Colorado's 4th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 29[2]
- Early voting: Mail ballots available Oct. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID required for in-person voting
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
| Colorado's 4th Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 20, 2018 |
| Primary: June 26, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Ken Buck (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Colorado |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th Colorado elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Democratic Party primary election took place on June 26, 2018, in Colorado's 4th District to determine which Democrat would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Candidates and election results
Karen McCormick defeated Chase Kohne in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Colorado District 4 on June 26, 2018.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Colorado District 4
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Karen McCormick | 64.7 | 37,120 |
 | Chase Kohne | 35.3 | 20,269 | |
| Total votes: 57,389 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Larry Germanson (D)
- Leonard Sistek (D)
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Colorado's 4th Congressional District the 106th most Republican nationally.[3]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.04. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.04 points toward that party.[4]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[5]
Democrats
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Colorado heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- The state had a split delegation (one Democrat, one Republican) in the U.S. Senate. Colorado did not hold elections for either U.S. Senate seat in 2018.
- Republicans held four of seven U.S. House seats in Colorado, and Democrats held three.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Republicans held three of 10 state executive positions. Democrats held two, and five were nonpartisan.
- The governor of Colorado was Democrat John Hickenlooper, who was term-limited and unable to run for re-election in 2018. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- The Colorado state legislature was under divided control. Republicans had an 18-16 majority in the state Senate, with one Independent who caucused with the Democrats. Democrats had a 36-29 majority in the state House.
Trifecta status
- Heading into the 2018 elections, Colorado was under divided government.
2018 elections
- See also: Colorado elections, 2018
Colorado held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- All seven U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Attorney general
- Secretary of state
- Treasurer
- Seventeen of 35 seats in the state Senate
- All 65 seats in the state House of Representatives
- Two of seven seats on the state board of education
- Three of nine seats on the state board of regents
- One justice of the Colorado Supreme Court (retention election)
- Five members of the Colorado Court of Appeals (retention election)
- Local judicial offices
- Municipal elections in Adams County, Arapahoe County and El Paso County
Demographics
| Demographic data for Colorado | ||
|---|---|---|
| Colorado | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 5,448,819 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 103,642 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 84.2% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 4% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 2.9% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 3.5% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 21.1% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 90.7% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 38.1% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $60,629 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 13.5% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Colorado. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2017, Colorado had a population of approximately 5.6 million people, and its two largest cities were Denver (pop. est. 719,000) and Colorado Springs (pop. est. 484,000).[6][7]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Colorado from 2000 to 2016.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Colorado every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Colorado 2000-2016[8] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton |
48.2% |  Donald Trump |
43.3% | 4.9% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
51.5% | Mitt Romney |
46.1% | 5.4% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
53.7% | John McCain |
44.7% | 9.0% |
| 2004 | George W. Bush |
51.7% | John Kerry |
47.0% | 4.7% |
| 2000 | George W. Bush |
50.8% | Al Gore |
42.4% | 8.4% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Colorado from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Colorado 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016[9] | Michael Bennet |
50.0% | Darryl Glenn |
44.3% | 5.7% |
| 2014[10] | Cory Gardner |
48.2% | Mark Udall |
46.3% | 1.9% |
| 2010[11] | Michael Bennet |
48.1% | Ken Buck |
46.4% | 1.7% |
| 2008[12] | Mark Udall |
52.8% | Bob Schaffer |
42.5% | 10.3% |
| 2004[13] | Ken Salazar |
50.4% | Pete Coors |
45.7% | 4.7% |
| 2002[14] | Wayne Allard |
50.1% | Tom Strickland |
45.2% | 4.9% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Colorado, and take place in even-numbered years between presidential elections.
| Election results (Governor), Colorado 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014[10] | John Hickenlooper |
49.3% | Bob Beauprez |
46.0% | 3.3% |
| 2010[11] | John Hickenlooper |
51.1% |  Tom Tancredo |
36.4% | 14.7% |
| 2006[15] | Bill Ritter |
56.0% | Bob Beauprez |
39.5% | 16.5% |
| 2002[14] | Bill Owens |
61.7% | Rollie Heath |
33.2% | 28.5% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Colorado in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Colorado 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016[9] | 4 |
57.1% | 3 |
42.9% | R+1 |
| 2014[10] | 4 |
57.1% | 3 |
42.9% | R+1 |
| 2012[16] | 4 |
57.1% | 3 |
42.9% | R+1 |
| 2010[11] | 4 |
57.1% | 3 |
42.9% | R+1 |
| 2008[12] | 2 |
28.6% | 5 |
71.4% | D+3 |
| 2006[15] | 3 |
42.9% | 4 |
57.1% | D+1 |
| 2004[13] | 4 |
57.1% | 3 |
42.9% | R+1 |
| 2002[14] | 5 |
71.4% | 2 |
28.6% | R+3 |
| 2000[17] | 4 |
66.7% | 2 |
33.3% | R+2 |
Trifectas, 1992-2018
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Colorado Party Control: 1992-2026
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado, 2018
- United States House elections in Colorado (June 26, 2018 Democratic primaries)
- Colorado's 4th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Same-day registration was available for those voting in person at Voter Service and Polling Centers,
- ↑ Same-day registration was available for those voting in person at Voter Service and Polling Centers,
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts Colorado," accessed April 2, 2018
- ↑ World Population Review, "Population of Cities in Colorado (2018)," accessed April 2, 2018
- ↑ US Election Atlas, "United States Presidential Election Results," accessed April 2, 2018
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 Colorado Secretary of State, "2016 Abstract of Votes Cast," accessed April 3, 2018
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 10.2 Colorado Secretary of State, "2014 Abstract of Votes Cast," accessed April 3, 2018
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 11.2 Colorado Secretary of State, "2010 Abstract of Votes Cast," accessed April 4, 2018
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 Colorado Secretary of State, "Official Publication of the Abstract of Votes Cast for the 2008 Primary & 2008 General," accessed April 4, 2018
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 Colorado Secretary of State, "Official Publication of the Abstract of Votes Cast for the 2003 Coordinated, 2004 Primary, & 2004 General," accessed April 4, 2018
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 14.2 Colorado Secretary of State, "Official Publication of the Abstract of Votes Cast for the 2001 Coordinated, 2002 Primary, & 2002 General," accessed April 4, 2018
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 Colorado Secretary of State, "Official Publication of the Abstract of Votes Cast for the 2005 Coordinated, 2006 Primary, & 2006 General," accessed April 4, 2018
- ↑ Colorado Secretary of State, "2012 Abstract of Votes Cast," accessed April 4, 2018
- ↑ Colorado Secretary of State, "Official Publication of the Abstract of Votes Cast for the 2000 Presidential, 2000 Primary, & 2000 General," accessed April 4, 2018
