New York's 14th Congressional District election, 2018

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2016
New York's 14th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 12, 2018
Primary: June 26, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Joseph Crowley (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. (general elections); primary times vary by county
Voting in New York
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+29
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds (primaries)
U.S. House battlegrounds (primaries)
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Election links
New York's 14th Congressional District
New York elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 14th Congressional District of New York, are holding elections in 2018.

Heading into the election the incumbent is Joseph Crowley (D), who was first elected in 1998. Crowley was defeated in the June 26, 2018 Democratic primary by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. At the time of the primary, he was Chairman of the House Democratic Caucus.

New York's 14th Congressional District is located in the southeastern portion of the state and includes parts of Bronx County and Queens County.[1]

New York voter? Dates you need to know.
Primary ElectionJune 26, 2018 (federal)
Candidate Filing DeadlineApril 12, 2018
Registration DeadlineJune 1, 2018
Absentee Application DeadlineJune 19, 2018 (by mail), June 25, 2018 (in-person)
Early Voting DeadlineJune 25, 2018 (by mail), June 26, 2018 (in-person)
General ElectionNovember 6, 2018
Voting information
Primary TypeClosed
Polling place hoursPrimary election voting hours vary by county.
Polling locations: Go to this page to find early voting locations and your assigned precinct for election day.


Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.





Election results

Primary election

U.S. House, New York District 14 Democratic Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 57.48% 15,897
Joseph Crowley Incumbent 42.52% 11,761
Total Votes (440 of 449 precincts reporting) 27,658
Source: The New York Times These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.

U.S. House, New York District 14 Republican Primary, 2018
Candidates
Green check mark transparent.png Anthony Pappas
Source: The New York Times These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.

Candidates

See also: Statistics on U.S. Congress candidates, 2018

Democratic Party Joseph Crowley

Joseph Crowley.jpeg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter Youtube Campaign finance Endorsements

Incumbent Rep. Joseph Crowley (D) was first elected to the House representing New York's 7th Congressional District in 1998 and was moved to the 14th District in 2012 as a result of redistricting. Before serving in Congress, Crowley was a representative in the New York State Assembly. He chairs the House Democratic Caucus and the Queens Democratic Party as of 2018. Roll Call included Crowley in its list of six Democrats most likely to become House Democratic leader if Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) stepped down.[2]

Crowley's campaign website highlighted his leadership position in the House going into the election and his intent to counter Republicans in Congress: "As Chairman of the Democratic Caucus, I’m focused on organizing resistance to the extreme GOP agenda that is threatening our middle class. Congress should be working on increasing access to health care and housing, protecting seniors’ hard-earned benefits, and creating greater opportunity for students and families." His list of "the most pressing issues facing our country today" included healthcare, equal pay for women, immigration, gun control, and education.[3]

Crowley had endorsements from NARAL Pro-Choice America and Planned Parenthood; Giffords: Courage to Fight Gun Violence and Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America; over 20 labor unions, including the New York State AFL-CIO and the Communications Workers of America; and several state legislators and New York City Council members.[4]

Democratic Party Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter Youtube Campaign finance Endorsements

Ocasio-Cortez had not sought elected office prior to challenging Crowley. She worked in Sen. Ted Kennedy's (D-Mass.) foreign affairs and immigration office from 2008 to 2009 while attending Boston University. After graduating, she returned to the Bronx where she volunteered for Sen. Bernie Sanders' (I-Vt.) 2016 presidential Democratic primary campaign.[5] Brand New Congress, a group founded by former Sanders presidential campaign staffers, encouraged her to challenge Crowley in New York's 14th District primary.[6]

During an "Ask Me Anything" Reddit session at the start of her campaign, Ocasio-Cortez said, "My campaign is challenging Joseph Crowley, one of the most Corporate-funded members of Congress, on an entirely progressive and grassroots campaign."[6] Her campaign site emphasized her working-class background, stating, "Ocasio2018 is a campaign that brings New Yorkers together to champion the needs of working families in the Bronx and Queens. Together we will create a nation of dignified healthcare, tuition-free higher education, quality employment, and justice for all - and we’re the only ones to do it without corporate money."[7]The policy priorities highlighted on her campaign site included Medicare for All, housing as a human right, a federal jobs guarantee, criminal justice reform/ending private prisons, and immigration justice/abolishing ICE.[8]

Ocasio-Cortez was endorsed by Brand New Congress, Justice Democrats, The People for Bernie Sanders, NYC Democratic Socialists of America, and Demand Universal Healthcare.[9]


See also

Candidates

General election

Democratic Party Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Republican Party Anthony Pappas

Primary election

See also: New York's 14th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)
See also: New York's 14th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary)

Democratic Party Democrats


Republican Party Republicans


Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

The 2018 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is D+29, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made New York's 14th Congressional District the 30th-most Democratic nationally.[10]

Campaign contributions

The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[11]
Democratic Party Democrats



District history

2016

See also: New York's 14th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Joseph Crowley (D) defeated Frank Spotorno (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced any opposition in the primaries on June 28, 2016.[12][13]

U.S. House, New York District 14 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJoseph Crowley Incumbent 82.9% 147,587
     Republican Frank Spotorno 17.1% 30,545
Total Votes 178,132
Source: New York Board of Elections

2014

See also: New York's 14th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 14th Congressional District of New York held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Joseph Crowley (D) defeated Elizabeth Perri (Conservative) in the general election.

U.S. House, New York District 14 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJoseph Crowley Incumbent 74.7% 50,352
     Conservative Elizabeth Perri 10% 6,735
     N/A Blank/Void/Scattering 15.3% 10,285
Total Votes 67,372
Source: New York State Board of Elections

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Eighteen of 62 New York counties—29 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Broome County, New York 2.01% 5.31% 8.02%
Cayuga County, New York 11.64% 11.40% 8.48%
Cortland County, New York 5.58% 9.11% 9.96%
Essex County, New York 1.14% 18.77% 13.32%
Franklin County, New York 5.45% 26.07% 22.23%
Madison County, New York 14.20% 0.89% 0.87%
Niagara County, New York 17.75% 0.84% 1.00%
Orange County, New York 5.50% 5.65% 4.13%
Oswego County, New York 21.99% 7.93% 2.44%
Otsego County, New York 11.13% 2.72% 5.91%
Rensselaer County, New York 1.41% 12.19% 9.34%
St. Lawrence County, New York 8.82% 16.71% 16.33%
Saratoga County, New York 3.21% 2.44% 3.40%
Seneca County, New York 11.01% 9.08% 2.60%
Suffolk County, New York 6.84% 3.69% 5.99%
Sullivan County, New York 11.23% 9.02% 9.46%
Warren County, New York 8.47% 2.32% 2.64%
Washington County, New York 18.40% 1.90% 0.81%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New York with 59 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 36.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1792 and 2016, New York voted Democratic 45.6 percent of the time and Republican 35 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New York voted Democratic all five times.[14]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in New York. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party holds that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[15][16]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 114 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 46.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 99 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 50.3 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 36 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 10.5 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 51 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York in 2016 with an average margin of victory of 17.6 points. Trump won 13 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

See also

Footnotes