Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020 (August 25 Republican primary runoff)

Elections in Oklahoma, 2020

• Primary date: June 30
• Primary type: Closed (Republican and Libertarian parties); semi-closed (Democratic)
• Registration deadline(s): June 5
• Online registration: Yes
• Same-day registration: No

• Early voting starts: June 25
• Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): June 30 (received)
• Voter ID: Non-photo ID
• Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.

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Date of Oklahoma presidential primary: March 3

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On the ballot: U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Special state legislative • Supreme court • Appellate courts • Local judges • State ballot measures • Local ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • 

2022 → ← 2018
Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District
Democratic primary Republican primary Republican primary runoff General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 10, 2020
Primary: June 30, 2020 Primary runoff: August 25, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Kendra Horn (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Oklahoma
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Oklahoma elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Stephanie Bice defeated Terry Neese in the Republican primary runoff for Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District on August 25, 2020. Bice received 53% of the vote to Neese's 47%. The two advanced to a runoff after no candidate won 50% of the vote in the June 30 primary. Neese won 36.5% and Bice won 25.4% in the primary.

David Hill, who finished third in the primary with 19% of the vote, endorsed Neese saying, “Terry Neese is a pro-life, pro-gun, conservative, and she has our full support as she fights to beat Kendra Horn and deliver President Trump’s agenda.”

Former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) endorsed Bice on August 6, saying, "Stephanie is a proven conservative who is committed to defending our Second Amendment rights, protecting the unborn, and standing up for Oklahoma's taxpayers."

Incumbent Kendra Horn (D) was running for re-election. In 2018, she defeated incumbent Steve Russell (R) by a margin of 1.4 percentage points to become the first Democrat to hold the office since 1975. Oklahoma’s 5th is one of the 31 Democratic-held House districts that President Donald Trump (R) won in 2016, with Trump defeating Hillary Clinton (D) by a margin of 13.4 percentage points.

In February 2019, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee identified Oklahoma’s 5th as a Frontline district and the Republican National Congressional Committee identified the district as an offensive target for the 2020 election cycle.

This page focuses on Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District Republican primary runoff. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary, Republican primary, and general election, see the following pages:

• Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 30 Democratic primary)
• Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 30 Republican primary)
• Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020

This election was a battleground race. Other 2020 battlegrounds included:

Florida's 13th Congressional District election, 2020 (August 18 Republican primary) New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2020 (September 8 Democratic primary) Wisconsin Supreme Court elections, 2020 (February 18 nonpartisan primary)

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Oklahoma modified its primary election process as follows:

• Voting procedures: Voters casting absentee ballots may submit copies of their identification in lieu of fulfilling the notarization requirement in the event of a state of emergency occurring within 45 days of an election. Individuals experiencing symptoms indicative of COVID-19, and individuals classified as vulnerable to infection, may cast an absentee ballot under the 'physical incapacitation' eligibility criterion.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Stephanie Bice	52.9	27,402
		Terry Neese	47.1	24,369

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 51,771
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Terry Neese	36.5	24,828
✔		Stephanie Bice	25.4	17,292
		David Hill	19.0	12,922
		Janet Barresi	10.0	6,799
		Jake Merrick	2.6	1,736
		Michael Ballard	2.5	1,691
		Miles Rahimi	1.4	967
		Shelli Landon	1.3	912
	Submit photo	Charles Tuffy Pringle	1.3	908

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 68,055
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Dan Belcher (R)
• Oakley Jacob (R)
• David Greene (R)
• Merideth VanSant (R)

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.

Stephanie Bice

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Oklahoma State Senate (Assumed office: 2014)

Biography:  Bice received a bachelor's degree from Oklahoma State University. She worked for her family's technology company in marketing, financial oversight, and business strategy. Bice also served as vice president of business development at a digital marketing company. As of the 2020 election, she chaired the state Senate Finance Committee.

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Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

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Bice said, "I can get things done. On the state level, as a first-term legislator, I broke up a 60-year monopoly. I had two state questions on two back-to-back ballots. I've tackled tough issues like criminal justice reform, school consolidation of administrations, a lot of agency consolidation, removal of bureaucracy with boards and commissions. I know how to take the tough votes."

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Bice said, "In my six years in the Senate, I have protected life, I have fought to protect the Second Amendment and am the only candidate in this race that has been endorsed by the NRA, and I've fought to find innovative ways to grow jobs in the state and boost our economy."

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Bice's campaign website said, "Stephanie modernized Oklahoma’s liquor laws by engineering the first overhaul since 1959 when prohibition was repealed in Oklahoma. Hailed as a victory for consumers and for economic development, Stephanie’s efforts have expanded opportunities in Oklahoma."

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Show sources

Sources: News 9, "WATCH: Oklahoma GOP Debate For Congressional District 5," June 18, 2020; Stephanie Bice's 2020 campaign website, "About Stephanie," accessed June 29, 2020

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 in 2020.

Terry Neese

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Neese founded Terry Neese Personnel Services. She served as president of the National Association of Women Business Owners and on a number of councils, including the Euro-American Women’s Council and the U.S.–Afghan Women’s Council. Neese was national co-chair of President Trump’s small business advisory council. She was the Republican nominee for lieutenant governor of Oklahoma in 1990.

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Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

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Neese said, "I spent time in 2016 working for President Trump to build a small business advisory council for him, for his constituencies across the country, and that was extremely successful. After he won the election, I went on the Trump transition team. ... So I have a relationship with the president, I will stand with the president, and I will make sure his agenda flows through the Congress every single day I'm there. That's what sets me apart."

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Neese said, "[F]or years, when people in Central Oklahoma needed a job, they would call Terry Neese. They knew that I would work hard and fight tooth and nail to get them good-paying jobs with good benefits. That's what our country needs right now, and we need to all get back to work." 

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Neese's campaign website said, "Terry made history in 1990 when she became the first woman nominated by a major political party for the seat of Lt. Governor of Oklahoma." 

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Show sources

Sources: News 9, "WATCH: Oklahoma GOP Debate For Congressional District 5," June 18, 2020; Terry Neese's 2020 campaign website, "Home," accessed June 29, 2020

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 in 2020.

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election. It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees. The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Stephanie Bice	Republican Party	$3,779,470	$3,567,879	$211,591	As of December 31, 2020
Terry Neese	Republican Party	$1,732,345	$1,732,235	$110	As of December 31, 2020
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." ** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Primaries in Oklahoma

A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. In Oklahoma, the Republican Party conducts a closed primary, in which only registered party members may participate. The Democratic Party holds a semi-closed primary, in which unaffiliated voters may participate.

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

Runoff elections in Oklahoma

In Oklahoma, a primary election candidate for congressional, state, or county office must receive a majority of the vote (more than 50%) to be declared the winner. If no candidate wins the requisite majority, a runoff election is held between the top two vote-getters.

As of 2020, only registered Republicans could vote in Republican primaries and runoffs in Oklahoma. The Oklahoma Secretary of State website stated, "For 2020 and 2021, the Democratic Party granted permission for Independents to vote in their primaries and runoff primaries. Independents cannot vote in Republican or Libertarian primaries."

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

• Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
• Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
• Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.
• Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.

Race ratings: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 3, 2020	October 27, 2020	October 20, 2020	October 13, 2020
The Cook Political Report	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean Democratic	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+10, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District the 135th most Republican nationally.

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.90. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.90 points toward that party.

District represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016

This district was one of 30 Democratic-held U.S. House districts up in 2020 that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election. Most were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2020.

2020 Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016
District	Incumbent	Ran in 2020?	2018 congressional margin	2016 presidential margin	2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 1st	Tom O'Halleran	Yes	Democrats+7.7	Trump+1.1	Romney+2.5
Georgia's 6th	Lucy McBath	Yes	Democrats+1.0	Trump+1.5	Romney+23.3
Illinois' 14th	Lauren Underwood	Yes	Democrats+5.0	Trump+3.9	Romney+10
Illinois' 17th	Cheri Bustos	Yes	Democrats+24.2	Trump+0.7	Obama+17
Iowa's 1st	Abby Finkenauer	Yes	Democrats+5.1	Trump+3.5	Obama+13.7
Iowa's 2nd	Dave Loebsack	Retired	Democrats+5.2	Trump+4.1	Obama+13.1
Iowa's 3rd	Cindy Axne	Yes	Democrats+2.2	Trump+3.5	Obama+4.2
Maine's 2nd	Jared Golden	Yes	Democrats+1.3	Trump+10.3	Obama+8.6
Michigan's 8th	Elissa Slotkin	Yes	Democrats+3.8	Trump+6.7	Romney+3.1
Michigan's 11th	Haley Stevens	Yes	Democrats+6.7	Trump+4.4	Romney+5.4
Minnesota's 2nd	Angie Craig	Yes	Democrats+5.5	Trump+1.2	Obama+0.1
Minnesota's 7th	Collin Peterson	Yes	Democrats+4.3	Trump+30.8	Romney+9.8
Nevada's 3rd	Susie Lee	Yes	Democrats+9.1	Trump+1.0	Obama+0.8
New Hampshire's 1st	Chris Pappas	Yes	Democrats+8.6	Trump+1.6	Obama+1.6
New Jersey's 3rd	Andrew Kim	Yes	Democrats+1.3	Trump+6.2	Obama+4.6
New Jersey's 5th	Josh Gottheimer	Yes	Democrats+13.7	Trump+1.1	Romney+3.0
New Jersey's 11th	Mikie Sherrill	Yes	Democrats+14.6	Trump+0.9	Romney+5.8
New Mexico's 2nd	Xochitl Torres Small	Yes	Democrats+1.9	Trump+10.2	Romney+6.8
New York's 11th	Max Rose	Yes	Democrats+6.5	Trump+9.8	Obama+4.3
New York's 18th	Sean Maloney	Yes	Democrats+10.9	Trump+1.9	Obama+4.3
New York's 19th	Antonio Delgado	Yes	Democrats+5.2	Trump+6.8	Obama+6.2
New York's 22nd	Anthony Brindisi	Yes	Democrats+1.8	Trump+15.5	Romney+0.4
Oklahoma's 5th	Kendra Horn	Yes	Democrats+1.4	Trump+13.4	Romney+18.4
Pennsylvania's 8th	Matt Cartwright	Yes	Democrats+9.3	Trump+9.6	Obama+11.9
Pennsylvania's 17th	Conor Lamb	Yes	Democrats+12.5	Trump+2.6	Romney+4.5
South Carolina's 1st	Joe Cunningham	Yes	Democrats+1.4	Trump+13.1	Romney+18.1
Utah's 4th	Ben McAdams	Yes	Democrats+0.3	Trump+6.7	Romney+37.0
Virginia's 2nd	Elaine Luria	Yes	Democrats+2.2	Trump+3.4	Romney+2.3
Virginia's 7th	Abigail Spanberger	Yes	Democrats+1.9	Trump+6.5	Romney+10.5
Wisconsin's 3rd	Ron Kind	Yes	Democrats+19.3	Trump+4.5	Obama+11
Source: Sabato's Crystal Ball and Daily Kos

Click here to see the five U.S. House districts represented by a Republican in 2020 and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.

District election history

2018

See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Kendra Horn defeated incumbent Steve Russell in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Kendra Horn (D)	50.7	121,149
		Steve Russell (R)	49.3	117,811

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	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 238,960 (100.00% precincts reporting)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Kendra Horn defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on August 28, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Kendra Horn	75.8	22,067
		Tom Guild	24.2	7,043

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 29,110
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Kendra Horn	44.2	34,892
✔		Tom Guild	18.0	14,251
		Elysabeth Britt	13.6	10,752
		Eddie Porter	9.9	7,844
		Leona Kelley-Leonard	8.5	6,697
	Submit photo	Tyson Todd Meade	5.7	4,530

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.	Total votes: 78,966
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Incumbent Steve Russell defeated Gregory Dunson and DeJuan Edwards in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Steve Russell	83.6	66,030
	Submit photo	Gregory Dunson	9.7	7,642
	Submit photo	DeJuan Edwards	6.7	5,290

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	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.	Total votes: 78,962
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve Russell (R) defeated Al McAffrey (D) and Zachary Knight (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Russell defeated Frank Volpe in the Republican primary. McAffrey defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary runoff on August 23, 2016. Guild and McAffrey had previously defeated Leona Leonard in the Democratic primary. The primary elections took place on June 28, 2016.

U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 General Election, 2016

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Steve Russell Incumbent	57.1%	160,184
	Democratic	Al McAffrey	36.8%	103,273
	Libertarian	Zachary Knight	6.1%	17,113
Total Votes				280,570
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 5 Republican Primary, 2016

Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Steve Russell Incumbent	80.3%	27,436
Frank Volpe	19.7%	6,721
Total Votes		34,157
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 5 Democratic Primary, 2016

Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Al McAffrey	36.8%	10,013
Tom Guild	36.8%	10,000
Leona Leonard	26.4%	7,190
Total Votes		27,203
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 5 Democratic Runoff Primary, 2016

Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Al McAffrey	50.1%	8,032
Tom Guild	49.9%	7,988
Total Votes		16,020
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

2014

See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Steve Russell (R) defeated Al McAffrey (D), Buddy Ray (I), Tom Boggs (I) and Robert Murphy (I) in the general election.

U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 General Election, 2014

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Steve Russell	60.1%	95,632
	Democratic	Al McAffrey	36.3%	57,790
	Independent	Buddy Ray	0.9%	1,470
	Independent	Tom Boggs	1.3%	2,065
	Independent	Robert Murphy	1.4%	2,176
Total Votes				159,133
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

See also

• Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 30 Democratic primary)
• Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020
• United States House elections in Oklahoma, 2020 (June 30 Democratic primaries)
• United States House elections in Oklahoma, 2020 (June 30 Republican primaries)
• United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2020
• United States House Republican Party primaries, 2020
• United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
• U.S. House battlegrounds, 2020

External links

Suggest a link

• Search Google News for this topic

Footnotes

[show]

Oklahoma's current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

James Lankford (R)

Markwayne Mullin (R)

Representatives

District 1

Kevin Hern (R)

District 2

Josh Brecheen (R)

District 3

Frank Lucas (R)

District 4

Tom Cole (R)

District 5

Stephanie Bice (R)

Republican Party (7)

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