Washington's 5th Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 8 (mail or online), or Oct. 29 (in-person)
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: N/A (Washington conducts all elections by mail)
- Poll times: N/A
2020 →
← 2016
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Washington's 5th Congressional District |
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Top-two primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: May 18, 2018 |
Primary: August 7, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Cathy McMorris Rodgers (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: No polling hours (vote-by-mail) Voting in Washington |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Likely Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th Washington elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Incumbent Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) defeated former state Sen. Lisa Brown (D) in the November 6, 2018, general election for Washington's 5th Congressional District.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Rodgers was last re-elected in 2016 by a margin of 19 percentage points. That year, Donald Trump (R) carried the district by a margin of 13 percentage points. Heading into the election, no Democratic candidate had won election to represent the 5th District since 1992. Both Brown and McMorris Rodgers outraised all previous congressional candidates in the district's history; as of September 30, 2018, McMorris Rodgers had raised $5.1 million to Brown's $4.6 million.[1] The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) named Brown on its Red to Blue list, indicating that it would provide her campaign with organizational and financial support.[2] As of October 2018, three election forecasters rated the race Leans Republican.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Washington District 5
Incumbent Cathy McMorris Rodgers defeated Lisa Brown in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) | 54.8 | 175,422 |
![]() | Lisa Brown (D) | 45.2 | 144,925 |
Total votes: 320,347 | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 5
Incumbent Cathy McMorris Rodgers and Lisa Brown defeated Dave Saulibio, Jered Gavin Bonneau, and Kari Ilonummi in the primary for U.S. House Washington District 5 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) | 49.3 | 99,689 |
✔ | ![]() | Lisa Brown (D) | 45.4 | 91,738 |
Dave Saulibio (Trump Populist Party) | 2.4 | 4,845 | ||
![]() | Jered Gavin Bonneau (R) | 2.2 | 4,453 | |
Kari Ilonummi (R) | 0.7 | 1,507 |
Total votes: 202,232 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Krystol McGee (L)
- Eric Agnew (Independent)
- Matthew Sutherland (D)
Candidate profiles
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: Washington State Senate District 3 (1997-2012); Washington State House of Representatives (1993-1996)
Biography: Brown earned a B.A. from the University of Illinois in 1974, and was an associate professor at Eastern Washington University from 1981 to 2001. In 1991, she earned an M.A. in economics from University of Colorado. Brown was elected to the Washington State House of Representatives in 1993, where she served until her election to the state Senate in 1996. In 1996, Brown also earned a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Colorado. She represented District 3 in the Washington State Senate until 2013 and served as the Majority Leader in 2003. Brown became an associate professor in organizational leadership at Gonzaga University in 2001, a position she held until becoming Chancellor of Washington State University Spokane in 2013.[3][4]
- Brown emphasized her education in economics and advocated for trade deals that she said were vital to "Eastern Washington, Northwest agriculture, and Washington state’s trade-based economy." "Tariffs are taxes," Brown wrote, "and the Trump administration has announced $144.86 billion of them."[5]
- Calling for changes in firearm regulations, Brown said she would immediately sponsor legislation "banning bump stocks, closing loopholes in the background check system, and enhancing mental health treatment."[6]
- Brown said that investment in talent and young people was what grows the economy. She said she supported the Federal Student Loan Refinancing Act and expansion of student loan forgiveness programs.[6]
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: U.S. House Washington District 5 (Assumed office: 2005); Washington State House of Representatives (1995-2005)
Biography: Rodgers earned a B.A. in pre-law from Pensacola Christian College in 1990. She earned an M.B.A from the University of Washington in 2002. In 1994, Rodgers was elected to the Washington House of Representatives where she served as House minority leader from 2002 to 2003. Cathy McMorris Rodgers began her political career as Cathy McMorris before marrying Brian Rodgers in 2006 and taking his last name. In 2004, she was elected to represent Washington's 5th Congressional District. As of 2018, she served on the Committee on Energy and Commerce and was the highest-ranking Republican woman in Congress.[7]
- Rodgers documented her primary vote for President Donald Trump on social media in 2016 but had disagreements with Trump on some trade policies. "I have made it very clear that I don’t support the across-the-board tariffs, that we should take a more targeted approach," she said, adding that she urged Trump to "move from tariffs to agreement."[8]
- Rodgers said she "succeeded in getting a ten-year extension for children’s health care funding," and highlighted her sponsorship of (H.R. 3394) which she said would "help meet our doctor shortage, especially in rural and underserved communities."[6]
- Rodgers said she played a leadership role in passing the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (H.R. 1) which she said would save the average family in Washington more than $2,000 per year in taxes. She touted language she added to the bill that would "extend the orphan alternative energy tax credits to businesses."[6]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Washington's 5th Congressional District election | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Poll sponsor | Lisa Brown (D) | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) | Undecided/other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||||
FM3 Research/Brown Campaign Sept. 16-20 | Brown Campaign | 46% | 49% | 5% | +/-4.3 | 521 | |||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Cathy McMorris Rodgers | Republican Party | $5,863,432 | $5,739,785 | $158,674 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Lisa Brown | Democratic Party | $5,763,983 | $5,709,605 | $54,378 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[9][10][11]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- As of October 1, Giffords PAC had spent $12,000 to oppose Rodgers in the race.[12]
- As of October 1, the Republican Party of Washington had spent $31,000 in support of Rodgers.[12]
- As of October 1, the Susan B Anthony List PAC had spent $25,000 in support of Rodgers.[12]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: Washington's 5th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Likely Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Washington's 5th Congressional District the 168th most Republican nationally.[13]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.17. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.17 points toward that party.[14]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites.
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
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Endorsement | Brown (D) | McMorris Rodgers (R) | ||||
Elected officials | ||||||
President Donald Trump (R)[15] | ✔ | |||||
Organizations | ||||||
EMILY's List[16] | ✔ |
Timeline
- October 29, 2018: President Trump (R) endorsed McMorris Rodgers.
- October 24, 2018: McMorris Rodgers and Brown met for a debate at Walla Walla Community College.
- October 18, 2018: McMorris Rodgers and Brown met for a debate hosted by the Spokane Rotary Club.
- October 17, 2018: McMorris Rodgers and Brown met for a debate in Spokane.
- September 25, 2018: An FM3 Research poll commissioned by the Brown campaign found McMorris Rodgers about even with Brown, with 49 percent support to Brown's 46 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.
- September 20, 2018: Brown released a campaign ad titled, "Sheila."
- August 19, 2018: Rodgers released a campaign ad titled, "Rob."
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Lisa Brown
Support
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Oppose
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Cathy McMorris Rodgers
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Debates and forums
- McMorris Rodgers and Brown met for a debate at Walla Walla Community College on October 24, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
- McMorris Rodgers and Brown met for a debate hosted by the Spokane Rotary Club on October 18, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
- McMorris Rodgers and Brown met for a debate in Spokane on October 17, 2018. Click here for coverage of the debate.
- McMorris Rodgers and Brown met for a debate hosted by The Spokesman-Review and KHQ on September 19, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
Campaign themes
Lisa Brown
Brown’s campaign website stated the following:
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Top Issues You can read Lisa's column in The Spokesman-Review on how she'll protect our democratic institutions, and put the Constitution and the laws of the U.S. over either political party. You can also read Lisa's column in The Spokesman-Review on special interests and why voters have lost trust in Congress, and what Lisa will do to put an end to dark money, in addition to Lisa's column on tariffs and trade policies that hurt eastern Washington farmers, ranchers, and manufacturers, and how she'll put their priorities first in Congress. Contact us at lisa@lisabrownforcongress.com to share your thoughts and priorities. Check back here as we continue to add policy statements. As your representative in Congress, here's what Lisa will work for:
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—Lisa Brown’s campaign website (2018)[18] |
Cathy McMorris Rodgers
Rodgers’ campaign website stated the following:
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National Security Cathy is rebuilding America’s military might. She delivered for Fairchild Air Force Base, ensuring its mission was protected and expanded, won funding for more air tankers, boosted salaries, and has been a tireless advocate for our military families and veterans. Cathy has led letters to the Secretary of the Air Force advocating for Fairchild Air Force Base to receive the squadron of KC-135s. Soon after securing more KC-135 tankers, Cathy secured additional funding for other aircraft upgrades. Health Care Cathy succeeded in getting a ten-year extension for children’s health care funding, won expanded support for the Spokane Teaching Health Center and community clinics to help put more doctors in rural communities. Teaching Health Centers and Graduate Medical Education Extension Act (H.R. 3394) included in H.R. 1892. Bringing more primary care doctors, OBGYNs, and psychiatrists to Eastern Washington is one of Cathy’s top priorities. This legislation extends the THCGME program and doubles funding for residency programs in Eastern Washington and around the country to help meet our doctor shortage, especially in rural and underserved communities. Steve Gleason Enduring Voices Act (H.R. 2465) included in H.R. 1892. This legislation permanently fixes the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) policy that limited access to speech-generating devices for people with ALS and other degenerative diseases. Budget Cathy has consistently pushed for a Balanced Budget Amendment and voted for it on the House floor in April. In the recent Omnibus, Cathy helped to create the Budget Review Commission to make policy proposals to fix our broken budget system. Cathy is the author of the USA Act, a bill that would stop unauthorized government spending, unless that spending is approved by Congress. Veterans Cathy worked hard to pass the Faster Care for Veterans Act which will cut back wait times for veterans seeking health care, and will allow patients to schedule their appointments online or on an app, instead of the outdated 1-800 service. Introduced the Modernization of Medical Records for Veterans Act (HR 3497). This would require the VA to have a pilot program that would test out transferring patient records to digital copies. Protecting Veterans from losing their medical information, like in the 1973 National Personnel Records Center Fire. Pushed the VA to implement the 2 year old law requiring the VA to issue ID cards to Veterans. Secured funding in June 2017 to fix the roof at the Spokane VA and fought to re-open the 24-hour care service. Education Cathy worked to include Impact Aid for Tribal and Military schools in the Continuing Resolution in March. Impact aid is funding for schools that are in areas with sizable Federal owned land, which is not subject to property taxes. These school districts are at a distinct disadvantage and receive Federal aid to make up for that loss of revenue. Impact aid was signed in to law by the President on March 23rd. Cathy co-sponsored the Federal Perkins Loan Program Extension Act of 2017 (H.R. 2482). Perkins loans are loans to need-based college students, where the cost is shared by the government, the student, and the school they attend. The program’s funding expired on September 30th, 2017. This bill would re-authorize and extend Perkins Loans through 2019. Cathy was a co-sponsor of the Recognizing Achievement in Classified School Employees Act (H.R. 2234). This authorized a merit-based program to recognize exemplary teachers of children with disabilities and other paraeducators such as social workers, and occupational therapists. Environment and Natural Resources Cathy pushed through legislation to allow local people more say in managing our federal forests, to increase timber harvest and to prevent and fight forest fires. She also helped secure a fix to “fire borrowing” to make sure we have the resources we need to fight fires when they do happen. Legislation to Extend the Secure Rural Schools Program (H.R. 2340) included in H.R. 1625. The Secure Rural Schools (SRS) program gives around $500 million in funding over the next two years for timber-dependent communities that will help support schools and fix roads. Legislation to protect the Columbia and Snake River dams (H.R. 3144). Our dams are a source of affordable, clean, and renewable energy here in Washington, that benefits our economy and allows us to have some of the cheapest electric rates in the country. This legislation protects our Snake River dams by codifying the 2014 Biological Opinion and stopping any additional spillovers, that could end up costing taxpayers over $40 million. Hydropower Policy Modernization Act (H.R. 3043). It takes over a decade to fully license a dam and that is too long. This legislation would not change environmental standards, but would cut through government red tape and bureaucracy to speed up the hydropower relicensing process, so Americans are empowered to expand the use of clean renewable, hydroelectric energy, across the country. Transportation/Infrastructure Port of Whitman Economic Expansion Act (H.R. 5742) included in H.R. 8. This legislation will authorize a land transfer between the Port of Whitman and the Army Corps of Engineers to continue to develop businesses and create economic opportunity. The land transfer will also help meet the environmental mitigation efforts of Port Whitman, while still creating vital economic opportunities for the people of Whitman County. Ensured that Spokane’s FAA contract observer program was preserved for 2018, and protected funding for Spokane and Walla Walla contract tower costs. All three of these were included in the House FAA reauthorization bill. Worked to further the Mill Creek Flood Control project and led a delegation of citizens from Walla Walla to meet with the Office of Management and Budget. She secured funding for an important study which allowed the project to go forward. Jobs Cathy was a leader on the recent Tax Cuts and Jobs Act ( H.R. 1) which will save the average family in Washington more than $2,000 per year in taxes. She had language in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act ( H.R. 1) that will extend the orphan alternative energy tax credits to businesses. Spurring Business in Communities Act of 2017 (H.R. 4111) This bill will help the formation of Small Business Investment Companies in Washington State by giving access to loans and capital to small businesses. As of now, SBICs do not exist in Washington state, but all over the country they give people the opportunity to invest in their community and generate job growth. Common Sense Nutrition Disclosure Act (H.R. 772) This legislation preserves current nutritional information requirements and protects small food businesses like pizzerias and grocery stores from heavy-handed Obama-Era FDA regulations. Disabilities Jul 05, 2018 ABLE to Work Act (H.R. 1896) included in H.R. 1 This legislation will allow those with disabilities to explore the workplace by allowing someone with an ABLE account who earns income for a job to save up to the Federal Poverty Level in addition to their annual contribution limit of $14,000. As Cathy says, “A job is so much more than a paycheck, it’s what gives us dignity and purpose -- the opportunity for a better life.” This bill allows those with disabilities to explore the possibility of work and live more independent lives. ABLE Financial Planning Act (H.R. 1897) included in H.R. 1 This legislation helps the families of those with disabilities save for their child’s future by allowing for rollovers from a 529 account used for college savings to an ABLE account. This means individuals who may have been saving for their child’s college tuition, which is now no longer needed, can rollover up to the maximum contribution each year until the 529 account has been depleted. |
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—Cathy McMorris Rodgers' campaign website (2018)[19] |
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by Lisa Brown Tweets by Cathy McMorris Rodgers
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Five of 39 Washington counties—12.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Clallam County, Washington | 2.76% | 0.38% | 3.30% | ||||
Cowlitz County, Washington | 13.32% | 4.44% | 11.15% | ||||
Grays Harbor County, Washington | 6.99% | 14.11% | 14.56% | ||||
Mason County, Washington | 5.81% | 7.09% | 8.66% | ||||
Pacific County, Washington | 6.74% | 11.52% | 14.07% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Washington with 52.5 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 36.8 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Washington cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 73.3 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Washington supported Democratic candidates for president more often than Republican candidates, 53.3 to 43.3 percent. The state favored Democrats in every election between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Washington. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[20][21]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 34 out of 49 state House districts in Washington with an average margin of victory of 25.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 30 out of 49 state House districts in Washington with an average margin of victory of 32.1 points. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 15 out of 49 state House districts in Washington with an average margin of victory of 13.9 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 19 out of 49 state House districts in Washington with an average margin of victory of 14.9 points. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
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District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | |
1 | 59.66% | 37.93% | D+21.7 | 61.73% | 30.36% | D+31.4 | |
2 | 47.71% | 49.88% | R+2.2 | 37.79% | 53.05% | R+15.3 | |
3 | 57.66% | 38.63% | D+19 | 51.82% | 38.12% | D+13.7 | |
4 | 40.00% | 57.37% | R+17.4 | 34.91% | 56.36% | R+21.4 | |
5 | 53.41% | 44.29% | D+9.1 | 54.74% | 37.12% | D+17.6 | |
6 | 46.76% | 50.72% | R+4 | 44.72% | 46.75% | R+2 | |
7 | 36.16% | 61.01% | R+24.9 | 29.00% | 63.45% | R+34.5 | |
8 | 36.10% | 61.49% | R+25.4 | 34.54% | 57.03% | R+22.5 | |
9 | 37.70% | 59.71% | R+22 | 35.13% | 56.40% | R+21.3 | |
10 | 50.21% | 47.38% | D+2.8 | 46.94% | 45.07% | D+1.9 | |
11 | 67.51% | 30.27% | D+37.2 | 67.74% | 25.40% | D+42.3 | |
12 | 39.91% | 57.67% | R+17.8 | 37.34% | 55.97% | R+18.6 | |
13 | 35.70% | 61.75% | R+26 | 31.04% | 61.91% | R+30.9 | |
14 | 42.63% | 54.97% | R+12.3 | 38.98% | 54.23% | R+15.2 | |
15 | 45.75% | 52.31% | R+6.6 | 42.51% | 51.74% | R+9.2 | |
16 | 38.20% | 59.21% | R+21 | 36.00% | 56.67% | R+20.7 | |
17 | 48.28% | 49.36% | R+1.1 | 45.51% | 46.88% | R+1.4 | |
18 | 43.85% | 54.12% | R+10.3 | 42.36% | 50.56% | R+8.2 | |
19 | 53.59% | 43.66% | D+9.9 | 41.57% | 50.52% | R+8.9 | |
20 | 40.98% | 56.26% | R+15.3 | 30.96% | 61.41% | R+30.4 | |
21 | 61.52% | 36.25% | D+25.3 | 62.27% | 30.19% | D+32.1 | |
22 | 63.17% | 33.68% | D+29.5 | 60.67% | 30.15% | D+30.5 | |
23 | 57.91% | 39.72% | D+18.2 | 56.69% | 34.37% | D+22.3 | |
24 | 54.21% | 42.81% | D+11.4 | 48.95% | 43.35% | D+5.6 | |
25 | 50.87% | 46.92% | D+4 | 45.23% | 46.56% | R+1.3 | |
26 | 49.33% | 48.06% | D+1.3 | 45.36% | 45.35% | D+0 | |
27 | 67.29% | 30.00% | D+37.3 | 65.15% | 26.43% | D+38.7 | |
28 | 54.44% | 43.37% | D+11.1 | 52.61% | 38.96% | D+13.7 | |
29 | 62.55% | 34.97% | D+27.6 | 54.47% | 36.76% | D+17.7 | |
30 | 58.70% | 39.18% | D+19.5 | 56.77% | 35.96% | D+20.8 | |
31 | 47.88% | 49.93% | R+2.1 | 41.61% | 50.16% | R+8.5 | |
32 | 70.64% | 26.92% | D+43.7 | 71.67% | 21.56% | D+50.1 | |
33 | 65.65% | 32.25% | D+33.4 | 64.85% | 28.57% | D+36.3 | |
34 | 77.41% | 20.25% | D+57.2 | 79.30% | 14.85% | D+64.4 | |
35 | 51.47% | 45.95% | D+5.5 | 44.25% | 46.59% | R+2.3 | |
36 | 81.82% | 15.34% | D+66.5 | 85.25% | 9.15% | D+76.1 | |
37 | 86.30% | 11.18% | D+75.1 | 87.06% | 8.13% | D+78.9 | |
38 | 59.99% | 37.08% | D+22.9 | 53.38% | 37.81% | D+15.6 | |
39 | 49.44% | 47.52% | D+1.9 | 40.00% | 50.75% | R+10.7 | |
40 | 62.09% | 34.70% | D+27.4 | 62.61% | 29.29% | D+33.3 | |
41 | 60.00% | 38.22% | D+21.8 | 67.76% | 26.09% | D+41.7 | |
42 | 49.67% | 47.37% | D+2.3 | 47.57% | 44.43% | D+3.1 | |
43 | 85.99% | 10.63% | D+75.4 | 88.74% | 5.96% | D+82.8 | |
44 | 54.08% | 43.61% | D+10.5 | 50.96% | 40.24% | D+10.7 | |
45 | 58.18% | 39.63% | D+18.6 | 64.80% | 28.03% | D+36.8 | |
46 | 78.25% | 19.15% | D+59.1 | 81.92% | 12.42% | D+69.5 | |
47 | 55.53% | 42.30% | D+13.2 | 54.37% | 38.29% | D+16.1 | |
48 | 61.67% | 35.86% | D+25.8 | 68.17% | 25.02% | D+43.2 | |
49 | 57.30% | 40.04% | D+17.3 | 54.21% | 37.87% | D+16.3 | |
Total | 56.16% | 41.29% | D+14.9 | 54.30% | 38.07% | D+16.2 | |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) defeated Joe Pakootas (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Rodgers and Pakootas defeated Tom Horne (R), Krystol McGee (L), and Dave Wilson (I) in the top-two primary on August 2, 2016.[22][23]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
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Republican | ![]() |
59.6% | 192,959 | |
Democratic | Joe Pakootas | 40.4% | 130,575 | |
Total Votes | 323,534 | |||
Source: Washington Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
![]() |
42.2% | 60,184 | |
Democratic | ![]() |
31.5% | 44,999 | |
Independent | Dave Wilson | 13.3% | 18,993 | |
Republican | Tom Horne | 11.1% | 15,830 | |
Libertarian | Krystol McGee | 1.9% | 2,678 | |
Total Votes | 142,684 | |||
Source: Washington Secretary of State |
2014
The 5th Congressional District of Washington held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) defeated Joseph Pakootas (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
60.7% | 135,470 | |
Democratic | Joseph Pakootas | 39.3% | 87,772 | |
Total Votes | 223,242 | |||
Source: Washington Secretary of State |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Washington heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Washington.
- Democrats held six of 10 U.S. House seats in Washington.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Democrats held six of 8 state executive positions, Republicans held two, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Washington was Democrat Jay Inslee. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 3, 2020.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the Washington State Legislature. They had a 50-48 majority in the state House and a 26-23 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Washington was a Democratic trifecta, meaning that the Democrats controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.
2018 elections
- See also: Washington elections, 2018
Washington held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 10 U.S. House seats
- 25 of 49 state Senate seats
- 98 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Seattle
Demographics
Demographic data for Washington | ||
---|---|---|
Washington | U.S. | |
Total population: | 7,160,290 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 66,456 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 77.8% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 3.6% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 7.7% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 1.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 5.2% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 12% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 90.4% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 32.9% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $61,062 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 14.4% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Washington. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Washington's three largest cities were Seattle (pop. est. 724,745), Spokane (pop. est. 217,108), and Tacoma (pop. est. 213,418).[24][25]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Washington from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Washington Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Washington every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Washington 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
54.3% | ![]() |
38.1% | 16.2% |
2012 | ![]() |
51.2% | ![]() |
41.2% | 10.0% |
2008 | ![]() |
57.6% | ![]() |
40.5% | 17.1% |
2004 | ![]() |
52.8% | ![]() |
45.6% | 7.2% |
2000 | ![]() |
50.2% | ![]() |
44.6% | 5.8% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Washington from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Washington 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
59.0% | ![]() |
40.1% | 18.9% |
2012 | ![]() |
60.4% | ![]() |
39.5% | 20.9% |
2010 | ![]() |
52.4% | ![]() |
47.6% | 4.8% |
2006 | ![]() |
56.9% | ![]() |
39.9% | 17.0% |
2004 | ![]() |
55.0% | ![]() |
44.7% | 10.3% |
2000 | ![]() |
48.7% | ![]() |
48.6% | 0.1% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Washington.
Election results (Governor), Washington 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
54.4% | ![]() |
45.6% | 8.8% |
2012 | ![]() |
51.5% | ![]() |
48.6% | 0.9% |
2008 | ![]() |
53.2% | ![]() |
46.8% | 6.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
48.9% | ![]() |
48.9% | 0.0% |
2000 | ![]() |
58.4% | ![]() |
39.7% | 7.1% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Washington in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Washington Party Control: 1992-2024
Eighteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R[26] | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | S | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- Washington's 5th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 top-two primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Washington, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ The Seattle Times, "For the first time in decades, the race for Congress is close in Eastern Washington," October 21, 2018
- ↑ Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "Red to Blue," accessed October 26, 2018
- ↑ 3rd Legislative District Map
- ↑ VoteSmart, "Lisa Brown," accessed October 2, 2018
- ↑ The Spokesman-Review, "Lisa Brown: Congress has failed our farmers; it’s time for new leadership," July 29, 2018
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ Vote Smart, "Cathy McMorris Rodgers," accessed October 2, 2018
- ↑ Seattle Times, "Trump’s tariffs could sow trouble for Republicans in Eastern Washington farm districts," September 22, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 12.2 [https://www.opensecrets.org/races/outside-spending?cycle=2018&id=WA05&spec=N Open Secrets, "Outside Spending: WA-08, accessed October 2, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ KREM 2, "President Trump endorses Cathy McMorris Rodgers a week ahead of election," October 29, 2018
- ↑ EMILY's List, "EMILY’S LIST ENDORSES LISA BROWN FOR CONGRESS IN WASHINGTON STATE’S 5TH DISTRICT," February 27, 2018
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Lisa Brown for Congress, "Issues,” accessed October 2, 2018
- ↑ Cathy for Congress, "Accomplishments,” accessed October 2, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Washington Secretary of State, "Unofficial List of Candidates in Ballot Order," accessed May 23, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Washington House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
- ↑ Washington Demographics, "Washington Cities by Population," accessed December 11, 2017
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Washington," accessed December 11, 2017
- ↑ Democrats gained full control of the state Senate after a special election on November 7, 2017.