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Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2022
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Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 15, 2022 |
Primary: June 28, 2022 Primary runoff: August 23, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Oklahoma |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Oklahoma elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 28, 2022, and a primary runoff was scheduled for August 23, 2022. The filing deadline was April 15, 2022.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary)
- Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Incumbent Stephanie Bice defeated Joshua Harris-Till and David Frosch in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice (R) | 59.0 | 152,699 |
Joshua Harris-Till (D) | 37.4 | 96,799 | ||
![]() | David Frosch (Independent) | 3.6 | 9,328 |
Total votes: 258,826 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Joshua Harris-Till advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Abby Broyles (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Incumbent Stephanie Bice defeated Subrina Banks in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice | 68.4 | 51,612 |
![]() | Subrina Banks | 31.6 | 23,891 |
Total votes: 75,503 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Voting information
- See also: Voting in Oklahoma
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stephanie Bice | Republican Party | $2,491,329 | $2,081,305 | $621,614 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Joshua Harris-Till | Democratic Party | $72,529 | $59,997 | $12,531 | As of October 19, 2022 |
Subrina Banks | Republican Party | $32,408 | $32,408 | $0 | As of December 29, 2022 |
David Frosch | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Race ratings: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Oklahoma in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oklahoma, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Oklahoma | U.S. House | All candidates | 2% of the number of registered voters in the appropriate district[5] | $1,000.00 | 4/15/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Oklahoma District 5
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Oklahoma District 5
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[6] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[7]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Oklahoma | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Oklahoma's 1st | 38.0% | 59.4% | 37.3% | 60.1% |
Oklahoma's 2nd | 22.4% | 75.8% | 22.1% | 76.1% |
Oklahoma's 3rd | 26.5% | 71.2% | 23.1% | 74.6% |
Oklahoma's 4th | 33.0% | 64.6% | 32.0% | 65.6% |
Oklahoma's 5th | 40.3% | 57.1% | 46.0% | 51.3% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Oklahoma.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Oklahoma in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 8, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Twenty-eight candidates filed to run for Oklahoma’s five U.S. House districts, including five Democrats and 23 Republicans. That’s 5.6 candidates per district, more than the 5.4 candidates per district in 2020 and less than the 7.2 in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Oklahoma was apportioned five districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census.
The 2nd district was the only open seat this year. That’s one more seat than in 2020 and the same as in 2018. Rep. Markwayne Mullin (R), who represented the 2nd district, ran for the U.S. Senate. Fifteen candidates — one Democrat and 14 Republicans — ran to replace Mullin, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year.
There were four contested Republican primaries, and no contested Democratic primaries. The four contested primaries this year were the fewest since at least 2014, and it was the first time since at least then when there were no contested Democratic primaries.
Rep. Kevin Hern (R), who represented the 1st district, was the only incumbent who didn't face a primary challenger this year. Republican and Democratic candidates filed to run in all five districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+12. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 12 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 5th the 118th most Republican district nationally.[8]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Oklahoma's 5th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
40.3% | 57.1% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Oklahoma, 2020
Oklahoma presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 10 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | N/A | N/A | D | D | D | R | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Oklahoma and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Oklahoma | ||
---|---|---|
Oklahoma | United States | |
Population | 3,751,351 | 308,745,538 |
Land area (sq mi) | 68,596 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 72.3% | 72.5% |
Black/African American | 7.3% | 12.7% |
Asian | 2.2% | 5.5% |
Native American | 7.6% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 2.7% | 4.9% |
Multiple | 7.7% | 3.3% |
Hispanic/Latino | 10.6% | 18% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 88% | 88% |
College graduation rate | 25.5% | 32.1% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $52,919 | $62,843 |
Persons below poverty level | 15.7% | 13.4% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Oklahoma's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Oklahoma, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 5 | 7 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Oklahoma's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Oklahoma, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Oklahoma State Legislature as of November 2022.
Oklahoma State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 9 | |
Republican Party | 39 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 48 |
Oklahoma House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 18 | |
Republican Party | 82 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 101 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Oklahoma was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Oklahoma Party Control: 1992-2022
Five years of Democratic trifectas • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2020
See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020
Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 30 Democratic primary)
Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 30 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Stephanie Bice defeated incumbent Kendra Horn in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice (R) | 52.1 | 158,191 |
![]() | Kendra Horn (D) | 47.9 | 145,658 |
Total votes: 303,849 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary runoff election
Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Stephanie Bice defeated Terry Neese in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on August 25, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice | 52.9 | 27,402 |
![]() | Terry Neese | 47.1 | 24,369 |
Total votes: 51,771 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Incumbent Kendra Horn defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 30, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kendra Horn | 85.7 | 60,168 |
![]() | Tom Guild | 14.3 | 10,050 |
Total votes: 70,218 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 30, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Terry Neese | 36.5 | 24,828 |
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice | 25.4 | 17,292 |
![]() | David Hill ![]() | 19.0 | 12,922 | |
![]() | Janet Barresi ![]() | 10.0 | 6,799 | |
Jake Merrick ![]() | 2.6 | 1,736 | ||
![]() | Michael Ballard | 2.5 | 1,691 | |
![]() | Miles Rahimi ![]() | 1.4 | 967 | |
![]() | Shelli Landon ![]() | 1.3 | 912 | |
Charles Tuffy Pringle | 1.3 | 908 |
Total votes: 68,055 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Dan Belcher (R)
- Oakley Jacob (R)
- David Greene (R)
- Merideth VanSant (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Kendra Horn defeated incumbent Steve Russell in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kendra Horn (D) | 50.7 | 121,149 |
![]() | Steve Russell (R) | 49.3 | 117,811 |
Total votes: 238,960 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary runoff election
Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Kendra Horn defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kendra Horn | 75.8 | 22,067 |
![]() | Tom Guild | 24.2 | 7,043 |
Total votes: 29,110 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kendra Horn | 44.2 | 34,892 |
✔ | ![]() | Tom Guild | 18.0 | 14,251 |
Elysabeth Britt | 13.6 | 10,752 | ||
![]() | Eddie Porter | 9.9 | 7,844 | |
![]() | Leona Kelley-Leonard | 8.5 | 6,697 | |
Tyson Todd Meade | 5.7 | 4,530 |
Total votes: 78,966 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Incumbent Steve Russell defeated Gregory Dunson and DeJuan Edwards in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Russell | 83.6 | 66,030 |
Gregory Dunson | 9.7 | 7,642 | ||
DeJuan Edwards | 6.7 | 5,290 |
Total votes: 78,962 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve Russell (R) defeated Al McAffrey (D) and Zachary Knight (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Russell defeated Frank Volpe in the Republican primary. McAffrey defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary runoff on August 23, 2016. Guild and McAffrey had previously defeated Leona Leonard in the Democratic primary. The primary elections took place on June 28, 2016.[9][10][11]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
57.1% | 160,184 | |
Democratic | Al McAffrey | 36.8% | 103,273 | |
Libertarian | Zachary Knight | 6.1% | 17,113 | |
Total Votes | 280,570 | |||
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
80.3% | 27,436 | ||
Frank Volpe | 19.7% | 6,721 | ||
Total Votes | 34,157 | |||
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
36.8% | 10,013 | ||
![]() |
36.8% | 10,000 | ||
Leona Leonard | 26.4% | 7,190 | ||
Total Votes | 27,203 | |||
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
50.1% | 8,032 | ||
Tom Guild | 49.9% | 7,988 | ||
Total Votes | 16,020 | |||
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
2014
The 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Steve Russell (R) defeated Al McAffrey (D), Buddy Ray (I), Tom Boggs (I) and Robert Murphy (I) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
60.1% | 95,632 | |
Democratic | Al McAffrey | 36.3% | 57,790 | |
Independent | Buddy Ray | 0.9% | 1,470 | |
Independent | Tom Boggs | 1.3% | 2,065 | |
Independent | Robert Murphy | 1.4% | 2,176 | |
Total Votes | 159,133 | |||
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
54.2% | 10,411 | ||
Tom Guild | 45.8% | 8,789 | ||
Total Votes | 19,200 | |||
Source: Results via Associated Press |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
59.3% | 19,371 | ||
Patrice Douglas | 40.7% | 13,315 | ||
Total Votes | 32,686 | |||
Source: Results via Associated Press |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
42.1% | 11,597 | ||
![]() |
30.9% | 8,505 | ||
Leona Leonard | 27% | 7,424 | ||
Total Votes | 27,526 | |||
Source: Results via Associated Press |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
26.6% | 14,597 | ||
![]() |
24.5% | 13,440 | ||
Clark Jolley | 16.8% | 9,226 | ||
Mike Turner | 14.1% | 7,757 | ||
Shane Jett | 12.8% | 7,019 | ||
Harvey Sparks | 5.3% | 2,895 | ||
Total Votes | 54,934 | |||
Source: Results via Associated Press |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Oklahoma State Election Board, "CANDIDATES FOR STATE ELECTIVE OFFICE 2016," accessed April 16, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Oklahoma House Races Results," June 28, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016