

Massachusetts presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 21 Democratic wins
  • 10 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R R D D D D D D R R D D D D D R R D D D D D D D D D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Massachusetts and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Massachusetts
Massachusetts United States
Population 7,029,917 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 7,800 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 76.6% 70.4%
Black/African American 7.5% 12.6%
Asian 6.8% 5.6%
Native American 0.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 4.2% 5.1%
Multiple 4.8% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 12% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 91.1% 88.5%
College graduation rate 44.5% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $84,385 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 9.8% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Massachusetts' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Massachusetts, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 9 11
Republican 0 0 0
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 9 11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Massachusetts' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Massachusetts, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Charles D. Baker
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Karyn Polito
Secretary of State Democratic Party William Galvin
Attorney General Democratic Party Maura Healey

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Massachusetts General Court as of November 2022.

Massachusetts State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 36
     Republican Party 3
     Vacancies 1
Total 40

Massachusetts House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 125
     Republican Party 27
     Independent 1
     Vacancies 7
Total 160

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Massachusetts was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Massachusetts Party Control: 1992-2022
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ NCSL, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 3, 2024
  2. ↑ Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, "How to Vote in a Primary," accessed October 3, 2024
  3. ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  4. ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023


Massachusetts' current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Edward Markey (D)
Elizabeth Warren (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Democratic Party (11)


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