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Michigan's 10th Congressional District

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Michigan's 10th Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2023

Michigan's 10th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by John James (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Michigan representatives represented an average of 775,726 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 707,973 residents.

Elections

See also: Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2030


There are no official candidates yet for this election.


See also: Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2026

Note: At this time, Ballotpedia is combining all declared candidates for this election into one list under a general election heading. As primary election dates are published, this information will be updated to separate general election candidates from primary candidates as appropriate.

General election

The general election will occur on November 3, 2026.

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 10

The following candidates are running in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on November 3, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

See also: Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Incumbent John James (R) defeated Carl Marlinga (D), Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party), and Mike Saliba (L) in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John James
John James (R)
 
51.1
 
217,437
Image of Carl Marlinga
Carl Marlinga (D)
 
45.0
 
191,363
Image of Andrea Kirby
Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party)
 
2.6
 
11,162
Image of Mike Saliba
Mike Saliba (L)
 
1.3
 
5,339

Total votes: 425,301
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Carl Marlinga (D) defeated Diane Young (D), Tiffany Tilley (D), and Emily Busch (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 6, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Carl Marlinga
Carl Marlinga
 
48.8
 
32,561
Image of Diane Young
Diane Young  Candidate Connection
 
24.4
 
16,282
Image of Tiffany Tilley
Tiffany Tilley
 
13.3
 
8,861
Image of Emily Busch
Emily Busch  Candidate Connection
 
12.8
 
8,541
  Other/Write-in votes
 
0.7%
 
464

Total votes: 66,709
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Incumbent John James (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 6, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John James
John James
 
100.0
 
52,871

Total votes: 52,871
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian Party convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Mike Saliba (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on July 20, 2024.

Candidate
Image of Mike Saliba
Mike Saliba

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Working Class Party convention

Working Class convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party) advanced from the Working Class Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on June 23, 2024.

Candidate
Image of Andrea Kirby
Andrea Kirby

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 10

John James (R) defeated Carl Marlinga (D), Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party), and Mike Saliba (L) in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John James
John James (R)
 
48.8
 
159,202
Image of Carl Marlinga
Carl Marlinga (D)  Candidate Connection
 
48.3
 
157,602
Image of Andrea Kirby
Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party)
 
1.8
 
5,905
Image of Mike Saliba
Mike Saliba (L)  Candidate Connection
 
1.1
 
3,524
  Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0%
 
4

Total votes: 326,237
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Carl Marlinga (D) defeated Rhonda Powell (D), Angela Rogensues (D), Huwaida Arraf (D), and Henry Yanez (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Carl Marlinga
Carl Marlinga  Candidate Connection
 
47.8
 
32,653
Image of Rhonda Powell
Rhonda Powell  Candidate Connection
 
16.7
 
11,396
Image of Angela Rogensues
Angela Rogensues  Candidate Connection
 
13.9
 
9,503
Image of Huwaida Arraf
Huwaida Arraf  Candidate Connection
 
13.0
 
8,846
Image of Henry Yanez
Henry Yanez  Candidate Connection
 
8.6
 
5,891

Total votes: 68,289
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

John James (R) defeated Tony Marcinkewciz (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John James
John James
 
86.3
 
63,417
Image of Tony Marcinkewciz
Tony Marcinkewciz  Candidate Connection
 
13.7
 
10,079

Total votes: 73,496
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian Party convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Mike Saliba (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on July 10, 2022.

Candidate
Image of Mike Saliba
Mike Saliba  Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Working Class Party convention

Working Class convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party) advanced from the Working Class Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on June 26, 2022.

Candidate
Image of Andrea Kirby
Andrea Kirby

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Lisa McClain (R) defeated Kimberly Bizon (D) in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lisa McClain
Lisa McClain (R)
 
66.3
 
271,607
Image of Kimberly Bizon
Kimberly Bizon (D)  Candidate Connection
 
33.7
 
138,179

Total votes: 409,786
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Kimberly Bizon (D) defeated Kelly Noland (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kimberly Bizon
Kimberly Bizon  Candidate Connection
 
53.7
 
27,971
Image of Kelly Noland
Kelly Noland  Candidate Connection
 
46.3
 
24,085

Total votes: 52,056
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Lisa McClain (R) defeated Shane Hernandez (R) and Doug Slocum (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lisa McClain
Lisa McClain
 
41.7
 
50,927
Image of Shane Hernandez
Shane Hernandez
 
36.4
 
44,526
Image of Doug Slocum
Doug Slocum
 
21.9
 
26,750

Total votes: 122,203
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

See also: United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Incumbent Paul Mitchell (R) defeated Kimberly Bizon (D), Jeremy Peruski (Independent), and Harley Mikkelson (G) in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Mitchell
Paul Mitchell (R)
 
60.3
 
182,808
Image of Kimberly Bizon
Kimberly Bizon (D)
 
35.0
 
106,061
Image of Jeremy Peruski
Jeremy Peruski (Independent)  Candidate Connection
 
3.7
 
11,344
Image of Harley Mikkelson
Harley Mikkelson (G)
 
0.9
 
2,851

Total votes: 303,064
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Kimberly Bizon (D) defeated Frank Accavitti Jr. (D) and Michael McCarthy (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kimberly Bizon
Kimberly Bizon
 
41.1
 
21,944
Image of Frank Accavitti Jr.
Frank Accavitti Jr.
 
32.0
 
17,047
Image of Michael McCarthy
Michael McCarthy
 
26.9
 
14,353

Total votes: 53,3440
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Incumbent Paul Mitchell (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Mitchell
Paul Mitchell
 
100.0
 
81,867

Total votes: 81,8670
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Previous election results


District map

2025_01_03_mi_congressional_district_010.jpg

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Michigan after the 2020 census

Michigan’s congressional district boundaries became law on March 26, 2022, 60 days after the Michigan Independent Citizens Redistricting Commission (MICRC) published its report on the redistricting plans with the secretary of state.[17][18] On December 28, 2021, the Michigan Independent Citizens Redistricting Commission (MICRC) approved what was named the "Chestnut" map by a vote of 8-5. Two Democrats, two Republicans, and four nonpartisan members voted to approve the plan with the five remaining commissioners in favor of other plans. As required, "at least two commissioners who affiliate with each major party, and at least two commissioners who do not affiliate with either major party" voted in favor of the adopted map.[19]

The MICRC was established after voters approved a 2018 constitutional amendment that transferred the power to draw the state's congressional and legislative districts from the state legislature to a redistricting commission. Under the terms of the amendment, "Within 30 days after adopting a plan, the commission shall publish the plan and the material reports, reference materials, and data used in drawing it, including any programming information used to produce and test the plan." The adopted plan becomes law 60 days after the MICRC publishes that report.[19]

Beth LeBlanc of The Detroit News wrote that, “Unlike other congressional maps the commission had to choose from, Chestnut was set apart by its inclusion of Grand Rapids and Muskegon in the same district, its grouping of Battle Creek and Kalamazoo and its ability to keep Jackson County whole, instead of breaking off part of the county into an Ann Arbor area district.”[20] According to Clara Hendrickson and Todd Spangler of the Detroit Free Press, "According to three measures of partisan fairness based on statewide election data from the past decade, the map favors Republicans. But those measures also show a significant reduction in the Republican bias compared to the map drawn a decade ago by a Republican legislature, deemed one of the most politically biased maps in the country. One of the partisan fairness measures used by the commission indicates Democratic candidates would have an advantage under the new map."[21] This map took effect for Michigan’s 2022 congressional elections.

How does redistricting in Michigan work? In Michigan, a non-politician commission is responsible for drawing both congressional and state legislative district plans. The commission comprises 13 members, including four Democrats, four Republicans, and five unaffiliated voters or members of minor parties. In order for a map to be enacted, at least seven members must vote for it, including at least two Democrats, two Republicans, and two members not affiliated with either major party.[22]

The Michigan Independent Citizens Redistricting Commission prepared this document specifically explaining the redistricting process after the 2020 census.

2020

2019_05_02_mi_congressional_district_010.jpg

2024

2025_01_03_mi_congressional_district_010.jpg

2010-2011

This is the 10th Congressional District of Michigan after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Michigan after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Michigan State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+3. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Michigan's 10th the 203rd most Republican district nationally.[23]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Michigan's 10th the 207th most Republican district nationally.[24]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 49.8%-48.8%.[25]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Michigan's 10th the 205th most Republican district nationally.[26]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 48.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 49.8%.[27]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Michigan's 10th Congressional District the 103rd most Republican nationally.[28]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.11. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.11 points toward that party.[29]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Michigan Secretary of State, "2016 Michigan Candidate Listing," accessed April 20, 2016
  2. Politico, "Michigan House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
  3. Michigan Secretary of State, "2016 Michigan Candidate Listing," accessed September 6, 2016
  4. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
  5. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Michigan," accessed November 3, 2012
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
  13. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
  15. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
  16. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013
  17. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named march26
  18. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named MICRCemail
  19. 19.0 19.1 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named MIConst
  20. The Detroit News, "Michigan redistricting panel wraps adoption of state House, Senate, congressional maps" December 28, 2021
  21. Detroit Free Press, "Michigan's redistricting commission adopts final congressional map for the next decade" December 28, 2021
  22. Michigan Radio, "Redistricting proposal passes in Michigan," November 6, 2018
  23. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  24. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  25. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  26. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  27. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  28. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  29. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
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