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New York's 14th Congressional District election, 2020

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New York's 14th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 2, 2020
Primary: June 23, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. (general elections); primary times vary by county
Voting in New York
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
New York's 14th Congressional District
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New York elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 14th Congressional District of New York, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez won election in the general election for U.S. House New York District 14.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
April 2, 2020
June 23, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who was first elected in 2018.

As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, New York's 14th Congressional District was located in the southeastern portion of the state and included parts of Bronx County and Queens County.[1]

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

New York modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee voting eligibility in the general election was extended to any voter who was "unable to appear personally at the polling place of the election district in which they are a qualified voter because there is a risk of contracting or spreading a disease causing illness to the voter or to other members of the public." The state launched an absentee ballot request portal.
  • Candidate filing procedures: The filing deadline for independent nominating petitions was extended to July 30, 2020.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election candidates


Did not make the ballot:

Candidate Connection = candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey

Democratic Party Democratic primary candidates


Did not make the ballot:

Candidate Connection = candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey

Republican Party Republican primary candidates

This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:


Did not make the ballot:

Candidate Connection = candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates

    Conservative Party

    This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:

    Serve America Movement Party

    This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:


    Did not make the ballot:

    Candidate Connection = candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey

    See more

    See more here: New York's 14th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Democratic primary)

    Pivot Counties

    See also: Pivot Counties by state

    Eighteen of 62 New York counties—29 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

    Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
    County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
    Broome County, New York 2.01% 5.31% 8.02%
    Cayuga County, New York 11.64% 11.40% 8.48%
    Cortland County, New York 5.58% 9.11% 9.96%
    Essex County, New York 1.14% 18.77% 13.32%
    Franklin County, New York 5.45% 26.07% 22.23%
    Madison County, New York 14.20% 0.89% 0.87%
    Niagara County, New York 17.75% 0.84% 1.00%
    Orange County, New York 5.50% 5.65% 4.13%
    Oswego County, New York 21.99% 7.93% 2.44%
    Otsego County, New York 11.13% 2.72% 5.91%
    Rensselaer County, New York 1.41% 12.19% 9.34%
    St. Lawrence County, New York 8.82% 16.71% 16.33%
    Saratoga County, New York 3.21% 2.44% 3.40%
    Seneca County, New York 11.01% 9.08% 2.60%
    Suffolk County, New York 6.84% 3.69% 5.99%
    Sullivan County, New York 11.23% 9.02% 9.46%
    Warren County, New York 8.47% 2.32% 2.64%
    Washington County, New York 18.40% 1.90% 0.81%

    In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New York with 59 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 36.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1792 and 2016, New York voted Democratic 45.6 percent of the time and Republican 35 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New York voted Democratic all five times.[2]

    Presidential results by legislative district

    The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in New York. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

    In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 114 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 46.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 99 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 50.3 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
    In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 36 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 10.5 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 51 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 17.6 points. Trump won 13 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

    District analysis

    See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
    See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

    The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+29, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made New York's 14th Congressional District the 29th most Democratic nationally.[6]

    FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.73. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.73 points toward that party.[7]

    Campaign finance

    This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[8] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[9] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

    Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic Party $21,166,404 $17,506,285 $4,025,356 As of December 31, 2020
    Antoine Tucker Republican Party $200,299 $201,994 $622 As of December 31, 2020
    John Cummings Republican Party, Conservative Party $11,208,557 $11,015,378 $193,228 As of December 31, 2020
    Michelle Caruso-Cabrera Serve America Movement Party $3,552,127 $3,421,695 $130,432 As of December 31, 2020

    Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

    * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
    ** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


    Race ratings

    See also: Race rating definitions and methods

    Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

    • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
    • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
    • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[10]
    • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

    Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[11][12][13]

    Race ratings: New York's 14th Congressional District election, 2020
    Race trackerRace ratings
    November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
    The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
    Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
    Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
    Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

    Candidate ballot access

    The table below details filing requirements for 14th Congressional District candidates in New York in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New York, click here.

    Filing requirements, 2020
    State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
    New York 14th Congressional District Qualified party 375 Reduced by executive action in response to the coronavirus pandemic N/A N/A 4/2/2020 Source
    New York 14th Congressional District Unaffiliated 3,500 5% of the total number of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 3,500, whichever is less N/A N/A 5/26/2020 Source

    District election history

    2018

    See also: New York's 14th Congressional District election, 2018

    General election

    General election

    General election for U.S. House New York District 14

    Candidate
    %
    Votes
    ✔
    Image of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    		Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
     
    78.2
     
    		110,318
    Image of Anthony Pappas
    		Anthony Pappas (R) Candidate Connection
     
    13.6
     
    		19,202
    Image of Joseph Crowley
    		Joseph Crowley (Working Families Party)
     
    6.6
     
    		9,348
    Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
    Submit photo
    		Elizabeth Perri (Conservative Party)
     
    1.6
     
    		2,254

    Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

    		Total votes: 141,122
    (100.00% precincts reporting)
    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

    Democratic primary election

    Democratic primary election

    Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 14

    Candidate
    %
    Votes
    ✔
    Image of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    		Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
     
    56.7
     
    		16,898
    Image of Joseph Crowley
    		Joseph Crowley
     
    43.3
     
    		12,880

    Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

    		Total votes: 29,778
    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    Republican primary election

    Republican primary election

    Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 14

    Candidate
    ✔
    Image of Anthony Pappas
    		Anthony Pappas Candidate Connection

    There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    2016

    See also: New York's 14th Congressional District election, 2016

    Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Joseph Crowley (D) defeated Frank Spotorno (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced any opposition in the primaries on June 28, 2016.[14][15]

    U.S. House, New York District 14 General Election, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJoseph Crowley Incumbent 82.9% 147,587
         Republican Frank Spotorno 17.1% 30,545
    Total Votes 178,132
    Source: New York Board of Elections

    2014

    See also: New York's 14th Congressional District elections, 2014

    The 14th Congressional District of New York held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Joseph Crowley (D) defeated Elizabeth Perri (Conservative) in the general election.

    U.S. House, New York District 14 General Election, 2014
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJoseph Crowley Incumbent 88% 50,352
         Conservative Elizabeth Perri 11.8% 6,735
         N/A Write-in votes 0.2% 117
    Total Votes 57,204
    Source: New York State Board of Elections, NYS Board of Elections Rep. in Congress Election Returns November 4, 2014," accessed August 30, 2021

    See also

    External links

    Footnotes

    1. ↑ New York Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
    2. ↑ 270towin.com, "New York," accessed June 1, 2017
    3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
    4. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
    5. ↑ Democrats won Assembly District 9 in a special election on May 23, 2017. The seat was previously held by a Republican.
    6. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
    7. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
    8. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
    9. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
    10. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
    11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
    12. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
    13. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
    14. ↑ New York State Board of Elections, "Filings received for the 2016 Primary Election," accessed May 15, 2016
    15. ↑ Politico, "New York House Races Results," June 28, 2016


    New York's current delegation to the United States Congress
    Senators
    Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
    Chuck Schumer (D)
    Representatives
    District 1
    District 2
    District 3
    District 4
    District 5
    District 6
    District 7
    District 8
    District 9
    District 10
    District 11
    District 12
    District 13
    District 14
    District 15
    District 16
    District 17
    District 18
    Pat Ryan (D)
    District 19
    District 20
    District 21
    District 22
    District 23
    District 24
    District 25
    District 26
    Democratic Party (21)
    Republican Party (7)


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