Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
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Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 1, 2022 |
Primary: May 24, 2022 Primary runoff: June 21, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in Arkansas |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Arkansas elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Arkansas, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for May 24, 2022, and a primary runoff was scheduled for June 21, 2022. The filing deadline was March 1, 2022.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary)
- Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill defeated Quintessa Hathaway and Michael White in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill (R) | 60.0 | 147,975 |
![]() | Quintessa Hathaway (D) | 35.3 | 86,887 | |
![]() | Michael White (L) | 4.7 | 11,584 |
Total votes: 246,446 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Quintessa Hathaway advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill defeated Conrad Reynolds in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 24, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill | 58.5 | 49,488 |
![]() | Conrad Reynolds ![]() | 41.5 | 35,078 |
Total votes: 84,566 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Michael White advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on February 20, 2022.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michael White (L) |
![]() | ||||
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Voting information
- See also: Voting in Arkansas
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[1] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[2] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
French Hill | Republican Party | $3,396,282 | $2,926,697 | $880,665 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Quintessa Hathaway | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Conrad Reynolds | Republican Party | $127,592 | $150,764 | $2,135 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Michael White | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arkansas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arkansas, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Arkansas | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | Fixed by party | 3/1/2022 | Source |
Arkansas | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 3% of qualified voters in the district, or 2,000, whichever is less | N/A | 5/2/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Arkansas District 2
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Arkansas District 2
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[7] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[8]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Arkansas | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Arkansas' 1st | 28.1% | 69.0% | 27.9% | 69.1% |
Arkansas' 2nd | 42.1% | 55.2% | 44.3% | 53.1% |
Arkansas' 3rd | 36.8% | 60.2% | 35.2% | 61.9% |
Arkansas' 4th | 31.0% | 66.2% | 29.6% | 67.7% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arkansas.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arkansas in 2022. Information below was calculated on April 8, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 16 candidates filed to run for Arkansas' four U.S. House districts, including eight Republicans, four Democrats, three Libertarians, and one independent. That's an average of 4 candidates per district, more than the 2.3 candidates per district in 2020 and fewer than the 5.5 in 2018.
This was the first candidate filing deadline under new district lines adopted during the redistricting process following the 2020 Census. Arkansas was apportioned the same number of congressional districts as after the 2010 census.
Incumbents filed to run in every election. The last time Arkansas had an open U.S. House district was during the 2014 elections when two incumbents didn't run. Of the four incumbents who filed for re-election, one—Rep. Bruce Westerman (R)—did not draw any primary challengers. As of the filing deadline, the three remaining incumbents faced contested primaries, marking the highest number of incumbents in contested primaries (3, or 75%) since at least 2012. The second-highest was in 2018 when two incumbents (50% of those seeking re-election) faced contested primaries. No incumbents had primary challengers in 2020.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 2nd the 152nd most Republican district nationally.[9]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Arkansas' 2nd based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
42.1% | 55.2% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Arkansas, 2020
Arkansas presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 20 Democratic wins
- 10 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | AI[10] | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Arkansas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Arkansas | ||
---|---|---|
Arkansas | United States | |
Population | 2,915,918 | 308,745,538 |
Land area (sq mi) | 51,990 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 76.7% | 72.5% |
Black/African American | 15.3% | 12.7% |
Asian | 1.5% | 5.5% |
Native American | 0.7% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 2.8% | 4.9% |
Multiple | 2.7% | 3.3% |
Hispanic/Latino | 7.5% | 18% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 86.6% | 88% |
College graduation rate | 23% | 32.1% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $47,597 | $62,843 |
Persons below poverty level | 17% | 13.4% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arkansas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arkansas, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 4 | 6 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arkansas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Arkansas, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arkansas State Legislature as of November 2022.
Arkansas State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 7 | |
Republican Party | 27 | |
Independent | 1 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 35 |
Arkansas House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 22 | |
Republican Party | 78 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Arkansas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2022
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas • Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2020
See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary)
Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (March 3 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill defeated Joyce Elliott in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill (R) | 55.4 | 184,093 |
![]() | Joyce Elliott (D) ![]() | 44.6 | 148,410 |
Total votes: 332,503 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- J. Glenn Smith (Independent)
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Joyce Elliott advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill defeated Clarke Tucker and Joe Swafford in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill (R) | 52.1 | 132,125 |
![]() | Clarke Tucker (D) | 45.8 | 116,135 | |
![]() | Joe Swafford (L) ![]() | 2.0 | 5,193 |
Total votes: 253,453 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Clarke Tucker defeated Gwen Combs, Paul Spencer, and Jonathan Dunkley in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Clarke Tucker | 57.8 | 23,325 |
![]() | Gwen Combs | 20.3 | 8,188 | |
![]() | Paul Spencer | 12.5 | 5,063 | |
![]() | Jonathan Dunkley | 9.3 | 3,768 |
Total votes: 40,344 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill |
![]() | ||||
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Independent primary election
No Independent candidates ran in the primary.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Natashia Burch Hulsey (Independent)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent French Hill (R) defeated Dianne Curry (D), Chris Hayes (L), and write-in candidates Mathew Wescott and Charles Neely in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hill defeated Brock Olree in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016.[11][12][13]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
58.3% | 176,472 | |
Democratic | Dianne Curry | 36.8% | 111,347 | |
Libertarian | Chris Hayes | 4.7% | 14,342 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 303 | |
Total Votes | 302,464 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
84.5% | 86,474 | ||
Brock Olree | 15.5% | 15,811 | ||
Total Votes | 102,285 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of Arkansas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tim Griffin did not seek re-election. French Hill (R) defeated Patrick Hays (D) and Debbie Standiford (L) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
51.9% | 123,073 | |
Democratic | Patrick Hays | 43.6% | 103,477 | |
Libertarian | Debbie Standiford | 4.5% | 10,590 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 190 | |
Total Votes | 237,330 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
55.1% | 29,916 | ||
Ann Clemmer | 22.8% | 12,400 | ||
Conrad Reynolds | 22.1% | 11,994 | ||
Total Votes | 54,310 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ American Independent Party
- ↑ Arkansas Secretary of State, "Candidate Information," accessed November 10, 2015
- ↑ The New York Times, "Arkansas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016