United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House South Dakota At-large District

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Dusty Johnson (R)	60.3	202,695
		Timothy Bjorkman (D)	36.0	121,033
		Ron Wieczorek (Independent)	2.2	7,323
	Submit photo	George Hendrickson (L)	1.5	4,914

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 335,965
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Elections in South Dakota, 2018

• General election: Nov. 6
• Voter registration deadline: Oct. 22
• Early voting: Sept. 21 - Nov. 5
• Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 5

• Online registration: No
• Same-day registration: No
• Voter ID: Photo ID required
• Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.

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On the ballot: U.S. House • Governor • Attorney General • Secretary of State • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Supreme court • State ballot measures • Democratic primaries • Republican primaries

2020 → ← 2016
South Dakota's At-Large Congressional District
Democratic primary Republican primary General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 27, 2018
Primary: June 5, 2018 Primary runoff: August 14, 2018 (if needed) General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Kristi Noem (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in South Dakota
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
South Dakota's At-Large Congressional District At-large South Dakota elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

The 2018 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Dakota took place on November 6, 2018. Voters elected one candidate to serve in the U.S. House from the state's At-Large Congressional District.

Tim Bjorkman (D), Dusty Johnson (R), George Hendrickson (L), and Ron Wieczorek (I) ran in the general election.

The filing deadline was on March 27, 2018, and the primary election took place on June 5, 2018. Heading into the election the incumbent was Kristi Noem (R), who was first elected in 2010. This seat became open when Noem announced that she was running in South Dakota's 2018 gubernatorial election instead of seeking re-election.

South Dakota has a single At-Large Congressional District, which is made up of the entire state.

This page covered the general election in this race. Click here to read more about the Democratic Party primary election. Click here to read more about the Republican Party primary election.

Candidates and election results

See also: Statistics on U.S. Congress candidates, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House South Dakota At-large District

Dusty Johnson defeated Timothy Bjorkman, Ron Wieczorek, and George Hendrickson in the general election for U.S. House South Dakota At-large District on November 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Dusty Johnson (R)	60.3	202,695
		Timothy Bjorkman (D)	36.0	121,033
		Ron Wieczorek (Independent)	2.2	7,323
	Submit photo	George Hendrickson (L)	1.5	4,914

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 335,965
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House South Dakota At-large District

Timothy Bjorkman advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Dakota At-large District on June 5, 2018.

		Candidate
✔		Timothy Bjorkman

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Chris Martian (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House South Dakota At-large District

Dusty Johnson defeated Shantel Krebs and Neal Tapio in the Republican primary for U.S. House South Dakota At-large District on June 5, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Dusty Johnson	46.8	47,120
		Shantel Krebs	29.3	29,551
		Neal Tapio	23.9	24,040

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 100,711
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Eric Terrell (R)
• Matt Johnson (R)

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made South Dakota's at-large district the 87th-most Republican district nationally.

FiveThirtyEight's elasticity score for states and congressional districts measures "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." Heading into the election, this district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moves toward a party, the district is expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.

2016 Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties and Congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties

South Dakota's single congressional district intersects with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.

The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. The partisan makeup of the 108 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties is more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House. Of the 108 congressional districts that have at least one Pivot County, 63 percent are held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

U.S. Representative election in South Dakota 2018, general election
Poll	Timothy Bjorkman (D)	Dusty Johnson (R)	Undecided/Other	Margin of error	Sample size
Public Opinion Strategies (August 1-3)	33%	54%	13%	+/-0	400
Public Policy Polling (July 19-20)	33%	43%	24%	+/-3.9	641
AVERAGES	33%	48.5%	18.5%	+/-1.95	520.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Wave election analysis

See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

Applying this definition to U.S. House elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 48 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 U.S. House waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

U.S. House wave elections
Year	President	Party	Election type	House seats change	House majority
1932	Hoover	R	Presidential	-97	D
1922	Harding	R	First midterm	-76	R
1938	Roosevelt	D	Second midterm	-70	D
2010	Obama	D	First midterm	-63	R (flipped)
1920	Wilson	D	Presidential	-59	R
1946	Truman	D	First midterm	-54	R (flipped)
1994	Clinton	D	First midterm	-54	R (flipped)
1930	Hoover	R	First midterm	-53	D (flipped)
1942	Roosevelt	D	Third midterm	-50	D
1966	Johnson	D	First midterm	-48	D
1974	Ford	R	Second midterm	-48	D

District history

2016

See also: South Dakota's At-Large Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated South Dakota's U.S. House race as safely Republican. Incumbent Kristi Noem (R) defeated Paula Hawks (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent in June.

U.S. House, South Dakota At-Large District General Election, 2016

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Kristi Noem Incumbent	64.1%	237,163
	Democratic	Paula Hawks	35.9%	132,810
Total Votes				369,973
Source: South Dakota Secretary of State

2014

See also: South Dakota's At-Large Congressional District elections, 2014

Incumbent Kristi Noem (R) won re-election to the United States House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. She defeated Corinna Robinson (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, South Dakota's At-Large District General Election, 2014

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Kristi Noem Incumbent	66.5%	183,834
	Democratic	Corinna Robinson	33.5%	92,485
Total Votes				276,319
Source: South Dakota Secretary of State

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Five of 66 South Dakota counties—7.6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County	Trump margin of victory in 2016	Obama margin of victory in 2012	Obama margin of victory in 2008
Corson County, South Dakota	4.51%	11.08%	21.48%
Day County, South Dakota	23.77%	6.16%	12.89%
Marshall County, South Dakota	15.51%	8.66%	16.48%
Roberts County, South Dakota	15.53%	9.84%	19.64%
Ziebach County, South Dakota	1.96%	16.43%	27.16%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won South Dakota with 61.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 31.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, South Dakota cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 63.3 percent of the time. In that same time frame, South Dakota supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 86.7 to 10.0 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in South Dakota. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won six out of 37 state House districts in South Dakota with an average margin of victory of 19.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won four out of 37 state House districts in South Dakota with an average margin of victory of 12.7 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections.

In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 31 out of 37 state House districts in South Dakota with an average margin of victory of 22.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 33 out of 37 state House districts in South Dakota with an average margin of victory of 32.5 points. Trump won five districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

2016 presidential results by state House district
District	Obama	Romney	2012 Margin	Clinton	Trump	2016 Margin	Party Control
1	51.58%	46.48%	D+5.1	37.24%	57.24%	R+20	D
2	41.78%	55.63%	R+13.8	28.47%	65.46%	R+37	R
3	44.43%	52.39%	R+8	33.93%	59.00%	R+25.1	R
4	40.82%	56.54%	R+15.7	27.54%	66.02%	R+38.5	R
5	39.90%	58.16%	R+18.3	27.89%	65.65%	R+37.8	R
6	38.47%	59.68%	R+21.2	30.89%	61.65%	R+30.8	R
7	50.40%	46.81%	D+3.6	43.62%	47.39%	R+3.8	D
8	43.39%	54.25%	R+10.9	32.58%	61.26%	R+28.7	R
9	44.78%	52.69%	R+7.9	35.24%	57.43%	R+22.2	R
10	42.73%	55.52%	R+12.8	34.89%	58.46%	R+23.6	R
11	42.02%	56.19%	R+14.2	36.63%	56.47%	R+19.8	R
12	43.37%	54.72%	R+11.3	40.26%	52.71%	R+12.4	R
13	42.42%	55.91%	R+13.5	42.90%	50.51%	R+7.6	R
14	45.37%	53.02%	R+7.7	42.55%	50.96%	R+8.4	R
15	60.76%	36.19%	D+24.6	50.37%	40.21%	D+10.2	D
16	37.11%	61.13%	R+24	28.21%	66.43%	R+38.2	R
17	46.23%	51.48%	R+5.3	38.71%	54.73%	R+16	D
18	42.37%	55.09%	R+12.7	34.30%	58.81%	R+24.5	R
19	30.80%	67.46%	R+36.7	21.26%	73.69%	R+52.4	R
20	39.03%	58.77%	R+19.7	28.66%	65.65%	R+37	R
21	32.69%	65.58%	R+32.9	21.75%	74.28%	R+52.5	D
22	40.25%	57.55%	R+17.3	28.05%	65.80%	R+37.8	R
23	27.77%	70.13%	R+42.4	17.94%	77.32%	R+59.4	R
24	31.98%	66.03%	R+34.1	26.93%	66.80%	R+39.9	R
25	39.10%	58.97%	R+19.9	31.43%	61.88%	R+30.4	D
26A	71.98%	26.91%	D+45.1	62.07%	31.66%	D+30.4	D
26B	38.65%	59.41%	R+20.8	27.43%	66.49%	R+39.1	R
27	59.61%	39.08%	D+20.5	51.30%	43.71%	D+7.6	R
28A	59.49%	38.69%	D+20.8	48.66%	46.00%	D+2.7	D
28B	21.01%	75.69%	R+54.7	13.67%	79.93%	R+66.3	R
29	26.65%	70.23%	R+43.6	18.53%	73.59%	R+55.1	R
30	28.42%	68.70%	R+40.3	22.14%	71.69%	R+49.5	R
31	34.98%	61.85%	R+26.9	28.34%	62.58%	R+34.2	R
32	37.98%	59.43%	R+21.5	33.81%	56.85%	R+23	R
33	32.89%	64.91%	R+32	28.15%	64.55%	R+36.4	R
34	34.28%	63.64%	R+29.4	32.46%	59.35%	R+26.9	R
35	35.21%	61.55%	R+26.3	26.34%	64.40%	R+38.1	R
Total	39.87%	57.89%	R+18	31.74%	61.53%	R+29.8	-
Source: Daily Kos

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in South Dakota heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

• Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in South Dakota.
• Republicans held the at-large U.S. House seat in South Dakota.

State executives

• As of September 2018, Republicans held 10 of 14 state executive positions and the remaining four positions were officially nonpartisan.
• The governor of South Dakota was Republican Dennis Daugaard. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.

State legislature

• Republicans controlled both chambers of the South Dakota General Assembly. They had a 59-10 majority in the state House and a 29-6 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

• South Dakota was under a Republican state government trifecta, meaning Republicans held the governorship, a majority in the state senate, and a majority in the state house.

2018 elections

See also: South Dakota elections, 2018

South Dakota held elections for the following positions in 2018:

• U.S. House
• Governor
• Other state executive
• State Senate
• State House
• State Supreme Court

Demographics

Demographic data for South Dakota
	South Dakota	U.S.
Total population:	857,919	316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):	75,811	3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:	85%	73.6%
Black/African American:	1.6%	12.6%
Asian:	1.2%	5.1%
Native American:	8.6%	0.8%
Pacific Islander:	0%	0.2%
Two or more:	2.6%	3%
Hispanic/Latino:	3.3%	17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:	90.9%	86.7%
College graduation rate:	27%	29.8%
Income
Median household income:	$50,957	$53,889
Persons below poverty level:	15.3%	11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in South Dakota. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, South Dakota's three largest cities were Sioux Falls (pop. est. 177,000), Rapid City (pop. est. 74,000), and Aberdeen (pop. est. 28,000).

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in South Dakota from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the South Dakota Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in South Dakota every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), South Dakota 2000-2016
Year	First-place candidate	First-place candidate votes (%)	Second-place candidate	Second-place candidate votes (%)	Margin of victory (%)
2016	Donald Trump	61.5%	Hillary Clinton	31.7%	29.8%
2012	Mitt Romney	57.9%	Barack Obama	39.9%	18.0%
2008	John McCain	53.1%	Barack Obama	44.8%	8.3%
2004	George W. Bush	59.9%	John Kerry	38.4%	21.5%
2000	George W. Bush	60.3%	Al Gore	37.6%	22.7%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in South Dakota from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), South Dakota 2000-2016
Year	First-place candidate	First-place candidate votes (%)	Second-place candidate	Second-place candidate votes (%)	Margin of victory (%)
2016	John Thune	71.8%	Jay Williams	28.2%	43.6%
2014	Mike Rounds	50.4%	Rick Weiland	29.5%	20.9%
2010	John Thune	100.0%	No candidate		100.0%
2008	Tim Johnson	62.5%	Joel Dykstra	37.5%	25.0%
2004	John Thune	50.6%	Tom Daschle	49.4%	1.2%
2002	Tim Johnson	49.6%	John Thune	49.5%	0.1%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in South Dakota.

Election results (Governor), South Dakota 2000-2016
Year	First-place candidate	First-place candidate votes (%)	Second-place candidate	Second-place candidate votes (%)	Margin of victory (%)
2014	Dennis Daugaard	70.5%	Susan Wismer	25.4%	45.1%
2010	Dennis Daugaard	61.5%	Scott Heidepreim	38.5%	23.0%
2006	Mike Rounds	61.7%	Jack Billion	36.1%	25.6%
2002	Mike Rounds	56.8%	Jim Abbott	41.9%	14.9%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent South Dakota in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, South Dakota 2000-2016
Year	Republicans	Republicans (%)	Democrats	Democrats (%)	Balance of power
2016	1	100.0%	0	0.0%	R+1
2014	1	100.0%	0	0.0%	R+1
2012	1	100.0%	0	0.0%	R+1
2010	1	100.0%	0	0.0%	R+1
2008	1	100.0%	0	0.0%	D+1
2006	1	100.0%	0	0.0%	D+1
2004	1	100.0%	0	0.0%	D+1
2002	1	100.0%	0	0.0%	R+1
2000	1	100.0%	0	0.0%	R+1

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

South Dakota Party Control: 1992-2025
No Democratic trifectas  •  Thirty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25
Governor	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
Senate	R	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
House	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

See also

• United States House election in South Dakota (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)
• United States House election in South Dakota (June 5, 2018 Republican primary)
• United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
• U.S. House battlegrounds, 2018
• U.S. House primaries, 2018

Footnotes

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South Dakota's current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

Mike Rounds (R)

John Thune (R)

Representatives

Dusty Johnson (R)

Republican Party (3)