Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16 , or in-person on Nov. 6
- Early voting: Sept. 21 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District |
---|
Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 5, 2018 |
Primary: August 14, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Jason Lewis (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Minnesota |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate (regular) • U.S. Senate (special) • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Minnesota elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Businesswoman Angie Craig (D) defeated U.S. Rep. Jason Lewis (R) in the general election on November 6, 2018, to represent Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District.
The race was a rematch of the 2016 election, where Lewis defeated Craig by two percentage points. At that time, the seat was open after the retirement of incumbent John Kline (R). The district backed Barack Obama (D) in 2012 by one-tenth of a percentage point and Donald Trump (R) in 2016 by 1 percentage point.[1] Prior to the election, election forecasters said the race slightly favored Democrats.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District covers the south Twin Cities metro area and includes Dakota, Goodhue, Scott, and Wabasha counties and portions of Rice and Washington counties.[2]
Click here to read more about the Democratic Party primary election.
Click here to read more about the Republican Party primary election.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 2
Angie Craig defeated incumbent Jason Lewis in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Angie Craig (D) | 52.7 | 177,958 |
![]() | Jason Lewis (R) | 47.1 | 159,344 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 666 |
Total votes: 337,968 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bradley Svenson (Independence Party)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 2
Angie Craig advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 2 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Angie Craig |
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jeff Erdmann (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 2
Incumbent Jason Lewis advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 2 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jason Lewis |
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Candidate profiles
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: United States House of Representatives (assumed office: 2017)
Biography: Lewis received his B.A. from the University of Iowa and his M.A. from the University of Colorado, Denver. Lewis' professional experience includes working as a radio show host and conservative commentator.[3]
- Lewis said he was an independent congressman who would oppose the Republican Party when necessary and work across party lines to represent his constituents well.[4]
- Lewis highlighted his record in Congress and said he put priorities like lowering taxes and cutting spending over political games.[4]
- Lewis said Craig was a self-interested and unethical corporate executive and connected her to criminal investigations and discrimination lawsuits during her business career.[4][5]
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Craig graduated from the University of Memphis. She worked for a Fortune 500 healthcare company, St. Jude Medical, and led St. Jude's Global Human Resources.[3]
- Craig said she grew up in a working-class family, had to work to pay for her education, and was often without health insurance. She said she wanted to fix Washington, D.C. so that hard-working families could move up in the world like she did.[6][7]
- Craig highlighted her relationship with her wife and four children, saying she wanted to help other families get ahead. She specifically pointed to her son's enrollment in a career training program to show her support for alternatives to college.[6][7]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Poll sponsor | Jason Lewis (R) | Angie Craig (D) | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
Global Strategy Group October 9-14, 2018 | Giffords PAC | 43% | 52% | 5% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||||
Siena College September 30-October 2, 2018 | New York Times | 39% | 51% | 9% | +/-5.0 | 487 | |||||||||||||
WPAi September 29-October 1, 2018 | National Republican Congressional Committee/Lewis campaign | 46% | 43% | 11% | +/-4.9 | 412 | |||||||||||||
SurveyUSA September 17-23, 2018 | KSTP-TV | 45% | 48% | 7% | +/-4.5 | 569 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling September 17-18, 2018 | N/A | 45% | 48% | 7% | +/-4.0 | 531 | |||||||||||||
WPA Intelligence August 18-21, 2018 | Lewis campaign | 46% | 45% | 9% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 44% | 47.83% | 8% | +/-4.7 | 466.5 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Campaign contributions
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jason Lewis | Republican Party | $2,925,836 | $2,928,310 | $7,363 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Angie Craig | Democratic Party | $5,625,311 | $5,550,422 | $87,391 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[8][9][10]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- The House Majority PAC announced it would spend $640,000 opposing Jason Lewis on October 23.[11]
- Giffords PAC spent $680,000 on a television ad opposing Jason Lewis on October 2.[12]
- The National Republican Congressional Committee spent $350,000 opposing Angie Craig on September 12.[12]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[13]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[14][15][16]
Race ratings: Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District the 221st most Republican nationally.[17]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.02. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.02 points toward that party.[18]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Endorsement | Craig (D) | Lewis (R) | ||||
Individuals | ||||||
President Donald Trump (R)[19] | ✔ | |||||
Former President Barack Obama (D)[20] | ✔ | |||||
Organizations | ||||||
The United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America[21] | ✔ | |||||
The International Union of Operating Engineers[21] | ✔ |
Click here to see a list of endorsements in the August 14 Democratic primary | |||
---|---|---|---|
|
Timeline
- October 27, 2018: The United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America and the International Union of Operating Engineers endorsed Lewis.
- October 24, 2018: A Global Strategy Group poll commissioned by Giffords PAC showed Craig with 52 percent and Lewis with 43 percent. The margin of error was 4.9 percentage points.
- October 23, 2018: The House Majority PAC announced it would spend $640,000 opposing Jason Lewis.
- October 22, 2018: Craig loaned her campaign an additional $200,000.[27]
- October 4, 2018: President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Jason Lewis.
- October 3, 2018: A Siena College/New York Times poll showed Craig with 51 percent and Lewis with 39 percent. The margin of error was 5.0 percentage points.
- October 3, 2018: A WPAi poll commissioned by the National Republican Congressional Committee and the Lewis campaign found Lewis with 46 percent and Craig with 43 percent. The margin of error was 4.9 percentage points.
- October 2, 2018: Giffords PAC spent $680,000 on a television ad opposing Jason Lewis.
- October 1, 2018: Former President Barack Obama (D) endorsed Angie Craig.
- September 25, 2018: A SurveyUSA poll commissioned by KSTP-TV found Craig leading Lewis 48-45. The margin of error was 4.5 percentage points.
- September 20, 2018: A Public Policy Polling survey found Lewis leading Craig 48-45. The margin of error was 4.0 percentage points.
- September 12, 2018: The National Republican Congressional Committee spent $350,000 opposing Craig.[12]
- August 24, 2018: A WPA Intelligence poll commissioned by the Lewis campaign showed Lewis leading Craig 46 percent to 45 percent with 9 percent of voters undecided.
Campaign advertisements
Angie Craig
Support
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oppose
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jason Lewis
Support
|
|
|
Oppose
|
|
|
|
|
|
Noteworthy events
The Jason Lewis Show
Comments Lewis made in 2012 about women and race were discussed in several articles and condemned by Craig in July 2018. On his radio show, "The Jason Lewis Show," Lewis said, "Now, are we beyond those days where a woman can behave as a slut, but you can’t call her a slut?”[28] In another segment, Lewis said, "There's a cultural problem in the African-American community that is leading to [violence]. The entitlement mentality."[29]
Craig called the comments disappointing. "Our leaders are role models for our kids and must hold themselves to that standard," she said.[28]
The Lewis campaign released the following statement: “This has all been litigated before, and as Rep. Lewis has said time and time again, it was his job to be provocative while on the radio.”[30]
Craig later told Roll Call that she did not independently bring up Lewis' remarks. She said, “If people want to know, what do I disagree with Jason Lewis on, I’m focused on his votes for the American Health Care Act, I’m focused on the tax bill he voted for.”[31]
Campaign themes
Angie Craig
Craig's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
I’m running for Congress to build a Minnesota for all of us – where every member of every family is rewarded for their hard work with an outstanding education, the training or retraining for a good job, and a fair shot at a better life. I’ll never give up on the Minnesota and the America that we can create together. Growing our Economy and Creating Jobs for Today and the Future The economic recovery has not touched all families. For many, paychecks aren’t going up, while the cost of groceries, prescription drugs, education, and other household expenses continue to rise. We need leaders in Washington that will invest in and do more to create the right jobs, with better pay and make sure Americans have the tools to succeed in a 21st Century economy. I’m ready to do just that. Over the past decade, I have worked to create good-paying jobs in Minnesota, with responsibility for a workforce of 16,000 employees at a major Minnesota manufacturing company. It’s a mix of 21st century manufacturing and technical jobs, and small business entrepreneurship that we must continue to work to create in Minnesota. That means prioritizing investments in education and career skills, and reforming a system that too often benefits special interests, big corporations, and the wealthy. To help the economy grow and families prosper, we must focus on supporting small businesses and entrepreneurship, invest in America, and invest in Americans. Supporting small business growth and entrepreneurship Washington should be in the business of rewarding entrepreneurship by making it easier for people to start and grow small businesses. In fact, I’m now an investor in a St. Paul start-up company called Structural. Here’s what we can do from a policy point of view to help small businesses grow: Make it easier to access capital and loans Increase small businesses' access to technical resources and technology Simplify regulations and taxes for companies with 20 or fewer employees Increase tax deductions for start-up and healthcare costs All of these measures will make it easier for America’s innovators to start and grow their small businesses while continuing to grow our economy. Investing in America Congress must invest in infrastructure revitalization by rebuilding our roads, highways, and bridges and increasing access to high-speed Internet – especially in rural areas. Not only will this create good-paying construction jobs in the short-term, experience has shown that public infrastructure investment stimulates private sector jobs growth. In order to help stimulate private sector investment in infrastructure – like machinery, buildings, and factories – we must incentivize companies to bring their cash outside the United States back home. Billions of dollars in foreign earnings and capital are overseas – let’s make sure that money is invested in America. We've got a lot of work to do in this country to upgrade our infrastructure, and I'll be a strong advocate for funding these projects. When it comes to approving projects, such as Enbridge, I've got a heck of a lot more trust in scientists who have spent their career studying these projects than I do in an approval process based on partisan politics. Investing in Americans American workers need to have the right skills for the high-paying, high-growth technical jobs of the 21stcentury. We can make sure of this by investing in workforce development initiatives and encouraging public-private partnerships in higher education as well as making vocational education a priority again in our public schools. When schools work with local employers to link training and education to the needs of the regional economy, students and employers win. Our goal should to be for each student to receive the training necessary either through college, a technical degree, or apprenticeship program to be ready for a good-paying job. And we must be committed to continuous learning and job re-training as industries and technologies change. This requires a commitment to investing and encouraging partnerships between Minnesota companies and technical colleges. Higher education and job training is only part of the equation. We must encourage companies to invest in their workforce by closing tax loopholes that encourage them to move American jobs overseas, and replacing them with tax credits for companies that hire American. Let’s reward those employers who create jobs in America. Protecting America's Workers Creating a good paying job for every American is only half the solution. We need to make sure that everyone can join the workforce and feel secure in their job. I'll fight to protect the rights of every worker to organize and collectively bargain. My wife and I have four sons and I saw how hard my mother worked to raise children on her own. We need a national paid family leave and earned sick and safe time policy. A lack of paid family leave disproportionately impacts women that have to care for family members and those with employers that don't provide maternity leave. We also have a child care availability and affordability crisis looming in many areas of this country and need to consider all possible solutions to addressing it. We need to continue our investment in an all of the above regional transportation strategy to make sure workers can get to their workplaces quickly and efficiently so they're more productive and can spend more time with their families. Healthcare If healthcare is not affordable, it is not accessible. I know that firsthand. I grew up for a portion of my childhood without health insurance. I still remember the box of bills that sat on our kitchen table when my little sister had a medical issue. I also spent more than 20 years working in two healthcare manufacturing companies, and at one I oversaw our employer-sponsored health plans in many countries. We must work to repair our healthcare system, starting with immediate fixes to the Affordable Care Act (ACA), and work toward universal health coverage with a focus on prevention and reducing costs, especially for prescription drugs. Many families, particularly those who are self-employed as small business owners and family farmers, cannot afford the healthcare available in the individual marketplace, but Washington has done nothing to help. One way to address the lack of choice and competition in the insurance marketplace is to open up Medicare for a buy-in to compete with large insurance companies. Congress needs to work across the aisle immediately to stabilize healthcare costs for these families who have little choice in their regions. We can do all of this without giving up the good things that have come from the ACA. Current law has eliminated the penalty for pre-existing conditions, ended lifetime limits, allowed young adults to remain on their parent’s insurance, and given tens of millions of Americans access to healthcare who didn’t have it before. To stabilize the market place, it’s critical that we reauthorize and make permanent a federal reinsurance program that does not shortchange other current programs. We must provide a long-term outlook for cost reduction subsidies. We also must rein in out-of-control costs in the pharmaceutical industry. We can start by making pharma compete by negotiating with Medicare and ensure that generic drugs are important part of the healthcare mix. We must make medical pricing more transparent, incentivize preventative care, and move away from a fee-for-service healthcare system if we are serious about reducing the cost of healthcare. There are many specific policy ideas emerging to accomplish the goal of moving to universal healthcare and we should consider each as to whether it brings us closer to making sure every family has healthcare they can afford. It’s time to stop playing politics with people’s lives and work on a bipartisan basis. The Opioid Epidemic Our country is confronting one of the largest public health threats since the onset of the AIDS epidemic. The opioid epidemic now claims more lives every year than car accidents or gun violence – nationwide, over 33,000 people died from opioid or heroin overdoses in 2015 alone. The Second Congressional District is home to some exceptional local leaders in the fight against this epidemic. The Shakopee Police Department and the Scott County Board have rolled out programs that focus on rehabilitation and recovery rather than punishment and incarceration. Whether it’s a new drug court program, treatment center, lifesaving medication for first responders, or critical new research, all these efforts have something in common: they require resources and funding. That’s how our leaders in Washington can and should help. This epidemic has not escaped our own family. One of our sons is adopted and his birth mother died over a decade ago of an overdose. I have promised him and many other families in the district to fight like hell to address these issues. When I’m elected to Congress, I will work to expand the funding allocated in the Comprehensive Addiction and Recovery Act (CARA). This bipartisan bill allows the federal government to provide states with grants to fund a variety of programs aimed at curbing prescription opioid and heroin abuse. I also will support the Addiction Recovery for Rural Communities (ARRC) Act, a bill to help rural communities fight the opioid epidemic. I’ll also work to take on the issues directly that have helped enable this national emergency, such as prescribing patterns and the marketing of drugs in this nation. High-Quality Public Education, Career Training and Affordable College Education and career training are the keys to securing a strong economic future for families in Minnesota. And as the proud wife of a former teacher and mother of four sons – three in college or trade school and one at Rosemount High School – I understand the importance of a great education for all children. When I’m elected to Congress, I’ll prioritize funding for public education and ensure that our teachers have access to the resources they need to be successful. We must ensure that early childhood education is a priority, including high-quality child care and pre-K for kids from birth to age 5, to ensure our children start kindergarten ready to succeed. This is essential to our kids' futures and to the strengthening our state's economy. We must also stabilize funding for K-12 education and ensure that career training and vocational education is a priority again in this country. College is not right for every child, and students need to be supported to understand that there are other career options. It’s critical that we fully fund special education so that every child has the resources they need to learn and grow. One of our sons has learning challenges, and I’ve seen firsthand the heroes in our education system who help him be successful. I’ve also seen what not funding special education at the 40% level the federal government promised has on school district budgets. We must do better. We also must give our teachers the respect they deserve by protecting their right to organize and collectively bargain, and giving tax credits to those who spend their own money on classroom supplies. Giving Teachers A Raise Part of giving teachers the tools they need to succeed is making sure that teachers are paid fairly. We owe it to all of our children to make sure that we’re attracting the best and the brightest to education today to help build and shape the best and the brightest of tomorrow. When we raise teacher pay, we can recruit, and keep, the best possible teachers for our children. It’s not enough, though, to just tell cash-strapped schools and districts that they need to pay their teachers more. We need to make sure that they have the resources to do so. When I go to Congress, I’ll work to end the carried interest loophole, a tax policy that allows hedge fund and private equity managers to misrepresent earned income as capital gains, letting them pay a lower tax rate. We can send that nearly $16 billion back to the states to help them raise wages for all of our teachers. Cost of college and career training One of the biggest issues facing families is the nearly prohibitive cost of higher education. 70% of Minnesota’s college graduates have taken on some form of debt in order to complete their education, with the average price tag amounting to $31,579. That kind of debt causes our young people to delay major milestones, like buying a home or starting a family. Not only is it bad for our graduates – it’s bad for the economy. In order to stay globally competitive, we must make higher education affordable and re-emphasize the range of career options available to young people, from colleges to technical degrees to apprenticeships. As a member of Congress, I would support legislation to make the first two years of post-secondary education free – whether it is technical education, earning an associate’s degree, or the first two-years of a bachelor’s degree. That’s how we build the workforce of the future and attract the industries of the future. Caring for Our Veterans We owe so much to the brave men and women who volunteer to serve our country in the armed forces. As a leader at a major Minnesota company, I set strategy for a program that put veterans to work in our company, and across the medical technology industry. Our nation needs to do all we can to encourage private industry to recruit, hire, mentor, and train veterans. Many veterans face serious health problems related to their service. My family has not escaped this burden. My uncle died of cancer in his early 50s following his service in Vietnam – believed to be due to Agent Orange exposure. Younger veterans face similar heath challenges related to their work near toxic “burn pits.” When our soldiers return home, they deserve access to the best healthcare, treatment, and compensation that our nation can provide for their physical and mental health needs. But that isn’t what they're getting right now. An audit of the VA found that more than 120,000 veterans waited at least 90 days for healthcare appointments or never received appointments at all. More than 82,000 veterans were still waiting for the VA to evaluate their claims for service-connected disability compensation more than 125 days after filing. The VA in Minneapolis provides important services to those who have served our nation, but we need to upgrade the entire system to improve the care our veterans receive and especially alleviate the long wait times for evaluation of benefits and services. We must be there for our veterans for life. They've been there for us. Protecting the Environment & Slowing the Pace of Climate Change There’s no denying it – climate change is happening and we have to address it now. In Minnesota, we’ve already seen milder winters, heat waves, droughts, and floods. Climate change is a threat to our environment and the health and safety of all Americans. But it also presents us with a great opportunity to create economic growth through smart public policies. We must continue to encourage growth in the renewable energy sector, and become a world leader in innovation. America led the world in creating and adapting new technologies in the 20th century - let’s make sure we continue that trend by leading the global green economy. Our approach to addressing climate change doesn’t need to be onerous. We can lower our carbon emissions, build an energy infrastructure that relies less on fossil fuels, and attract and advance the industries of the future by looking for innovative solutions on climate change. If we invest in emerging energy industries we can create good jobs and get back on track as a global leader in our new energy economy. I look forward to working on a bipartisan basis to pass common sense initiatives, like instituting a carbon fee and dividend program to reduce our nation’s reliance on fossil fuels through market-based solutions. National Security We need a smart and tough foreign policy agenda that protects the United States and at the same time preserves the shared American values of privacy, liberty, and diversity. We should equip our military personnel with the 21st century tools they need to defend our nation as well as eliminate terrorist threats as efficiently and safely as possible. We must support the use of innovative technologies, update and improve our cybersecurity infrastructure, and ensure that our military and intelligence officials have access to every tool they need to protect our nation. We also must return to a diplomacy first mindset and work to restore the strong relationships with our allies. We’re at our safest and strongest when we’re leading a coalition of countries committed to peace and freedom. Immigration and Border Security Washington’s failure to pass bipartisan immigration reform is slowing our economy and weakening our nation. I support bipartisan immigration reform that invests in smart border security, provides a path to citizenship for DREAMERS and law-abiding immigrants, and keeps families together. As long as our immigration system is broken, people will continue to work around it. It’s clear that too many members of Congress are more interested in scoring points with their base than doing the sensible and common sense thing for our economy and our country. Industries such as agriculture and technology are starved for workers, and we must support smart immigration policies that help. It's critical that Congress takes action to pass an immediate fix to Deferred Action Childhood Arrivals Program (DACA). These are hardworking Minnesotans who serve in our military, graduate from our schools and contribute to our economy. In addition, the development of a path to citizenship for law-abiding immigrants would allow everyone to contribute and pay taxes, as well as pay into Medicare and Social Security. We should immediately reunite any families who remain separated at the border without requiring children to remain in federal detention. Also, the U.S. should rejoin the international community and comply with international law by again allowing properly filed asylum claims to proceed in a timely and orderly fashion. I support investing in smart border security. That includes technology such as drones, sonar and radar. I do not believe the answer to fixing our immigration system is abolishing ICE. They play an important role in stopping drugs and human trafficking. Let me also be clear that all people who commit crimes, regardless of their immigration status, should go to jail. No one wants criminals to go free, no matter what kind of outlandish attacks get lobbed at me. Many of us are descended from immigrants, and we need immigrants for continued economic growth. The history of and promise of this country is that it will always be open to those who seek a better life, and are willing to work hard and help America grow in the process. In Congress, I will support policies that will continue to make this a reality. Protecting Minnesota’s Seniors When Medicare and Social Security were enacted, they lifted a generation of seniors out of poverty. Since then they’ve been a promise we’ve kept to each succeeding generation, allowing Americans to retire with dignity. That’s why I oppose any changes that would cut, privatize, or jeopardize these programs. We should look for ways to strengthen both programs, instead of using the retirement of millions of Americans as a political football. This includes allowing Medicare to negotiate for the best prices on prescription drugs, eliminating waste, fraud, and abuse of both programs, and shoring up their funding – even if it requires asking millionaires and billionaires to pay their fair share. In addition, we must also do more to prevent elder abuse. Altogether, the Minnesota Department of Human Services receives nearly 1,000 reports of elder abuse every week. Too often, those closest to vulnerable adults are the ones taking advantage of them, causing victims to hesitate before taking action. As leaders, we must do what we can to empower social workers, caretakers, and seniors themselves to identify, prevent, report, and end this abuse. Finally, we must combat the skyrocketing cost of prescription drugs. In order to start to combat the high cost of prescription drugs, we must allow Medicare to negotiate with pharmaceutical companies just as we already do in the VA. In addition, we must work to end anti-competitive “pay-for-delay” deals, and allow individuals to reimport individual supplies of medication from approved pharmacies in Canada. Fighting for Our Agricultural Economy and Greater Minnesota I grew up in rural America for much of my childhood. My grandfather farmed beans - until the 1980s farm crisis forced him out. My 91-year-old grandmother still lives near that same land where he spent so much of his life, and she tills and plants her own garden each year. I know how unique each community in Greater Minnesota is and how important farming is to the Greater Minnesota economy. We are the fifth largest agricultural state in the country, and Minnesota’s 75,000 farms contribute $19 billion to our economy each year. Agriculture is a critical component of and opportunity for economic growth in Minnesota’s second congressional district. To keep that agricultural economy growing, we must help farmers export their products to new markets such as Cuba. Agricultural exports totaled over $8 billion in 2012 and continue to grow. As a member of Congress, I will work across party lines to pass a new farm bill that ensures a stable and strong crop insurance program as a safety net for our farmers, and at the same time provides adequate funding for SNAP and other nutrition programs that help bridge gaps for families in Minnesota. If we make sure that fresh food is covered under SNAP that is a win-win. Farmers can sell more to people here at home and SNAP recipients have healthier food. I also understand that healthcare affordability and access to quality medical care in Greater Minnesota are serious issues for Minnesota farmers and have specific solutions to address these concerns. We should prioritize infrastructure investments in the United States, particularly ensuring that Greater Minnesota has access to high-speed Internet to help communities meet their needs. It is not fair that our rural communities cannot build small businesses and utilize educational resources from the Internet in the same way that suburban communities can. We also must address rail issues to ensure producers have reliable access to markets. Minnesota has taken a leading role in producing homegrown energy, providing clean, renewable energy, and reducing our reliance on foreign oil. I will fight to maintain a strong Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) and lead the effort to make Minnesota a leader in homegrown energy. Money in Politics I am committed to pass laws to end Citizens United and get big money out of politics. Corporations and special interests are not people and their oversized influence on the way our government works needs to end now. Total transparency starts with requiring everyone who spends money in a campaign to say where that money came from. Toward that end, I have proposed an entire package of reforms. Empowering Strong Women and Strong Families As a working mom who is raising four amazing young men, I understand that strengthening opportunities for women creates stronger families. I grew up surrounded by two strong women – my mother and my grandmother. My mom raised the three of us with the help of my grandmother. My grandmother lived a few homes down, and was on her feet for eight hours a day at a nearby shoe factory into her 70’s. Mom completed her college degree after almost 10 years and is still a teacher today. As a leader at a Minnesota company, I started a Women In Business program to support and mentor women in their career choices and help them achieve that next level of success. Women have made great strides, but we still face challenges. Our work is not done until women have equal opportunity and an equal voice in this country. Women should receive equal pay for doing the same job, and today, that is sadly not the case. Passing the Paycheck Fairness Act would be a great step in the right direction. We also must make sure that young women are being exposed to and encouraged to pursue careers in STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Math) fields, which currently count only 23% women among their workforce. I support full reproductive rights for women and access to contraception and family planning services. No one should ever come between a woman and her doctor when making these decisions. The dangerous proposals that seek to eliminate contraceptive and family planning services coverage from the ACA guarantee must be stopped, and I will stand against them. I support Planned Parenthood and will continue to fight to protect their funding so that all women – especially those in rural areas – have access to the healthcare services they need. Gun Violence Prevention Support for the Second Amendment goes hand-in-hand with doing everything we can to keep guns away from criminals and other dangerous people. Every day, 93 Americans are killed by gun violence and there is no reason we can’t work to address this issue while protecting our Second Amendment rights. That’s why I support commonsense measures to address gun violence. First, I believe we should fund Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) research into gun violence. We need the facts in order to decide how to improve gun safety. Second, I support universal background checks for every gun purchase, including those sold online and through private sales. The facts are compelling: In states where background checks are law there are 52 percent fewer mass shootings, 48 percent fewer law enforcement officials are shot to death, and 48 percent fewer people commit suicide by firearm. We should not allow criminals or domestic abusers to have such easy access to a firearm. Third, we need to stop suspected terrorists on the no-fly list from purchasing firearms and reinstate a rule recently repealed by Congress that stopped some people with mental illnesses from purchasing guns. Finally, I believe we should immediately ban the sale of military style, semi-automatic weapons, and make high-capacity clips, “bump stocks,” and other attachments that enable semi-automatic rifles to fire faster illegal. These measures by themselves won’t eliminate gun violence in this country. But if they reduce the incidence of gun violence and help law enforcement stay safer, they’re worth fighting for. |
” |
—Angie Craig's campaign website (2018)[33] |
Jason Lewis
Lewis' campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Promises Made, Promises Kept During his first term in Congress, Lewis has been a strong, independent voice and worked with his colleagues on both side of the aisle on major reforms to better the future of Minnesota and the country. Focusing on our economy Putting Minnesota First Fixing our Justice System Defending our Rights and Liberties Protecting our Tax Dollars |
” |
—Jason Lewis' campaign website (2018)[34] |
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by Jason Lewis Tweets by Angie Craig
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Nineteen of 87 Minnesota counties—21.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Beltrami County, Minnesota | 9.72% | 9.89% | 10.15% | ||||
Blue Earth County, Minnesota | 3.69% | 9.48% | 12.95% | ||||
Chippewa County, Minnesota | 28.70% | 1.87% | 5.87% | ||||
Clay County, Minnesota | 1.95% | 7.92% | 16.02% | ||||
Fillmore County, Minnesota | 21.70% | 7.34% | 8.26% | ||||
Freeborn County, Minnesota | 17.24% | 14.11% | 17.13% | ||||
Houston County, Minnesota | 13.87% | 3.16% | 10.69% | ||||
Itasca County, Minnesota | 16.35% | 9.83% | 12.92% | ||||
Kittson County, Minnesota | 22.05% | 6.03% | 18.54% | ||||
Koochiching County, Minnesota | 19.85% | 9.45% | 10.10% | ||||
Lac qui Parle County, Minnesota | 25.60% | 0.90% | 5.92% | ||||
Mahnomen County, Minnesota | 2.92% | 18.56% | 25.31% | ||||
Mower County, Minnesota | 7.82% | 22.61% | 23.61% | ||||
Nicollet County, Minnesota | 3.04% | 7.83% | 10.52% | ||||
Norman County, Minnesota | 13.34% | 10.79% | 26.94% | ||||
Rice County, Minnesota | 3.06% | 8.27% | 11.50% | ||||
Swift County, Minnesota | 25.57% | 9.83% | 13.79% | ||||
Traverse County, Minnesota | 23.30% | 4.44% | 5.41% | ||||
Winona County, Minnesota | 2.90% | 12.85% | 19.09% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Minnesota with 46.4 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1860 and 2016, Minnesota voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 47.5 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Minnesota voted Democratic all five times.[35]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Minnesota. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[36][37]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 68 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 27.6 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 62 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 30.4 points. Clinton won 12 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 66 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 12.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 72 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 23.8 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1A | 43.15% | 54.54% | R+11.4 | 27.87% | 64.99% | R+37.1 | R |
1B | 46.10% | 51.92% | R+5.8 | 31.45% | 61.37% | R+29.9 | R |
2A | 48.08% | 50.09% | R+2 | 33.59% | 60.04% | R+26.4 | R |
2B | 42.17% | 56.05% | R+13.9 | 29.64% | 64.36% | R+34.7 | R |
3A | 55.31% | 42.36% | D+13 | 43.14% | 49.65% | R+6.5 | D |
3B | 60.19% | 38.11% | D+22.1 | 50.13% | 42.59% | D+7.5 | D |
4A | 55.32% | 42.31% | D+13 | 48.97% | 41.71% | D+7.3 | D |
4B | 46.65% | 51.41% | R+4.8 | 35.41% | 57.18% | R+21.8 | D |
5A | 52.05% | 45.83% | D+6.2 | 39.67% | 51.97% | R+12.3 | R |
5B | 49.48% | 48.58% | D+0.9 | 35.93% | 57.00% | R+21.1 | R |
6A | 63.20% | 34.57% | D+28.6 | 44.68% | 47.85% | R+3.2 | D |
6B | 61.82% | 35.90% | D+25.9 | 45.05% | 47.77% | R+2.7 | D |
7A | 67.15% | 30.27% | D+36.9 | 62.12% | 28.28% | D+33.8 | D |
7B | 69.99% | 27.63% | D+42.4 | 59.01% | 32.66% | D+26.3 | D |
8A | 39.32% | 59.07% | R+19.8 | 31.05% | 62.92% | R+31.9 | R |
8B | 40.24% | 57.98% | R+17.7 | 27.72% | 65.66% | R+37.9 | R |
9A | 37.61% | 60.36% | R+22.7 | 23.48% | 70.76% | R+47.3 | R |
9B | 37.60% | 60.41% | R+22.8 | 21.44% | 73.05% | R+51.6 | R |
10A | 42.68% | 55.47% | R+12.8 | 31.71% | 61.41% | R+29.7 | R |
10B | 44.58% | 53.66% | R+9.1 | 31.38% | 62.81% | R+31.4 | R |
11A | 62.19% | 35.79% | D+26.4 | 46.93% | 45.13% | D+1.8 | D |
11B | 46.72% | 50.92% | R+4.2 | 31.58% | 61.39% | R+29.8 | R |
12A | 46.30% | 51.70% | R+5.4 | 32.87% | 59.48% | R+26.6 | R |
12B | 36.32% | 61.98% | R+25.7 | 23.78% | 70.60% | R+46.8 | R |
13A | 41.20% | 57.04% | R+15.8 | 29.40% | 63.98% | R+34.6 | R |
13B | 40.74% | 57.46% | R+16.7 | 29.76% | 63.36% | R+33.6 | R |
14A | 47.70% | 50.25% | R+2.6 | 40.14% | 51.73% | R+11.6 | R |
14B | 53.28% | 43.56% | D+9.7 | 43.47% | 46.88% | R+3.4 | R |
15A | 42.24% | 55.67% | R+13.4 | 26.60% | 66.72% | R+40.1 | R |
15B | 34.92% | 62.92% | R+28 | 21.90% | 71.37% | R+49.5 | R |
16A | 45.53% | 52.33% | R+6.8 | 31.31% | 60.77% | R+29.5 | R |
16B | 40.08% | 57.64% | R+17.6 | 26.83% | 64.99% | R+38.2 | R |
17A | 47.24% | 50.94% | R+3.7 | 29.82% | 63.25% | R+33.4 | R |
17B | 47.10% | 51.19% | R+4.1 | 34.89% | 57.60% | R+22.7 | R |
18A | 39.80% | 57.83% | R+18 | 26.88% | 65.04% | R+38.2 | R |
18B | 37.06% | 60.70% | R+23.6 | 25.23% | 67.02% | R+41.8 | R |
19A | 52.51% | 45.09% | D+7.4 | 43.51% | 47.62% | R+4.1 | D |
19B | 57.05% | 39.91% | D+17.1 | 48.70% | 40.94% | D+7.8 | D |
20A | 40.38% | 57.73% | R+17.4 | 30.47% | 62.58% | R+32.1 | R |
20B | 53.95% | 43.71% | D+10.2 | 47.02% | 45.86% | D+1.2 | D |
21A | 51.06% | 46.99% | D+4.1 | 40.39% | 51.63% | R+11.2 | R |
21B | 44.07% | 53.85% | R+9.8 | 30.94% | 61.07% | R+30.1 | R |
22A | 41.53% | 56.48% | R+14.9 | 26.80% | 66.15% | R+39.4 | R |
22B | 44.04% | 54.37% | R+10.3 | 30.63% | 63.03% | R+32.4 | R |
23A | 39.08% | 58.83% | R+19.8 | 26.82% | 66.32% | R+39.5 | R |
23B | 47.30% | 50.57% | R+3.3 | 32.70% | 59.47% | R+26.8 | R |
24A | 45.64% | 52.20% | R+6.6 | 33.70% | 57.84% | R+24.1 | R |
24B | 47.07% | 50.66% | R+3.6 | 33.44% | 58.77% | R+25.3 | R |
25A | 45.24% | 52.32% | R+7.1 | 37.03% | 52.94% | R+15.9 | R |
25B | 53.14% | 44.51% | D+8.6 | 50.23% | 40.22% | D+10 | D |
26A | 57.64% | 39.78% | D+17.9 | 54.11% | 36.72% | D+17.4 | D |
26B | 44.47% | 53.59% | R+9.1 | 38.48% | 53.17% | R+14.7 | R |
27A | 55.57% | 42.31% | D+13.3 | 37.42% | 55.76% | R+18.3 | R |
27B | 59.95% | 37.84% | D+22.1 | 41.96% | 50.58% | R+8.6 | D |
28A | 56.63% | 40.82% | D+15.8 | 46.44% | 44.13% | D+2.3 | D |
28B | 51.67% | 46.36% | D+5.3 | 37.30% | 55.31% | R+18 | R |
29A | 37.73% | 60.22% | R+22.5 | 28.82% | 63.10% | R+34.3 | R |
29B | 40.42% | 57.50% | R+17.1 | 30.71% | 61.38% | R+30.7 | R |
30A | 39.60% | 58.57% | R+19 | 30.48% | 61.61% | R+31.1 | R |
30B | 36.49% | 61.79% | R+25.3 | 29.58% | 62.31% | R+32.7 | R |
31A | 35.58% | 62.46% | R+26.9 | 23.94% | 69.10% | R+45.2 | R |
31B | 38.58% | 59.53% | R+20.9 | 29.00% | 63.74% | R+34.7 | R |
32A | 41.06% | 56.85% | R+15.8 | 28.13% | 64.23% | R+36.1 | R |
32B | 42.98% | 55.07% | R+12.1 | 31.50% | 60.69% | R+29.2 | R |
33A | 36.20% | 62.39% | R+26.2 | 37.84% | 54.78% | R+16.9 | R |
33B | 43.71% | 54.67% | R+11 | 46.18% | 45.68% | D+0.5 | R |
34A | 40.35% | 58.12% | R+17.8 | 40.80% | 51.26% | R+10.5 | R |
34B | 46.78% | 51.60% | R+4.8 | 47.91% | 43.62% | D+4.3 | R |
35A | 45.40% | 52.32% | R+6.9 | 37.77% | 53.46% | R+15.7 | R |
35B | 41.04% | 57.50% | R+16.5 | 36.48% | 55.65% | R+19.2 | R |
36A | 48.54% | 49.44% | R+0.9 | 44.09% | 47.07% | R+3 | R |
36B | 53.38% | 45.11% | D+8.3 | 52.16% | 40.08% | D+12.1 | D |
37A | 53.32% | 44.53% | D+8.8 | 45.38% | 46.05% | R+0.7 | D |
37B | 48.64% | 49.49% | R+0.9 | 43.74% | 48.04% | R+4.3 | R |
38A | 44.17% | 53.89% | R+9.7 | 40.36% | 51.11% | R+10.7 | R |
38B | 46.39% | 51.99% | R+5.6 | 45.39% | 46.56% | R+1.2 | R |
39A | 45.12% | 53.25% | R+8.1 | 40.85% | 51.57% | R+10.7 | R |
39B | 47.78% | 50.62% | R+2.8 | 45.97% | 46.25% | R+0.3 | R |
40A | 69.71% | 28.69% | D+41 | 67.81% | 26.13% | D+41.7 | D |
40B | 68.60% | 29.42% | D+39.2 | 65.29% | 27.68% | D+37.6 | D |
41A | 59.61% | 38.36% | D+21.2 | 55.79% | 35.28% | D+20.5 | D |
41B | 62.30% | 35.32% | D+27 | 62.11% | 29.12% | D+33 | D |
42A | 51.48% | 46.50% | D+5 | 52.61% | 38.39% | D+14.2 | R |
42B | 56.76% | 41.28% | D+15.5 | 56.05% | 35.37% | D+20.7 | D |
43A | 56.52% | 41.92% | D+14.6 | 54.01% | 38.15% | D+15.9 | D |
43B | 57.50% | 40.33% | D+17.2 | 52.35% | 39.35% | D+13 | D |
44A | 47.99% | 50.66% | R+2.7 | 53.47% | 38.83% | D+14.6 | R |
44B | 54.39% | 44.30% | D+10.1 | 57.27% | 35.36% | D+21.9 | D |
45A | 59.17% | 38.72% | D+20.5 | 58.13% | 33.53% | D+24.6 | D |
45B | 63.39% | 34.34% | D+29.1 | 64.02% | 27.43% | D+36.6 | D |
46A | 64.31% | 33.66% | D+30.7 | 66.50% | 25.81% | D+40.7 | D |
46B | 65.79% | 32.01% | D+33.8 | 68.45% | 23.31% | D+45.1 | D |
47A | 35.32% | 63.07% | R+27.7 | 31.29% | 60.91% | R+29.6 | R |
47B | 42.17% | 56.19% | R+14 | 44.19% | 47.17% | R+3 | R |
48A | 52.14% | 46.19% | D+5.9 | 55.55% | 36.50% | D+19.1 | D |
48B | 46.72% | 51.70% | R+5 | 53.09% | 39.54% | D+13.6 | R |
49A | 52.29% | 46.68% | D+5.6 | 60.37% | 32.60% | D+27.8 | R |
49B | 52.45% | 46.18% | D+6.3 | 56.50% | 36.35% | D+20.2 | D |
50A | 63.81% | 33.98% | D+29.8 | 61.93% | 29.97% | D+32 | D |
50B | 56.96% | 40.99% | D+16 | 55.51% | 36.29% | D+19.2 | D |
51A | 55.56% | 42.44% | D+13.1 | 54.45% | 37.27% | D+17.2 | D |
51B | 51.44% | 46.79% | D+4.7 | 54.17% | 37.06% | D+17.1 | D |
52A | 58.72% | 39.32% | D+19.4 | 56.76% | 34.99% | D+21.8 | D |
52B | 52.90% | 45.36% | D+7.5 | 49.95% | 42.08% | D+7.9 | R |
53A | 56.63% | 41.59% | D+15 | 54.59% | 37.63% | D+17 | D |
53B | 46.78% | 51.95% | R+5.2 | 50.81% | 42.01% | D+8.8 | R |
54A | 55.87% | 41.75% | D+14.1 | 46.83% | 43.55% | D+3.3 | R |
54B | 49.32% | 48.74% | D+0.6 | 42.76% | 48.63% | R+5.9 | R |
55A | 46.18% | 51.67% | R+5.5 | 43.39% | 47.89% | R+4.5 | R |
55B | 38.11% | 60.15% | R+22 | 34.43% | 57.98% | R+23.5 | R |
56A | 47.26% | 50.85% | R+3.6 | 47.12% | 44.13% | D+3 | R |
56B | 49.26% | 48.97% | D+0.3 | 48.62% | 43.89% | D+4.7 | R |
57A | 50.85% | 47.34% | D+3.5 | 49.06% | 42.78% | D+6.3 | D |
57B | 48.75% | 49.64% | R+0.9 | 48.21% | 43.72% | D+4.5 | R |
58A | 42.24% | 56.02% | R+13.8 | 40.36% | 51.99% | R+11.6 | R |
58B | 42.46% | 55.75% | R+13.3 | 34.86% | 57.04% | R+22.2 | R |
59A | 84.23% | 13.96% | D+70.3 | 78.85% | 13.74% | D+65.1 | D |
59B | 80.65% | 17.23% | D+63.4 | 79.46% | 13.04% | D+66.4 | D |
60A | 77.47% | 18.61% | D+58.9 | 76.38% | 14.48% | D+61.9 | D |
60B | 76.39% | 19.31% | D+57.1 | 79.57% | 11.88% | D+67.7 | D |
61A | 78.23% | 19.40% | D+58.8 | 81.47% | 12.06% | D+69.4 | D |
61B | 78.20% | 19.94% | D+58.3 | 81.29% | 12.45% | D+68.8 | D |
62A | 86.72% | 9.26% | D+77.5 | 84.08% | 7.57% | D+76.5 | D |
62B | 86.87% | 10.09% | D+76.8 | 85.70% | 6.89% | D+78.8 | D |
63A | 82.84% | 14.33% | D+68.5 | 81.97% | 10.62% | D+71.4 | D |
63B | 73.83% | 23.99% | D+49.8 | 73.80% | 18.58% | D+55.2 | D |
64A | 76.89% | 20.30% | D+56.6 | 78.82% | 13.58% | D+65.2 | D |
64B | 70.63% | 27.37% | D+43.3 | 74.41% | 18.39% | D+56 | D |
65A | 83.74% | 13.76% | D+70 | 80.78% | 12.13% | D+68.6 | D |
65B | 77.60% | 19.70% | D+57.9 | 74.28% | 17.59% | D+56.7 | D |
66A | 65.92% | 31.91% | D+34 | 67.89% | 23.85% | D+44 | D |
66B | 78.86% | 18.90% | D+60 | 76.62% | 15.90% | D+60.7 | D |
67A | 76.07% | 21.79% | D+54.3 | 70.99% | 21.62% | D+49.4 | D |
67B | 74.76% | 23.00% | D+51.8 | 70.67% | 22.02% | D+48.6 | D |
Total | 52.84% | 45.12% | D+7.7 | 46.88% | 45.34% | D+1.5 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
2016
Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Republican incumbent John Kline, who began serving in Congress in 2002, chose not to run for re-election in 2016, leaving the seat open. Jason Lewis (R) defeated Angie Craig (D) and Paula Overby (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Craig faced no primary opponent, while Lewis defeated Matthew Erickson, John Howe, and Darlene Miller in the Republican primary on August 9, 2016.[38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
47% | 173,970 | |
Democratic | Angie Craig | 45.2% | 167,315 | |
Independent | Paula Overby | 7.8% | 28,869 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 360 | |
Total Votes | 370,514 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
48.9% | 11,641 | ||
Darlene Miller | 30.7% | 7,305 | ||
John Howe | 13.6% | 3,244 | ||
Matthew Erickson | 6.8% | 1,612 | ||
Total Votes | 23,802 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
56% | 137,778 | |
Democratic | Mike Obermueller | 38.9% | 95,565 | |
Independence | Paula Overby | 5% | 12,319 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 186 | |
Total Votes | 245,848 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Minnesota heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Minnesota.
- Democrats held 5 of 8 U.S. House seats in Minnesota.
State executives
- The governor of Minnesota was Democrat Mark Dayton. The state held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans had a 77-56 majority in the state House. The state Senate was tied, with 33 Republicans and 33 Democrats.
Trifecta status
- Minnesota was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Mark Dayton (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Minnesota elections, 2018
Minnesota held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- Two U.S. Senate seats (one regular election and one special election)
- 8 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Five lower state executive positions
- 134 state House seats
- One state Senate seat
- Municipal elections in St. Paul, Hennepin County, and Ramsey County
Demographics
Demographic data for Minnesota | ||
---|---|---|
Minnesota | U.S. | |
Total population: | 5,482,435 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 79,627 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 84.8% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 5.5% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 4.4% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 1% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.7% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 5% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 92.4% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 33.7% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $61,492 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 12.2% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Minnesota. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Minnesota's three largest cities were Minneapolis (pop. est. 422,000), St. Paul (pop. est. 307,000), and Rochester (pop. est. 116,000).[47]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Minnesota Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Minnesota every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
46.4% | ![]() |
44.9% | 1.5% |
2012 | ![]() |
52.7% | ![]() |
45.0% | 7.7% |
2008 | ![]() |
54.1% | ![]() |
43.8% | 10.3% |
2004 | ![]() |
51.1% | ![]() |
47.6% | 3.5% |
2000 | ![]() |
47.9% | ![]() |
45.5% | 2.4% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
53.2% | ![]() |
42.9% | 10.3% |
2012 | ![]() |
65.2% | ![]() |
30.5% | 34.7% |
2008 | ![]() |
41.99% | ![]() |
41.98% | 0.01% |
2006 | ![]() |
58.1% | ![]() |
37.9% | 20.2% |
2002 | ![]() |
49.5% | ![]() |
47.3% | 2.2% |
2000 | ![]() |
48.8% | ![]() |
43.3% | 5.5% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Minnesota.
Election results (Governor), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
50.1% | ![]() |
44.5% | 5.6% |
2010 | ![]() |
43.6% | ![]() |
43.2% | 0.4% |
2006 | ![]() |
46.7% | ![]() |
45.7% | 1.0% |
2002 | ![]() |
44.4% | ![]() |
36.5% | 7.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Minnesota in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Minnesota Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | I | I | I | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 19, 2017
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Jason Lewis 2016, "About," accessed November 15, 2015 Cite error: Invalid
<ref>
tag; name "campaign" defined multiple times with different content - ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 YouTube, "Jason Lewis," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ Jason Lewis for Congress, "Executive or 'Mere Employee,'" September 13, 2018
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 YouTube, "Angie Craig for Congress," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 Angie Craig for Congress, "Meet Angie Craig," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ Politico, "The Democrats’ closing Senate message," October 23, 2018
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 12.2 ProPublica, "MN-2 outside spending," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Donald J. Trump," October 4, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Barack Obama on October 1, 2018"
- ↑ 21.0 21.1 Washington Free Beacon, "Two Unions Endorse Minnesota Republican," October 27, 2018
- ↑ 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.3 22.4 22.5 [https://www.angiecraig.com/endorsements/ Angie Craig for Congress, "Endorsements, accessed January 31, 2018.
- ↑ Roll Call, "New Democrats' PAC endorses first 16 candidates for 2018," March 9, 2018
- ↑ MPR News, "Some DFLers say Washington Democrats are 'bigfooting' Minn. congressional races," March 26, 2018
- ↑ Twin Cities Pioneer Press, "Craig gets rematch against Lewis in 2nd Congressional District," April 14, 2018
- ↑ The Intercept, "Candidates Who Signed Up to Battle Donald Trump Must Get Past the Democratic Party First," January 23, 2018
- ↑ ProPublica, "Receipts by Angie Craig For Congress for Filing 1279222," accessed October 25, 2018
- ↑ 28.0 28.1 Twin Cities Pioneer Press, "With ‘slut’ comments, Rep. Jason Lewis’s radio career flares up again," July 19, 2018
- ↑ CNN, "GOP congressman said blacks have 'entitlement mentality' and view themselves as victims," July 21, 2018
- ↑ Star Tribune, "U.S. Rep. Jason Lewis made disparaging comments about women on radio show," July 19, 2018
- ↑ Roll Call, "Minnesota Democrats Steer Clear of Republicans’ Controversial Comments About Women," October 3, 2018
- ↑ 32.0 32.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Angie Craig for Congress, “Issues,” accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ Jason Lewis for Congress, “Accomplishments,” accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Minnesota," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Minnesota Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings," accessed June 1, 2016
- ↑ Capitol View, "Gerson grabs CD2 spotlight as others weigh options," September 4, 2015
- ↑ Pioneer Press, "Howe runs for Second District as ‘conservative’ but ‘electable,’" September 22, 2015
- ↑ TwinCities.com, "Former lawmaker, LG candidate Pam Myhra enters Second District race," October 7, 2015
- ↑ Pioneer Press, "'Mr. Right' Jason Lewis is running for the Second District," October 12, 2015
- ↑ Star Tribune, "Darlene Miller announces run for Congress in Second District," January 7, 2016
- ↑ TwinCities.com, "Another Democrat files for 2nd Congressional District," March 24, 2015
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "MN-02 Mary Lawrence (D) press release on dropping out of race (Jan. 2016)," January 5, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Minnesota House Primaries Results," August 9, 2016
- ↑ Minnesota Demographics, "Minnesota Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018