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Presidential election, 2016/Primary election and hypothetical polls

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Polls have long been a key component of tracking and analyzing political races, and presidential races are no exception.

Presidential races are closely monitored and polled continuously, as early as two to three years before the actual election. These polls can drive campaign strategy: signaling to those in the lead to stay the course to maintain their standing and telling those in the back of the race that changes may be necessary to remain competitive.

While presidential polls can affect how candidates run their campaigns, candidates should be wary that poll numbers can often be vastly different from the actual outcome of the race. For example, Michael Dukakis was favored over George H. W. Bush by 17 percentage points at times during the 1988 general election campaign. But, the outcome was far different.[1] Bush received 426 electoral votes to Dukakis' 111.[2]

According to one Harvard study, journalists and the media in general focus intently on presidential polls, but in truth, they are poor indicators of how an election will actually play out.[1] Regardless of whether polls can predict election results, they remain a staple of the political coverage of presidential elections.

Below, see a sampling of 2016 presidential primary election polls and hypothetical one-on-one match-up polls.

For readers interested in polls taken during the 2016 general election, see Ballotpedia's coverage of 2016 presidential general election polls.

2016 presidential primary election polls

Democratic public opinion polls

The following polls measured public favorability of each of the top potential Democratic Party candidates.

Democratic Party Democratic Party presidential primary polling (April 2016 - Present)
Poll Hillary Clinton Bernie SandersUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
IBD/TIPP
May 31 - June 5, 2016
51%37%12%+/-5.3351
Quinnipiac
May 24-30, 2016
53%39%8%+/-3.8678
ABC News/Washington Post
May 16-19, 2016
56%42%2%+/-N/A332
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
May 15-19, 2016
53%45%2%+/-5.3342
CBS News/NY Times
May 13-17, 2016
51%44%5%+/-6371
CNN/ORC
April 28-May 1, 2016
51%43%6%+/-5405
IBD/TIPP
April 22-28, 2016
49%43%8%+/-5.3355
USA Today/Suffolk
April 20-24, 2016
50%45%5%+/-5.1363
Pew Research
April 12-19, 2016
54%42%4%+/-N/A738
NBC/Wall St. Journal
April 10-14, 2016
50%48%2%+/-5.3339
Fox News
April 11-13, 2016
48%46%6%+/-4.5450
CBS News
April 8-12, 2016
50%44%6%+/-6359
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Democratic Party Democratic Party presidential primary polling (March 2016)
Poll Hillary Clinton Bernie SandersUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Atlantic/PRRI
March 30-April 3, 2016
46%47%7%+/-2.5788
Investors Business Daily/TIPP
March 28-April 2, 2016
45%44%11%+/-5.1383
McClatchy/Marist
March 29-31, 2016
47%49%4%+/-4.4497
Pew Research
March 17-27, 2016
49%43%8%+/-3.8842
Public Policy Polling
March 24-26, 2016
54%36%10%+/-4.8422
Fox News
March 20-22, 2016
55%42%3%+/-5410
Bloomberg
March 19-22, 2016
48%49%48%+/-5.6311
Quinnipiac
March 16-21, 2016
50%38%12%+/-3.9635
Monmouth
March 17-20, 2016
55%37%8%+/-5391
CBS/New York Times
March 17-20, 2016
50%45%5%+/-6388
CNN/ORC
March 17-20, 2016
51%44%5%+/-5397
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
March 3-6, 2016
53%44%3%+/-2.81,200
ABC/Washington Post
March 3-6, 2016
49%42%9%+/-3.51,000
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Democratic Party Democratic Party presidential primary polling (February 2016)
Poll Hillary Clinton Bernie SandersUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
CNN/ORC
February 24-27, 2016
55%38%7%+/-5418
Rasmussen Reports
February 25-28, 2016
53%31%15%+/-4.5541
IBD/TIPP
February 19-24, 2016
45%43%12%+/-5.5334
Fox News
February 15-17, 2016
44%47%9%+/-4.5429
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
February 14-16, 2016
53%42%53%+/-4.9400
CBS News
February 12-16, 2016
47%39%14%+/-5549
USA Today/Suffolk
February 11-15, 2016
50%40%10%+/-5.5319
Quinnipiac University
February 10-15, 2016
44%42%13%+/-4.1563
Quinnipiac University
February 2-4, 2016
44%42%14%+/-4.5484
Rasmussen Reports
February 3-4, 2016
50%32%18%+/-4.5574
Public Policy Polling
February 2-3, 2016
53%32%14%+/-4.3517
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Note: In October 2015, Joe Biden announced that he would not run for president in 2016. During the same month, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee, and Lawrence Lessig ended their presidential campaigns. The Democratic polls below reflect polling during the time when their campaigns were still active, and it was widely expected that Biden would run in 2016.

Republican public opinion polls

The following polls measured public favorability of each of the top potential Republican Party candidates.

Note: Due to the large number of candidates in the Republican field, many polls included 15+ candidates. The following results include the top ten candidates, according to an average of their results within a one- or two-month time frame. The "Unsure or Other" category corresponds to survey answers that indicated an undecided stance or desire for a candidate not listed in the poll. Depending on rounding and the results format of different polls, the results may not add up to 100 percent for an individual poll.
Republican Party Republican Party presidential primary polling (April 2016 - Present)
Poll Donald Trump Ted CruzJohn KasichUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
CNN/ORC
April 28-May 1, 2016
49%25%19%7%+/-5406
IBD/TIPP
April 22-28, 2016
48%29%16%7%+/-5397
USA Today/Suffolk
April 20-24, 2016
48%29%16%7%+/-5.7292
Pew Research
April 12-19, 2016
44%25%20%11%+/-N/A740
NBC/Wall St. Journal
April 10-14, 2016
40%35%24%1%+/-5.6310
Fox News
April 11-13, 2016
45%27%25%3%+/-4.5419
CBS News
April 8-12, 2016
42%29%18%11%+/-6399
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Republican Party Republican Party presidential primary polling (March 2016)
Poll Donald Trump Ted CruzJohn KasichMarco RubioUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Atlantic/PRRI
March 30-April 3, 2016
37%31%23%0%9%+/-2.5676
Investors Business Daily/TIPP
March 28-April 2, 2016
38%31%19%0%12%+/-5.1388
McClatchy/Marist
March 29-31, 2016
40%35%20%0%5%+/-4.7444
Pew Research
March 17-27, 2016
41%32%20%0%7%+/-3.9834
Public Policy Polling
March 24-26, 2016
42%32%22%0%4%+/-4.4505
Fox News
March 20-22, 2016
41%38%17%0%4%+/-5388
Bloomberg
March 19-22, 2016
40%31%25%0%4%+/-5.1366
Quinnipiac
March16-21, 2016
43%29%16%0%12%+/-3.8652
Monmouth
March 17-20, 2016
41%29%18%0%12%+/-5.2353
CBS/New York Times
March 17-20, 2016
41%29%18%0%12%+/-6362
CNN/ORC
March 17-20, 2016
47%31%17%0%5%+/-5397
Rasmussen Reports
March 16-17, 2016
43%28%21%0%8%+/-4719
NBC/WSJ
March 3-6, 2016
30%27%22%0%21%+/-4.9397
ABC/Washington Post
March 3-6, 2016
34%25%13%18%10%+/-3.51,000
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Republican Party Republican Party presidential primary polling (February 2016)
Poll Donald Trump Ted CruzMarco RubioJohn KasichBen CarsonJeb BushUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
CNN/ORC
February 24-27, 2016
49%15%16%6%10%0%5%+/-5427
IBD/TIPP
February 19-24, 2016
31%20%18%7%8%0%16%+/-5400
Rasmussen Reports
February 21-22, 2016
36%17%21%12%8%0%7%+/-4697
Fox News
February 15-17, 2016
36%19%15%8%9%9%4%+/-4.5404
CBS News
February 12-16, 2016
35%18%12%11%6%4%14%+/-5581
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
February 14-16, 2016
26%28%17%11%10%4%4%+/-4.9400
USA Today/Suffolk
February 11-15, 2016
26%28%17%11%10%4%4%+/-N/A358
Quinnipiac University
February 10-15, 2016
39%18%19%6%4%4%10%+/-4602
Rasmussen Reports
February 3-4, 2016
31%20%21%6%5%4%12%+/-4725
Quinnipiac University
February 2-4, 2016
31%22%19%3%6%3%16%+/-4.4507
Public Policy Polling
February 2-3, 2016
25%21%21%5%11%5%13%+/-4.3531
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

One-on-one hypothetical match-ups

The following are polls on hypothetical presidential match-ups between top potential candidates that were conducted as early as 2013.

Declared candidates

Clinton vs. Cruz

Hillary Clinton vs. Ted Cruz 2016 head-to-head presidential polls
Poll Democratic Party Hillary Clinton Republican Party Ted CruzUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
CNN/ORC
April 28-May 1, 2016
52%42%6%+/-3.5890
IBD/TIPP
April 22-28, 2016
47%40%13%+/-3.5814
USA Today/Suffolk
April 20-24, 2016
49%42%9%+/-31,000
NBC/Wall St. Journal
April 10-14, 2016
46%44%10%+/-31,000
Fox News
April 11-13, 2016
45%44%11%+/-31,021
CBS News
April 8-12, 2016
45%42%13%+/-31,098
Investors Business Daily/TIPP
March 28-April 2, 2016
44%39%17%+/-3.5819
McClatchy/Marist
March 29-31, 2016
47%47%6%+/-31,066
Public Policy Polling
March 24-26, 2016
45%42%13%+/-31,083
Fox News
March 20-22, 2016
44%47%9%+/-31,016
Bloomberg
March 19-22, 2016
51%42%7%+/-3.4815
Quinnipiac
March 16-21, 2016
45%42%13%+/-2.61,451
CBS/New York Times "
March 17-20, 2016
47%44%9%+/-41,058
CNN/ORC "
March 17-20, 2016
48%48%4%+/-3884
NBC/WSJ/Marist
March 3-6, 2016
47%45%8%+/-2.831,200
NBC/WSJ/Marist
March 1-3, 2016
48%41%11%+/-2.12,229
CNN/ORC
February 24-27, 2016
48%49%3%+/-3920
Fox News
February 15-17, 2016
45%46%9%+/-31,031
Quinnipiac University
February 10-15, 2016
43%46%11%+/-2.71,342
Suffolk University
February 11-15, 2016
44%45%11%+/-31,000
Quinnipiac University
February 2-4, 2016
45%45%10%+/-2.91,125
Public Policy Polling
February 2-3, 2016
46%44%10%+/-2.81,236
NBC News/WSJ
January 9-13, 2016
49%45%6%+/-3.5800
Fox News
January 4-7, 2016
43%50%7%+/-31,006
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Clinton vs. Kasich

Clinton-Kasich 2016 head-to-head presidential polls
Poll Republican Party John Kasich Democratic Party Hillary ClintonUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
CNN/ORC
April 28-May 1, 2016
51%44%5%+/-3.5890
IBD/TIPP
April 22-28, 2016
45%41%14%+/-3.5814
USA Today/Suffolk
April 20-24, 2016
46%41%13%+/-31,000
NBC/Wall St. Journal
April 10-14, 2016
51%39%10%+/-31,000
Fox News
April 11-13, 2016
49%40%11%+/-31,021
CBS News
April 8-12, 2016
47%41%12%+/-31,098
Investors Business Daily/TIPP
March 28-April 2, 2016
45%38%17%+/-3.5819
McClatchy/Marist
March 29-31, 2016
51%42%7%+/-31,066
Public Policy Polling
March 24-26, 2016
45%41%14%+/-31,083
Fox News
March 20-22, 2016
51%40%9%+/-31,016
Bloomberg
March 19-22, 2016
47%43%10%+/-3.4815
Quinnipiac
March 16-21, 2016
47%39%14%+/-2.61,451
CBS/New York Times
March 17-20, 2016
47%43%10%+/-41,058
CNN/ORC
March 17-20, 2016
51%45%4%+/-3925
Fox News
February 15-17, 2016
47%44%9%+/-31,031
Quinnipiac University
February 10-15, 2016
47%39%14%+/-2.71,342
USA Today/Suffolk University
February 11-15, 2016
49%38%13%+/-31,000
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Clinton vs. Rubio

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio 2016 head-to-head presidential polls
Poll Republican Party Marco Rubio Democratic Party Hillary ClintonUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
NBC/WSJ/Marist
March 3-6, 2016
46%46%8%+/-2.831,200
CNN/ORC
March 2-6, 2016
46%48%6%+/-3.5884
CNN/ORC
March 2-6, 2016
48%44%8%+/-3.5854
CNN/ORC
February 24-27, 2016
50%47%3%+/-3920
Fox News
February 15-17, 2016
48%44%8%+/-31,031
Quinnipiac University
February 10-15, 2016
48%41%11%+/-2.71,342
USA Today/Suffolk University
February 11-15, 2016
48%42%10%+/-31,000
Quinnipiac University
February 2-4, 2016
48%41%11%+/-31,031
Public Policy Polling
February 2-3, 2016
46%44%10%+/-2.81,236
NBC News/WSJ
January 9-13, 2016
46%47%7%+/-3.5800
Fox News
January 4-7, 2016
50%41%9%+/-31,006
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Sanders vs. Cruz

Bernie Sanders vs. Ted Cruz 2016 head-to-head presidential polls
Poll Democratic Party Bernie Sanders Republican Party Ted CruzUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
CNN/ORC
April 28-May 1, 2016
57%39%4%+/-3.5890
IBD/TIPP
April 22-28, 2016
49%38%13%+/-3.5814
USA Today/Suffolk
April 20-24, 2016
50%38%12%+/-31,000
NBC/Wall St. Journal
April 10-14, 2016
52%40%8%+/-31,000
Fox News
April 11-13, 2016
51%39%10%+/-31,021
CBS News
April 8-12, 2016
50%38%12%+/-31,098
Investors Business Daily/TIPP
March 28-April 2, 2016
50%38%12%+/-3.5819
McClatchy/Marist
March 29-31, 2016
53%41%6%+/-31,066
Public Policy Polling
March 24-26, 2016
48%41%11%+/-31,083
Fox News
March 20-22, 2016
47%43%10%+/-31,016
Bloomberg
March 19-22, 2016
52%40%8%+/-3.4815
Quinnipiac
March 16-21, 2016
50%39%11%+/-2.61,451
CNN/ORC
March 17-20, 2016
55%42%3%+/-3925
NBC/WSJ/Marist
March 1-3, 2016
54%36%10%+/-2.12,229
CNN/ORC
February 24-27, 2016
57%40%3%+/-3920
Quinnipiac University
February 10-15, 2016
49%39%12%+/-2.71,342
USA Today/Suffolk University
February 11-15, 2016
44%42%14%+/-31,000
Quinnipiac University
February 2-4, 2016
46%42%12%+/-2.91,125
Public Policy Polling
February 2-3, 2016
44%42%14%+/-2.81,236
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Sanders vs. Kasich

Bernie Sanders vs. John Kasich 2016 head-to-head presidential polls
Poll Democratic Party Bernie Sanders Republican Party John KasichUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
CNN/ORC
April 28-May 1, 2016
50%46%4%+/-3.5890
IBD/TIPP
April 22-28, 2016
46%42%12%+/-3.5814
USA Today/Suffolk
April 20-24, 2016
44%43%13%+/-31,000
Fox News
April 11-13, 2016
47%43%10%+/-31,021
CBS News
April 8-12, 2016
46%41%13%+/-31,098
Investors Business Daily/TIPP
March 28-April 2, 2016
45%42%13%+/-3.5819
McClatchy/Marist
March 29-31, 2016
52%41%7%+/-31,066
Public Policy Polling
March 24-26, 2016
41%44%15%+/-31,083
Fox News
March 20-22, 2016
43%44%13%+/-31,016
Bloomberg
March 19-22, 2016
46%42%12%+/-3.4815
Quinnipiac
March 16-21, 2016
44%45%11%+/-2.61,451
CNN/ORC
March 17-20, 2016
51%45%4%+/-3925
Qunnipiac University
February 10-15, 2016
45%41%14%+/-2.71,342
USA Today/Suffolk University
February 11-15, 2016
41%44%15%+/-31,000
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Sanders vs. Rubio

Sanders-Rubio 2016 head-to-head presidential polls
Poll Democratic Party Bernie Sanders Republican Party Marco RubioUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
CNN/ORC
February 24-27, 2016
53%45%2%+/-3920
Quinnipiac University
February 10-15, 2016
47%41%12%+/-2.71,342
USA Today/Suffolk University
February 11-15, 2016
42%46%12%+/-31,000
Quinnipiac University
February 2-4, 2016
43%43%14%+/-2.91,125
Public Policy Polling
February 2-4, 2016
43%45%12%+/-2.81,236
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Sanders vs. Trump

Sanders-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (May 2016 - present)
Poll Democratic Party Bernie Sanders Republican Party Donald TrumpUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
IBD/TIPP
May 31-June 5, 2016
49%39%12%+/-3.3908
Quinnipiac
May 24-30, 2016
48%39%13%+/-2.51,561
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
May 15-19, 2016
54%39%7%+/-3.11,000
Fox News
May 14-17, 2016
46%42%12%+/-31,021
CBS News/NY Times
May 13-17, 2016
51%38%11%+/-31,109
Public Policy Polling
May 6-9, 2016
50%39%11%+/-3.21,222
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Sanders-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (January - April 2016)
Poll Democratic Party Bernie Sanders Republican Party Donald TrumpUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
CNN/ORC
April 28-May 1, 2016
56%40%4%+/-3.5890
IBD/TIPP
April 22-28, 2016
50%38%12%+/-3.5814
USA Today/Suffolk
April 20-24, 2016
52%37%11%+/-31,000
GWU/Battleground
April 17-20. 2016
50%40%10%+/-3.11,000
Fox News
April 11-13, 2016
53%39%8%+/-31,021
CBS News
April 8-12, 2016
53%36%11%+/-31,098
Investors Business Daily/TIPP
March 28-April 2, 2016
53%36%11%+/-3.5819
McClatchy/Marist
March 29-31, 2016
57%37%6%+/-31,066
Public Policy Polling
March 24-26, 2016
48%40%12%+/-31,083
Fox News
March 20-22, 2016
52%38%10%+/-31,016
Bloomberg
March 19-22, 2016
58%34%8%+/-3.4815
Quinnipiac
March 16-21, 2016
52%38%10%+/-2.61,451
CBS/New York Times
March 17-20, 2016
53%38%9%+/-41,058
CNN/ORC
March 17-20, 2016
58%38%4%+/-3925
NBC/WSJ/Marist
March 3-6, 2016
55%37%8%+/-2.831,200
NBC/WSJ/Marist
March 1-3, 2016
56%34%10%+/-2.12,229
CNN/ORC
February 24-27, 2016
55%43%2%+/-3920
Fox News
February 15-17, 2016
53%38%9%+/-31,031
Quinnipiac University
February 10-15, 2016
48%42%10%+/-2.71,342
Suffolk University
February 11-15, 2016
43%44%13%+/-31,000
Quinnipiac University
February 2-4, 2016
49%39%12%+/-2.91,125
Public Policy Polling
February 2-3, 2016
46%42%12%+/-2.81,236
NBC News/WSJ
January 9-13, 2016
54%39%7%+/-3.5800
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Head-to-head polls for candidates no longer running

In October 2015, Joe Biden announced that he would not run in the 2016 presidential election. Several Republican candidates also dropped out of the race in early 2016.

Biden vs. Bush

Joe Biden v. Jeb Bush 2016 hypothetical race polls (2015)
Poll Joe Biden Democratic Party Jeb Bush Republican PartyUndecided/Not sureMargin of errorSample size
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll
August 26-September 9, 2015
50%42%8%+/-2.91,115
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Biden vs. Christie

Chris Christie v. Joe Biden 2016 hypothetical race polls (2014)
Poll Joe Biden Democratic Party Chris Christie Republican PartyUndecided/Not sureMargin of errorSample size
Public Policy Polling
January 23-26, 2014
35%46%19%+/-3.3845
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Biden vs. Cruz

Joe Biden v. Ted Cruz 2016 hypothetical race polls (2015)
Poll Joe Biden Democratic Party Ted Cruz Republican PartyUndecided/Not sureMargin of errorSample size
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll
August 26-September 9, 2015
54%39%7%+/-2.91,115
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Biden vs. Paul

Rand Paul v. Joe Biden 2016 hypothetical race polls (2013)
Poll Joe Biden Democratic Party Rand Paul Republican PartyUndecided/Not sureMargin of errorSample size
Public Policy Polling
October 29-31, 2013
45%38%17%+/-3.8649
Quinnipiac Polling
May 22-28, 2013
39%43%18%+/-2.61,419
Public Policy Polling
March 27-30, 2013
47%43%10%+/-2.81,247
AVERAGES 43.67% 41.33% 15% +/-3.07 1,105
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Biden vs. Rubio

Joe Biden v. Marco Rubio 2016 hypothetical race polls (2015)
Poll Joe Biden Democratic Party Marco Rubio Republican PartyUndecided/Not sureMargin of errorSample size
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll
August 26-September 9, 2015
50%42%8%+/-2.91,115
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Biden vs. Trump

Joe Biden v. Donald Trump 2016 hypothetical race polls (2015)
Poll Joe Biden Donald TrumpUndecided/Not sureMargin of errorSample size
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll
August 26-September 9, 2015
56%38%6%+/-2.91,115
Survey USA
September 2-3, 2015
42%44%14%+/-3.3900
AVERAGES 49% 41% 10% +/-3.1 1,007.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Clinton vs. Bush

Hillary Clinton v. Jeb Bush 2016 hypothetical race polls (2015)
Poll Hillary Clinton Democratic Party Jeb Bush Republican PartyUndecided/Not sureMargin of errorSample size
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll
August 26-September 9, 2015
49%45%6%+/-2.91,115
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Clinton vs. Christie

Chris Christie v. Hillary Clinton 2016 hypothetical race polls (2014)
Poll Hillary Clinton Democratic Party Chris Christie Republican PartyUndecided/Not sureMargin of errorSample size
McClatchy-Marist
September 24-29, 2014
51%42%6%+/-3.01,052
McClatchey-Marist
August 4-7, 2014
47%41%12%+/-3.01,035
Rasmussen Polling
June 14-21, 2014
47%33%20%+/-3.01,000
McClatchy Marist
April 7-10, 2014
53%42%5%+/-3.01,036
Public Policy Polling
March 6-9, 2014
46%42%12%+/-2.91,152
McClatchy-Marist
February 4-9, 2014
58%37%5%+/-3.1970
Public Policy Polling
January 23-26, 2014
45%43%12%+/-3.3845
Quinnipiac Polling
January 15-19, 2014
46%38%16%+/-2.21,933
AVERAGES 49.13% 39.75% 11% +/-2.94 1,127.88
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Clinton vs. Paul

Rand Paul v. Hillary Clinton 2016 hypothetical race polls (2014)
Poll Hillary Clinton Democratic Party Rand Paul Republican PartyUndecided/Not sureMargin of errorSample size
Rasmussen Polling
June 14-21, 2014
46%39%15%+/-3.01,000
McClatchy Marist
April 7-10, 2014
54%40%6%+/-3.01,036
Public Policy Polling
March 6-9, 2014
47%42%11%+/-2.91,152
McClatchy-Marist
February 4-9, 2014
58%38%4%+/-3.1970
Public Policy Polling
January 23-26, 2014
46%43%11%+/-3.3845
Quinnipiac Polling
January 15-19, 2014
49%39%12%+/-2.21,933
AVERAGES 50% 40.17% 9.83% +/-2.92 1,156
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Recent news

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See also

External links

Footnotes