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New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2018

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Governor of New Hampshire
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 15, 2018
Primary: September 11, 2018
General: November 6, 2018
Pre-election incumbent(s):
Chris Sununu (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: Varies by municipality
Voting in New Hampshire
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2018
Impact of term limits in 2018
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
New Hampshire
executive elections
Governor

State executive council


Incumbent Chris Sununu (R) defeated Molly Kelly (D) and Jilletta Jarvis (L) in the 2018 general election for governor of New Hampshire.

Sununu was first elected in 2016, winning by a 2-point margin. That same year, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Hampshire in the presidential election by a 0.4-point margin.

Before Sununu, New Hampshire's last Republican governor was elected in 2002. Gov. Craig Benson (R) served one two-year term and lost his 2004 re-election bid.[1]

The winner of this election stood to influence the state's redistricting process following the 2020 census. In New Hampshire, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. These lines are subject to veto by the governor.[2]

New Hampshire was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election. Click here for more information on other 2018 gubernatorial elections.

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.


Candidates and election results

See also: Statistics on gubernatorial candidates, 2018

General election

General election for Governor of New Hampshire

Incumbent Chris Sununu defeated Molly Kelly and Jilletta Jarvis in the general election for Governor of New Hampshire on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Chris Sununu
Chris Sununu (R)
 
52.8
 
302,764
Image of Molly Kelly
Molly Kelly (D)
 
45.8
 
262,359
Image of Jilletta Jarvis
Jilletta Jarvis (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
8,197

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 573,320
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of New Hampshire

Molly Kelly defeated Steve Marchand in the Democratic primary for Governor of New Hampshire on September 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Molly Kelly
Molly Kelly
 
66.0
 
80,599
Image of Steve Marchand
Steve Marchand
 
34.0
 
41,612

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 122,211
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of New Hampshire

Incumbent Chris Sununu advanced from the Republican primary for Governor of New Hampshire on September 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Chris Sununu
Chris Sununu
 
100.0
 
91,025

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 91,025
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for Governor of New Hampshire

Jilletta Jarvis defeated Aaron Day in the Libertarian primary for Governor of New Hampshire on September 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Jilletta Jarvis
Jilletta Jarvis Candidate Connection
 
54.2
 
576
Image of Aaron Day
Aaron Day
 
45.8
 
487

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 1,063
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages
Jilletta Jarvis, former regulatory and compliance learning project manager
Jilletta Jarvis LoRes.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Libertarian

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Jarvis graduated from Randolph-Macon Woman's College. Her professional experience includes work as an adjunct professor in the areas of medical insurance and medical assistants at New Hampshire Community Technical College and as a learning and developing supervisor at JP Morgan Chase. Before her 2018 campaign, she worked as a regulatory and compliance learning project manager for JP Morgan Chase.[3]

Key messages
  • Jarvis said that New Hampshire has an individualist philosophy that aligns with libertarianism. She said that her emphasis on protecting social rights, working for less government involvement in people's lives, and being responsible with the budget would appeal to New Hampshire voters.[4][5]
  • Jarvis described herself as a political outsider and said the political process needed outsiders to look for new solutions and work for the people.[4][6]
  • Jarvis emphasized her professional experience, saying that her work involved analyzing problems, finding solutions, and coming in under budget. She said she'd do the same as governor.[6]



Molly Kelly, former state senator
Molly Kelly.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: New Hampshire state senator (2006-2016)

Biography: Kelly earned her A.A. from Purdue University, her B.A. from Keene State College, and her J.D. from the Franklin Pierce Law Center. She worked as director for Franklin Pierce College's continuing education program, director of the Hospice of the Monadnock Region, legal affairs specialist for Hospice and Community Service, and a financial advisor for American International Group. She also served as a county chair for the Dukakis presidential campaign in 1987 and as Keene chair for Jeanne Shaheen's gubernatorial and U.S. Senate campaigns (1996 and 2002) and for John Kerry's presidential campaign in 2004.

Key messages
  • Kelly emphasized that she came from a family of 11 children and worked through college as a single mother, saying these experiences grounded her goal "to build a New Hampshire that works for everyone."[7][8]
  • Kelly said that Sununu looked out for special interests and that she would look out for the people. Kelly said that Sununu vetoed two renewable energy bills in 2018 due to contributions he had received from utility company Eversource.[9] She said she would not take corporate PAC money.[8]
  • Kelly named job training programs, affordable college, paid family leave, and opposition to school voucher programs as policy priorities. She criticized Sununu by saying that he referred to paid family leave as a vacation.[7][8]



Chris Sununu, governor of New Hampshire
Chris Sununu.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: Governor of New Hampshire (Assumed office: 2017); New Hampshire executive councilor for District 3 (2010-2016)

Biography: Sununu received a B.S. in civil/environmental engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He worked for 10 years as an environmental engineer and was owner and director for Sununu Enterprises, a business development consulting firm. He was also CEO of the Waterville Valley Ski Resort. Sununu is the son of former governor of New Hampshire John H. Sununu and brother of former congressman John E. Sununu.

Key messages
  • Sununu campaigned on his record as governor, emphasizing what he saw as economic improvements in the state. He said he balanced the budget without new taxes or fees and helped reduce business taxes to spur economic growth.[10][11]
  • Sununu also described the following as successes of his administration: the implementation of full-day kindergarten, expanded healthcare for veterans, reforms to the Department of Children Youth & Families, and clean water project investments.[10]
  • Sununu stated that ratepayers are his priority concerning energy policy, and he said he was looking out for ratepayers by vetoing a biomass bill in September 2018.[9][11]


Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
New Hampshire Governor 2018, Sununu (R) v. Kelly (D) v. Jarvis (L)
Poll Molly Kelly (D) Chris Sununu (R)Jilletta Jarvis (L)Other/UndecidedMargin of errorSample size
Granite State Poll, University of New Hampshire
November 1-4, 2018		 46%46%2%6%+/-3.9604
Granite State Poll, University of New Hampshire
October 10-18, 2018		 39%50%4%7%+/-4.4499
Saint Anselm College
October 10-15, 2018		 39%49%1%12%+/-4.6454
AVERAGES 41.33% 48.33% 2.33% 8.33% +/-4.3 519
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
New Hampshire Governor 2018, Sununu (R) v. Kelly (D)
Poll Molly Kelly Chris SununuUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Emerson College
October 27-29, 2018		 43%51%5%+/-4.9441
American Research Group
September 21-26, 2018		 44%49%7%+/-3.5800
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

PredictIt Prices

This section provides the PredictIt market prices for this race during the three months leading up to the election. PredictIt is a site where people make and trade predictions on political and financial events. Market prices reflect the probability, based on PredictIt users' predictions, that a candidate will win a race. For example, a market price of $0.60 for Candidate A is equivalent to a 60 percent probability that Candidate A will win.

Campaign finance


Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[12][13][14]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • NextGen New Hampshire spent $17,000 on a digital ad buy supporting Kelly, WMUR reported on October 25.[15]
  • The Republican Governors Association's Live Free PAC spent $410,000 for an ad opposing Kelly to air on WMUR through Election Day. The ad was released October 28, 2018.[16]
    • On November 2, the PAC increased its buy on WMUR and cable, totalling $800,000.[17]


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[18]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[19][20][21]

Race ratings: New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2018October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018
The Cook Political ReportLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Noteworthy general election endorsements
Endorsement Molly Kelly (D) Chris Sununu (R)
Individuals
Former Pres. Barack Obama (D)[22] ✔
2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton[23] ✔
Organizations
New Hampshire Troopers Association[24] ✔
New Hampshire Police Association[25] ✔
Professional Firefighters of New Hampshire[26] ✔
Newspapers
The Eagle Tribune[27] ✔
The Nashua Telegraph[28] ✔

Timeline

  • November 4, 2018: A poll from the University of New Hampshire suggested a closer race than polls through October. This poll showed Sununu and Kelly tied at 46 percent support.
  • November 1, 2018: Sununu and Kelly participated in a debate.
  • October 30, 2018: Sununu and Kelly met for a debate.
  • October 29, 2018: An Emerson College poll showed Sununu leading Kelly by 8 percentage points.
  • October 28, 2018: Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) attended a get-out-the-vote rally in New Hampshire with Kelly and other Democratic candidates.[29]
  • October 22, 2018: Sununu and Kelly participated in a candidate forum.[30]
  • October 15-18, 2018: Two polls showed Sununu leading Kelly by 10 and 11 percentage points.
  • October 9, 2018: Sununu released his first TV ad, entitled "Better." Watch the ad below.
  • October 7, 2018: Kelly released her first TV ad since the Democratic primary. Watch the ad, entitled "Families," below.
  • September 26, 2018: An American Research Group poll showed Sununu leading Kelly 49 percent to 44 percent, with 7 percent undecided. The poll's margin of error was +/-3.5 percentage points.
  • September 26, 2018: The Professional Firefighters of New Hampshire union endorsed Chris Sununu.

Campaign advertisements

This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Molly Kelly

Support

"Voter Guide, NH Gov" - NextGen ad, released October 16, 2018
"People Energy" - Kelly campaign ad, released September 7, 2018
"Table" - Kelly campaign ad, released August 22, 2018

Oppose

"Troubling" - RGA ad, released October 28, 2018


Republican Party Chris Sununu

Support

"Forward" - Sununu campaign ad, released November 2, 2018
"Our Families" - Sununu campaign ad, released October 26, 2018
"Better" - Sununu campaign ad, released October 9, 2018
"Building a 21st Century Education System" - Sununu campaign ad, released September 4, 2018
"The New Hampshire Economy" - Sununu campaign ad, released August 23, 2018
"Axing the Biomass Tax" - Sununu campaign ad, released August 9, 2018
"Getting the Job Done" - Sununu campaign ad, released July 23, 2018


Oppose

"Opens Doors" - Kelly campaign ad, released October 24, 2018
"Not a Vacation" - Kelly campaign ad, released October 17, 2018
"Families" - Kelly campaign ad, released October 7, 2018
"Sununu won't stand with NH women" - Supporters of Molly Kelly PAC ad, released October 4, 2018

Debates and forums

  • November 1, 2018: Sununu and Kelly participated in a debate. View coverage of the event here.
  • October 30, 2018: Sununu and Kelly met for a debate sponsored by the Greater Manchester Chamber of Commerce. Read coverage of the debate here.
  • October 22, 2018: Sununu and Kelly participated in a debate. Topics discussed included the state's economy, taxes, and paid family leave. View coverage of the event here.

Campaign themes

Molly Kelly

The following were found on Kelly's campaign site.

“

I’m running for governor to build a New Hampshire that works for everyone. As a State Senator, I stood up for public schools and students; defended Planned Parenthood; helped to pass marriage equality; advocated for common sense gun safety measures; propelled our state to a clean energy future; sounded the alarm on the opioid epidemic; and fought for working families. I will bring my record of results and vision for the future to the Governor’s office, to build a better New Hampshire for every Granite Stater.

Education & Job Training

Public education is a core tenet of our democracy. Every child should have access to a quality public school education. That’s why I will veto any plan that takes money from our public schools to create a voucher program for private or religious schools.

College is too expensive, and too many young graduates carry too much student loan debt. I will work to make college more affordable to decrease this burden for students and ensure education remains available to everyone.

Jobs & Economy

Corporate profits are breaking records, but too many Granite Staters are being left behind by an agenda that puts special interests ahead of children and families. I’m running for governor to build a New Hampshire that works for everyone by championing policies that will help ensure economic security for all. As governor, I will:

  • Sign paid family and medical leave that will allow everyone to be with their loved ones in times of need, such as new parents or when family members experience a medical crisis;
  • Increase the minimum wage to $15 an hour and index it to inflation so that families don’t continually get left behind;
  • Pass legislation requiring businesses to give adequate notice to employees on schedule changes so that families can plan for child care;
  • Help meet our state’s workforce needs by ensuring that companies recognize and value the contributions of older workers; and
  • Reinstate net neutrality on the state level to provide a free, open internet for everyone, including our small businesses.

Learn more about my "Family Economic Security" plan.

Further, I disagree with the recent Supreme Court decision in Janus v. AFSCME. Eight years after giving corporations an unlimited voice in our elections with its Citizens United decision, this Supreme Court decision supports an attack on unions from powerful interests and makes it harder for New Hampshire families to improve their lives, provide opportunities for their children and ensure a secure retirement. I will put hardworking New Hampshire families first.

Opioid Epidemic

The devastating opioid epidemic is the biggest challenge our state faces. We need to help people suffering from substance misuse disorders to recover and rebuild their lives today; support the first responders on the front lines of the epidemic, and do more to help people avoid this illness in the first place. As governor, I will:

  • Ensure long-term stable funding so that we can grow and sustain the network of providers we need to help people get treatment and recover resources.
  • Expand the number of primary care providers with incentives and training to integrate treatment into primary health care;
  • Advocate for expanding medication-assisted treatment, including advocating for the federal government to lift the cap on the number of patients that providers can treat with certain medications;
  • Continue to expand access to treatment, including medically assisted treatment, within the corrections system;
  • Provide greater support for recovery housing and ongoing recovery support – a critical tool for helping people get back on their feet and into the workplace; and
  • Provide support for children – and their caregivers – who have been impacted by the opioid crisis to help them avoid suffering from substance misuse disorders and other long-term effects.

Energy & Environment

Climate change is a real threat to our state, and we cannot wait to act to reverse its harmful impacts. Instead, we must protect the health of our people, our wildlife and our natural resources. We must ensure everyone can breathe clean air and drink clean water.

As a state senator, I worked to pass New Hampshire’s first group net metering legislation into law, propelling solar and hydropower growth. We must build on this success by expanding the group net metering cap from 1 megawatt to 5 megawatts. SB 446, which Governor Sununu vetoed, would have spurred further locally-generated, renewable energy growth in our state, created jobs, saved money for cities and towns and lowered property taxes for residents and reduced electric rates.

I oppose the Trump Administration’s plan to open up New Hampshire’s coast for offshore oil and gas drilling. We’ve already seen the devastating environmental and economic damages an oil spill would bring. The fate of our fishing and tourism industries should not rest in the hands of oil companies.

Further, I will work with our neighboring states as part of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, which studies show has saved consumers hundreds of millions of dollars while significantly cutting harmful emissions.

I have always opposed the Northern Pass Project. I oppose any project that does not garner local support.

State Budget that Invests in Our Future

As a state senator, I fought to make smart investments in our state’s future, while keeping the budget balanced. As a state senator, I was proud to help to prevent tuition increases at our state’s public colleges and universities. Governor Sununu, though, is not making much-needed investments in our university system. And working families are paying the price.

Instead of helping make college more affordable for families, Governor Sununu gave tax breaks to wealthy corporations. The Sununu tax breaks for wealthy corporations are not responsible, fair, or smart for our state’s future. As governor, I will veto an income or sales tax, but close corporate tax breaks and loopholes so that we can strengthen public education, make college more affordable and invest in job training.

It’s also time for New Hampshire to join other New England states in legalizing, regulating and generating revenue from marijuana.

Gun Violence Prevention

My heart breaks for families who have lost a loved one to gun violence. I never worried about my children when they went to school. Now, I fear for the safety of my grandchildren. I refuse to wait for New Hampshire to suffer through a tragic school shooting. We can and must do better than this. As governor, I will work to:

  • Pass universal background checks;
  • Keep children and domestic abusers from getting guns;
  • Keep military-style weapons off our streets;
  • Reinstate the requirement of a permit to carry a concealed weapon;
  • Pass a red flag law;
  • Institute a 48-hour waiting period for all gun purchases; and
  • Support local communities’ decision to ensure the safety of their residents
  • It is our responsibility to prevent senseless gun deaths and to ensure every child feels safe in a New Hampshire classroom.

Campaign & Government Reform

I’m proud to be the only candidate for governor who has refused to accept corporate contributions from day one of my campaign.

In addition to getting dark money out of our politics and government, we must also modernize campaign finance laws to make them clear, concise and uniform for all candidates. As governor, I will work to:

  • Close the LLC loophole that allows the same person to give contributions through multiple entities;
  • Clarify the law on funding limits;
  • Bring greater transparency to campaign funding; and
  • End partisan gerrymandering by creating an independent redistricting committee.

Welcoming Immigrants to Our State

Our country and our state are stronger because of immigrants, who enrich our communities and our lives. But the Trump Administration is despicably violating human rights and common sense by ripping children from their parents’ arms at the southern border, failing to recognize legitimate asylum claims and even seeking to deport Dreamers and people with legal permanent resident status. Trump has truly created a deportation force and given enforcement agents carte blanche to treat certain people as less than human. This is wrong.

Further, New Hampshire law enforcement should not do the federal government’s job of enforcing immigration laws. The federal government’s top priority must be reuniting children with their parents as soon as possible.

I'm also concerned about Border Patrol checkpoints set up far from the New Hampshire-Canada border that reports indicate may be unconstitutional.

Protecting Vulnerable Children

Chris Sununu is failing to protect vulnerable children in our state. If we can give tax cuts to wealthy corporations, then we can fully fund DCYF. Every day that we don’t stand up and work to end this crisis is a day another child is at risk because of the state. Not taking care of children is a moral failure. When I’m Governor, I won’t accept that.

We must take the following three steps:

  • Provide full, consistent and stable funding for child protection and child violence protection in the state budget, not through one-time appropriations from one-off sources, like the Children's Health Insurance Program money.
  • Follow the recommendations from the 2016 independent audit report of DCYF and the 2018 DHHS Adequacy and *Enhancement report including fully funding voluntary services for families at risk, establishing community-based prevention programs, and reducing caseloads to national standard of 12 per case worker; and
  • Set up an independent system of care that’s outside of the child protection context, helping to address the needs of children, prevent violence from happening, and shift out of crisis mode.

Ensuring Access to Health Care

I believe health care is a right for every person in New Hampshire. That’s why I voted for Medicaid expansion that now covers 50,000 people in New Hampshire. However, I oppose efforts that make accessing care more difficult, such as the work requirement Governor Sununu pushed for and the Republican-led legislature passed.

Efforts in Washington to remove critical rights and protections made possible by the Affordable Care Act pose a severe threat to the health and well-being of Granite Staters. No one should face bankruptcy due to a medical emergency or be denied health insurance because they have a pre-existing condition. As governor, I will ensure our health care system works for every Granite Stater.

Further, as we face the possibility of the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade, I will ensure New Hampshire remains a state respecting the reproductive rights of women, including by ensuring access to a safe, legal abortion. I will fight to make sure that New Hampshire funds Planned Parenthood and other family planning centers.

LGBTQ Rights

I was proud to be one of the first legislators in the country to vote for marriage equality nearly a decade ago. All of us have worked so hard for so long to make positive change in the lives of Granite Staters.

But without Justice Kennedy on the U.S. Supreme Court, much of our success is now threatened. Protections at the state level will be critical, which makes this governor’s race even more important to every Granite Stater who believes a person has the right to be married to the person they love and not face discrimination at school, housing and their workplace.

Veterans

As the daughter of a World War II veteran, I will never waver in supporting the men and women who have fought to keep our state and country safe. We must honor their sacrifices and ensure they have the care their need. As governor, I will:

Fully fund New Hampshire’s Veterans Home so that every veteran has access to a bed; and Ensure the veterans service office is fully staffed to help New Hampshire veterans receive the benefits they’ve earned.

Voting Rights

As a state senator, I fought efforts to disenfranchise voters in New Hampshire. But Governor Sununu has signed two bills restricting voting rights, SB 3 and HB 1264. I will repeal these bills.

Not only is voter suppression wrong, but also it makes meeting one of our state's challenges – keeping our young people here – even more difficult. It’s no surprise that a recent study found that young people are leaving New Hampshire and citing “unfriendly public policies” as a reason for saying goodbye to the Granite State. We cannot accept this.

Because so many have given their lives for the right to vote, I cannot accept Governor Sununu putting up barriers. Instead, as governor, I’ll send a strong message that we want their voices in New Hampshire. I would make voting easier by supporting vote by mail, supporting automatic voter registration and advocating for early voting.[32]

”
—Molly Kelly's 2018 campaign website[33]

Chris Sununu

The following were found on Sununu's campaign website.

“

Chris' Record
✔ A balanced state budget with no new taxes or fees

✔ Property tax relief by returning $65 million to cities and towns for roads, bridges, and safer schools

✔ Greater health care choices for veterans

✔ Job creating business tax cuts

✔ Stopped toll increases

✔ Increased funding to provide better care for seniors

✔ Established full day kindergarten

✔ Fully funded the Alcohol Fund to fight substance use disorder, created the only youth drug treatment center in NH, and kick-started recovery friendly workplaces

✔ $275 million invested in clean water projects

✔ $5 million in higher education scholarships

✔ Eliminated over 1600 burdensome government regulations

Economy
✔ Fastest growing economy in New England

✔ Networked hundreds of out-of-state businesses to relocate to New Hampshire

✔ Eliminated over 1,600 burdensome government regulations

✔ Lowered the Business Profits and Enterprise taxes

✔ Created the Department of Business and Economic Affairs

✔ One of the lowest unemployment rates in the country

Education
✔ Established full-day kindergarten

✔ $5 million in higher education scholarships

✔ Greater school choice for New Hampshire families

✔ Established the New Hampshire Robotics Education Fund to prepare students for work in the 21st century

Infrustructure
✔ Returned $40 million to cities and towns for roads and bridges

✔ Returned $30 million for school infrastructure and security upgrades

✔ Dedicated $35 million to reduce water contamination

Safety
✔ Created the only youth drug treatment center in New Hampshire

✔ Increased funding for treatment and recovery services by $7 million

✔ Added 60 new beds for community mental health treatment options

✔ Established a $4.5 million drug interdiction program to disrupt supply chains

✔ Added 20 new DCYF case workers across the state[32]

”
—Chris Sununu's 2018 campaign website[34]


Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic Party Molly Kelly Facebook

Republican Party Chris Sununu Facebook

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Three of 10 New Hampshire counties—30 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Coos County, New Hampshire 8.89% 17.54% 18.19%
Hillsborough County, New Hampshire 0.20% 1.12% 3.73%
Sullivan County, New Hampshire 2.58% 13.27% 17.93%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Hampshire with 46.8 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 46.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1789 and 2016, New Hampshire voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 31 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Hampshire voted Democratic with the exception of the 2000 presidential election.[35]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Senate districts in New Hampshire. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[36][37]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 12 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 17.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 10 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 14.5 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 12 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 5.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 14 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 9.6 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in New Hampshire. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[38][39]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 145 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 17.8 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 101 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 17.1 points.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 59 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 9.9 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 103 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 12.9 points.


Election history

2016

See also: New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2016

Chris Sununu defeated Colin Van Ostern, Max Abramson, Jilletta Jarvis, and Bill Fortune in the New Hampshire governor election.

New Hampshire Governor, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.png Chris Sununu 48.88% 307,342
     Democratic Colin Van Ostern 46.91% 294,946
     Libertarian Max Abramson 4.21% 26,483
     Independent Jilletta Jarvis 0.00% 0
     Independent Bill Fortune 0.00% 0
Total Votes 628,771
Source: The New York Times

2014

See also: New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014

In the 2014 gubernatorial election, incumbent Maggie Hassan (D) defeated challenger Walter Havenstein (R).

Governor of New Hampshire, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMaggie Hassan Incumbent 52.5% 254,659
     Republican Walter Havenstein 47.3% 229,596
     Nonpartisan Scattering 0.2% 907
Total Votes 485,162
Election results via New Hampshire Secretary of State

2012

See also: New Hampshire state executive official elections, 2012

On November 6, 2012, Maggie Hassan won election to the office of Governor of New Hampshire. She defeated Ovide Lamontagne and John Babiarz in the general election.

Governor of New Hampshire, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMaggie Hassan 54.6% 378,934
     Republican Ovide Lamontagne 42.5% 295,024
     Libertarian John Babiars 2.8% 19,251
     N/A Other 0.1% 666
Total Votes 693,875
Election results via New Hampshire Office of the Secretary of State.

2010

See also: New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2010

On November 2, 2010, John Lynch won re-election to the office of Governor of New Hampshire. He defeated John Stephen and John Babiarz in the general election.

Governor of New Hampshire, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Lynch Incumbent 52.6% 240,346
     Republican John Stephen 45% 205,626
     Libertarian John Babiarz 2.2% 10,089
     N/A Other 0.1% 685
Total Votes 456,746
Election results via New Hampshire Office of the Secretary of State.

2008

On November 4, 2008, John Lynch won re-election to the office of Governor of New Hampshire. He defeated Joseph Kenney and Susan Newell in the general election.

Governor of New Hampshire, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Lynch Incumbent 70.2% 479,042
     Republican Joseph Kenney 27.6% 188,555
     Libertarian Susan Newell 2.2% 14,987
Total Votes 682,584
Election results via New Hampshire Office of the Secretary of State.

2006

On November 7, 2006, John Lynch won re-election to the office of Governor of New Hampshire. He defeated James Coburn and Richard Kahn in the general election.

Governor of New Hampshire, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Lynch Incumbent 74% 298,761
     Republican James Coburn 25.8% 104,288
     Libertarian Richard Kahn 0.1% 323
     N/A Other 0.1% 308
Total Votes 403,680
Election results via New Hampshire Office of the Secretary of State.

2004

On November 2, 2004, John Lynch won election to the office of Governor of New Hampshire. He defeated Craig Benson in the general election.

Governor of New Hampshire, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Lynch 51.1% 340,299
     Republican Craig Benson Incumbent 48.9% 325,981
Total Votes 666,280
Election results via New Hampshire Office of the Secretary of State.

2002

On November 5, 2002, Craig Benson won election to the office of Governor of New Hampshire. He defeated Mark Fernald and John Babiarz in the general election.

Governor of New Hampshire, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngCraig Benson 58.6% 259,663
     Democratic Mark Fernald 38.2% 169,277
     Libertarian John Babiarz 2.9% 13,028
     N/A Other 0.2% 1,008
Total Votes 442,976
Election results via New Hampshire Office of the Secretary of State.

2000

On November 7, 2000, Jeanne Shaheen won re-election to the office of Governor of New Hampshire. She defeated Gordon Humphrey, Mary Brown, and John Babiarz in the general election.

Governor of New Hampshire, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJeanne Shaheen Incumbent 48.7% 275,038
     Republican Gordon Humphrey 43.8% 246,952
     Independent Mary Brown 6.4% 35,904
     Libertarian John Babiarz 1.1% 6,446
Total Votes 564,340
Election results via New Hampshire Office of the Secretary of State.

Wave election analysis

See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

Applying this definition to gubernatorial elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 gubernatorial waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

Gubernatorial wave elections
Year President Party Election type Gubernatorial seats change Elections analyzed[40]
1970 Nixon R First midterm -12 35
1922 Harding R First midterm -11 33
1932 Hoover R Presidential -10 35
1920 Wilson D Presidential -10 36
1994 Clinton D First midterm -10 36
1930 Hoover R First midterm -9 33
1938 Roosevelt D Second midterm -9 33
1966 Johnson D First midterm[41] -9 35
1954 Eisenhower R First midterm -8 33
1982 Reagan R First midterm -7 36
2010 Obama D First midterm -7 33

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New Hampshire heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Republicans controlled both chambers of the New Hampshire General Court. They had a 212-167 majority in the state House and a 14-10 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • New Hampshire was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.

2018 elections

See also: New Hampshire elections, 2018

New Hampshire held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for New Hampshire
 New HampshireU.S.
Total population:1,330,111316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):8,9533,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:93.7%73.6%
Black/African American:1.3%12.6%
Asian:2.4%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:1.8%3%
Hispanic/Latino:3.2%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:92.3%86.7%
College graduation rate:34.9%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$66,779$53,889
Persons below poverty level:9.9%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Hampshire.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, New Hampshire's three largest cities were Manchester (pop. est. 111,196), Nashua (pop. est. 88,341), and Concord (pop. est. 43,019).[42][43]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Hampshire from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the New Hampshire State Board of Elections.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Hampshire every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), New Hampshire 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 47.6% Republican Party Donald Trump 47.2% 0.4%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 52.0% Republican Party Mitt Romney 46.4% 5.6%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 54.4% Republican Party John McCain 44.7% 9.7%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 50.2% Republican Party George W. Bush 48.9% 1.3%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 48.1% Democratic Party Al Gore 46.9% 1.2%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Hampshire from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), New Hampshire 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Maggie Hassan 48.0% Republican Party Kelly Ayotte 47.8% 0.2%
2014 Democratic Party Jeanne Shaheen 51.5% Republican Party Scott Brown 48.2% 3.3%
2010 Republican Party Kelly Ayotte 60.2% Democratic Party Paul Hodes 36.7% 23.5%
2008 Democratic Party Jeanne Shaheen 51.6% Republican Party John E. Sununu 45.3% 6.3%
2004 Republican Party Judd Gregg 66.2% Democratic Party Doris Haddock 33.7% 32.5%
2002 Republican Party John E. Sununu 50.8% Democratic Party Jeanne Shaheen 46.4% 4.4%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every two years in New Hampshire.

Election results (Governor), New Hampshire 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Chris Sununu 48.8% Democratic Party Colin Van Ostern 46.6% 2.2%
2014 Democratic Party Maggie Hassan 52.5% Republican Party Walter Havenstein 47.3% 5.2%
2012 Democratic Party Maggie Hassan 54.6% Republican Party Ovide Lamontagne 42.5% 12.1%
2010 Democratic Party John Lynch 52.6% Republican Party John Stephen 45.1% 7.5%
2008 Democratic Party John Lynch 70.1% Republican Party Joseph Kenney 27.6% 42.5%
2006 Democratic Party John Lynch 74.0% Republican Party Jim Coburn 25.8% 48.2%
2004 Democratic Party John Lynch 51.0% Republican Party Craig Benson 48.9% 2.1%
2002 Republican Party Craig Benson 58.7% Democratic Party Mark Fernald 38.2% 20.5%
2000 Democratic Party Jeanne Shaheen 48.8% Republican Party Gordon Humphrey 43.8% 5.0%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Hampshire in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, New Hampshire 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2014 Republican Party 1 50.0% Democratic Party 1 50.0% Even
2012 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2010 Republican Party 2 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+2
2008 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2006 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2004 Republican Party 2 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+2
2002 Republican Party 2 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+2
2000 Republican Party 2 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+2

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

New Hampshire Party Control: 1992-2025
Four years of Democratic trifectas  •  Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor R R R R R D D D D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R
Senate R R R R R R R D S R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R D D R R R R D D R R R R R


Recent news

The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms New Hampshire governor election 2018. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2018 - Google News

See also

New Hampshire government:

Elections:

Ballotpedia exclusives:

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Boston.com, "Defeated after 1 term, N.H. governor fades out," November 4, 2004
  2. ↑ All About Redistricting, "New Hampshire," accessed May 5, 2015
  3. ↑ Vote Smart, "Jilletta Jarvis' Biography," accessed November 1, 2018
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 71Republic, "Think Differently – Jarvis for NH Governor," May 2, 2018
  5. ↑ SentinelSource.com, "In race for governor, Libertarian Jilletta Jarvis says she brings cross-party appeal," October 2, 2018
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 Jilletta Jarvis' 2018 campaign website, "About Jilletta," accessed November 1, 2018
  7. ↑ 7.0 7.1 WMUR, "CloseUP: Democrat Molly Kelly on taking on Republican Gov. Chris Sununu," September 16, 2018
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 Molly Kelly's 2018 campaign website, "Home," accessed September 30, 2018
  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 Concord Monitor, "Gov. Chris Sununu, Molly Kelly outline energy plans for N.H.," September 24, 2018
  10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 Chris Sununu's 2018 campaign website, "Home," accessed September 30, 2018
  11. ↑ 11.0 11.1 Chris Sununu's 2018 campaign website, "Videos," accessed September 30, 2018
  12. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  13. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  14. ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  15. ↑ WMUR, "NH Primary Source: NextGen New Hampshire ramps up digital buy backing Kelly for governor," October 25, 2018
  16. ↑ WMUR, "NH Primary Source: Polling, spending indicates key races closing," November 1, 2018
  17. ↑ WMUR, "NH Primary Source: Democratic poll claims dead heat in governor’s race as RGA ups its anti-Kelly buy," November 2, 2018
  18. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  19. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  20. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  21. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  22. ↑ 22.0 22.1 The Conway Daily Sun, "Kelly visits North Conway, picks up Obama endorsement," October 1, 2018
  23. ↑ The Hill, "Hillary Clinton issues endorsements in key governor races," October 29, 2018
  24. ↑ Sununu was the first Republican gubernatorial candidate the New Hampshire Troopers Association endorsed in 18 years. WMUR, "NH Troopers Association endorses Sununu for reelection," August 6, 2018
  25. ↑ In 2016, the New Hampshire Police Association endorsed Sununu's Democratic opponent, Colin Van Ostern. WMUR, "Sununu receives earliest ever NH Police Association endorsement," June 22, 2018
  26. ↑ The Professional Firefighters of New Hampshire had not endorsed a Republican for governor since 2004. WMUR, "Kelly, Sununu pick up dueling labor union endorsements," September 26, 2018
  27. ↑ The Eagle Tribune, "Our View: Reelect Chris Sununu in N.H.," November 2, 2018
  28. ↑ Telegraph endorses Sununu," November 4, 2018
  29. ↑ WCVB, "Booker tells New England activists 'We are in a moral moment in America,'" October 28, 2018
  30. ↑ Nashua Telegraph, "Nashua gubernatorial forum set for Monday," October 21, 2018
  31. ↑ WSLS, "McAuliffe in New Hampshire to campaign for Kelly," October 20, 2018
  32. ↑ 32.0 32.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  33. ↑ Molly Kelly's 2018 campaign website, "Issues," accessed September 19, 2018
  34. ↑ Chris Sununu's 2018 campaign website, "Chris' Record," archived September 12, 2018
  35. ↑ 270towin.com, "New Hampshire," accessed June 1, 2017
  36. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  37. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  38. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  39. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  40. ↑ The number of gubernatorial seats up for election varies, with as many as 36 seats and as few as 12 seats being up in a single even-numbered year.
  41. ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
  42. ↑ New Hampshire Demographics, "New Hampshire Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018
  43. ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts New Hampshire," accessed September 5, 2018
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