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Missouri's 7th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Missouri's 7th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 31, 2020
Primary: August 4, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Billy Long (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Missouri
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Missouri's 7th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Missouri elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 7th Congressional District of Missouri, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Billy Long won election in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 7.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 31, 2020
August 4, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Billy Long, who was first elected in 2010.

Missouri's 7th Congressional District is located in the southwestern portion of the state and includes Polk, Greene, Jasper, Newton, McDonald, Lawrence, Barry, Stone, Christian, and Taney counties and a part of Webster County.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Missouri's 7th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 28.1 26.6
Republican candidate Republican Party 70 68.9
Difference 41.9 42.3

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Missouri modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Any registered voter could cast an absentee ballot (subject to a notarization requirement) in the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 7

Incumbent Billy Long defeated Teresa Montseny (Unofficially withdrew), Kevin Craig, Audrey Richards, and Dennis Davis in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 7 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Billy Long
Billy Long (R)
 
68.9
 
254,318
Image of Teresa Montseny
Teresa Montseny (D) (Unofficially withdrew)
 
26.6
 
98,111
Image of Kevin Craig
Kevin Craig (L)
 
4.2
 
15,573
Image of Audrey Richards
Audrey Richards (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.3
 
1,279
Dennis Davis (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
2

Total votes: 369,283
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7

Teresa Montseny advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Teresa Montseny
Teresa Montseny
 
100.0
 
30,568

Total votes: 30,568
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7

Incumbent Billy Long defeated Eric Harleman, Kevin VanStory, Steve Chentnik, and Camille Lombardi-Olive in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Billy Long
Billy Long
 
66.1
 
69,319
Eric Harleman
 
11.1
 
11,688
Image of Kevin VanStory
Kevin VanStory Candidate Connection
 
10.0
 
10,482
Image of Steve Chentnik
Steve Chentnik Candidate Connection
 
7.1
 
7,393
Image of Camille Lombardi-Olive
Camille Lombardi-Olive
 
5.7
 
5,966

Total votes: 104,848
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7

Kevin Craig advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kevin Craig
Kevin Craig
 
100.0
 
508

Total votes: 508
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Missouri. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Missouri with 56.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 38.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1820 and 2016, Missouri voted Democratic 60 percent of the time and Republican 36 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Missouri voted Republican all five times.[2]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Missouri. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.3 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 39.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+23, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 23 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Missouri's 7th Congressional District the 24th most Republican nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.85. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.85 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Billy Long Republican Party $1,337,163 $1,534,977 $475,111 As of December 31, 2020
Teresa Montseny Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Kevin Craig Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Dennis Davis Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Audrey Richards Independent $7,985 $8,113 $-624 As of October 14, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Missouri's 7th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 7th Congressional District candidates in Missouri in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Missouri 7th Congressional District Established party 0 N/A $100.00 Fixed number 3/31/2020 Source
Missouri 7th Congressional District Unaffiliated 5,929 2% of all voters who voted for this office in the last election N/A N/A 7/28/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Missouri's 7th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 7

Incumbent Billy Long defeated Jamie Schoolcraft and Benjamin Brixey in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 7 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Billy Long
Billy Long (R)
 
66.2
 
196,343
Image of Jamie Schoolcraft
Jamie Schoolcraft (D)
 
30.1
 
89,190
Benjamin Brixey (L)
 
3.7
 
10,920
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
2

Total votes: 296,455
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7

Jamie Schoolcraft defeated Kenneth Hatfield, John Farmer de la Torre, and Vincent Jennings in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jamie Schoolcraft
Jamie Schoolcraft
 
40.6
 
12,499
Kenneth Hatfield
 
22.3
 
6,854
Image of John Farmer de la Torre
John Farmer de la Torre Candidate Connection
 
21.7
 
6,685
Image of Vincent Jennings
Vincent Jennings
 
15.4
 
4,738

Total votes: 30,776
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7

Incumbent Billy Long defeated Jim Evans, Lance Norris, and Benjamin Holcomb in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Billy Long
Billy Long
 
65.1
 
68,438
Image of Jim Evans
Jim Evans
 
17.5
 
18,383
Lance Norris
 
10.4
 
10,884
Image of Benjamin Holcomb
Benjamin Holcomb
 
7.1
 
7,416

Total votes: 105,121
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7

Benjamin Brixey advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 7 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Benjamin Brixey
 
100.0
 
697

Total votes: 697
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Missouri's 7th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Billy Long (R) defeated Genevieve Williams (D) and Benjamin Brixey (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Long defeated Nathan Clay, Christopher Batsche, Matthew Evans, Lyndle Spencer, Matthew Canovi, James Nelson, and Mary Byrne in the Republican primary, while Williams defeated Camille Lombardi-Olive, and Steven Reed to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on August 2, 2016. Long won re-election in the November 8 election.[13][14][15]

U.S. House, Missouri District 7 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBilly Long Incumbent 67.5% 228,692
     Democratic Genevieve Williams 27.4% 92,756
     Libertarian Benjamin Brixey 5.1% 17,153
     N/A Write-in 0% 6
Total Votes 338,607
Source: Missouri Secretary of State


U.S. House, Missouri District 7 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngGenevieve Williams 52.1% 9,402
Steven Reed 27.3% 4,915
Camille Lombardi-Olive 20.6% 3,714
Total Votes 18,031
Source: Missouri Secretary of State


U.S. House, Missouri District 7 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngBilly Long Incumbent 62.4% 67,012
Mary Byrne 13.1% 14,069
Matthew Canovi 8.9% 9,538
Matthew Evans 5% 5,346
Christopher Batsche 4.5% 4,860
Lyndle Spencer 3.3% 3,537
James Nelson 1.9% 2,037
Nathan Clay 1% 1,042
Total Votes 107,441
Source: Missouri Secretary of State

2014

See also: Missouri's 7th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 7th Congressional District of Missouri held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Billy Long (R) defeated Jim Evans (D) and Kevin Craig (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Missouri District 7 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBilly Long Incumbent 63.5% 104,054
     Democratic Jim Evans 28.8% 47,282
     Libertarian Kevin Craig 7.7% 12,584
     Write-in John C. Hagerty 0% 3
     Write-in Martin Lindstedt 0% 2
     Write-in Nikolas Bruce 0% 32
Total Votes 163,957
Source: Missouri Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
Bob Onder (R)
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Republican Party (8)
Democratic Party (2)