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Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

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2016
Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 5, 2018
Primary: August 14, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Jason Lewis (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Minnesota
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+2
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate (regular)U.S. Senate (special)1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Minnesota elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

Businesswoman Angie Craig (D) defeated U.S. Rep. Jason Lewis (R) in the general election on November 6, 2018, to represent Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District.

The race was a rematch of the 2016 election, where Lewis defeated Craig by two percentage points. At that time, the seat was open after the retirement of incumbent John Kline (R). The district backed Barack Obama (D) in 2012 by one-tenth of a percentage point and Donald Trump (R) in 2016 by 1 percentage point.[1] Prior to the election, election forecasters said the race slightly favored Democrats.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District covers the south Twin Cities metro area and includes Dakota, Goodhue, Scott, and Wabasha counties and portions of Rice and Washington counties.[2]

Democratic Party Click here to read more about the Democratic Party primary election.
Republican Party Click here to read more about the Republican Party primary election.


Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 2

Angie Craig defeated incumbent Jason Lewis in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Angie Craig
Angie Craig (D)
 
52.7
 
177,958
Image of Jason Lewis
Jason Lewis (R)
 
47.1
 
159,344
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
666

Total votes: 337,968
(100.00% precincts reporting)
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 2

Angie Craig advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 2 on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Angie Craig
Angie Craig

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 2

Incumbent Jason Lewis advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 2 on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Jason Lewis
Jason Lewis

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Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Jason Lewis, U.S. representative from MN-2
Jason Lewis 2.PNG

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: United States House of Representatives (assumed office: 2017)

Biography: Lewis received his B.A. from the University of Iowa and his M.A. from the University of Colorado, Denver. Lewis' professional experience includes working as a radio show host and conservative commentator.[3]

Key messages
  • Lewis said he was an independent congressman who would oppose the Republican Party when necessary and work across party lines to represent his constituents well.[4]
  • Lewis highlighted his record in Congress and said he put priorities like lowering taxes and cutting spending over political games.[4]
  • Lewis said Craig was a self-interested and unethical corporate executive and connected her to criminal investigations and discrimination lawsuits during her business career.[4][5]



Angie Craig, businesswoman
Angie Craig photo.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Craig graduated from the University of Memphis. She worked for a Fortune 500 healthcare company, St. Jude Medical, and led St. Jude's Global Human Resources.[3]

Key messages
  • Craig said she grew up in a working-class family, had to work to pay for her education, and was often without health insurance. She said she wanted to fix Washington, D.C. so that hard-working families could move up in the world like she did.[6][7]
  • Craig highlighted her relationship with her wife and four children, saying she wanted to help other families get ahead. She specifically pointed to her son's enrollment in a career training program to show her support for alternatives to college.[6][7]



Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
Poll Poll sponsor Jason Lewis (R) Angie Craig (D)UndecidedMargin of errorSample size
Global Strategy Group
October 9-14, 2018
Giffords PAC 43%52%5%+/-4.9400
Siena College
September 30-October 2, 2018
New York Times 39%51%9%+/-5.0487
WPAi
September 29-October 1, 2018
National Republican Congressional Committee/Lewis campaign 46%43%11%+/-4.9412
SurveyUSA
September 17-23, 2018
KSTP-TV 45%48%7%+/-4.5569
Public Policy Polling
September 17-18, 2018
N/A 45%48%7%+/-4.0531
WPA Intelligence
August 18-21, 2018
Lewis campaign 46%45%9%+/-4.9400
AVERAGES 44% 47.83% 8% +/-4.7 466.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Campaign contributions

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Jason Lewis Republican Party $2,925,836 $2,928,310 $7,363 As of December 31, 2018
Angie Craig Democratic Party $5,625,311 $5,550,422 $87,391 As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[8][9][10]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • Giffords PAC spent $680,000 on a television ad opposing Jason Lewis on October 2.[12]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[13]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[14][15][16]

Race ratings: Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticTilt Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District the 221st most Republican nationally.[17]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.02. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.02 points toward that party.[18]

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Noteworthy general election endorsements
Endorsement Craig (D) Lewis (R)
Individuals
President Donald Trump (R)[19]
Former President Barack Obama (D)[20]
Organizations
The United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America[21]
The International Union of Operating Engineers[21]

Timeline

  • October 27, 2018: The United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America and the International Union of Operating Engineers endorsed Lewis.
  • October 24, 2018: A Global Strategy Group poll commissioned by Giffords PAC showed Craig with 52 percent and Lewis with 43 percent. The margin of error was 4.9 percentage points.
  • October 23, 2018: The House Majority PAC announced it would spend $640,000 opposing Jason Lewis.
  • October 22, 2018: Craig loaned her campaign an additional $200,000.[27]
  • October 4, 2018: President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Jason Lewis.
  • October 3, 2018: A Siena College/New York Times poll showed Craig with 51 percent and Lewis with 39 percent. The margin of error was 5.0 percentage points.
  • October 3, 2018: A WPAi poll commissioned by the National Republican Congressional Committee and the Lewis campaign found Lewis with 46 percent and Craig with 43 percent. The margin of error was 4.9 percentage points.
  • October 2, 2018: Giffords PAC spent $680,000 on a television ad opposing Jason Lewis.
  • October 1, 2018: Former President Barack Obama (D) endorsed Angie Craig.
  • September 25, 2018: A SurveyUSA poll commissioned by KSTP-TV found Craig leading Lewis 48-45. The margin of error was 4.5 percentage points.
  • September 20, 2018: A Public Policy Polling survey found Lewis leading Craig 48-45. The margin of error was 4.0 percentage points.
  • September 12, 2018: The National Republican Congressional Committee spent $350,000 opposing Craig.[12]
  • August 24, 2018: A WPA Intelligence poll commissioned by the Lewis campaign showed Lewis leading Craig 46 percent to 45 percent with 9 percent of voters undecided.

Campaign advertisements

Democratic Party Angie Craig

Support

"Wabasha" - Craig campaign ad, released October 23, 2018
"Close The Book" - Craig campaign ad, released October 12, 2018
"Voice" - Craig campaign ad, released October 9, 2018
"Shakopee" - Craig campaign ad, released October 1, 2018
"No One" - Craig campaign ad, released September 25, 2018
"Path" - Craig campaign ad, released September 6, 2018
"Hard Work" - Craig campaign ad, released August 21, 2018

Oppose

"The Game" - NRCC campaign ad, released October 23, 2018
"Smears" - Lewis campaign ad, released October 22, 2018
"Dollars" - NRCC campaign ad, released October 9, 2018
"Leadership" - NRCC campaign ad, released September 25, 2018
"Corrupt Craig" - NRCC campaign ad, released September 12, 2018
"Not For Us" - Lewis campaign ad, released September 10, 2018

Republican Party Jason Lewis

Support

"Met Council" - Lewis campaign ad, released October 9, 2018
"Independent Voice" - Lewis campaign ad, released September 11, 2018
"Results" - Lewis campaign ad, released September 10, 2018

Oppose

"All Washington," - House Majority PAC ad, released October 22, 2018
"Why," - DCCC ad, released October 22, 2018
"Really," - DCCC ad, released October 9, 2018
"Sharpshooter," -Giffords ad, released October 2, 2018
"DCCC MN-02 ad against Jason Lewis" -Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee ad, released September 21, 2018
"Jason Lewis is Another Paul Ryan Pawn" - House Majority PAC campaign ad, released November 30, 2017

Noteworthy events

The Jason Lewis Show

Comments Lewis made in 2012 about women and race were discussed in several articles and condemned by Craig in July 2018. On his radio show, "The Jason Lewis Show," Lewis said, "Now, are we beyond those days where a woman can behave as a slut, but you can’t call her a slut?”[28] In another segment, Lewis said, "There's a cultural problem in the African-American community that is leading to [violence]. The entitlement mentality."[29]

Craig called the comments disappointing. "Our leaders are role models for our kids and must hold themselves to that standard," she said.[28]

The Lewis campaign released the following statement: “This has all been litigated before, and as Rep. Lewis has said time and time again, it was his job to be provocative while on the radio.”[30]

Craig later told Roll Call that she did not independently bring up Lewis' remarks. She said, “If people want to know, what do I disagree with Jason Lewis on, I’m focused on his votes for the American Health Care Act, I’m focused on the tax bill he voted for.”[31]

Campaign themes

Democratic Party Angie Craig

Craig's campaign website stated the following:

I’m running for Congress to build a Minnesota for all of us – where every member of every family is rewarded for their hard work with an outstanding education, the training or retraining for a good job, and a fair shot at a better life. I’ll never give up on the Minnesota and the America that we can create together.

Growing our Economy and Creating Jobs for Today and the Future

The economic recovery has not touched all families. For many, paychecks aren’t going up, while the cost of groceries, prescription drugs, education, and other household expenses continue to rise. We need leaders in Washington that will invest in and do more to create the right jobs, with better pay and make sure Americans have the tools to succeed in a 21st Century economy.

I’m ready to do just that. Over the past decade, I have worked to create good-paying jobs in Minnesota, with responsibility for a workforce of 16,000 employees at a major Minnesota manufacturing company.

It’s a mix of 21st century manufacturing and technical jobs, and small business entrepreneurship that we must continue to work to create in Minnesota. That means prioritizing investments in education and career skills, and reforming a system that too often benefits special interests, big corporations, and the wealthy.

To help the economy grow and families prosper, we must focus on supporting small businesses and entrepreneurship, invest in America, and invest in Americans.

Supporting small business growth and entrepreneurship

Washington should be in the business of rewarding entrepreneurship by making it easier for people to start and grow small businesses. In fact, I’m now an investor in a St. Paul start-up company called Structural.

Here’s what we can do from a policy point of view to help small businesses grow:

Make it easier to access capital and loans Increase small businesses' access to technical resources and technology Simplify regulations and taxes for companies with 20 or fewer employees Increase tax deductions for start-up and healthcare costs All of these measures will make it easier for America’s innovators to start and grow their small businesses while continuing to grow our economy.

Investing in America

Congress must invest in infrastructure revitalization by rebuilding our roads, highways, and bridges and increasing access to high-speed Internet – especially in rural areas. Not only will this create good-paying construction jobs in the short-term, experience has shown that public infrastructure investment stimulates private sector jobs growth.

In order to help stimulate private sector investment in infrastructure – like machinery, buildings, and factories – we must incentivize companies to bring their cash outside the United States back home. Billions of dollars in foreign earnings and capital are overseas – let’s make sure that money is invested in America.

We've got a lot of work to do in this country to upgrade our infrastructure, and I'll be a strong advocate for funding these projects. When it comes to approving projects, such as Enbridge, I've got a heck of a lot more trust in scientists who have spent their career studying these projects than I do in an approval process based on partisan politics.

Investing in Americans

American workers need to have the right skills for the high-paying, high-growth technical jobs of the 21stcentury. We can make sure of this by investing in workforce development initiatives and encouraging public-private partnerships in higher education as well as making vocational education a priority again in our public schools. When schools work with local employers to link training and education to the needs of the regional economy, students and employers win.

Our goal should to be for each student to receive the training necessary either through college, a technical degree, or apprenticeship program to be ready for a good-paying job. And we must be committed to continuous learning and job re-training as industries and technologies change. This requires a commitment to investing and encouraging partnerships between Minnesota companies and technical colleges.

Higher education and job training is only part of the equation. We must encourage companies to invest in their workforce by closing tax loopholes that encourage them to move American jobs overseas, and replacing them with tax credits for companies that hire American. Let’s reward those employers who create jobs in America.

Protecting America's Workers

Creating a good paying job for every American is only half the solution. We need to make sure that everyone can join the workforce and feel secure in their job. I'll fight to protect the rights of every worker to organize and collectively bargain. My wife and I have four sons and I saw how hard my mother worked to raise children on her own. We need a national paid family leave and earned sick and safe time policy. A lack of paid family leave disproportionately impacts women that have to care for family members and those with employers that don't provide maternity leave. We also have a child care availability and affordability crisis looming in many areas of this country and need to consider all possible solutions to addressing it. We need to continue our investment in an all of the above regional transportation strategy to make sure workers can get to their workplaces quickly and efficiently so they're more productive and can spend more time with their families.

Healthcare

If healthcare is not affordable, it is not accessible. I know that firsthand. I grew up for a portion of my childhood without health insurance. I still remember the box of bills that sat on our kitchen table when my little sister had a medical issue. I also spent more than 20 years working in two healthcare manufacturing companies, and at one I oversaw our employer-sponsored health plans in many countries.

We must work to repair our healthcare system, starting with immediate fixes to the Affordable Care Act (ACA), and work toward universal health coverage with a focus on prevention and reducing costs, especially for prescription drugs.

Many families, particularly those who are self-employed as small business owners and family farmers, cannot afford the healthcare available in the individual marketplace, but Washington has done nothing to help. One way to address the lack of choice and competition in the insurance marketplace is to open up Medicare for a buy-in to compete with large insurance companies. Congress needs to work across the aisle immediately to stabilize healthcare costs for these families who have little choice in their regions.

We can do all of this without giving up the good things that have come from the ACA. Current law has eliminated the penalty for pre-existing conditions, ended lifetime limits, allowed young adults to remain on their parent’s insurance, and given tens of millions of Americans access to healthcare who didn’t have it before.

To stabilize the market place, it’s critical that we reauthorize and make permanent a federal reinsurance program that does not shortchange other current programs. We must provide a long-term outlook for cost reduction subsidies. We also must rein in out-of-control costs in the pharmaceutical industry. We can start by making pharma compete by negotiating with Medicare and ensure that generic drugs are important part of the healthcare mix. We must make medical pricing more transparent, incentivize preventative care, and move away from a fee-for-service healthcare system if we are serious about reducing the cost of healthcare.

There are many specific policy ideas emerging to accomplish the goal of moving to universal healthcare and we should consider each as to whether it brings us closer to making sure every family has healthcare they can afford. It’s time to stop playing politics with people’s lives and work on a bipartisan basis.

The Opioid Epidemic

Our country is confronting one of the largest public health threats since the onset of the AIDS epidemic. The opioid epidemic now claims more lives every year than car accidents or gun violence – nationwide, over 33,000 people died from opioid or heroin overdoses in 2015 alone.

The Second Congressional District is home to some exceptional local leaders in the fight against this epidemic. The Shakopee Police Department and the Scott County Board have rolled out programs that focus on rehabilitation and recovery rather than punishment and incarceration. Whether it’s a new drug court program, treatment center, lifesaving medication for first responders, or critical new research, all these efforts have something in common: they require resources and funding. That’s how our leaders in Washington can and should help.

This epidemic has not escaped our own family. One of our sons is adopted and his birth mother died over a decade ago of an overdose. I have promised him and many other families in the district to fight like hell to address these issues.

When I’m elected to Congress, I will work to expand the funding allocated in the Comprehensive Addiction and Recovery Act (CARA). This bipartisan bill allows the federal government to provide states with grants to fund a variety of programs aimed at curbing prescription opioid and heroin abuse. I also will support the Addiction Recovery for Rural Communities (ARRC) Act, a bill to help rural communities fight the opioid epidemic. I’ll also work to take on the issues directly that have helped enable this national emergency, such as prescribing patterns and the marketing of drugs in this nation.

High-Quality Public Education, Career Training and Affordable College

Education and career training are the keys to securing a strong economic future for families in Minnesota. And as the proud wife of a former teacher and mother of four sons – three in college or trade school and one at Rosemount High School – I understand the importance of a great education for all children.

When I’m elected to Congress, I’ll prioritize funding for public education and ensure that our teachers have access to the resources they need to be successful.

We must ensure that early childhood education is a priority, including high-quality child care and pre-K for kids from birth to age 5, to ensure our children start kindergarten ready to succeed. This is essential to our kids' futures and to the strengthening our state's economy.

We must also stabilize funding for K-12 education and ensure that career training and vocational education is a priority again in this country. College is not right for every child, and students need to be supported to understand that there are other career options.

It’s critical that we fully fund special education so that every child has the resources they need to learn and grow. One of our sons has learning challenges, and I’ve seen firsthand the heroes in our education system who help him be successful. I’ve also seen what not funding special education at the 40% level the federal government promised has on school district budgets. We must do better.

We also must give our teachers the respect they deserve by protecting their right to organize and collectively bargain, and giving tax credits to those who spend their own money on classroom supplies.

Giving Teachers A Raise

Part of giving teachers the tools they need to succeed is making sure that teachers are paid fairly. We owe it to all of our children to make sure that we’re attracting the best and the brightest to education today to help build and shape the best and the brightest of tomorrow. When we raise teacher pay, we can recruit, and keep, the best possible teachers for our children.

It’s not enough, though, to just tell cash-strapped schools and districts that they need to pay their teachers more. We need to make sure that they have the resources to do so. When I go to Congress, I’ll work to end the carried interest loophole, a tax policy that allows hedge fund and private equity managers to misrepresent earned income as capital gains, letting them pay a lower tax rate. We can send that nearly $16 billion back to the states to help them raise wages for all of our teachers.

Cost of college and career training

One of the biggest issues facing families is the nearly prohibitive cost of higher education. 70% of Minnesota’s college graduates have taken on some form of debt in order to complete their education, with the average price tag amounting to $31,579. That kind of debt causes our young people to delay major milestones, like buying a home or starting a family. Not only is it bad for our graduates – it’s bad for the economy.

In order to stay globally competitive, we must make higher education affordable and re-emphasize the range of career options available to young people, from colleges to technical degrees to apprenticeships. As a member of Congress, I would support legislation to make the first two years of post-secondary education free – whether it is technical education, earning an associate’s degree, or the first two-years of a bachelor’s degree. That’s how we build the workforce of the future and attract the industries of the future.

Caring for Our Veterans

We owe so much to the brave men and women who volunteer to serve our country in the armed forces. As a leader at a major Minnesota company, I set strategy for a program that put veterans to work in our company, and across the medical technology industry. Our nation needs to do all we can to encourage private industry to recruit, hire, mentor, and train veterans.

Many veterans face serious health problems related to their service. My family has not escaped this burden. My uncle died of cancer in his early 50s following his service in Vietnam – believed to be due to Agent Orange exposure. Younger veterans face similar heath challenges related to their work near toxic “burn pits.” When our soldiers return home, they deserve access to the best healthcare, treatment, and compensation that our nation can provide for their physical and mental health needs. But that isn’t what they're getting right now.

An audit of the VA found that more than 120,000 veterans waited at least 90 days for healthcare appointments or never received appointments at all. More than 82,000 veterans were still waiting for the VA to evaluate their claims for service-connected disability compensation more than 125 days after filing. The VA in Minneapolis provides important services to those who have served our nation, but we need to upgrade the entire system to improve the care our veterans receive and especially alleviate the long wait times for evaluation of benefits and services.

We must be there for our veterans for life. They've been there for us.

Protecting the Environment & Slowing the Pace of Climate Change

There’s no denying it – climate change is happening and we have to address it now. In Minnesota, we’ve already seen milder winters, heat waves, droughts, and floods.

Climate change is a threat to our environment and the health and safety of all Americans. But it also presents us with a great opportunity to create economic growth through smart public policies. We must continue to encourage growth in the renewable energy sector, and become a world leader in innovation. America led the world in creating and adapting new technologies in the 20th century - let’s make sure we continue that trend by leading the global green economy.

Our approach to addressing climate change doesn’t need to be onerous. We can lower our carbon emissions, build an energy infrastructure that relies less on fossil fuels, and attract and advance the industries of the future by looking for innovative solutions on climate change. If we invest in emerging energy industries we can create good jobs and get back on track as a global leader in our new energy economy. I look forward to working on a bipartisan basis to pass common sense initiatives, like instituting a carbon fee and dividend program to reduce our nation’s reliance on fossil fuels through market-based solutions.

National Security

We need a smart and tough foreign policy agenda that protects the United States and at the same time preserves the shared American values of privacy, liberty, and diversity.

We should equip our military personnel with the 21st century tools they need to defend our nation as well as eliminate terrorist threats as efficiently and safely as possible. We must support the use of innovative technologies, update and improve our cybersecurity infrastructure, and ensure that our military and intelligence officials have access to every tool they need to protect our nation.

We also must return to a diplomacy first mindset and work to restore the strong relationships with our allies. We’re at our safest and strongest when we’re leading a coalition of countries committed to peace and freedom.

Immigration and Border Security

Washington’s failure to pass bipartisan immigration reform is slowing our economy and weakening our nation. I support bipartisan immigration reform that invests in smart border security, provides a path to citizenship for DREAMERS and law-abiding immigrants, and keeps families together.

As long as our immigration system is broken, people will continue to work around it. It’s clear that too many members of Congress are more interested in scoring points with their base than doing the sensible and common sense thing for our economy and our country. Industries such as agriculture and technology are starved for workers, and we must support smart immigration policies that help.

It's critical that Congress takes action to pass an immediate fix to Deferred Action Childhood Arrivals Program (DACA). These are hardworking Minnesotans who serve in our military, graduate from our schools and contribute to our economy. In addition, the development of a path to citizenship for law-abiding immigrants would allow everyone to contribute and pay taxes, as well as pay into Medicare and Social Security.

We should immediately reunite any families who remain separated at the border without requiring children to remain in federal detention. Also, the U.S. should rejoin the international community and comply with international law by again allowing properly filed asylum claims to proceed in a timely and orderly fashion.

I support investing in smart border security. That includes technology such as drones, sonar and radar. I do not believe the answer to fixing our immigration system is abolishing ICE. They play an important role in stopping drugs and human trafficking. Let me also be clear that all people who commit crimes, regardless of their immigration status, should go to jail. No one wants criminals to go free, no matter what kind of outlandish attacks get lobbed at me.

Many of us are descended from immigrants, and we need immigrants for continued economic growth. The history of and promise of this country is that it will always be open to those who seek a better life, and are willing to work hard and help America grow in the process. In Congress, I will support policies that will continue to make this a reality.

Protecting Minnesota’s Seniors

When Medicare and Social Security were enacted, they lifted a generation of seniors out of poverty. Since then they’ve been a promise we’ve kept to each succeeding generation, allowing Americans to retire with dignity. That’s why I oppose any changes that would cut, privatize, or jeopardize these programs.

We should look for ways to strengthen both programs, instead of using the retirement of millions of Americans as a political football. This includes allowing Medicare to negotiate for the best prices on prescription drugs, eliminating waste, fraud, and abuse of both programs, and shoring up their funding – even if it requires asking millionaires and billionaires to pay their fair share.

In addition, we must also do more to prevent elder abuse. Altogether, the Minnesota Department of Human Services receives nearly 1,000 reports of elder abuse every week. Too often, those closest to vulnerable adults are the ones taking advantage of them, causing victims to hesitate before taking action. As leaders, we must do what we can to empower social workers, caretakers, and seniors themselves to identify, prevent, report, and end this abuse.

Finally, we must combat the skyrocketing cost of prescription drugs. In order to start to combat the high cost of prescription drugs, we must allow Medicare to negotiate with pharmaceutical companies just as we already do in the VA. In addition, we must work to end anti-competitive “pay-for-delay” deals, and allow individuals to reimport individual supplies of medication from approved pharmacies in Canada.

Fighting for Our Agricultural Economy and Greater Minnesota

I grew up in rural America for much of my childhood. My grandfather farmed beans - until the 1980s farm crisis forced him out. My 91-year-old grandmother still lives near that same land where he spent so much of his life, and she tills and plants her own garden each year.

I know how unique each community in Greater Minnesota is and how important farming is to the Greater Minnesota economy. We are the fifth largest agricultural state in the country, and Minnesota’s 75,000 farms contribute $19 billion to our economy each year. Agriculture is a critical component of and opportunity for economic growth in Minnesota’s second congressional district. To keep that agricultural economy growing, we must help farmers export their products to new markets such as Cuba. Agricultural exports totaled over $8 billion in 2012 and continue to grow.

As a member of Congress, I will work across party lines to pass a new farm bill that ensures a stable and strong crop insurance program as a safety net for our farmers, and at the same time provides adequate funding for SNAP and other nutrition programs that help bridge gaps for families in Minnesota. If we make sure that fresh food is covered under SNAP that is a win-win. Farmers can sell more to people here at home and SNAP recipients have healthier food.

I also understand that healthcare affordability and access to quality medical care in Greater Minnesota are serious issues for Minnesota farmers and have specific solutions to address these concerns.

We should prioritize infrastructure investments in the United States, particularly ensuring that Greater Minnesota has access to high-speed Internet to help communities meet their needs. It is not fair that our rural communities cannot build small businesses and utilize educational resources from the Internet in the same way that suburban communities can. We also must address rail issues to ensure producers have reliable access to markets.

Minnesota has taken a leading role in producing homegrown energy, providing clean, renewable energy, and reducing our reliance on foreign oil. I will fight to maintain a strong Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) and lead the effort to make Minnesota a leader in homegrown energy.

Money in Politics
The Supreme Court in its 2010 decision in Citizens United completely changed elections in the United States, by allowing unlimited and dark money spending. Money in politics was always a problem but now it is worse than ever before. Now special interest groups can spend unlimited amounts of untraceable money to elect people who will tip the rules in their favor once in office. The voices of the people are lost in favor of the voices of the few and the powerful. It is a big part of what is wrong in Washington.

I am committed to pass laws to end Citizens United and get big money out of politics. Corporations and special interests are not people and their oversized influence on the way our government works needs to end now. Total transparency starts with requiring everyone who spends money in a campaign to say where that money came from. Toward that end, I have proposed an entire package of reforms.

Empowering Strong Women and Strong Families

As a working mom who is raising four amazing young men, I understand that strengthening opportunities for women creates stronger families.

I grew up surrounded by two strong women – my mother and my grandmother. My mom raised the three of us with the help of my grandmother. My grandmother lived a few homes down, and was on her feet for eight hours a day at a nearby shoe factory into her 70’s. Mom completed her college degree after almost 10 years and is still a teacher today.

As a leader at a Minnesota company, I started a Women In Business program to support and mentor women in their career choices and help them achieve that next level of success. Women have made great strides, but we still face challenges.

Our work is not done until women have equal opportunity and an equal voice in this country. Women should receive equal pay for doing the same job, and today, that is sadly not the case. Passing the Paycheck Fairness Act would be a great step in the right direction. We also must make sure that young women are being exposed to and encouraged to pursue careers in STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Math) fields, which currently count only 23% women among their workforce.

I support full reproductive rights for women and access to contraception and family planning services. No one should ever come between a woman and her doctor when making these decisions. The dangerous proposals that seek to eliminate contraceptive and family planning services coverage from the ACA guarantee must be stopped, and I will stand against them. I support Planned Parenthood and will continue to fight to protect their funding so that all women – especially those in rural areas – have access to the healthcare services they need.

Gun Violence Prevention
Our family has always been comfortable around firearms and strong supporters of the Second Amendment. Two of our four sons are avid deer and duck hunters and a third competed in trap shooting in high school. I’ve been known to join them from time to time on the gun range.

Support for the Second Amendment goes hand-in-hand with doing everything we can to keep guns away from criminals and other dangerous people. Every day, 93 Americans are killed by gun violence and there is no reason we can’t work to address this issue while protecting our Second Amendment rights. That’s why I support commonsense measures to address gun violence.

First, I believe we should fund Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) research into gun violence. We need the facts in order to decide how to improve gun safety.

Second, I support universal background checks for every gun purchase, including those sold online and through private sales. The facts are compelling: In states where background checks are law there are 52 percent fewer mass shootings, 48 percent fewer law enforcement officials are shot to death, and 48 percent fewer people commit suicide by firearm. We should not allow criminals or domestic abusers to have such easy access to a firearm.

Third, we need to stop suspected terrorists on the no-fly list from purchasing firearms and reinstate a rule recently repealed by Congress that stopped some people with mental illnesses from purchasing guns.

Finally, I believe we should immediately ban the sale of military style, semi-automatic weapons, and make high-capacity clips, “bump stocks,” and other attachments that enable semi-automatic rifles to fire faster illegal.

These measures by themselves won’t eliminate gun violence in this country. But if they reduce the incidence of gun violence and help law enforcement stay safer, they’re worth fighting for.

[32]

—Angie Craig's campaign website (2018)[33]

Republican Party Jason Lewis

Lewis' campaign website stated the following:

Promises Made, Promises Kept
In 2016, Jason Lewis ran for Congress to reduce our nation’s out of control spending, lower the tax burden on middle-class Minnesota families, and defend our freedoms and liberties. Since taking office, Lewis has successfully fulfilled these campaign promises and more.

During his first term in Congress, Lewis has been a strong, independent voice and worked with his colleagues on both side of the aisle on major reforms to better the future of Minnesota and the country.

Focusing on our economy
Lewis supported more than a dozen Congressional Review Act resolutions rolling back burdensome, duplicative, and unnecessary big-government rules, saving over 4.2 million hours of unnecessary paperwork and $3.7 billion in regulatory costs. Congressman Lewis introduced the REG Act to ensure executive agency guidance documents making significant and burdensome policy changes receive Congressional oversight and public comment. As a member of Budget Committee, Lewis was integral in passing tax reform to jump start our economy and let Americans keep more of their hard-earned money.

Putting Minnesota First
Lewis led efforts to increase Career & Technical Education (CTE) training and funding. Lewis successfully authored and passed a ‘dual enrollment’ amendment to reduce college costs for families by encouraging students to gain higher education credits while in high school. Additionally, Congressman Lewis offered an amendment to the appropriations bill to increase funding for CTE State Grants by reallocating funding. Congressman Lewis was the Republican sponsor of a bipartisan bill which was signed into law and will restore local planning authority by repealing an Obama administration rule that expanded the authority of Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs) like the Met Council.

Fixing our Justice System
Lewis introduced the Juvenile Justice Reform Act, with Rep. Bobby Scott (D-VA), which passed the House. This legislation will give troubled young people a second chance, improve accountability of taxpayer dollars and eliminate duplicative grant programs. Additionally, Congressman Lewis joined Rep. Scott to also introduce the SAFE Justice Act to make comprehensive reforms to our criminal justice system by reducing the number of federal crimes, returning power to local authorities, and encouraging the use of evidence-based strategies for reducing recidivism. Lewis also cosponsored the Second Chance Reauthorization Act to help states and communities reduce recidivism and improve outcomes for adults and youth released from prison.

Defending our Rights and Liberties
Congressman Lewis introduced the Drone Innovation Act which protects the 10th Amendment and seeks a balance between state & local control and national airspace in this emerging technology. As a Member of the 4th Amendment Caucus, Lewis has worked to advance policies that protect citizens’ rights against warrantless search & seizures and privacy violations. Lewis opposed attempts to grant a sweeping and full re-authorization of FISA without serious reforms to ensure that federal agencies are not violating American constitutional rights. Lewis also cosponsored legislation that will protect Minnesota’s right to regulate and allow medical marijuana and the ability of patients to access it for medical treatments. Importantly, it will allow marijuana to be further researched in regards to its safety and effectiveness as a medical treatment.

Protecting our Tax Dollars
Lewis introduced the Defense Spending Accountability Act to reduce the salary of top DOD officials if the Pentagon didn’t meet audit deadlines; ultimately resulting in the Pentagon beginning their first audit. Congressman Lewis also cosponsored a bipartisan amendment to cut the $28.6 billion National Defense Restoration Fund, a new unaccountable slush fund for the military, and put it towards deficit reduction. Lewis also voted in opposition to the bloated FY17 Consolidated Appropriations Act (Omnibus Bill) providing $1.163 trillion to fund discretionary programs within the federal government, an increase of $14 billion from previous spending levels.

[32]

—Jason Lewis' campaign website (2018)[34]

Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic Party Angie Craig Facebook

Republican Party Jason Lewis Facebook

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Nineteen of 87 Minnesota counties—21.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Beltrami County, Minnesota 9.72% 9.89% 10.15%
Blue Earth County, Minnesota 3.69% 9.48% 12.95%
Chippewa County, Minnesota 28.70% 1.87% 5.87%
Clay County, Minnesota 1.95% 7.92% 16.02%
Fillmore County, Minnesota 21.70% 7.34% 8.26%
Freeborn County, Minnesota 17.24% 14.11% 17.13%
Houston County, Minnesota 13.87% 3.16% 10.69%
Itasca County, Minnesota 16.35% 9.83% 12.92%
Kittson County, Minnesota 22.05% 6.03% 18.54%
Koochiching County, Minnesota 19.85% 9.45% 10.10%
Lac qui Parle County, Minnesota 25.60% 0.90% 5.92%
Mahnomen County, Minnesota 2.92% 18.56% 25.31%
Mower County, Minnesota 7.82% 22.61% 23.61%
Nicollet County, Minnesota 3.04% 7.83% 10.52%
Norman County, Minnesota 13.34% 10.79% 26.94%
Rice County, Minnesota 3.06% 8.27% 11.50%
Swift County, Minnesota 25.57% 9.83% 13.79%
Traverse County, Minnesota 23.30% 4.44% 5.41%
Winona County, Minnesota 2.90% 12.85% 19.09%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Minnesota with 46.4 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1860 and 2016, Minnesota voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 47.5 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Minnesota voted Democratic all five times.[35]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Minnesota. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[36][37]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 68 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 27.6 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 62 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 30.4 points. Clinton won 12 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 66 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 12.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 72 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 23.8 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District history

2016

See also: Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Republican incumbent John Kline, who began serving in Congress in 2002, chose not to run for re-election in 2016, leaving the seat open. Jason Lewis (R) defeated Angie Craig (D) and Paula Overby (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Craig faced no primary opponent, while Lewis defeated Matthew Erickson, John Howe, and Darlene Miller in the Republican primary on August 9, 2016.[38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJason Lewis 47% 173,970
     Democratic Angie Craig 45.2% 167,315
     Independent Paula Overby 7.8% 28,869
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 360
Total Votes 370,514
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State


U.S. House, Minnesota District 2 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJason Lewis 48.9% 11,641
Darlene Miller 30.7% 7,305
John Howe 13.6% 3,244
Matthew Erickson 6.8% 1,612
Total Votes 23,802
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State

2014

See also: Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014
U.S. House, Minnesota District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kline Incumbent 56% 137,778
     Democratic Mike Obermueller 38.9% 95,565
     Independence Paula Overby 5% 12,319
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 186
Total Votes 245,848
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Minnesota heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Republicans had a 77-56 majority in the state House. The state Senate was tied, with 33 Republicans and 33 Democrats.

Trifecta status

  • Minnesota was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Mark Dayton (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.

2018 elections

See also: Minnesota elections, 2018

Minnesota held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Minnesota
 MinnesotaU.S.
Total population:5,482,435316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):79,6273,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:84.8%73.6%
Black/African American:5.5%12.6%
Asian:4.4%5.1%
Native American:1%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.7%3%
Hispanic/Latino:5%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:92.4%86.7%
College graduation rate:33.7%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$61,492$53,889
Persons below poverty level:12.2%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Minnesota.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Minnesota's three largest cities were Minneapolis (pop. est. 422,000), St. Paul (pop. est. 307,000), and Rochester (pop. est. 116,000).[47]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Minnesota Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Minnesota every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Minnesota 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 46.4% Republican Party Donald Trump 44.9% 1.5%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 52.7% Republican Party Mitt Romney 45.0% 7.7%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 54.1% Republican Party John McCain 43.8% 10.3%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 51.1% Republican Party George W. Bush 47.6% 3.5%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 47.9% Republican Party George W. Bush 45.5% 2.4%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Minnesota 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Democratic Party Al Franken 53.2% Republican Party Mike McFadden 42.9% 10.3%
2012 Democratic Party Amy Klobuchar 65.2% Republican Party Kurt Bills 30.5% 34.7%
2008 Democratic Party Al Franken 41.99% Republican Party Norm Coleman 41.98% 0.01%
2006 Democratic Party Amy Klobuchar 58.1% Republican Party Mark Kennedy 37.9% 20.2%
2002 Republican Party Norm Coleman 49.5% Democratic Party Walter Mondale 47.3% 2.2%
2000 Democratic Party Mark Dayton 48.8% Republican Party Rod Grams 43.3% 5.5%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Minnesota.

Election results (Governor), Minnesota 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Democratic Party Mark Dayton 50.1% Republican Party Jeff Johnson 44.5% 5.6%
2010 Democratic Party Mark Dayton 43.6% Republican Party Tom Emmer 43.2% 0.4%
2006 Republican Party Tim Pawlenty 46.7% Democratic Party Mike Hatch 45.7% 1.0%
2002 Republican Party Tim Pawlenty 44.4% Democratic Party Roger Moe 36.5% 7.9%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Minnesota in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Minnesota 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 3 37.5% Democratic Party 5 62.5% D+2
2014 Republican Party 3 37.5% Democratic Party 5 62.5% D+2
2012 Republican Party 3 37.5% Democratic Party 5 62.5% D+2
2010 Republican Party 4 50.0% Democratic Party 4 50.0% Even
2008 Republican Party 3 37.5% Democratic Party 5 62.5% D+2
2006 Republican Party 3 37.5% Democratic Party 5 62.5% D+2
2004 Republican Party 4 50.0% Democratic Party 4 50.0% Even
2002 Republican Party 4 50.0% Democratic Party 4 50.0% Even
2000 Republican Party 3 37.5% Democratic Party 5 62.5% D+2

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Minnesota Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R I I I I R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R D D D D R R R R R R D D
House D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D R R D D R R R R D D D D D D


See also

Footnotes

  1. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 19, 2017
  2. United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  3. 3.0 3.1 Jason Lewis 2016, "About," accessed November 15, 2015 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "campaign" defined multiple times with different content
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 YouTube, "Jason Lewis," accessed September 17, 2018
  5. Jason Lewis for Congress, "Executive or 'Mere Employee,'" September 13, 2018
  6. 6.0 6.1 YouTube, "Angie Craig for Congress," accessed September 17, 2018
  7. 7.0 7.1 Angie Craig for Congress, "Meet Angie Craig," accessed September 17, 2018
  8. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  9. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  10. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  11. Politico, "The Democrats’ closing Senate message," October 23, 2018
  12. 12.0 12.1 12.2 ProPublica, "MN-2 outside spending," accessed September 17, 2018
  13. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  14. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  15. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  16. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  17. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  18. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  19. Twitter, "Donald J. Trump," October 4, 2018
  20. Twitter, "Barack Obama on October 1, 2018"
  21. 21.0 21.1 Washington Free Beacon, "Two Unions Endorse Minnesota Republican," October 27, 2018
  22. 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.3 22.4 22.5 [https://www.angiecraig.com/endorsements/ Angie Craig for Congress, "Endorsements, accessed January 31, 2018.
  23. Roll Call, "New Democrats' PAC endorses first 16 candidates for 2018," March 9, 2018
  24. MPR News, "Some DFLers say Washington Democrats are 'bigfooting' Minn. congressional races," March 26, 2018
  25. Twin Cities Pioneer Press, "Craig gets rematch against Lewis in 2nd Congressional District," April 14, 2018
  26. The Intercept, "Candidates Who Signed Up to Battle Donald Trump Must Get Past the Democratic Party First," January 23, 2018
  27. ProPublica, "Receipts by Angie Craig For Congress for Filing 1279222," accessed October 25, 2018
  28. 28.0 28.1 Twin Cities Pioneer Press, "With ‘slut’ comments, Rep. Jason Lewis’s radio career flares up again," July 19, 2018
  29. CNN, "GOP congressman said blacks have 'entitlement mentality' and view themselves as victims," July 21, 2018
  30. Star Tribune, "U.S. Rep. Jason Lewis made disparaging comments about women on radio show," July 19, 2018
  31. Roll Call, "Minnesota Democrats Steer Clear of Republicans’ Controversial Comments About Women," October 3, 2018
  32. 32.0 32.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  33. Angie Craig for Congress, “Issues,” accessed September 17, 2018
  34. Jason Lewis for Congress, “Accomplishments,” accessed September 17, 2018
  35. 270towin.com, "Minnesota," accessed June 29, 2017
  36. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  37. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  38. Minnesota Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings," accessed June 1, 2016
  39. Capitol View, "Gerson grabs CD2 spotlight as others weigh options," September 4, 2015
  40. Pioneer Press, "Howe runs for Second District as ‘conservative’ but ‘electable,’" September 22, 2015
  41. TwinCities.com, "Former lawmaker, LG candidate Pam Myhra enters Second District race," October 7, 2015
  42. Pioneer Press, "'Mr. Right' Jason Lewis is running for the Second District," October 12, 2015
  43. Star Tribune, "Darlene Miller announces run for Congress in Second District," January 7, 2016
  44. TwinCities.com, "Another Democrat files for 2nd Congressional District," March 24, 2015
  45. Daily Kos Elections, "MN-02 Mary Lawrence (D) press release on dropping out of race (Jan. 2016)," January 5, 2016
  46. Politico, "Minnesota House Primaries Results," August 9, 2016
  47. Minnesota Demographics, "Minnesota Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018



Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Tom Emmer (R)
District 7
District 8
Democratic Party (6)
Republican Party (4)