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United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16
- Early voting: Sept. 22 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
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June 5, 2018 |
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The 2018 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2018. Voters elected 12 candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's 12 congressional districts.
Partisan breakdown
Heading into the November 6 election, the Democratic Party held seven of the 12 congressional seats from New Jersey.
| Members of the U.S. House from New Jersey -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2018 | After the 2018 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 7 | 11 | |
| Republican Party | 5 | 1 | |
| Total | 12 | 12 | |
Incumbents
Heading into the 2018 election, the incumbents for the 12 congressional districts were:
2016 Pivot Counties
New Jersey features two congressional districts that, based on boundaries adopted after the 2010 census, intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.
The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. Heading into the 2018 elections, the partisan makeup of the 108 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House. Of the 108 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 63 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[1]
Candidates
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District 1
General election
General election candidates
- Donald Norcross (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Paul Dilks (Republican Party)
- Robert Shapiro (Libertarian Party)
- Paul Hamlin (We Deserve Better Party)
- Mohammad Kabir (Your Voice Hard Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Donald Norcross (Incumbent) ✔
- Robert Carlson
- Scot John Tomaszewski
Republican primary candidates
District 2
General election
General election candidates
- Jeff Van Drew (Democratic Party) ✔
- Seth Grossman (Republican Party)
- Anthony Parisi Sanchez (Cannot Be Bought Party)
- John Ordille (Libertarian Party)
- Steven Fenichel (Time for Truth Party)
- William Benfer (Together We Can Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 3
General election
General election candidates
- Tom MacArthur (Incumbent) (Republican Party)
- Andrew Kim (Democratic Party) ✔
- Lawrence Berlinski Jr. (Constitution Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Tom MacArthur (Incumbent) ✔
Constitution Party
District 4
General election
General election candidates
- Chris Smith (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Josh Welle (Democratic Party)
- Brian Reynolds (Check This Column Party)
- Edward Stackhouse Jr. (Ed the Barber Party)
- Michael Rufo (Libertarian Party)
- Felicia Stoler (The Inclusion Candidate Party)
- Allen Yusufov (Time for Change Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Chris Smith (Incumbent) ✔
The Inclusion Candidate ®
District 5
General election
General election candidates
- Josh Gottheimer (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- John McCann (Republican Party)
- James Tosone (Libertarian Party)
- Wendy Goetz (Trade, Health, Environment Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Josh Gottheimer (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
District 6
General election
General election candidates
- Frank Pallone Jr. (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Rich Pezzullo (Republican Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Frank Pallone Jr. (Incumbent) ✔
- Javahn Walker
Republican primary candidates
District 7
General election
General election candidates
- Leonard Lance (Incumbent) (Republican Party)
- Tom Malinowski (Democratic Party) ✔
- Gregg Mele (Freedom, Responsibility, Action Party)
- Diane Moxley (Green Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Leonard Lance (Incumbent) ✔
- Raafat Barsoom
- Lindsay Brown
District 8
General election
General election candidates
- Albio Sires (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- John Muniz (Republican Party)
- Dan Delaney (Libertarian Party)
- Mahmoud Mahmoud (New Way Forward Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Albio Sires (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
District 9
General election
General election candidates
- Bill Pascrell (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Eric Fisher (Republican Party)
- Claudio Belusic (Libertarian Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Bill Pascrell (Incumbent) ✔
- William Henry
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
District 10
General election
General election candidates
- Donald Payne Jr. (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Agha Khan (Republican Party)
- Cynthia Johnson (C4C 2018 Party)
- Scott DiRoma (Libertarian Party)
- Joanne Miller (Never Give Up Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Donald Payne Jr. (Incumbent) ✔
- Aaron Fraser
Republican primary candidates
District 11
General election
General election candidates
- Mikie Sherrill (Democratic Party) ✔
- Jay Webber (Republican Party)
- Robert Crook (Honesty, Integrity, Compassion Party)
- Ryan Martinez (Libertarian Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
Libertarians
District 12
General election
General election candidates
- Bonnie Watson Coleman (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Daryl Kipnis (Republican Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Bonnie Watson Coleman (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
Wave election analysis
- See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to U.S. House elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 48 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 U.S. House waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
| U.S. House wave elections | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | President | Party | Election type | House seats change | House majority[4] | |
| 1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -97 | D | |
| 1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -76 | R | |
| 1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -70 | D | |
| 2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -63 | R (flipped) | |
| 1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -59 | R | |
| 1946 | Truman | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1994 | Clinton | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -53 | D (flipped) | |
| 1942 | Roosevelt | D | Third midterm | -50 | D | |
| 1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[5] | -48 | D | |
| 1974 | Ford | R | Second midterm[6] | -48 | D | |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2018
- U.S. House primaries, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
- ↑ Information submitted to Ballotpedia via email on December 19, 2017
- ↑ Felicia Stoler for Congress, "Home," accessed February 5, 2018
- ↑ Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. House following the election.
- ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
- ↑ Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm.
