Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2018

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

General election

General election for Governor of Arkansas

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Asa Hutchinson
Asa Hutchinson (R)
 
65.3
 
582,406
Image of Jared Henderson
Jared Henderson (D) Candidate Connection
 
31.8
 
283,218
Image of Mark West
Mark West (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.9
 
25,885

Total votes: 891,509
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.


2022
2014
Governor of Arkansas
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 1, 2018
Primary: May 22, 2018
Primary runoff: June 19, 2018 (if needed)
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Asa Hutchinson (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Arkansas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2018
Impact of term limits in 2018
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
Arkansas
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant governor
Attorney general
Secretary of state
Auditor
Treasurer
Public lands commissioner

Arkansas held an election for governor on November 6, 2018. The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018.

Incumbent Asa Hutchinson (R) defeated challengers Jared Henderson (D) and Mark West (L), receiving 65.5 percent of the vote to Henderson's 31.6 percent and West's 2.9 percent. Hutchinson's 65.5 percent share of the vote was greater than any Republican candidate for governor in state history, surpassing the 59.77 percent record set by Mike Huckabee (R) in 1998. Click here for more.

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

For more information about gubernatorial elections in 2018, click here.

SETTING THE STAGE
  • Heading into the election, the governor was Asa Hutchinson (R). He was first elected to the position in 2014. Hutchinson announced that he would seek re-election on May 16, 2017.
  • Heading into the election, Arkansas was a Republican trifecta. It had held this status since Hutchinson took office in 2015. Arkansas was also a Republican triplex.
  • The Republican presidential candidate won Arkansas in each of the past five election cycles. The widest margin of victory was Donald Trump's 27 percent margin in 2016 while the narrowest was George W. Bush's five percent margin in 2000.
  • Arkansas was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election. Click here for more information on other 2018 gubernatorial elections.

    Candidates and election results

    General election

    General election for Governor of Arkansas

    Incumbent Asa Hutchinson defeated Jared Henderson and Mark West in the general election for Governor of Arkansas on November 6, 2018.

    Candidate
    %
    Votes
    Image of Asa Hutchinson
    Asa Hutchinson (R)
     
    65.3
     
    582,406
    Image of Jared Henderson
    Jared Henderson (D) Candidate Connection
     
    31.8
     
    283,218
    Image of Mark West
    Mark West (L) Candidate Connection
     
    2.9
     
    25,885

    Total votes: 891,509
    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    Democratic primary election

    Democratic primary for Governor of Arkansas

    Jared Henderson defeated Leticia Sanders in the Democratic primary for Governor of Arkansas on May 22, 2018.

    Candidate
    %
    Votes
    Image of Jared Henderson
    Jared Henderson Candidate Connection
     
    63.3
     
    67,046
    Image of Leticia Sanders
    Leticia Sanders
     
    36.7
     
    38,873

    Total votes: 105,919
    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    Republican primary election

    Republican primary for Governor of Arkansas

    Incumbent Asa Hutchinson defeated Jan Morgan in the Republican primary for Governor of Arkansas on May 22, 2018.

    Candidate
    %
    Votes
    Image of Asa Hutchinson
    Asa Hutchinson
     
    69.6
     
    143,648
    Image of Jan Morgan
    Jan Morgan
     
    30.4
     
    62,757

    Total votes: 206,405
    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    Campaign themes

    Republican Party Asa Hutchinson

    Hutchinson’s campaign website stated the following:

    1. Tax Cut

    • Continue cutting taxes for ALL Arkansans.
      • Work with the legislature to lower the top marginal rate to 5.9% over the next four years
      • Simplify the tax code, close loopholes, and increase fairness for all taxpayers

    2. Government Transformation

    • Reduce the number of agencies that report directly to the governor from 42 to 20 or fewer.
      • This will provide savings and improved services through combined IT systems, eliminated redundancies, streamlined communication, and greater efficiency
      • All with the goal of creating a more efficient, less costly, and more responsive state government

    3. Teacher Pay

    • Raise the minimum starting salary for Arkansas teachers by 13% over the next four years – from $31,800 to $36,000.
      • This will give Arkansas teachers the highest starting salaries in the region

    4. Ethics Reform

    • Governor Hutchinson supports comprehensive ethics reform to ensure that our elected officials are working for the people and with the highest ethical standards.
      • Require all legislators and constitutional officers to publicly disclose conflicts of interest before debating, deliberating, or voting on a piece of legislation
      • Revoke pensions for public officials convicted of violating the public trust
      • Bolster the enforcement power of the Arkansas Ethics Commission through strengthened disciplinary standards
      • Reform our campaign finance laws to prevent PAC’s from circumventing campaign contributions limits

    5. Infrastructure

    • Work with the Legislature to create a long-term highway funding strategy for the state.
      • Must be fiscally responsible and sustainable
      • Will be presented to the voters for approval[1]
    —Asa Hutchinson’s campaign website (2018)[2]

    Democratic Party Jared Henderson

    Henderson’s campaign website stated the following:

    Teachers
    Arkansas can be the best state in the country to be a public school teacher.

    Learn More

    Infrastructure
    Public infrastructure is critical to Arkansas’s progress as a state.

    Learn More

    Ethics Reform
    It's time to root out corruption in our state capitol.

    Learn More

    Small Business
    Let's give our rural innovators the resources they need.

    Learn More

    Criminal Justice
    We need bold leadership to tackle the rising epidemic of mass incarceration in Arkansas that is wasting taxpayer money and failing to prioritize our toughest crime.

    Learn More

    Ending the Cycle of Poverty
    We must end the cycle of generational poverty.

    Learn More

    Health Care
    We must protect Medicaid Expansion and our rural hospitals and finally tackle the sky-rocketing cost of health insurance.

    Learn More[1]

    —Jared Henderson’s campaign website (2018)[3]

    Libertarian Party Mark West

    West’s campaign website stated the following:

    EMPOWERING GOVERNMENT REDUCTION USING C.O.S.T. INITIATIVE

    • Committee On Spending & Taxation
    • Emphasis on cutting spending so that we can cut taxes
    • Voluntary committee will examine every function of State government
    • Goal is to reduce redundancy, overlap, and inefficiency
    • Send proposed cuts to State Legislature
    • Taxation is theft

    EMPOWER ECONOMIC GROWTH THROUGH FREE MARKETS

    • Transition to every aspect of the economy into the free market
    • Cut regulation and red tape that is strangling family business
    • End era of government licensing that impedes the growth of family business
    • Engage local businesses in developing marketable job skills for teenagers
    • End income taxes, empowering family businesses for growth and individuals for spending
    • Hemp economy providing plastics, fabrics, lotions, oils, and paper
    • Free markets are the key to economic growth

    EMPOWERING LIBERTY IN EDUCATION

    • Transition out of federal & state funded and operated public schools
    • Transition into a community-based system funded and operated locally
    • Empower parents with authority over educating their children
    • Empower teachers with the flexibility and resources to educate students
    • Emphasize job-related education to empower students to take control of their future
    • Education is essential to escaping poverty

    TRANSITIONING ARKANSAS WORKS INTO THE FREE MARKET

    • Examine point that current liabilities are met by current budgets
    • Transition remainder into the free market
    • Protecting children’s services for children and special needs Arkansans
    • Empower local charitable health care providers, organizations, and individuals to meet the need
    • Transition entire system into the free market for lasting solvency and services provided

    EMPOWERING INDIVIDUAL LIBERTY BY DEFENDING CIVIL RIGHTS

    • Protect religious freedom from State establishment or prohibition, including atheism
    • Protect freedom of speech and press from State censuring, including offensive speech
    • Protect the freedom of assembly from State interference or prevention
    • Protect unlicensed right to own and carry any firearm for self-defense, whether openly or concealed
    • Protect the right to life for all Arkansans, from conception onward
    • Protect the right of every Arkansan to liberty and the pursuit of happiness in all decisions from State coercion * Protect rights to privacy and unwarranted search and seizure from State infringement
    • Protect the citizens of Arkansas from un-Constitutional Federal overreach

    EMPOWERING COMMUNITIES THROUGH CRIMINAL JUSTICE REFORM

    • Actively work to eliminate laws that inadvertently and inordinately target minorities
    • Protect Arkansans from having any rights stripped away without due process
    • Protect the right of Arkansans to a speedy and fair trial, and from excessive bail
    • Encourage community policing practices in every county, city, town, and community
    • End monetary bail, overuse of fines and fees, and civil asset forfeiture
    • Decriminalize marijuana and expunge records of non-violent offenders
    • Protect rights of citizens to record and/or photo public events, agencies, and agents
    • Abolish solitary confinement and State imposed death penalty
    • Ease collateral consequences of incarceration for transition back into workforce
    • Restoration of voting and gun ownership rights

    EMPOWERING ARKANSANS THROUGH GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY

    • Assess fines against legislators, agents, and interests when bribery or ethics violations occur
    • Review and/or repeal any legislation that was passed using bribery or ethics violations
    • All meetings among State officials are to be streamed and saved for public use
    • All elected State employees, families and staff must disclose compromising relationships

    EMPOWERING VETERANS IN RECEIVING THEIR HEALTH CARE AND WHOLENESS

    • Root out causes of wait periods for VA care including coverage denials
    • Establish better accountability for VA employees
    • Empower private solutions for poverty and homelessness among veterans
    • Medicinal cannabis availability for PTSD and pain management without surrendering gun rights
    • Empower veterans to receive mental health care treatment without surrendering gun rights
    • Empower Veterans’ Advocates in any way possible to make sure no veteran is left behind[1]
    —Mark West’s campaign website (2018)[4]

    Past elections

    2014

    See also: Arkansas Gubernatorial election, 2014

    Hutchinson ran for Governor of Arkansas in 2014.[5] He won the Republican nomination in the primary election on May 20, 2014. He defeated Mike Ross (D), Josh Drake (G) and Frank Gilbert (L) in the general election on November 4, 2014.[6]

    Results

    Republican primary
    Governor of Arkansas, Republican Primary, 2014
    Candidate Vote % Votes
    Green check mark transparent.pngAsa Hutchinson 73% 130,752
    Curtis Coleman 27% 48,473
    Total Votes 179,225
    Election results via Arkansas Secretary of State.
    General election
    Governor of Arkansas, 2014
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAsa Hutchinson 55.4% 470,429
         Democratic Mike Ross 41.5% 352,115
         Libertarian Frank Gilbert 1.9% 16,319
         Green Josh Drake 1.1% 9,729
    Total Votes 848,592
    Election results via Arkansas Secretary of State

    Race background

    Democratic incumbent Gov. Mike Beebe was ineligible for re-election in 2014 due to term limits. Over a year before the election, polling figures and ratings reports - from sources such as The Washington Post, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, Governing and Daily Kos - labeled Beebe's seat as a "toss-up" and labeled Arkansas among the states most vulnerable to partisan switch in the 2014 gubernatorial election cycle.[7][8][9][10]

    Despite announcing in December 2012 that he would not run for governor in 2014, former U.S. Rep. Mike Ross (D) re-emerged as a potential candidate in the wake of state attorney general and expected front-runner Dustin McDaniel's exit from the race.[11][12][13] "Dustin McDaniel getting out of the race has left a huge void which clearly none of the other candidates are filling or I wouldn't be getting all these calls from every corner of the state...I'm humbled by that and I feel a sense of duty and responsibility to the people of this state to at least reconsider my decision and I'm doing that," Ross said at U.S. Sen. Mark Pryor's (D-AR) re-election fundraiser in March 2013.[14] Ross officially launched his campaign on April 17, 2013. The only other declared Democratic candidate at the time of his announcement, Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter, left the race in July and went on to support Ross.[15][16]

    Ross overtook Lynette "Doc" Bryant for the Democratic nomination in the May 20, 2014 primary election.[17] Former U.S. Rep. Asa Hutchinson defeated businessman Curtis Coleman in the Republican primary.[15]

    The Libertarian Party and the Green Party selected their candidates for governor by convention. Libertarian nominee Frank Gilbert and Green Party nominee Josh Drake appeared on the November 4 general election ballot with Ross and Hutchinson.[18][19][20]

    Money in the race

    On May 13, 2014, candidates were required to file pre-primary campaign finance reports detailing their fundraising and expenditures since April 1. Before winning their respective parties' nominations on May 20, Mike Ross (D) and Asa Hutchinson (R) both reported spending more than they took in over the previous month. Ross raised $491,000, while Hutchinson raised $240,375. A large portion of each candidates' campaign expenditures went toward television advertisements.[21]

    Heading into the May 20 primaries, Ross reported a remaining balance of $2 million, while Hutchinson had a remaining balance of $904,000. Defeated GOP primary challenger Curtis Coleman raised $62,060 and spent $72,622 in April 2014, while Ross' Democratic primary opponent Lynette Bryant failed to file by the reporting period deadline.[22][21]

    McDaniel cancels campaign

    In June 2012, term-limited Arkansas Attorney General Dustin McDaniel (D) filed paperwork to start raising money for his 2014 gubernatorial campaign.[23] McDaniel had been considered the Democratic frontrunner, but accounts that he had engaged in extra-martial relations with a Hot Springs attorney, Andi Davis, whom he met around his 2010 re-election, led to his withdrawal from the race.[24] He dropped out of the race on January 25, 2013, explaining in an e-mail to supporters, "I had hoped that I could shape the 2014 gubernatorial debate with my vision for the future. Unfortunately, I am now convinced that if I run for Governor, this campaign would be about me personally, rather than Arkansas's future."[25]

    Ballot access for political parties

    See also: Process for establishing a political party in Arkansas

    In Arkansas, the process to establish a political party is tied to the votes cast in a presidential or gubernatorial election. In order to initially put candidates on the ballot, political parties must submit a petition with 10,000 signatures. Then, in order to maintain that status beyond the election year in which they submit such a petition, their candidate for governor or president must receive at least 3 percent of the votes cast for that office.[26][27]

    In 2012, both the Libertarian and Green parties of Arkansas qualified to put candidates on the ballot, but their candidates did not receive enough votes for the parties to maintain their ballot status. In the fall of 2013, both parties submitted new petitions and were qualified to put candidates on the 2014 ballot.[28][29][30] In order to maintain their status as political parties without needing to petition for the 2016 elections, their candidates for governor had to receive at least 3 percent of the vote. Frank Gilbert (L) earned 1.9 percent of the vote and Josh Drake (G) earned 1.1 percent of the vote.

    According to an April 2014 poll, the likelihood of the Libertarian and Green Parties to maintain their status in the state depended on who the Democratic and Republican Parties ran in the gubernatorial election. With nominees Republican Asa Hutchinson and Democrat Mike Ross on the ballot, 3 percent of those polled said they would vote for the Libertarian candidate and 2 percent said they would vote for the Green Party candidate. Had Democrat Lynette Bryant advanced with Hutchinson, those likely to vote for the Libertarian candidate remained the same while those likely to vote for the Green Party candidate rose to 4.5 percent. If Republican Curtis Coleman ran against Ross, those polled were more likely to vote for both the Libertarian and Green Party candidates when compared to a ballot including front-runners Ross and Hutchinson, who secured their respective parties' nominations the month after the poll was taken.[31]

    Campaign advertisements

    In Asa Plan, Hutchinson lays out his "New Job's Plan for 2015 & Beyond" - Posted 4/28/14

    Polls

    See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls=

    General election
    All candidates

    Governor of Arkansas: Four-way race
    Poll Asa Hutchinson (R) Mike Ross (D)Joshua Drake (G)Frank Gilbert (L)UndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Opinion Research Associates, Inc.
    October 25-26, 2014
    42%44%1%2%11%+/-5401
    NBC News/Marist
    October 24, 2014
    47%44%2%2%5%+/-3.9621
    Talk Business & Politics/Hendrix College
    October 15-16, 2014
    49%41%2%2.5%5.5%+/-2.22,075
    Suffolk/USA Today
    September 20-23, 2014
    43%41%2%3%11%+/-4.4500
    Public Policy Polling
    September 18-21, 2014
    44%38%2%3%13%+/-2.61,453
    Gravis Marketing
    September 8-11, 2014
    46%42%0%2%10%+/-4.0902
    Southern Progress Poll
    September 7-9, 2014
    44%44%2%2%8%+/-3.5600
    AVERAGES 45% 42% 1.57% 2.36% 9.07% +/-3.66 936
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    **Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round Hutchinson vs. Ross (April 2014 - present)

    Governor of Arkansas: Hutchinson vs. Ross
    Poll Asa Hutchinson (R) Mike Ross (D)Don't knowMargin of errorSample size
    University of Arkansas
    October 21-27, 2014
    50%39%11%+/-3.6747
    New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
    September 20-October 1, 2014
    49%38%13%+/-21,991
    Public Policy Poll
    August 1-3, 2014
    43%38%12%+/-31,066
    Rasmussen Reports
    May 27-28, 2014
    48%41%6%+/-4750
    NBC/Marist
    April 30-May 4, 2014
    49%42%7%+/-2.9876
    AVERAGES 47.8% 39.6% 9.8% +/-3.1 1,086
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Hutchinson vs. Ross (February 2014 - April 2014)

    Governor of Arkansas: Hutchinson vs. Ross
    Poll Asa Hutchinson (R) Mike Ross (D)Don't knowMargin of errorSample size
    Public Policy Poll
    April 25-27, 2014
    46%38%16%+/-3.4840
    New York Times/Kaiser Family Foundation Poll
    April 8-15, 2014
    41%40%16%+/-4.0857
    Opinion Research Associates
    April 1-8, 2014
    39%45%17%+/-5.0400
    Hendrix College/Talk Business
    April 3-4, 2014
    43%44%8%+/-3.01,068
    OnMessage
    March 11-13, 2014
    44%36%15%+/-4.0600
    Impact
    February 10, 2014
    42%42%17%+/-2.831,202
    Rasmussen Reports
    February 4-5, 2014
    41%44%12%+/-4.5500
    Public Policy Polling/Americans United for Change
    December 13-15, 2013
    44%43%14%+/-3.11,004
    Talk Business/Hendrix College Poll
    October 8, 2013
    41%37%22%+/-4.0603
    Talk Business/Hendrix College
    February 20, 2013
    43%38%19%+/-3.8675
    AVERAGES 42.4% 40.7% 15.6% +/-3.76 774.9
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Context of the 2018 election

    Race rating

    Race ratings: Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2018
    Race trackerRace ratings
    November 5, 2018October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018
    The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
    Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
    Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
    Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

    L2 header example for election pages

    See also: Winning streaks in 2018 gubernatorial elections

    Hutchinson's victory in the general election started a Republican winning streak in Arkansas gubernatorial elections. His back-to-back victories in 2014 and 2018 were one of three Republican winning streaks in state history, with the others occurring in 1966-1968 and 1998-2002. The longest Democratic winning streak in state history was 47 elections, occurring between 1874 and 1964.

    Wave election analysis

    See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

    The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

    Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

    Applying this definition to gubernatorial elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

    The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 gubernatorial waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

    Gubernatorial wave elections
    Year President Party Election type Gubernatorial seats change Elections analyzed[32]
    1970 Nixon R First midterm -12 35
    1922 Harding R First midterm -11 33
    1932 Hoover R Presidential -10 35
    1920 Wilson D Presidential -10 36
    1994 Clinton D First midterm -10 36
    1930 Hoover R First midterm -9 33
    1938 Roosevelt D Second midterm -9 33
    1966 Johnson D First midterm[33] -9 35
    1954 Eisenhower R First midterm -8 33
    1982 Reagan R First midterm -7 36
    2010 Obama D First midterm -7 33

    State overview

    Partisan control

    This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Arkansas heading into the 2018 elections.

    Congressional delegation

    State executives

    State legislature

    • Republicans controlled both chambers of the Arkansas General Assembly. They had a 75-24 majority in the state House and a 25-9 majority in the state Senate.

    Trifecta status

    • Arkansas was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.

    2018 elections

    See also: Arkansas elections, 2018

    Arkansas held elections for the following positions in 2018:

    Demographics

    Demographic data for Arkansas
     ArkansasU.S.
    Total population:2,977,853316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):52,0353,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:78%73.6%
    Black/African American:15.5%12.6%
    Asian:1.4%5.1%
    Native American:0.6%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0.2%0.2%
    Two or more:2.1%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:6.9%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:84.8%86.7%
    College graduation rate:21.1%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$41,371$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:22.9%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Arkansas.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    As of July 2016, Arkansas' three largest cities were Little Rock (pop. est. 198,606), Ft. Smith (pop. est. 88,037), and Fayetteville (pop. est. 85,257).[34][35]

    State election history

    This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Arkansas from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Arkansas Secretary of State.

    Historical elections

    Presidential elections, 2000-2016

    This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Arkansas every year from 2000 to 2016.

    Election results (President of the United States), Arkansas 2000-2016
    Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
    2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 60.6% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 33.7% 26.9%
    2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 60.6% Democratic Party Barack Obama 36.9% 23.7%
    2008 Republican Party John McCain 58.7% Democratic Party Barack Obama 38.9% 19.8%
    2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 54.3% Democratic Party John Kerry 44.6% 9.7%
    2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 51.3% Democratic Party Al Gore 45.9% 5.4%

    U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

    This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Arkansas from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

    Election results (U.S. Senator), Arkansas 2000-2016
    Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
    2016 Republican Party John Boozman 59.8% Democratic Party Conner Eldridge 36.2% 23.6%
    2014 Republican Party Tom Cotton 56.5% Democratic Party Mark Pryor 39.4% 22.9%
    2010 Republican Party John Boozman 57.9% Democratic Party Blanche Lincoln 37.0% 1.6%
    2008 Democratic Party Mark Pryor 79.5% Green Party Rebekah Kennedy(Green Party) 20.5% 59.0%
    2004 Democratic Party Blanche Lincoln 55.9% Republican Party Jim Holt 44.1% 11.8%
    2002 Democratic Party Mark Pryor 53.9% Republican Party Tim Hutchinson 46.1% 7.8%

    Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

    This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Arkansas.

    Election results (Governor), Arkansas 2000-2016
    Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
    2014 Republican Party Asa Hutchinson 55.4% Democratic Party Mike Ross 46.3% 9.1%
    2010 Democratic Party Mike Beebe 64.4% Republican Party Jim Keet 33.6% 30.8%
    2006 Democratic Party Mike Beebe 55.6% Republican Party Asa Hutchinson 40.7% 14.9%
    2002 Republican Party Mike Huckabee 53.0% Democratic Party Jimmie Lou Fisher 46.9% 6.1%

    Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

    This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Arkansas in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

    Congressional delegation, Arkansas 2000-2016
    Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
    2016 Republican Party 4 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+4
    2014 Republican Party 4 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+4
    2012 Republican Party 4 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+4
    2010 Republican Party 3 75% Democratic Party 1 25% R+3
    2008 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3
    2006 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3
    2004 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3
    2002 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3
    2000 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3

    Trifectas, 1992-2017

    A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

    Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2025
    Eleven years of Democratic trifectas  •  Eleven years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
    Governor D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R
    Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R
    House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R


    Pivot Counties

    See also: Pivot Counties by state

    One of 75 Arkansas counties—1.33 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

    Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
    County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
    Woodruff County, Arkansas 8.91% 4.21% 7.46%

    In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Arkansas with 60.6 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 33.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Arkansas voted Democratic 66.67 percent of the time and Republican 30 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Arkansas voted Republican all five times.


    Recent news

    The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Arkansas governor election 2018. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

    See also

    Arkansas government:

    Elections:

    Ballotpedia exclusives:

    External links

    Footnotes

    1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
    2. Asa for Arkansas! "Asa's Plan," accessed November 1, 2018
    3. Jared Henderson for Governor, "Issues," accessed November 1, 2018
    4. Mark West for Arkansas Governor 2018, "Platform," accessed November 1, 2018
    5. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named gov14
    6. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named 2014results
    7. University of Virginia Center for Politics: Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," April 29, 2013
    8. The Washington Post, "The Fix's top gubernatorial races," September 27, 2013
    9. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14," October 6, 2013
    10. Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?" December 12, 2012
    11. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named arkbus
    12. Talk Business.net, "Stars aligning for Mike Ross to reconsider running for governor," December 20, 2012
    13. Arkansasonline.com, "Governor's race follow up," February 12, 2013
    14. The Associated Press - My San Antonio, "Analysis: Dem. race for Ark. gov. in '14 unsettled," March 24, 2013
    15. 15.0 15.1 Arkansas Business, "Bill Halter Quits Race for Governor to Avoid 'Divisive Primary'," July 29, 2013
    16. The Arkansas Times, "Mike Ross pitches for moderate vote in announcing for governor," April 17, 2013
    17. Arkansas Secretary of State, "2014 Preferential Primary Elections & Non Partisan General Election, Candidate Information: Lynette "Doc" Bryant," accessed March 3, 2014
    18. Times Record, Election 2014: Libertarian Frank Gilbert Announces Bid For Arkansas Governor, October 17, 2013
    19. thv11.com, "Libertarian Party holds annual state convention," February 22, 2014
    20. Independent Political Report, "The Green Party of Arkansas Announces Candidates for Governor and U S Senate," November 23, 2013
    21. 21.0 21.1 The Republic, "Democrat Mike Ross raises $491K in April for Arkansas governor bid, Hutchinson raises $240K," May 13, 2014
    22. Arkansas Online, "2014 Campaign Contributions, Governors Race," accessed May 15, 2014
    23. Arkansas News Bureau, "McDaniel raises $1 million for governor’s race," October 15, 2012
    24. Arkansas Times, "McDaniel admits 'inappropriate interaction' with Hot Springs lawyer," December 18, 2013
    25. Arkansas Times, "McDaniel officially announces he's out of governor's race," January 25, 2013
    26. Arkansas Code, "Title 7, Section 1-101-21," accessed December 3, 2013
    27. Arkansas House Bill 2036, "An Act To Amend the Law Concerning Certain Procedural Dates In Election; To Amend the Law Concerning Certain Petitions; And For Other Purposes," Approved April 18, 2013
    28. Libertarian Party of Arkansas Website, "History of the Libertarian Party of Arkansas," accessed December 5, 2013
    29. Green Party of Arkansas Website, "Ballot Access," accessed December 5, 2013
    30. Arkansas Secretary of State Mark Martin, "New Political Party Petition--Green Party," November 6, 2013
    31. UALR Public Radio, "Poll: Ross, Hutchinson In Virtual Dead Heat In Governor’s Race," April 6, 2014
    32. The number of gubernatorial seats up for election varies, with as many as 36 seats and as few as 12 seats being up in a single even-numbered year.
    33. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
    34. Arkansas Demographics, "Arkansas Cities by Population," accessed August 30, 2018
    35. U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Arkansas," accessed August 30, 2018