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Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 15, 2022
Primary: June 28, 2022
Primary runoff: August 23, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Oklahoma
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+12
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th
Oklahoma elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 28, 2022, and a primary runoff was scheduled for August 23, 2022. The filing deadline was April 15, 2022.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Incumbent Stephanie Bice defeated Joshua Harris-Till and David Frosch in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Stephanie Bice
Stephanie Bice (R)
 
59.0
 
152,699
Image of Joshua Harris-Till
Joshua Harris-Till (D)
 
37.4
 
96,799
Image of David Frosch
David Frosch (Independent)
 
3.6
 
9,328

Total votes: 258,826
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Joshua Harris-Till advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Incumbent Stephanie Bice defeated Subrina Banks in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 28, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Stephanie Bice
Stephanie Bice
 
68.4
 
51,612
Image of Subrina Banks
Subrina Banks
 
31.6
 
23,891

Total votes: 75,503
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Voting information

See also: Voting in Oklahoma

Election information in Oklahoma: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 14, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 14, 2022
  • Online: N/A

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 24, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 24, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 24, 2022

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 7, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Nov. 2, 2022 to Nov. 5, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

N/A


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Stephanie Bice Republican Party $2,491,329 $2,081,305 $621,614 As of December 31, 2022
Joshua Harris-Till Democratic Party $72,529 $59,997 $12,531 As of October 19, 2022
Subrina Banks Republican Party $32,408 $32,408 $0 As of December 29, 2022
David Frosch Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Oklahoma in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oklahoma, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Oklahoma U.S. House All candidates 2% of the number of registered voters in the appropriate district[5] $1,000.00 4/15/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Oklahoma District 5
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Oklahoma District 5
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Oklahoma after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[6] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[7]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Oklahoma
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Oklahoma's 1st 38.0% 59.4% 37.3% 60.1%
Oklahoma's 2nd 22.4% 75.8% 22.1% 76.1%
Oklahoma's 3rd 26.5% 71.2% 23.1% 74.6%
Oklahoma's 4th 33.0% 64.6% 32.0% 65.6%
Oklahoma's 5th 40.3% 57.1% 46.0% 51.3%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Oklahoma.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Oklahoma in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 8, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Twenty-eight candidates filed to run for Oklahoma’s five U.S. House districts, including five Democrats and 23 Republicans. That’s 5.6 candidates per district, more than the 5.4 candidates per district in 2020 and less than the 7.2 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Oklahoma was apportioned five districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census.

The 2nd district was the only open seat this year. That’s one more seat than in 2020 and the same as in 2018. Rep. Markwayne Mullin (R), who represented the 2nd district, ran for the U.S. Senate. Fifteen candidates — one Democrat and 14 Republicans — ran to replace Mullin, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year.

There were four contested Republican primaries, and no contested Democratic primaries. The four contested primaries this year were the fewest since at least 2014, and it was the first time since at least then when there were no contested Democratic primaries.

Rep. Kevin Hern (R), who represented the 1st district, was the only incumbent who didn't face a primary challenger this year. Republican and Democratic candidates filed to run in all five districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year.


Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+12. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 12 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 5th the 118th most Republican district nationally.[8]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Oklahoma's 5th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
40.3% 57.1%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Oklahoma, 2020

Oklahoma presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 10 Democratic wins
  • 19 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A D D D R D R D D D D D R R R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Oklahoma and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Oklahoma
Oklahoma United States
Population 3,751,351 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 68,596 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 72.3% 72.5%
Black/African American 7.3% 12.7%
Asian 2.2% 5.5%
Native American 7.6% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.2% 0.2%
Other (single race) 2.7% 4.9%
Multiple 7.7% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 10.6% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 88% 88%
College graduation rate 25.5% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $52,919 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 15.7% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Oklahoma's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Oklahoma, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 0 0
Republican 2 5 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 5 7

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Oklahoma's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Oklahoma, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Kevin Stitt
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Matt Pinnell
Secretary of State Republican Party Brian Bingman
Attorney General Republican Party John O'Connor

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Oklahoma State Legislature as of November 2022.

Oklahoma State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 9
     Republican Party 39
     Vacancies 0
Total 48

Oklahoma House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 18
     Republican Party 82
     Vacancies 1
Total 101

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Oklahoma was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Oklahoma Party Control: 1992-2022
Five years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

2020

See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020

Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 30 Democratic primary)

Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 30 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Stephanie Bice defeated incumbent Kendra Horn in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Stephanie Bice
Stephanie Bice (R)
 
52.1
 
158,191
Image of Kendra Horn
Kendra Horn (D)
 
47.9
 
145,658

Total votes: 303,849
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Stephanie Bice defeated Terry Neese in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on August 25, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Stephanie Bice
Stephanie Bice
 
52.9
 
27,402
Image of Terry Neese
Terry Neese
 
47.1
 
24,369

Total votes: 51,771
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Incumbent Kendra Horn defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 30, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kendra Horn
Kendra Horn
 
85.7
 
60,168
Image of Tom Guild
Tom Guild
 
14.3
 
10,050

Total votes: 70,218
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 30, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Terry Neese
Terry Neese
 
36.5
 
24,828
Image of Stephanie Bice
Stephanie Bice
 
25.4
 
17,292
Image of David Hill
David Hill Candidate Connection
 
19.0
 
12,922
Image of Janet Barresi
Janet Barresi Candidate Connection
 
10.0
 
6,799
Image of Jake Merrick
Jake Merrick Candidate Connection
 
2.6
 
1,736
Image of Michael Ballard
Michael Ballard
 
2.5
 
1,691
Image of Miles Rahimi
Miles Rahimi Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
967
Image of Shelli Landon
Shelli Landon Candidate Connection
 
1.3
 
912
Charles Tuffy Pringle
 
1.3
 
908

Total votes: 68,055
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Kendra Horn defeated incumbent Steve Russell in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kendra Horn
Kendra Horn (D)
 
50.7
 
121,149
Image of Steve Russell
Steve Russell (R)
 
49.3
 
117,811

Total votes: 238,960
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Kendra Horn defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kendra Horn
Kendra Horn
 
75.8
 
22,067
Image of Tom Guild
Tom Guild
 
24.2
 
7,043

Total votes: 29,110
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kendra Horn
Kendra Horn
 
44.2
 
34,892
Image of Tom Guild
Tom Guild
 
18.0
 
14,251
Image of Elysabeth Britt
Elysabeth Britt
 
13.6
 
10,752
Image of Eddie Porter
Eddie Porter
 
9.9
 
7,844
Image of Leona Kelley-Leonard
Leona Kelley-Leonard
 
8.5
 
6,697
Tyson Todd Meade
 
5.7
 
4,530

Total votes: 78,966
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Incumbent Steve Russell defeated Gregory Dunson and DeJuan Edwards in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve Russell
Steve Russell
 
83.6
 
66,030
Gregory Dunson
 
9.7
 
7,642
DeJuan Edwards
 
6.7
 
5,290

Total votes: 78,962
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2016

See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve Russell (R) defeated Al McAffrey (D) and Zachary Knight (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Russell defeated Frank Volpe in the Republican primary. McAffrey defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary runoff on August 23, 2016. Guild and McAffrey had previously defeated Leona Leonard in the Democratic primary. The primary elections took place on June 28, 2016.[9][10][11]

U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Russell Incumbent 57.1% 160,184
     Democratic Al McAffrey 36.8% 103,273
     Libertarian Zachary Knight 6.1% 17,113
Total Votes 280,570
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board


U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 5 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Russell Incumbent 80.3% 27,436
Frank Volpe 19.7% 6,721
Total Votes 34,157
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board


U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 5 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAl McAffrey 36.8% 10,013
Green check mark transparent.pngTom Guild 36.8% 10,000
Leona Leonard 26.4% 7,190
Total Votes 27,203
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board


U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 5 Democratic Runoff Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAl McAffrey 50.1% 8,032
Tom Guild 49.9% 7,988
Total Votes 16,020
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

2014

See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Steve Russell (R) defeated Al McAffrey (D), Buddy Ray (I), Tom Boggs (I) and Robert Murphy (I) in the general election.

U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Russell 60.1% 95,632
     Democratic Al McAffrey 36.3% 57,790
     Independent Buddy Ray 0.9% 1,470
     Independent Tom Boggs 1.3% 2,065
     Independent Robert Murphy 1.4% 2,176
Total Votes 159,133
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board
U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 Runoff Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAl McAffrey 54.2% 10,411
Tom Guild 45.8% 8,789
Total Votes 19,200
Source: Results via Associated Press
U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 Runoff Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Russell 59.3% 19,371
Patrice Douglas 40.7% 13,315
Total Votes 32,686
Source: Results via Associated Press
U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTom Guild 42.1% 11,597
Green check mark transparent.pngAl McAffrey 30.9% 8,505
Leona Leonard 27% 7,424
Total Votes 27,526
Source: Results via Associated Press
U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Russell 26.6% 14,597
Green check mark transparent.pngPatrice Douglas 24.5% 13,440
Clark Jolley 16.8% 9,226
Mike Turner 14.1% 7,757
Shane Jett 12.8% 7,019
Harvey Sparks 5.3% 2,895
Total Votes 54,934
Source: Results via Associated Press


See also

Oklahoma 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  6. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  7. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  8. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  9. Oklahoma State Election Board, "CANDIDATES FOR STATE ELECTIVE OFFICE 2016," accessed April 16, 2016
  10. Politico, "Oklahoma House Races Results," June 28, 2016
  11. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Tom Cole (R)
District 5
Republican Party (7)