Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 1, 2022
Primary: May 24, 2022
Primary runoff: June 21, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Arkansas
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+9
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th
Arkansas elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Arkansas, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for May 24, 2022, and a primary runoff was scheduled for June 21, 2022. The filing deadline was March 1, 2022.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Quintessa Hathaway and Michael White in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
60.0
 
147,975
Image of Quintessa Hathaway
Quintessa Hathaway (D)
 
35.3
 
86,887
Image of Michael White
Michael White (L)
 
4.7
 
11,584

Total votes: 246,446
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Quintessa Hathaway advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Conrad Reynolds in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 24, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill
 
58.5
 
49,488
Image of Conrad Reynolds
Conrad Reynolds Candidate Connection
 
41.5
 
35,078

Total votes: 84,566
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Michael White advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on February 20, 2022.

Candidate
Image of Michael White
Michael White (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Voting information

See also: Voting in Arkansas

Election information in Arkansas: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 10, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 10, 2022
  • Online: N/A

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 4, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 1, 2022
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 4, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 24, 2022 to Nov. 7, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

N/A


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[1] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[2] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
French Hill Republican Party $3,396,282 $2,926,697 $880,665 As of December 31, 2022
Quintessa Hathaway Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Conrad Reynolds Republican Party $127,592 $150,764 $2,135 As of December 31, 2022
Michael White Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]

Race ratings: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arkansas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arkansas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Arkansas U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A Fixed by party 3/1/2022 Source
Arkansas U.S. House Unaffiliated 3% of qualified voters in the district, or 2,000, whichever is less N/A 5/2/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Arkansas District 2
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Arkansas District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Arkansas after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[7] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[8]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Arkansas
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Arkansas' 1st 28.1% 69.0% 27.9% 69.1%
Arkansas' 2nd 42.1% 55.2% 44.3% 53.1%
Arkansas' 3rd 36.8% 60.2% 35.2% 61.9%
Arkansas' 4th 31.0% 66.2% 29.6% 67.7%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arkansas.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arkansas in 2022. Information below was calculated on April 8, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 16 candidates filed to run for Arkansas' four U.S. House districts, including eight Republicans, four Democrats, three Libertarians, and one independent. That's an average of 4 candidates per district, more than the 2.3 candidates per district in 2020 and fewer than the 5.5 in 2018.

This was the first candidate filing deadline under new district lines adopted during the redistricting process following the 2020 Census. Arkansas was apportioned the same number of congressional districts as after the 2010 census.

Incumbents filed to run in every election. The last time Arkansas had an open U.S. House district was during the 2014 elections when two incumbents didn't run. Of the four incumbents who filed for re-election, one—Rep. Bruce Westerman (R)—did not draw any primary challengers. As of the filing deadline, the three remaining incumbents faced contested primaries, marking the highest number of incumbents in contested primaries (3, or 75%) since at least 2012. The second-highest was in 2018 when two incumbents (50% of those seeking re-election) faced contested primaries. No incumbents had primary challengers in 2020.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 2nd the 152nd most Republican district nationally.[9]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Arkansas' 2nd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
42.1% 55.2%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Arkansas, 2020

Arkansas presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 20 Democratic wins
  • 10 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D AI[10] R D R R R D D R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Arkansas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Arkansas
Arkansas United States
Population 2,915,918 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 51,990 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 76.7% 72.5%
Black/African American 15.3% 12.7%
Asian 1.5% 5.5%
Native American 0.7% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.3% 0.2%
Other (single race) 2.8% 4.9%
Multiple 2.7% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 7.5% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 86.6% 88%
College graduation rate 23% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $47,597 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 17% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arkansas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arkansas, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 0 0
Republican 2 4 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 4 6

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arkansas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Arkansas, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Asa Hutchinson
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Tim Griffin
Secretary of State Republican Party John Thurston
Attorney General Republican Party Leslie Rutledge

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arkansas State Legislature as of November 2022.

Arkansas State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 7
     Republican Party 27
     Independent 1
     Vacancies 0
Total 35

Arkansas House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 22
     Republican Party 78
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Arkansas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2022
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas  •  Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R

District history

2020

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary)

Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (March 3 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Joyce Elliott in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
55.4
 
184,093
Image of Joyce Elliott
Joyce Elliott (D) Candidate Connection
 
44.6
 
148,410

Total votes: 332,503
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Joyce Elliott advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

2018

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Clarke Tucker and Joe Swafford in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
52.1
 
132,125
Image of Clarke Tucker
Clarke Tucker (D)
 
45.8
 
116,135
Image of Joe Swafford
Joe Swafford (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.0
 
5,193

Total votes: 253,453
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Clarke Tucker defeated Gwen Combs, Paul Spencer, and Jonathan Dunkley in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Clarke Tucker
Clarke Tucker
 
57.8
 
23,325
Image of Gwen Combs
Gwen Combs
 
20.3
 
8,188
Image of Paul Spencer
Paul Spencer
 
12.5
 
5,063
Image of Jonathan Dunkley
Jonathan Dunkley
 
9.3
 
3,768

Total votes: 40,344
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of French Hill
French Hill

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Independent primary election

No Independent candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Arkansas' 1st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent French Hill (R) defeated Dianne Curry (D), Chris Hayes (L), and write-in candidates Mathew Wescott and Charles Neely in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hill defeated Brock Olree in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016.[11][12][13]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrench Hill Incumbent 58.3% 176,472
     Democratic Dianne Curry 36.8% 111,347
     Libertarian Chris Hayes 4.7% 14,342
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 303
Total Votes 302,464
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State


U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngFrench Hill Incumbent 84.5% 86,474
Brock Olree 15.5% 15,811
Total Votes 102,285
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State

2014

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Arkansas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tim Griffin did not seek re-election. French Hill (R) defeated Patrick Hays (D) and Debbie Standiford (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrench Hill 51.9% 123,073
     Democratic Patrick Hays 43.6% 103,477
     Libertarian Debbie Standiford 4.5% 10,590
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 190
Total Votes 237,330
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State
U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngFrench Hill 55.1% 29,916
Ann Clemmer 22.8% 12,400
Conrad Reynolds 22.1% 11,994
Total Votes 54,310
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State

See also

Arkansas 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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External links

Footnotes

  1. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  2. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  3. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  7. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  8. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  9. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  10. American Independent Party
  11. Arkansas Secretary of State, "Candidate Information," accessed November 10, 2015
  12. The New York Times, "Arkansas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
  13. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016


Senators
Representatives
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Republican Party (6)