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Minnesota's 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 9 Republican primary)

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2024
2020
Minnesota's 8th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: May 31, 2022
Primary: August 9, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Minnesota
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+8
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Minnesota's 8th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Minnesota elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Republican Party primary took place on August 9, 2022, in Minnesota's 8th Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 8, 2022.

Incumbent Pete Stauber advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 8.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
May 31, 2022
August 9, 2022
November 8, 2022


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Minnesota utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[1][2][3]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Minnesota's 8th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-GOP-Ad-1-Small.png

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 8

Incumbent Pete Stauber defeated Harry Welty in the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 8 on August 9, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Pete Stauber
Pete Stauber
 
91.0
 
51,410
Image of Harry Welty
Harry Welty Candidate Connection
 
9.0
 
5,075

Total votes: 56,485
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Pete Stauber Republican Party $2,470,829 $2,053,863 $419,733 As of December 31, 2022
Harry Welty Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Minnesota in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Minnesota, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Minnesota U.S. House Ballot-qualified party[6] 1,000 $300.00 5/31/2022 Source
Minnesota U.S. House Unaffiliated 1,000 N/A 5/31/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Minnesota District 8
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Minnesota District 8
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Minnesota after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[7] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[8]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Minnesota
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Minnesota's 1st 44.3% 53.5% 43.9% 54.0%
Minnesota's 2nd 52.5% 45.4% 52.4% 45.5%
Minnesota's 3rd 59.5% 38.5% 58.7% 39.4%
Minnesota's 4th 67.8% 30.2% 67.5% 30.5%
Minnesota's 5th 80.6% 17.4% 80.3% 17.7%
Minnesota's 6th 40.1% 57.7% 38.8% 59.0%
Minnesota's 7th 32.5% 65.7% 34.4% 63.8%
Minnesota's 8th 43.4% 54.7% 41.7% 56.3%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Minnesota.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Minnesota in 2022. Information below was calculated on August 1, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-two candidates filed to run for Minnesota's eight U.S. House districts, including 18 Democrats and 14 Republicans. That's four candidates per district, less than the 4.63 candidates per district in 2020 and the 4.75 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Minnesota was apportioned eight districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The 32 candidates running this year were five fewer than the 37 candidates who ran in 2020 and six fewer than the 38 who ran in 2018. Thirty candidates ran in 2016, 19 in 2014, and 28 in 2012.

One district — the 1st — was open. That was one more than in 2020, when there were no open seats, and two fewer than in 2018, when there were three open seats. Former Rep. Jim Hagedorn (R) — the incumbent in the 1st district — passed away while in office on February 17, 2022. A special election to fill the seat was scheduled for August 9, 2022.

Eight candidates — three Republicans and five Democrats, including incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar (D) — filed to run in the 5th district, the most candidates who filed for a seat this year. There were nine contested primaries this year, five Democratic and four Republican. That number was down from 10 contested primaries in 2020 and 2018.

Four incumbents — two Democrats and two Republicans — did not face any primary challengers. Democratic and Republican candidates filed to run in all eight districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Minnesota's 8th the 163rd most Republican district nationally.[9]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Minnesota's 8th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
43.4% 54.7%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Minnesota, 2020

Minnesota presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 20 Democratic wins
  • 10 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[10] R R R R D D D D D R R D D D R D D D D D D D D D D D D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Minnesota and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Minnesota
Minnesota United States
Population 5,706,494 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 79,631 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 81.6% 70.4%
Black/African American 6.4% 12.6%
Asian 4.9% 5.6%
Native American 1% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 2.1% 5.1%
Multiple 3.9% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 5.5% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 93.4% 88.5%
College graduation rate 36.8% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $73,382 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 9.3% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Minnesota's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Minnesota, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 4 6
Republican 0 4 4
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 8 10

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Minnesota's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Minnesota, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Tim Walz
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Peggy Flanagan
Secretary of State Democratic Party Steve Simon
Attorney General Democratic Party Keith Ellison

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Minnesota State Legislature as of November 2022.

Minnesota State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 31
     Republican Party 34
     Independent 1
     Vacancies 1
Total 67

Minnesota House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 69
     Republican Party 63
     Independent 1
     Vacancies 1
Total 134

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Minnesota was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and a majority in the house and Republicans controlling a majority in the state senate. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Minnesota Party Control: 1992-2022
Two years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R I I I I R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R D D D D R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D R R D D R R R R D D D D

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," accessed April 25, 2023
  2. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  3. Minnesota Secretary of State,"PRIMARY ELECTION," accessed April 25, 2023
  4. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  5. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  6. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  7. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  8. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  9. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  10. Progressive Party


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Tom Emmer (R)
District 7
District 8
Democratic Party (6)
Republican Party (4)